By Meg Wagner, Melissa Macaya, Veronica Rocha, Melissa Mahtani and Amanda Wills, CNN
Joe Biden will win New Jersey, CNN projects.
There are 14 electoral votes at stake in New Jersey. It takes 270 electoral votes to win the 2020 presidential election.
Who won in 2016: Former Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton carried the state, and President Trump won the general election.
President Trump will win Arkansas CNN projects.
There are six electoral votes at stake in Arkansas. It takes 270 electoral votes to win the 2020 presidential election.
Who won in 2016: President Trump carried the state and won the general election.
Here's where polls are closing at 9 p.m. ET:
Follow along here and CNN's Election Center for full coverage.
Based on the votes counted so far, this is where each candidate currently has the lead.
Joe Biden:
Donald Trump:
It's still early and these numbers could change as more votes are counted.
Joe Biden will win New York, CNN projects.
There are 29 electoral votes at stake in New York. It takes 270 electoral votes to win the 2020 presidential election.
Who won in 2016: Former Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton carried the state, and President Trump won the general election.
From CNN's Gregory Krieg
By most forecasters’ estimates, there is no state more crucial to either candidates’ path than Pennsylvania, with its 20 electoral votes.
Donald Trump won it in 2016 as he barreled through the Democrats’ “Blue Wall,” taking Michigan and Wisconsin, too. But Joe Biden, who was born in Scranton, maintained a modest lead in most 2020 pre-election polling.
The key for Biden is juicing turnout in Philadelphia, especially among Black and Latino votes, and its surrounding suburbs. For Trump, it’s a trickier proposition. He needs to keep or grow his winning margins in rural parts of the state, mostly in the central and west, and hope his popularity there isn’t overwhelmed by a backlash in suburban areas and urban centers.
Then there is the question of the ballots, which has the potential to turn into a national flashpoint.
Pennsylvania is one of the handful of states that expects to take a while to count all its votes. Expect the early returns to favor Trump, but the race to move in Biden’s direction as mail-in ballot results come in. But that could take some time. Election officials cannot begin processing early ballots until Election Day and some counties might not begin until after the polls close. A few won’t start until Wednesday – meaning there will be no final result out of Pennsylvania tonight.
From CNN's Jeff Zeleny
The Biden campaign is realistic about Florida tonight, with advisers saying the state seems to be moving out of reach. But advisers argue that Florida is unique, not the beginning of a trend.
They are still confident about their standing in Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin – and advisers are optimistic about what they are seeing in North Carolina.
But for Biden world, a Trump Florida win ensures one thing: This race will be dramatically close and they do not foresee any type of landslide tonight.
From CNN's Dan Merica
No Democratic presidential candidate has won Duval County since fellow Southerner Jimmy Carter carried the Jacksonville area in 1976. Joe Biden is on track to break that streak.
This could be critical to Democrats in Florida because in order to make up for the former vice president underperforming where Hillary Clinton was four years ago in populous Miami-Dade County, he needs formerly red population centers like Duval to tilt his way to have a shot at carrying the state.
The former vice president leads President Donald Trump in the county with 91% of the vote in.
Duval County is central for two key themes playing out in the 2020 general election — the suburbs revolting against a Republican Party led by Trump and the work Democrats have put in to turn out Black voters who did not turn out for Hillary Clinton in 2016. Both have turned the one-time Republican stronghold into the largest swing county in the largest swing state.
“There is an argument to be made it may be the single most important county in the single most important state in the most important election in a century,” Dean Black, chair of the county’s Republican Party, said before Election Day.
Democrats, after losing Duval narrowly in 2016, carried the county in the 2018 general election, leading many in the party to grow more confident that they could do it again this year. The party also has 6% more registered Democrats than Republicans in Duval.
There were signs in October that Trump’s hold on some voters in Duval County was slipping.
After voting for Trump in 2016, Danielle Wade went to the ballot box undecided but eventually voted for Biden.
“Quite frankly, I am just over Trump’s antics,” Wade said. “I don’t believe he will be the cure-all,” she said after voting for Biden, the first Democrat she had ever backed in her 35-year-long life. “But the country needs some relief.”
From CNN's Josiah Ryan
President Trump visited a number of "Trump super counties" in the final days before Election Day to energize the electorate and turn out the vote, said CNN's John King, pointing to Catawba County in North Carolina where Trump campaigned on Monday.
"These are Trump super counties, if you will, around, the country," said King. "The President went to certain places to do his rallies because he knew he was losing in the early voting and they were designed to turn people up."
"The President had a deliberately travel plan," added King. "He went to certain places where they knew their voters were."