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CNN LIVE AT DAYBREAK

New Hampshire Effect

Aired January 28, 2004 - 06:01   ET

THIS IS A RUSH TRANSCRIPT. THIS COPY MAY NOT BE IN ITS FINAL FORM AND MAY BE UPDATED.

CAROL LIN, CNN ANCHOR: John Kerry is 2 for 2 -- we just love saying that, because we've now said it about six times this morning -- with almost equal amounts of support in the first two contests so far. Kerry received 39 percent of the vote in New Hampshire compared with his 38 percent total in Iowa.
Howard Dean was second in New Hampshire with 26 percent, while Clark and Edwards tied with 12 percent. And there was just single- digit support for poor Joe Lieberman, but he's going to plug on.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

SEN. JOHN KERRY (D), PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE: And I make this pledge to you tonight. I have spent my whole life fighting for what I think is right and against powerful special interests, and I have only just begun the fight.

HOWARD DEAN (D), PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE: And if you vote for me, I'm going to solve all of your problems. The truth is the power to change this country is in your hands, not mine.

WESLEY CLARK (D), PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE: And never, never underestimate -- never underestimate what a determined soldier can accomplish when he's fighting for his country.

SEN. JOHN EDWARDS (D), PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE: And now, we're going to take this energy and momentum that we saw in Iowa, this extraordinary energy and momentum that we have seen in New Hampshire, and we're going to take it right through February 3, and we're going to see great victory on February 3. Yes, we are.

SEN. JOE LIEBERMAN (D), PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE: I'm not dropping out, because there is a virtual split decision for third place, and no one thought that I would have ended up this close to Wes Clark and John Edwards.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

LIN: The speeches are over, but the impact of Tuesday's vote is going to last -- at least until the next primaries February 3.

We get more on the primary results from CNN national correspondent Bob Franken, who joins us live from Manchester.

Bob -- listening to all of those different speeches, if you only heard those speeches, it would be hard to tell who actually won New Hampshire. Nobody conceded. You know, everybody's got the "Big Mo." BOB FRANKEN, CNN NATIONAL CORRESPONDENT: Well, that's sort of the idea. I believe they call that "spin."

But, of course, now New Hampshire is so yesterday, and a seven- state primary looms, and the candidates are quickly making their way out of town -- those who haven't already gone out of town.

And, of course, the one who leaves with a big glow is John Kerry. He did it twice. He pulled off two big victories. First, a come- from-behind victory in Iowa, and then he managed to have another very strong showing when he was the favorite, which is always a precarious position, in New Hampshire. But now he goes on to that seven-state primary. Now he is no longer on his home turf. He is the northerner running primarily in southern districts.

And the same is true for Howard Dean. Of course, he suffered an embarrassment in Iowa. He managed to turn things around slightly. If nothing else, he stopped his freefall here in New Hampshire, and had what he describes at least as a credible showing. And as you saw, he's probably learned a lesson or two, a much more subdued speech at the campaign headquarters at the last part of this election.

The interesting race was in New Hampshire, the race for third place, and it became interesting, as we saw at the end where it was extremely bunched up. Wesley Clark now heads to his part of the country. He is a southerner from Arkansas, while Arkansas is not one of those states that's running. He goes to the South as a popular former general -- popular at least in the minds of the public. And being a military man has an awful lot of good influence down there, so he's going to say that he's going to get a proper test of his abilities.

And somebody who is going to his home turf is John Edwards. Senator John Edwards is the senator from North Carolina. He was born in South Carolina, one of those seven states. The problem that he will have is this time he will not be an underdog. He is expected to win at least in South Carolina, or else his campaign is going to suffer quite a setback.

Now, the campaign that seems to have suffered the setback, in many people's eyes, not including the candidate's, is that of Joe Lieberman. Lieberman is even under some pressure. Some people are saying he has done so poorly that he should consider pulling out. But as we've heard, he intends to -- quote -- "stay in the ring." He is defiant about that. He is going to continue. Everybody realizes that if he does not do well in the next set of primaries, there is going to be tremendous pressure on him to pull out, particularly financial pressure.

So, we now have everything moving to another state -- a bank of states, actually -- after just the single-state contests here, which, Carol, really as much attention as there was paid to them were really just opening acts.

LIN: Yes, it's going to be the true test on February 3. Thanks very much, Bob. TO ORDER A VIDEO OF THIS TRANSCRIPT, PLEASE CALL 800-CNN-NEWS OR USE OUR SECURE ONLINE ORDER FORM LOCATED AT www.fdch.com.




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