As some states start to reopen, Georgia is projected to see its number of daily coronavirus deaths nearly double by early August, according to a model shared by the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and created by independent researcher Youyang Gu.
The epidemiological model provides projections for 40 countries and every US state.
Out of the 12 states in the US Southeast –– Alabama, Arkansas, Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, North Carolina, South Carolina, Tennessee, Virginia and West Virginia –– the model’s projections for Georgia are the only projections that assume statewide social distancing will be relaxed starting on May 1 to reflect Gov. Brian Kemp's orders to reopen the state.
The projections for the state of Georgia show the highest uptick in deaths per day between May and August for the region.
With the assumption of relaxed social distancing, the model predicts that the number of Covid-19 deaths per day in Georgia will jump from 32 people dying on May 1 to a projected 63 people dying per day by August 4.
Currently, a total of 995 people have died from Covid-19 in Georgia, according to the model, and it projects that number could climb to 4,691 by August 4.
The projection for total deaths in the state provides a range of estimates between 1,686 deaths on the lower end to up to 15,620 deaths on the higher end.