How They Run The Show
They both want the White House, but would run it very differently. Bush puts staff in place, then just gets the lay of the land. Gore sifts every grain
James Carney and Karen Tumulty With reporting by Eric Pooley/Nashville
Only the hardest decisions make it all the way to the President's
desk. That's something both men who are running have had a chance
to see from front-row seats. "It's a revelation," says Al Gore,
"the way excruciating, world-class problems tend to come in
clusters." And George W. Bush knows from seeing his father renege
on his "no new taxes" pledge how a single judgment can end up
crippling a presidency. So, says Governor Bush, "you just gotta
be confident enough in your positions and tough enough in your
hide to be able to stand the heat if it comes."
It is impossible to know precisely what problems George W. Bush
or Al Gore will face as President, but there surely will be some
that nobody will have anticipated. What is also certain is that
the two would bring dramatically different approaches to solving
them. Bush comes to a decision by putting his faith in the
advisers he picks; Gore, in the information they bring him.
Bush's goal in mastering a new issue is to learn the lay of the
land; Gore isn't convinced he knows the terrain until he runs his
fingers through the soil. Bush's experience tells him there are
few adversaries he cannot bring around with his irresistible
charm; Gore's experience tells him there are few he cannot
conquer with an irrefutable argument.
The two men who would like to be the next President are so
different in their management styles that it's easy to overlook
their similarities. But there are some. Both Gore and Bush have
earned reputations as decisive leaders--more decisive, in each
case, than the men whose presidencies they've watched up close.
Bill Clinton's penchant for agonizing over every decision--and
then rethinking it again after it was made--only reinforced the
Vice President's natural aversion to second-guessing. A President
Gore would be a decided contrast to the candidate who reinvents
his campaign as often as he changes his wardrobe. "Once he locks
in, he'll lock in and be much tougher to move, whereas Bill
Clinton used to continue to cogitate even after he made a
decision," says former White House chief of staff Leon Panetta.
Bush's father rarely looked back on decisions, but he often took
his time in making them. His son, on the other hand, became
famous in Texas for cutting meetings short, demanding a cogent
recommendation from his advisers, making a decision and moving
on. Bush also has less patience with the status quo than his
father did. If Bush the elder's governing philosophy was "first,
do no harm," then his son's is "do something." Since his first
campaign in Texas in 1994, George W.'s style has been to develop
a limited, specific agenda and then focus almost exclusively on
it until he could check all the items off the list. "He realizes
that if you have too many goals, you don't have any goals," says
Bush campaign chairman Don Evans. What's more, some advisers
suggest, Bush plans to push the hardest ones first: his gaudy tax
cut, they say, will probably take a backseat to the arduous work
of transforming Social Security.
Neither Gore nor Bush has much patience for the sort of bull
sessions that seem to energize and nourish the current President.
Gore invites discussion but listens to it in a different way--more
focused than Clinton on finding an answer, but less attuned to
understanding what it takes to sell it politically. "Clinton sits
there as a judge hearing arguments," says someone who has worked
closely with both men, "while Gore wants to absorb data. Gore has
a much more scientific approach, is much more likely to believe
that there's an analytically correct and incorrect answer, and
Clinton's much more likely to see the answer as a choice between
competing values and points of view: who it helps, who it doesn't
help."
The Vice President is often ahead of his staff on the details,
probing and prodding, picking at an argument like a loose thread
on a sweater to see if he can make it unravel. He can be a
difficult boss, and new staff members find out quickly whether
they will make it or not with Gore. Says a former aide: "If you
weren't sure of yourself, you gave him wrong or half-baked
information or for some reason he questioned your loyalty--if any
of those things occurred--it just wouldn't happen." And Gore, once
a newspaper reporter, respects deadlines, unlike Clinton, who has
been known to finish writing his State of the Union addresses on
the limousine ride to the Capitol. "Gore won't be there at 6 a.m.
on Christmas Eve trying to choose five Cabinet members and
changing the Attorney General pick for the fourth time," says an
adviser.
If Gore is methodical, Bush is intuitive. When asked about
decision making, the Governor's first response is to talk up the
importance of "picking a team of people you can trust." A former
CEO, Bush views government through the eyes of a businessman. He
delegates authority, empowers his staff member and trusts them to
give the advice he needs to make a decision. He prefers short
memos and brisk discussions. He doesn't pretend to know the
details his experts are supposed to know, and he often makes a
decision based on how effectively an aide argues for it. "He
wants you to come in with a recommendation," says Clay Johnson, a
friend since boarding school who is one of Bush's top aides in
Texas. "He doesn't want you to give him a 20-page report and say,
'Read this and think about it.'" Details matter, Bush says, "but
I will not get bogged down micromanaging an issue."
The risk to this approach, says Bruce Buchanan, a University of
Texas political scientist, is that Bush may be too staff-
reliant: "The problem is that he may not always be in a position
to discern the credibility of the options his advisers give him.
One of the ways a staff can manipulate the boss is to stack
options so that their preferred option is obviously better."
Bush insists he can sense when a staff member is trying to roll
him.
Inevitably and sometimes exasperatingly, the bulk of a
President's day is spent in meetings. And while Bush chafes at
that prospect, he isn't daunted by it: "I don't like to sit
around in meetings for hours and hours and hours. I get to the
point. I think the ability to run a good meeting is a sign of
good leadership," he says. The typical Bush meeting begins with
an adviser making a presentation. But instead of listening
patiently, Bush interrupts, peppering the adviser with questions.
Sometimes the questions seem startlingly basic. During a briefing
last year by defense experts, Bush stunned the room when he
asked, "What's an army for?" "At first you had the feeling,
'Uh-oh, this guy's not so bright,'" recalls a participant. What
it took advisers a moment to realize was that Bush was being
deliberately provocative--forcing them to step back from the
immediate issues in order to explain the fundamental assumptions
behind America's defense strategy.
Gore, when he's trying to get his hands around something
important, goes through two stages. In the first, he gobbles up
facts and ideas, holding information against theory and gauging
how the two fit. "When working on international economics, Gore
will think about everything from business-management theory to
chemical thermodynamics to financial-market theory, all in the
space of a 20-minute speech-preparation meeting," says Harvard
law professor Christopher Edley, an occasional adviser. Gore
studies an issue until he can argue all sides with such certainty
that aides sometimes have no idea which one he will ultimately
take. But then the Vice President reaches what Leon Fuerth, his
longtime foreign policy adviser, calls a "firing point." The
meetings get smaller, shorter and more focused, a forced march to
a conclusion. And sometimes Gore's conclusion is an idea that
wasn't on the table in the first place: after spending more than
a year studying the arms race as a young Congressman in the
1980s, Gore latched onto a proposal that split the difference
between the cold warriors and the nuclear-disarmament camp, a
single-warhead missile dubbed the Midgetman. Gore's plan helped
produce a compromise that united Ronald Reagan with moderate
Democrats on reviving the MX missile.
In many ways, of course, making the decision is the easy part.
Even the best idea or policy proposal is worthless if the
President can't sell it--to the Congress and the public. This is
what Bush's supporters believe is their man's greatest strength,
an affable, intimate manner that sent even Democrats in Texas
into a swoon. And it's where Gore's allies have their deepest
qualms, particularly amid a campaign where he has been unable to
close what should have been the easiest of deals, persuading
contented voters to stick with the team that presided over eight
years of prosperity.
Gore has always been at his best in a policy fight and has often
had a keener sense than those around him of which fights to pick.
He argued, for instance, that Bill Clinton should engage the
Republicans by offering a balanced budget in 1995 (a move that
enraged congressional Democrats); in the government shutdowns
that ensued, Gore counseled switching course and standing firm
against them. Both moves worked, the first giving Clinton the
credibility he needed to pull off the second. "Gore basically
realized that the Republicans did not want to deal--that they
wanted a surrender, but not a deal," says Dick Morris, who was
advising Clinton at the time. "Clinton constantly thought there
could be a deal, was constantly floating out proposals and ways
to cut the knot."
But while he can figure out the inside moves, Gore lacks
Clinton's instinctive feel for the larger game. The problem with
Gore's presidential campaign is not that he has retooled himself
but that voters can practically hear the gears grinding as he
does it. "Al sometimes thinks he can study and learn
everything--like empathy and sympathy," says a former aide.
Some are worried that the isolation of the Oval Office would
reinforce Gore's political weaknesses. "He kind of runs his own
show," Panetta says of Gore. "He doesn't have a senior group of
elders that he talks to for guidance. If there's one
recommendation I would make to the new Administration, it's that
he should develop that, because the job is enough of an island."
Bush's advisers say the Governor would cope with the isolation of
the presidency by reaching out--and not just to fellow
Republicans. The essence of Bush's message in the closing days of
the campaign is that he is a "different kind of Republican" who
will "change the tone in Washington" by working with both
Republicans and Democrats. Bush places great faith in his
capacity to find common ground with the other party, and he
points to his record of bipartisan compromise in Texas as proof
that he would be able to do just that in Washington. But Texas
Democrats are a conservative bunch, a different breed from their
counterparts on Capitol Hill. After he was elected in 1994, Bush
forged a close relationship with the late Lieutenant Governor Bob
Bullock, a crusty Democrat with enormous power in Austin. But
even a close Bush ally in Washington conceded last week that
Richard Gephardt, the House Democratic leader, "is no Bob
Bullock. [Bush] will reach out to Democrats, but they aren't
going to reach back just because he's a nice guy."
And if Bush begins to bargain away parts of his agenda in order
to compromise with Democrats, he may find himself with a bigger
problem in his party. Conservative congressional Republicans have
held their tongues through the campaign, rarely complaining about
the distance Bush keeps from them. But that won't last if Bush
wins and the G.O.P. retains control of Congress. "Tom DeLay gets
the joke," says a senior Bush adviser, referring to the House
G.O.P.'s enforcer. "He knows that if Bush wins, he'll be sitting
with his feet up on the Truman balcony [with the President].
He'll be the second most powerful Republican in Washington. Maybe
the first."
The most successful Presidents are the ones who can capitalize on
their strengths and grow out of their weaknesses. Certainly,
today's Clinton White House bears little resemblance to the
chaotic, shapeless operation it was in its first year. Once he is
in office and released from the unnatural pose of a candidate,
President Gore's question would be whether the smartest guy in
the room can also be the canniest. And having assumed the awesome
responsibilities of the job, President Bush would have to show
that he can be both everybody's friend and nobody's fool. Which
is why, for voters, casting a ballot on Nov. 7 is both a choice
of one imperfect man over another and a prayer for something
better.
--With reporting by Eric Pooley/Nashville
INSIDE THE BUSH SYSTEM
The Governor gets advice from Dad, Texas loyalists and a range
of conservatives
THE MONEYMEN
THE SUPPLY-SIDERS
LARRY LINDSEY Former Federal Reserve governor; fervent
supply-sider and architect of Bush tax plan
ROBERT GLENN HUBBARD Columbia professor and Bush tax adviser;
credits Reagan cuts for the current boom
THE BUDGET HAWKS
JOHN TAYLOR Author of the Dole economic plan; Stanford professor
and expert on interest rates
JOHN COGAN Another Stanford professor; helped Bush find a way to
give working moms a bigger share of the tax-cut pie
THE FAMILY CIRCLE
BARBARA PIERCE BUSH Mom and beloved Queen Mother figure. Keeps an
eye out for W. when he gets smart-alecky. Always first to defend
him in a crisis
JOHN ELLIS(JEB)BUSH Florida Governor and straitlaced little
bro'. Bush's eyes and ears in the South. May not win him Florida
though
GEORGE H.W. BUSH Dad and former President. Calls and e-mails
regularly with advice and encouragement. Will skydive again if
polls drop
THE COMPASSION CHORUS
MYRON MAGNET Author who blames '60s liberalism for poverty in
America
MARVIN OLASKY Controversial professor whose books defined
"compassionate conservatism"
MIKE GERSON Rhetorician, former journalist and aide to Senator
Dan Coats; composes the words Bush sometimes mangles
DAVID HOROWITZ Author, once a voice of the New Left, now blames
counterculture for loss of American values
JOHN DIIULIO Professor and advocate of faith-based social services
THE GOOD-GOVERNMENT CLUB
JOSHUA BOLTEN Policy director; smart, wry former Goldman Sachs
lawyer; counsel in Papa Bush's trade office
GAIL WILENSKY Health-care guru; gave Bush the Medicare plan he
desperately needed
STEPHEN GOLDSMITH Policy adviser and former mayor of
Indianapolis, compassionate conservatism's urban lab
THE TRUE BELIEVERS
KARL ROVE Quirky, egghead strategist; Bush's political brain
since first gubernatorial run
KAREN HUGHES Ghostwriter, alter ego, message disciplinarian and
chief spokeswoman
MARK MCKINNON Former Democrat and musician, a convert who makes
the ads and gives Bush street cred
JOE ALLBAUGH Flat-top tough guy from Oklahoma; loyal, no-nonsense
campaign manager
DON EVANS Oilman, old friend, campaign chairman and ultimate
"Good Man"
THE GOVERNOR BUDDIES
TOMMY THOMPSON Wisconsin; father of welfare reform, archetype of
Bush's "new kind of Republican"
TOM RIDGE Pennsylvania; passed over for Veep, still a close friend
JOHN ENGLER Michigan; ally and friend, still recovering from
McCain's victory in the primaries
MARC RACICOT Montana; longtime cheerleader for Bush; could serve
in Cabinet
THE FOREIGN POLICY CREW
DAD'S VETERANS
DICK CHENEY A conservative in Dad's crew, a Vice President
Cheney will help organize White House and Pentagon
ROBERT ZOELLICK Bush veteran on everything international,
Zoellick has 20 I.Q. points on everyone in D.C.
COLIN POWELL Probably Secretary of State, but most popular man
in America can have any job he wants
RICHARD HAASS Dad's Middle East expert during Gulf War helps Bush
between working at Brookings and NBC
STEPHEN HADLEY A former Cheney aide at Defense, he's a
soon-to-be-discovered star if Bush wins
BRENT SCOWCROFT Yoda of Dad's foreign policy team, will consult
unseen in son's White House
CONDOLEEZZA RICE Bush's top foreign policy tutor and a shoo-in
to be National Security Adviser
REAGAN VETERANS
PAUL WOLFOWITZ Hard-line Reaganaut could be Pentagon chief. A
favorite of Cheney's
GEORGE SHULTZ Reagan's Secretary of State is not expected to play
big role, but his presence calms conservatives
RICHARD ARMITAGE Reagan-Bush Defense whiz could be No. 2 at
Pentagon. Close to Powell too
RICHARD PERLE "Prince of Darkness" on Reagan arms-control team,
he's kept his head down since urging Israelis to postpone peace
deal until next year
THE CHURCH CHOIR
INSIDE GUYS
RALPH REED A Former Christian Coalition director, now a
consultant; rallied the base for Bush in South Carolina
DOUG WEAD Dallas writer worked for Dad; close to evangelicals.
Coined the phrase compassionate conservative in 1982
OUTER CIRCLE
PAT ROBERTSON Christian Coalition founder, forgave Bush for
skipping its convention
JERRY FALWELL Has told social conservatives not to question
Bush's loyalty
CHUCK COLSON Founder of Prison Fellowship, W.'s favorite
faith-based program, which seeks to redeem inmates through
religion
THE CAPITAL GANG
BILL FRIST Tennessee Senator, low-key doctor and Bush liaison in
Senate
FRED THOMPSON Tennessee Senator, former actor and McCain supporter
BILL PAXON Former N.Y. Congressman, lobbyist, top G.O.P. operative
ROY BLOUNT Missouri Congressman, deputy whip, Bush point man in
the House
ROB PORTMAN Ohio Congressman and Bush ally; served in Poppy's
White House; will push private accounts for Social Security
INSIDE THE GORE SYSTEM
The Vice President draws ideas from family, loyal aides and both
ends of his party
THE NEW DEMS
AL FROM The centrist guru and Democratic Leadership Council
president
ELAINE KAMARCK A key domestic-policy adviser, she knows how to
make an issue cut
BILL GALSTON Education adviser to Clinton and Gore. Often the
valued centrist voice in the room. A Big Idea guy
JOE LIEBERMAN Veep nominee, moral voice, combatant who attacks
with a scalpel and a smile
WILL MARSHALL The Fountain of Policy. President of the D.L.C.'s
think tank
BRUCE REED Clinton domestic policy adviser and a longtime Gore
staff member. Coined "End welfare as we know it"
THE OLD DEMS
STAN GREENBERG Pollster and populist, worked for Clinton until
'94, G.O.P. blowout cost him his job. Gore rehabbed him--and he
helped shape the candidate's fiery message
DONNA BRAZILE Campaign manager and shepherd of the Democratic
base. The race may turn on her ability to get the party faithful
to the polls
THE GREEN PARTY
KATIE MCGINTY Former lead White House adviser on the environment;
Gore's likely pick to head the EPA
ROGER REVELLE Late oceanographer; first scientist to monitor
global warming, taught Gore at Harvard
CAROL BROWNER Gore's eco-staff member in the Senate and his pick
for EPA boss under Clinton. May go home to Florida to run for
office
THE CAPITAL GANG
JOHN KERRY Massachusetts Senator, fellow Vietnam vet, a Veep
runner-up
JOHN EDWARDS Young North Carolina Senator, a Veep runner-up
ED MARKEY Loyal Massachusetts Congressman
DICK GEPHARDT Old Dem (and Gore adversary), but understands
compromise--and power. The next House Speaker?
THE HUMANIZERS
ERIK ERIKSON Late prolific author, Harvard psychologist; coined
term identity crisis
ALICE MILLER Wrote The Drama of the Gifted Child, inspiring
Gore's New Agey self-examination in 1989
NAOMI WOLF Feminist author behind earth tones and alpha maleness.
Her friend Karenna back-channels her advice--and defends her--to
Gore
JANE HOPKINS Corporate consultant, once gave tips on workplace
bonding
TOMMY LEE JONES Actor, convention speaker, Harvard roommate and
alpha friend
THE ENGINEERS
ANDREW CUOMO HUD Secretary, electoral shark and hotly rumored New
York gubernatorial candidate
BILL DALEY With instincts inherited from his father, the
legendary Chicago mayor, he's the best politician in GoreWorld,
the chairman who got the campaign back on track
THE KITCHEN CABINET
TOM DOWNEY Former N.Y. Representative, basketball buddy and
debate coach--until that Bush video showed up in the mail
PETER KNIGHT Gore 2000 fund raiser, former chief of staff,
old-school Washington fixer
JACK QUINN Former White House counsel, campaign adviser and
all-around troubleshooter
ROY NEEL Former Senate aide and chief of staff, he'd direct the
Gore transition
GREG SIMON Former policy adviser, took leave from telecom
consulting to serenade the press on Air Force Two
THE MORALISTS ABROAD
LEON FUERTH The brain's brain. Gore's foreign policy guy since
1980, he called for intervention in the Balkans
RICHARD HOLBROOKE Bosnia peace broker, U.N. Ambassador and
favorite for Secretary of State
THE FAMILY CIRCLE
FRANK HUNGER Brother-in-law, best friend, bulls____ detector.
The death of his wife Nancy--Gore's sister--binds them
TIPPER Al's different drummer, she keeps him calm, grounded and
in touch with his emotions
KARENNA Daughter, adviser and link to younger voters. Daddy's
girl mindmelds on politics, vets everything from speeches to
balloon drops
THE IVORY TOWER
RICHARD NEUSTADT Harvard presidential scholar and Prince Albert's
thesis adviser, he helped put Gore on a path to power
MARTIN PERETZ Harvard teacher, friend, New Republic owner and
tireless booster
STEPHEN HAWKING Astrophysicist, genius and Gore's Futurama
co-star
THE PORTFOLIO PACK
LARRY SUMMERS Clinton Treasury Secretary, probable Gore Treasury
Secretary
ROBERT RUBIN Former Treasury Secretary, championed debt reduction
with Gore. A Master of the Universe with heart
GENE SPERLING National Economic Council chairman, the staff nerd
made good
ALAN BLINDER Former Federal Reserve vice chairman, but left early
for academia; Gore corralled him back in to advise on the surplus
LAURA D'ANDREA TYSON Former chief Clinton economic adviser, now
dean of Berkeley Business School. Primarily a guru on
international trade
P.F. BENTLEY FOR TIME
DELEGATOR IN CHIEF Bush leads a 1999 staff meeting at the
Governor's mansion in Austin. He puts faith in the people he
chooses to advise him
DIANA WALKER FOR TIME
FOCUSED In July, Gore met with key staff members at campaign
headquarters in Nashville. His style is analytical, probing,
prodding for details
BROOKS KRAFT FOR TIME
STEVE LISS FOR TIME
AUSTIN-AMERICAN STATESMAN
MARY ANN CARTER
KRAFT FOR TIME
LARRY DOWNING--REUTERS
KARIN COOPER--NEWSMAKERS
PAUL SAKUMA--AP
LISS FOR TIME
CHRIS KLEPONIS/FOX NEWS SUNDAY--AP
DIANA WALKER FOR TIME
M.J. MASOTTI--REUTERS
MICHAEL DIBARI JR.--AP
CHRIS USHER FOR TIME
JOE MARQUETTE--AP
CHRIS PIZZELLO--AP
EARL NEIKIRK--AP
DAVID BURNETT--CONTACT FOR TIME
ILLUSTRATION FOR TIME BY TIM O'BRIEN
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