The Socialists were forced in February to call new elections
after a month of street protests over the country's economic
misery.
"It is important now that we convince the world that a
relapse into the past is out of the question," said Ivan
Kostov, leader of the victorious Union of Democratic Forces.
Partial official returns released early Sunday gave the
pro-Western UDF and its coalition allies 57.6 percent of
the vote.
Final results are not expected until Monday, but an
independent telephone poll concluded that the alliance would
probably gain 136 seats in the 240-seat parliament. That
would give the coalition the majority it needs to govern.
Bulgarian President Petar Stoyanov, an anti-Communist elected
president last November, made clear in a televised news
conference that Kostov, an economist, would be Bulgaria's new
premier.
Kostov pledged that the new government would carry out
reforms in accordance with the International Monetary Fund,
fight organized crime and corruption, and open secret police
files on public figures. He also said he would push to bring
Bulgaria into the European Union and NATO.
Supporters waltz in the streets
About 10,000 supporters of Kostov's party celebrated the
victory outside the National Palace of Culture, many dancing
cheek-to-cheek to the "Last Waltz" -- an ironic farewell song
for the outgoing Communists.
Under the ex-Communists' mismanagement and corruption,
inflation soared to 300 percent by the end of last year,
pushing wages and pensions far below subsistence levels.
"We've never been in such total economic catastrophe, not
only economic, but spiritual as well," said UDF spokesman
Yevgeny Bakardijev. "People have lost all faith in
everything, and they feel lost."
A total of 4,448 candidates representing 35 parties and
coalitions are contending for parliamentary seats, and they
must capture at least 4 percent to enter parliament.
The UDF, which led protests earlier this year, won elections
in 1991, but lost power in a no-confidence vote the following
year.
Socialist leader says party was misunderstood
The Socialists got their turn in 1994 by promising the voters
less-painful reform. But their plan turned out to be no
reform at all, and the country is now on the brink of
economic collapse.
According to factory owner Boris Gavrilov, the Socialists
were more interested in personal profit than in making market
reforms.
"The Socialists are a Red Mafia, and they want to possess
everything that exists in Bulgaria," Gavrilov says. "They do
not want privatization, and they want no foreign investment."
Socialist Party leader Georgy Parvanov claims his party tried
to implement reforms, but was misunderstood.
"Although we tried to move forward with the reform, what we
lacked was openness, direct contact with the people," he
says. "Ultimately we were not understood, and for this our
efforts failed."
His party is still expected to be the biggest opposition
party, because it commands loyalty among older Bulgarians
nostalgic for the Communist era when food was cheap and crime
rates were low. Bulgaria has 2.3 million pensioners among a
population of 8.4 million.
Country faces painful steps to recovery
Bulgaria's next government faces a tremendous challenge.
Painful reforms and belt-tightening are needed to get the
devastated economy back on track.
Already, the devalued monetary system is such that a doctor's
salary buys only a few pounds (kilograms) of meat, and a
pension even less. The average salary is $40 to $50 a month.
But the country now has no other choice than to carry out
reforms. The International Monetary Fund and other lenders
have agreed to lend Bulgaria $1.2 billion on the condition
that reforms are carried out, including strict monetary
controls and the privatization of industry.
CNN's Ralitsa Vassileva and Reuters contributed to this report.