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Tracking poll: Bush pulls away from Gore

WASHINGTON (CNN) - GOP presidential candidate Gov. George W. Bush has regained his lead over rival Democratic candidate, Vice President Al Gore, according to Saturday's CNN/USA Today/Gallup poll.

 

A second poll taken by CNN and Time Magazine after the candidates' debate on Wednesday suggests that Gore may have missed a chance in that face-off to gain any ground on his rival.

The CNN/Time poll shows Bush with a 48 percent to 43 percent edge over Gore, and the CNN/USA Today/Gallup tracking poll indicates that Bush leads Gore by 48 percent to 44 percent.

Green Party presidential candidate Ralph Nader and Reform Party candidate Patrick Buchanan both continued to founder in the single digits.

Friday's poll showed the two major party candidates in a statistical tie at 45 percent. Nader had 3 percent and Buchanan had 0 percent. The polls all had a margin of error of 4 percentage points.

Debate data

All interviews in the CNN/Time poll were done after Wednesday night's debate, while about a third of the interviews in the tracking poll were conducted before the debate.

As a result, the CNN/Time poll is a better indicator of the debate's effect on the voting public and a slightly more up-to-date estimate of the voters' current frames of mind.

But both polls agree that Bush now has a narrow advantage over Gore, bearing in mind that neither candidate has been able to hold onto a lead for more than a few days.

Bush's test

The real test for Bush is whether he can turn his narrow advantage into a permanent lead, and that can't be determined until next week.

The polls was conducted from interviews with 1,218 adult Americans, including 603 likely voters, from October 12 through 13.

CNN will be releasing the results of its tracking polls every day until the November 7 elections. The polls monitor public opinion of the presidential race over intervals of two to three days.


CNN/TIME POLL

October 12-13

Likely voters' choice for president

Bush48%
Gore43
Nader4
Buchanan*
Sampling error: +/-4% pts

CNN/USA TODAY/GALLUP TRACKING POLL

October 11-13

Likely voters' choice for president

Bush48%
Gore44
Nader2
Buchanan1
Sampling error: +/-4% pts


COMPLETE TRACKING TREND ON HORSE RACE

 
EUROPE'S VIEW
Where do Bush and Gore stand on issues of importance to Europe? Launch our Interactive Guide.

POLLS
View the latest tracking poll or dig into our poll archives.

WHAT'S AT STAKE

VIDEO
Watch selected policy speeches and campaign commercials from the major presidential candidates.

WHERE THEY STAND
See where George W. Bush and Al Gore stand on the major issues.

THE STATES
Who are your elected officials? What is the past presidential vote and number of electoral votes in your state? What are the presidential primary results and exit polls? Find out with these state political and election facts.

ELECTION GUIDE
Get Election 2000 zip code searchable candidate biographies and other material for races for governor, Senate and House in our Election Guide.

FOLLOW THE MONEY
How much money have the candidates raised? Here are their quarterly reports to the Federal Election Commission.

RACES
If you need to know who's up in 2000 and what seats are open, launch this quick guide.

WEB WHITE AND BLUE
Allpolitics.com is a partner in the Web White and Blue rolling cyber-debate, a daily online exchange among the major presidential candidates. Look for twice-daily updates Sunday through Friday until election day.


MORE STORIES:

Saturday, October 14, 2000


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