1. Paris Air Show: All eyes are on Boeing as the Paris Air Show kicks off Monday.
The S&P 500 is poised to drop 0.1%. The Nasdaq could shed 0.2%, while the Dow should open flat.
The Dow finished 0.9% higher on Thursday. The S&P 500 was up almost 1%, and the Nasdaq rose 0.8%. The indexes have been buoyed by an indication from the Federal Reserve this week that it could cut interest rates.
2. Tariff hearings begin: Companies and trade groups are about to get their say on the wisdom of US tariffs on an additional $300 billion worth of Chinese exports.
American and Chinese negotiators are set to resume talks on Wednesday ahead of the sit-down.
Investors are concerned about supply after Iran said Thursday it had shot down an a US military drone, causing prices to spike. Brent crude shot up almost 4.3% and US oil rose 5.4%.
President Donald Trump called the move “very foolish,” but added that he found it “hard to believe it was intentional.”
The situation remains in flux. The New York Times is reporting that Trump on Thursday called off military strikes against Iran that he’d previously approved.
Tensions with Iran flared last week when two tankers were attacked near the Strait of Hormuz, an attack that US authorities blame on Tehran.
It’s a murky picture for oil traders, who recently were more worried about excess supply as global economic growth cools.
3. Markets rise: Global stocks are starting off the week on a positive note.
A United (UAL) flight between Newark and Mumbai was suspended starting Thursday, the airline said.
The move followed new restrictions from the US Federal Aviation Administration prohibiting American carriers from operating over the Persian Gulf and Gulf of Oman.
The US regulator said in a statement that “heightened military activities and increased political tensions” in the region could “place commercial flights at risk.”
Other global carriers are following suit. Qantas (QABSY) said it was shifting flight paths in the Middle East to avoid the Strait of Hormuz and Gulf of Oman. KLM (AFLYY) also said it would avoid the Strait of Hormuz.
4. Coming this week:
Monday: Paris Air Show, US Treasury foreign ownership report
Tuesday: Adobe earnings, US housing starts, US Senate hearing on tariffs
Wednesday: Fed decision and press conference, earnings from Oracle (ORCL) and Barnes & Noble (BKS)
Thursday: US leading indicators, Bank of England rate decision, earnings from Kroger (KR) and Red Hat (RHT)
Friday: US existing home sales, Markit flash US manufacturing PMI