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Tracking poll: Gore may be opening solid lead -- with a caveat

WASHINGTON (CNN) -- Thursday's CNN/USA Today/Gallup tracking poll indicates that Vice President Al Gore may be opening a solid lead over Texas Gov. George W. Bush, after nearly two weeks of neck-and-neck competition. Today's figures -- 51 percent for Gore to 40 percent for Bush -- represents a significant margin for the vice president.

 

However, the survey of 672 likely voters was conducted Oct. 2-4, meaning only about a third of the interviews were conducted after Tuesday's presidential debate in Boston. And so, the poll is not yet a good indicator of the effects of the candidates' first face-to-face encounter.

Also, it appears that Gore was gaining strength before the debate; any advantage he has over Bush today is not due to the effects of Tuesday night's debate. It is clear from the last two days of tracking that Gore had this lead when he walked into the debate on Tuesday night, based on changes in the electorate that occurred as early as Sunday.

CNN will be releasing the results of its tracking polls every day until the November 7 elections. The polls monitor public opinion of the presidential race over intervals of two to three days.


CNN/USA TODAY/GALLUP POLL

Oct. 2-4

Likely voters' choice for president

Gore51%
Bush40
Nader2
Buchanan1
Sampling error: +/-4% pts

COMPLETE TRACKING TREND ON HORSE RACE

 
EUROPE'S VIEW
Where do Bush and Gore stand on issues of importance to Europe? Launch our Interactive Guide.

POLLS
View the latest tracking poll or dig into our poll archives.

WHAT'S AT STAKE

VIDEO
Watch selected policy speeches and campaign commercials from the major presidential candidates.

WHERE THEY STAND
See where George W. Bush and Al Gore stand on the major issues.

THE STATES
Who are your elected officials? What is the past presidential vote and number of electoral votes in your state? What are the presidential primary results and exit polls? Find out with these state political and election facts.

ELECTION GUIDE
Get Election 2000 zip code searchable candidate biographies and other material for races for governor, Senate and House in our Election Guide.

FOLLOW THE MONEY
How much money have the candidates raised? Here are their quarterly reports to the Federal Election Commission.

RACES
If you need to know who's up in 2000 and what seats are open, launch this quick guide.

WEB WHITE AND BLUE
Allpolitics.com is a partner in the Web White and Blue rolling cyber-debate, a daily online exchange among the major presidential candidates. Look for twice-daily updates Sunday through Friday until election day.


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Thursday, October 5, 2000


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