Elections halfway through a president’s term historically don’t bode well for the president’s party. In the century since voters began electing US senators, the president’s party has only gained seats in either the Senate or House a handful of times (and only both chambers twice).

Pennsylvania primary results

Senate: Pennsylvania Primary Results (R) Key Race

Candidate(s) % Votes
Oz %
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McCormick %
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Barnette %
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Sands %
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Bartos %
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Gale %
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Bochetto %
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Full Details

Oregon primary results

House District 5: Oregon Primary Results (D) Key Race

Candidate(s) % Votes
McLeod-Skinner %
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Schrader Incumbent %
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Full Details

Guide to the 2022 midterms

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See the full 2022 calendar
The US Capitol in Washington, DC, on April 29.
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The 10 Senate seats most likely to flip in 2022
COLUMBUS, OH - APRIL 26: Voters arrives to cast their ballots early for the May 3 Primary Election at the Franklin County Board of Elections polling location on April 26, 2022 in Columbus, Ohio. Last week, Former President Donald Trump announced his endorsement of J.D. Vance in the Ohio Republican Senate primary. Other challengers in the Republican Senate primary field include Josh Mandel, Mike Gibbons, Jane Timken, Matt Dolan and Mark Pukita. (Photo by Drew Angerer/Getty Images)
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Why May matters for the future of the Senate
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A roadmap to the 2022 midterm elections

The battle for control

The Democrats’ majority in Congress is razor-thin: The Senate is a 50-50 split (with Vice President Kamala Harris’ tie-breaking vote giving them the advantage) and Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s control of the House rests on a slim margin. In 2022, all 435 House seats and 34 of the 100 Senate seats are on the ballot. Additionally, 36 out of 50 states will elect governors.

Former President Donald Trump speaks to supporters at a rally on April 02, 2022 near Washington, Michigan.
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This state is Donald Trump's Achilles' heel
WASHINGTON, DC - NOVEMBER 30: Former U.S. Vice President Mike Pence speaks at the National Press Club on November 30, 2021 in Washington, DC. Pence spoke about the upcoming Supreme Court case involving a controversial Mississippi abortion law that will be heard at the high court on Wednesday. (Photo by Drew Angerer/Getty Images)
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Mike Pence to campaign for Gov. Brian Kemp ahead of Georgia primary
Bridget Bennett/Andrew Harrer/Bloomberg/Getty Images/Ross D. Franklin/AP
GOP governors to hit the trail for Kemp in Georgia to counter Trump
WASHINGTON, DC - SEPTEMBER 24: Sen. David Perdue (R-GA) attends a Senate Banking Committee hearing on Capitol Hill on September 24, 2020 in Washington, DC. U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and Federal Reserve Board Chairman Jerome Powell are testifying about the CARES Act and the economic effects of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic. (Photo by Drew Angerer/Getty Images)
Drew Angerer/Getty Images
Senate Republicans aghast at Perdue's false election claims in Georgia governor race
DELAWARE, OH - APRIL 23: Former U.S. President Donald Trump gestures after speaking during a rally hosted by the former president at the Delaware County Fairgrounds on April 23, 2022 in Delaware, Ohio. Last week, Trump announced his endorsement of J.D. Vance in the Ohio Republican Senate primary. (Photo by Drew Angerer/Getty Images)
Drew Angerer/Getty Images/FILE
Trump struggles to keep control of his own MAGA movement
Here's where the battle for Senate control will be won -- or lost
U.S. Sen. Rick Scott (R-FL) speaks on the economy during a news conference at the U.S. Capitol on May 04, 2022 in Washington, DC.
Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images
Did Rick Scott just hand Democrats an *actual* message?
J.R. Majewski, who painted a Trump banner across his entire front yard, hosted a gathering at his home to watch the first presidential debate of 2020.
Jon Stinchcomb/News Herald/USA Today Network
J.R. Majewski, an Ohio GOP congressional candidate, was a January 6 participant and has repeatedly shared pro-QAnon material
WASHINGTON, DC - MAY 04: Police surround an anti-abortion demonstrator as abortion-rights advocates protest nearby outside of the U.S. Supreme Court Building on May 4, 2022 in Washington, DC. Demonstrations across the country continue as abortion-rights and anti-abortion advocates react to the leaked initial draft majority opinion indicating the U.S. Supreme Court would overturn two abortion-related cases, which would end federal protection of abortion rights. (Photo by Sarah Silbiger/Getty Images)
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GOP still favored in midterms, despite possible overturning of Roe v. Wade
Kai Kahele, Democrat running for Tulsi Gabbord's House seat in Hawaii's 2nd District, speaks with Roll Call on June 10, 2019.
Bill Clark/CQ-Roll Call, Inc./Getty Images
Democratic Rep. Kai Kahele says he's running for governor of Hawaii
Ben Carson, former U.S. Secretary of Housing and Urban Development laughs as Mehmet Oz, U.S. Republican Senate candidate for Pennsylvania, speaks during a campaign event for in Bristol, Pennsylvania, U.S., April 21, 2022.
Hannah Beier/Reuters
In Pennsylvania, McCormick campaign keeps up attacks over Oz's Turkish ties
Eric Marrapodi/CNN
Trump claims Republicans will stay home in November if his pick doesn't win the GOP gubernatorial primary in Georgia. Voters say otherwise

Redistricting

Updates on proposed congressional maps – and whether they might benefit Democrats or Republicans in the 2022 midterms and beyond.

At left, J. Alex Kelly, deputy chief of staff to Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, answers questions about the new congressional district lines his office developed during a state legislative meeting at the Capitol in Tallahassee on April 19, 2022.
Phil Sears/AP
DeSantis-appointed judge signals Florida's congressional map is unconstitutional for diminishing Black representation
68658409/demerzel21 - stock.adobe.com
New York's highest court blocks Democratic-drawn congressional map over gerrymandering
U.S. Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis speaks at the Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC) in Orlando, Florida, U.S. February 24, 2022. REUTERS/Marco Bello
Marco Bello/Reuters
Florida Senate advances DeSantis priorities on redistricting and Disney during special session
The newly painted Cinderella Castle at the Magic Kingdom at Walt Disney World is seen with the the crest to celebrate the 50th anniversary of the theme park Monday, Aug. 30, 2021, in Lake Buena Vista, Florida.
John Raoux/AP
Florida legislature approves end of Disney's special status

Voting rights: Expansion vs. restriction

Many states are changing their voting rules ahead of the midterms.

State Rep. Cord Byrd speaks during debate on HB 1, known as the "anti-riot bill" during a House session at the Florida Capitol in Tallahassee, Fl.a, Friday, March 26, 2021. (Tori Lynn Schneider/Tallahassee Democrat via AP)
Tori Lynn Schneider/Tallahassee Democrat/AP
DeSantis taps self-described 'Florida gun lawyer' to oversee elections
Mesa County, Colo., clerk Tina Peters, who was indicted in March on 11 felony and misdemeanor charges related to allegations she and others tampered with secure voting equipment and software, talks to well-wishers at a rally staged to voice concerns about free and fair elections on the west steps of the State Capitol Tuesday, April 5, 2022, in downtown Denver. Peters and Mike Lindell, MyPillow chief executive officer, spoke at the rally, which drew several hundred attendees. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
David Zalubowski/AP/FILE
Colorado county bars indicted pro-Trump official from overseeing 2022 elections
Voters enter Burton Barr Central Library to cast their ballots on November 3, 2020 in Phoenix, Arizona.
Courtney Pedroza/Getty Images
Jail is the new threat facing election workers
Rebecca Blackwell/AP
DeSantis signs bill creating new Florida election police force
Rep. Tray McCurdy, D-Orlando and Rep. Angie Nixon, D-Jacksonville sit on the Florida Seal in protest as debate stops on Senate Bill 2-C: Establishing the Congressional Districts of the State in the House of Representatives Thursday, April 21, 2022 at the Capitol in Tallahassee, Fla.
Phil Sears/AP
Florida is losing two Black-led congressional districts
A person holds up signs during a voting rights rally at Liberty Plaza near the Georgia State Capitol on Tuesday, June 8, 2021, in Atlanta.
Brynn Anderson/AP
Voting rights advocates warn of fresh threats to ballot access in Georgia
People vote in the primary election at a polling center on June 30, 2020 in Denver, Colorado.
Michael Ciaglo/Getty Images
Democratic-run states move to protect election workers
Credit: AlanWeissman.com
Courtesy AlanWeissman.com
This election expert is very worried about the 2024 election
House Election Integrity Chairman Stan Gunter listens to a supporter of election bill SB 89 on Sine Die, the last day of the General Assembly at the Georgia State Capitol in Atlanta on Monday, April 4, 2022. (Branden Camp/Atlanta Journal-Constitution/AP)
Branden Camp/Atlanta Journal-Constitution/AP
Georgia passes bill giving state law enforcement agency power to investigate elections

Early eyes on 2024

DES MOINES, Feb. 3, 2020 -- Democratic voters attend the caucus at the Wells Fargo Arena in Des Moines, Iowa, the United States, Feb. 3, 2020. Iowa, a state in the Midwestern United States, is holding Democratic and Republican caucuses Monday night, kicking off the 2020 U.S. presidential primary. (Photo by Li Muzi/Xinhua via Getty) (Xinhua/Li Muzi via Getty Images)
Li Muzi/Xinhua/Getty Images
20 state and territorial Democratic parties intend to apply for early 2024 presidential calendar slots
GREENWOOD, NEBRASKA - MAY 01: Former President Donald Trump speaks to supporters during a rally at the I-80 Speedway on May 01, 2022 in Greenwood, Nebraska. Trump is supporting Charles Herbster in the Nebraska gubernatorial race. (Photo by Scott Olson/Getty Images)
Scott Olson/Getty Images
The Trump 2024 puzzle is about to get some answers
UNITED STATES - JUNE 22: Arkansas Gov. Asa Hutchinson, testifies during Senate Judiciary Committee hearing in Dirksen Building titled Examining Federal Sentencing for Crack and Powder Cocaine, on Tuesday, June 22, 2021. (Photo By Tom Williams/CQ-Roll Call, Inc via Getty Images)
Tom Williams/CQ-Roll Call/Getty Images
Arkansas GOP governor says he's considering 2024 bid and would run even if Trump does
Governor Ron DeSantis signs Florida?s 15-week abortion ban into law at Nacion de Fe church in Kissimmee. on April 14. The law, which goes into effect July 1, bans the procedure after 15 weeks of pregnancy without exemptions for rape, incest or human trafficking, but does allow exemptions in cases where a pregnancy is ?serious risk? to the mother or a fatal abnormality is detected if two physicians confirm the diagnosis in writing. (Photo by Paul Hennessy / SOPA Images/Sipa USA)
Paul Hennessy/SOPA Images/Sipa USA/FILE
DeSantis amplifies 2024 chatter with trip to Nevada to campaign for Senate candidate Laxalt
President Joe Biden speaks about the war in Ukraine in the Roosevelt Room at the White House, Thursday, April 28, 2022, in Washington. (AP Photo/Andrew Harnik)
Andrew Harnik/AP
A frustrated Joe Biden will go on the attack against Republicans in the midterms -- and into 2024
Matthew Hatcher/Bloomberg/Getty Images
RNC unanimously votes to withdraw from commission that sponsors presidential debates
Delegates are seated at the opening of the first day of the Republican National Convention, meeting in the Richardson Ballroom, Charlotte Convention Center on August 24, 2020, in Charlotte, North Carolina, to renominate Donald Trump to be President of the United States and Mike Pence to be Vice President. (Photo by Chris Carlson / POOL / AFP) (Photo by CHRIS CARLSON/POOL/AFP via Getty Images)
Chris Carlson/Pool/AFP/Getty Images
Republicans may decide this year on host cities for 2024 and 2028 conventions
Andrew Harnik/AP
Democratic officials approve plan that could shake up presidential primary calendar

Retirements

Retirements are not a perfect indicator of future midterm outcomes, but they’re a sign. A wave of retirements has hit the House Democratic Caucus this election cycle. The party that has had more elected officials retiring from public office has lost seats in eight of the last 12 midterm cycles since 1974, according to CNN’s Harry Enten.

UNITED STATES - JUNE 10: Kai Kahele, Democrat running for Tulsi Gabbord's House seat in Hawaii's 2nd District, speaks with Roll Call on June 10, 2019. (Photo By Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call)
Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call/Getty Images
Democratic Rep. Kai Kahele will retire from Congress, source says
Rep. Fred Upton, R-Mich., speaks during the Problem Solvers Caucus press conference in the Capitol on Tuesday, Feb. 11, 2020.
Bill Clark/CQ-Roll Call/Getty Images
Fred Upton, Republican who voted to impeach Trump, retiring from House seat
Rep. Bob Gibbs, R-Ohio, leaves the House Republican Conference meeting in the Capitol on Tuesday, March 20, 2018. (Photo By Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call)
Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call/Getty Images
Ohio GOP lawmaker announces retirement citing redistricting 'circus'
•Analysis
Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images
Here's why Democrats' chances of winning in November are slipping
U.S. Rep. Jim Cooper, D-Nashville, talks to reporters at his Nashville office, Feb. 16, 2018.
Jonathan Mattise/AP
Tennessee lawmaker becomes latest House Democrat not to seek reelection
Two long-serving Democratic congressmen announce they won't seek reelection in 2022
WASHINGTON, DC - SEPTEMBER 30: Representative Trey Hollingsworth, a Republican from Indiana, speaks at a House Financial Services Committee hearing on oversight of the Treasury Department and Federal Reserve coronavirus pandemic response on Capitol Hillon September 30, 2021 in Washington, DC. The Treasury secretary this week warned in a letter to congressional leaders that her department will effectively run out of cash around Oct. 18 unless Congress suspends or increases the debt limit. (Photo by Al Drago-Pool/Getty Images)
Al Drago/Pool/Getty Images
GOP Rep. Trey Hollingsworth announces he won't seek reelection to Indiana seat
UNITED STATES - OCTOBER 27: Rep. Brenda Lawrence, D-Mich., speaks during the Congressional Black Caucus news conference in the Capitol on Black priorities in the infrastructure bill and the Build Back Better agenda on Wednesday, Oct. 27, 2021. (Photo by Bill Clark/CQ-Roll Call, Inc via Getty Images)
Bill Clark/CQ-Roll Call, Inc./Getty Images
Rep. Brenda Lawrence adds to growing number of House Democrats retiring at end of this term

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