Bet on Obama to win shutdown fight


Story highlights

Paul Begala asks which party is more united, mainstream and reasonable

Begala says that's the way to see who's winning shutdown, and Democrats win

He says majority of American voters don't want to shut down the goverment over Obamacare

Begala: Obama should insist avoiding default is first priority before negotiating

Editor’s Note: Paul Begala, a Democratic strategist and CNN political contributor, was a political consultant for Bill Clinton’s presidential campaign in 1992 and was counselor to Clinton in the White House.

CNN —  

As Washington hurtles toward a government shutdown, the go-to move for the uninformed is to blame both sides equally. Just say, “A pox on both their houses,” and you can get through any neighborhood barbecue or TV talk show.

But what if you really want to know what’s happening? There are three metrics you should track if you want to know who will come out ahead in a government shutdown:

Which side is more united?

One of President Clinton’s laws of politics is: “Democrats want to fall in love, Republicans just want to fall in line.” Which is what makes the GOP fratricide so interesting.