CNN  — 

Hurricane Florence has weakened some but will likely strengthen again into a major hurricane and could threaten the US East Coast by next week.

The first major hurricane of the 2018 Atlantic season, Florence on Wednesday afternoon had maximum sustained winds of 125 mph, according to the National Hurricane Center. It was about 2,000 miles from the US coastline, still too far out for a confident landfall prediction.

Still, the European and American computer models showed a menacing hurricane coming dangerously close late next week to North Carolina’s Outer Banks or the mid-Atlantic region, a significant shift westward from earlier model runs. Other predictions, though, showed Florence staying 500 miles offshore.

A satellite image shows Hurricane Florence on Wednesday, September 5.

The storm’s track will depend on the development and movement of a number of weather systems as the storm gets steered by a large ridge of high pressure in the Eastern United States and northern Atlantic Ocean, as well as the progress of a low-pressure trough across the country.

weather hurricane florence plots 09062018

Even if Florence stays out to sea, models show other systems developing over the Atlantic, almost on cue as the hurricane season hits its peak Monday. The eight weeks around then often are prime time for the conditions that fuel powerful storms.

TRACK THE STORM

Even if Florence stays out to sea, models show numerous other systems developing over the Atlantic, almost on cue as the hurricane season hits its peak on September 10. The eight weeks around that date often are prime time for the conditions that fuel powerful storms.

Peak of hurricane season in the Atlantic

The focus on Florence comes less than a day after Tropical Storm Gordon made landfall on the US Gulf Coast, leaving one child dead and ushering storms through Monday across the western South and the Midwest.