Zairian rebel uprising had roots in Rwanda
Disgust with Mobutu fanned movement
May 17, 1997
Web posted at: 4:30 p.m. EDT (2030 GMT)
Analysis From Correspondent Jim Clancy
(CNN) -- Zairian President Mobutu Sese Seko underestimated
the rebel alliance when it began as an unorganized and
chaotic movement in October. The miscalculation proved
disastrous for the ailing president and ultimately led to his
ouster.
But the nature of the crisis dates back further than
October, in particular to the 1994 Rwandan civil war and
genocide of more than a half-million Tutsis there. With the
war's end and Tutsis seizing power, the defeated forces of
the Rwandan Hutu army led their entire ethnic Hutu population
across the border into Zairian refugee camps.
Once in Zaire, Hutu militants began buying arms, set up a
government in exile and staged cross-border raids. Mobutu
and his aides believed the new Rwandan leadership would be
powerless against Hutu militants in the camps -- a
monumentally misguided notion.
Along came Kabila
With initial backing from Uganda, Rwanda and Burundi, a
longtime Zairian rebel and Mobutu opponent, Laurent Kabila,
began launching a fresh insurrection, targeting the sprawling
Hutu camps in eastern Zaire.
Rebels soon scored military successes in the East and began
to sweep across Zaire. The alliance even proclaimed in
October that its goal was to oust Mobutu -- a claim largely
dismissed by the Zairian government and Western officials.
Zaire's officials accused neighboring Uganda, Rwanda and
Burundi of fueling the insurrection.
However, Zairian analyst
William Zartman
said that while the
neighboring countries played an important role in backing
rebels initially, the movement was an internal uprising.
"This is a local home-grown, grass-roots rebellion against
the Mobutu regime," Zartman said.
In town after village after city, government forces
surrendered outright or fled without putting up a fight.
Residents welcomed the rebels' arrival.
A the rebels advanced, Mobutu appointed new commanders and
vowed to launch a counter offensive to crush them. But
his hired guns and rhetoric never mounted an attack. And
Mobutu, after nearly 32 years of authoritative rule, quietly
fled the capital and gave up power before rebels arrived in
the capital Kinshasa.
Zartman contends that the force driving the rebel drive
was not necessarily Kabila, but the people's disdain with
Mobutu.
"People were united by their disgust with the Mobutu regime,
and he blindsided himself to the fact that he had alienated
his entire population," Zartman said.
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