Tennessee’s primaries will take place on Super Tuesday. In the 2016 general election, Donald Trump won the state with 60.72% of the vote, compared with Hillary Clinton’s 34.72%. The GOP has carried Tennessee in 10 of the last 13 contests. If Al Gore had won his home state in 2000, he would have won the White House. Instead, he lost Tennessee to George W. Bush that year by almost 4 points. Even during the heyday of the old Democratic South, eastern Tennessee leaned Republican. It continues to do so, although Democrats can rely on small pockets of grassroots strength from African American voters in Knoxville and Chattanooga. The state’s Democratic base is in the urban centers of Memphis and Nashville; the suburbs of these two cities often vote Republican and the region’s economic expansion has bolstered an increasing GOP edge statewide. In a close race, central Tennessee is likely to be the most hotly contested terrain.