I started the morning chugging diet Snapple that bought from the 24-hour deli around the corner from my apartment. I love that lots of places are open in the middle of the night in NYC.
I came in extra early today – 2am – to sift through the exit polls from the overnight voting in the Super Tuesday primaries, especially in Ohio since that was the squeaker.
[cnn-photo-caption image=http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2012/images/03/07/jackson.note.revised.jpg caption=”The note Jackson left for me in the morning.”]
[cnn-photo-caption image=http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2012/images/03/07/soledad.photo.back.jpg caption=”This was the note I wrote him back.”]
My 7-year-old Jackson left the cutest note outside my bedroom door last night. He’s was psyched to watch Anderson and Wolf and the magic wall (I think this is odd, he’s seven). He treats these primaries like football games: there are clear winners and losers and he doesn’t care all that much about the analysis. We will focus on analysis though:
CNN declared Mitt Romney the winner in Ohio at 12:33am today, with 99% of precincts reporting. Ultimately about 12,000 votes stand between Romney and Rick Santorum.
For clues to Romney’s victory, look to the same categories that have consistently supported him. He wins with liberal and moderate Republicans. And with people earning more than 100k. For Santorum, he too seals the deal with people he’s already sealed the deal with–look at exit polls among those who describe themselves as extremely conservative and those who are Evangelical.
There seems to lie the problem: As Ron Brownstein points out in his excellent summation at the National Journal both candidates need to expand into a broader pool for definitive front-runner status.
This morning we’ll talk to former Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty and RNC chairman Reince Priebus, who surely will highlight the tremendous lead Mitt Romney has in delegates. But the energy of the voters is a critical measure in a general election, and harder to measure too. GOP turnout so far is down 9% – thats a number we’ll discuss today too.
I’m sitting typing this while in hair and makeup. (An aside, hard to type on the blackberry while someone is trying to do your eyeliner. Would one day be fun to do a show with no makeup and in sweats with hair in a scrunchy, but I digress) Our panel is terrific this morning: Newark Mayor Cory Booker will join me, former Romney debate coach Brett O’Donnell and National Journal’s Ron Brownstein. Maybe hizzoner Booker wants to give up politics and co-anchor the morning show with me? The hours are bad and the coffee’s terrible, so what’s not to love?
Music this morning, chosen by my 11-year-old Sofia: The Rolling Stones’ “Brown Sugar”! We’re live at 7am. Tune in.