Uganda's lesson to other authoritarians: controlling the internet works

Security forces are seen blocking the entrance to Ugandan opposition leader Bobi Wine's property on January 16, 2021 in Kampala, Uganda.

James Griffiths is a Senior Producer for CNN International and author of "The Great Firewall of China: How to Build and Control an Alternative Version of the Internet."

Hong Kong (CNN)Speaking to reporters after casting her ballot in the Ugandan capital Kampala last week, one local resident was overjoyed to have voted for opposition leader Bobi Wine.

"The only sad thing ... is that we are missing the communication because some lines have been cut off. We don't have internet so we are lacking communication," she said. "Outside Kampala, we don't know what is going on."
What was going on, according to Wine and other opposition figures, was the election being stolen.
    Ugandan President Yoweri Museveni claimed Saturday that he had been re-elected for a sixth term, despite widespread allegations of fraud and intimidation. In power since 1986, Museveni has defied repeated attempts to remove him over the years, cracking down on protests and jailing potential rivals.
      In recent elections, a key tactic in curtailing opposition has been to control Ugandans' access to the internet, blocking social media and messaging software like WhatsApp, and even instituting countrywide internet blackouts, cutting the population off from information at the most vital time.
        This year was no different. As Ugandans prepared to go to the polls last week, more and more of the internet gradually slipped out of reach, starting with Facebook and other social platforms, before finally the entire country was disconnected.
        The effects of such a shutdown go beyond online expression. According to Netblocks, an internet freedom monitor, such a blackout could have already cost the Ugandan economy around $9 million, while Cipesa, an African internet NGO, reported that both biometric voting systems and mobile money -- which many Ugandans rely on for payments -- were both disrupted by the shutdown.

          Internet shutdown

          In a speech last week, Museveni accused Facebook of "arrogance" after it closed several accounts linked to the ruling National Resistance Movement (NRM) for alleged efforts to manipulate the election, saying a subsequent block of the platform, along with several other websites, was "unfortunate but unavoidable."
          "That social channel you are talking about, if it is going to operate in Uganda, it should be used equitably by everybody who has to use it," he said. "If you want to take sides against the NRM, then (you) cannot operate in Uganda ... We cannot tolerate this arrogance of anybody coming to decide for us who is good and who is bad."
          Thanks to Museveni's control over traditional media in the country, Wine has relied on online platforms to get his message out, so the ban on Facebook and Twitter affected him far more than the President or NRM candidates.
          In the past, Ugandans have been able to get around limited blocks using Virtual Private Networks (VPNs) -- software that encrypts internet use -- and other censorship circumvention tools, enabling them to bypass the restrictions by tunneling their traffic through servers in another country. There were signs this year that the censors are catching up, however, with many VPN servers being blocked, and finally a full shutdown ordered, cutting off all traffic.
          "After a brutal, months-long crackdown on the media, Uganda's internet disruption is the latest attempt to keep the country's citizens in the dark ... and to prevent journalists from reporting on events surrounding the vote," Muthoki Mumo, a regional representative for the Committee to Protect Journalists, said in a statement. "Ugandan authorities should reverse course and take steps to ensure unrestricted internet access and guarantee that the public is adequately informed during the post-election period."
          Such a move seems unlikely. As of Monday, Uganda remains largely cut off from the global internet, according to monitor Netblocks, even as Wine and other opposition leaders attempt to contest Museveni's declaration of victory.
          Wine himself has been under house arrest for several days. In a message on Facebook -- visible to the rest of the world but not his fellow citizens -- the former reggae star wrote that "everyone including media and my party officials are restricted from accessing me."
          A worker sweeps the ground covered with campaign posters of President Yoweri Museveni on January 17, 2021 on a street in Kampala, Uganda.

          New tactics

          Museveni, 76, has outlasted many other onetime African revolutionary leaders, showing an ability to stay in power that exceeds even former stalwarts like Zimbabwe's Robert Mugabe.
          For decades, this was relatively simple, thanks to the well-funded Ugandan military and alliances with the United States and other major world powers. But as the country has developed, becoming one of sub-Saharan Africa's strongest economies, the government's ability to respond to demands from a growing and increasingly well educated, connected population, has waned.