N. Ireland talks: New hope after years of disappointments
April 8, 1998
Web posted at: 3:10 p.m. EDT (1910 GMT)
LONDON (CNN) -- The latest intense diplomatic Northern
Ireland peace talks have raised hopes in many quarters that
finally, after decades of sectarian violence and more than
3,000 deaths, there may be a solution at hand to bring
lasting peace to the British province.
The conflict once seemed to be a relentless road of violence,
with Protestant and Catholic paramilitaries fanatically
pursuing their deadly missions, and politicians regularly
failing in their efforts to end the bloodshed.
But then, in December 1993, there was a defining moment when
British Prime Minister John Major announced a message from
London: "There is no future in violence."
Major and Irish Prime Minister Albert Reynolds joined forces
to launch a new political initiative for peace in Northern
Ireland, raising hopes that, maybe, a resolution might not be
that far away.
A labor of Sisyphus
Those hopes got a further boost in late 1994, when the Irish
Republican Army (IRA) and Protestant paramilitaries declared
their respective cease-fires -- the first such truce in the
entrenched conflict in 20 years.
But that promising start ultimately fell victim to Britain's
domestic politics and the broken cease-fires of the IRA.
"Things could perhaps have been achieved a lot more quickly,"
Brendan O'Leary of the London School of Economics told CNN.
"What has occurred since ... has been somewhat akin to a
labor of Sisyphus: very, very slow movement with multiple
setbacks."
It took the elections of new governments in London and Dublin
almost a year ago to revive the peace process and bring the
IRA back into the political arena.
Analysts say there was also a growing sense among the leaders
of the IRA and its political wing Sinn Fein that it was
finally time to shift gears.
"In the late 1980s and in the early 1990s, republicans
embarked on a different political strategy. They believed
that by switching from militarism to politics they stood to
gain electorally and they stood to gain political concessions
from the British government," O'Leary said.
Trimble, Mitchell became key players
On the Protestant Unionist side of the equation, there was an
important change in leadership: The younger and more flexible
David Trimble took over the helm of the Ulster Unionist Party
with the overwhelming support of his constituents, who
account for the majority of the province's voters.
"David Trimble is, always has been and will remain key to
this, because no matter what the two governments may wish,
unless David Trimble can sell it successfully to his
supporters, to Ulster Unionists, you are not going to get any
broad-based agreement," Bernard Purcell of the Irish
Independent told CNN.
Former U.S. Sen. George Mitchell was the architect of what
some consider the most dramatic phase of the peace process
when he managed the previously impossible. After 25 years of
negotiation efforts, he succeeded in bringing together
representatives of the Protestant and Catholic factions --
both moderates and extremists.
Mitchell's success in getting both sides to discuss their
views on the future of Northern Ireland generated a
greater-than-ever public expectation, in Northern Ireland and
Great Britain, that a political settlement of the conflict in
the British province was indeed possible.
Observers say both London and Dublin hope this translates
into political success for the eight parties involved in the
talks that are winding down at Stormont Castle in Belfast.
"The two governments are pretty unapologetic about that,
because it is an attempt to keep them in the process and make
them realize that anybody who would be seen to be responsible
for the breakdown of talks this time, however fairly or
unfairly, would not be forgiven by the public," Purcell said.
Correspondent Margaret Lowrie contributed to this report.