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From...
Survey: The future of PCs
August 23, 1999
Web posted at: 1:19 p.m. EDT (1719 GMT)
by Frank Hayes and the Computerworld staff
(IDG) -- PC elements as basic as the floppy drive may be ditched, creating support and compatibility nightmares for you. An exclusive Computerworld survey shows IT shops like the ideas -- but want to take it slow.
Why radically rework the PC? One major goal is to give vendors much more flexibility in the size and shape of PCs. “If you get rid of the slots and connectors, the box gets smaller,” says Pat Gelsinger, who manages Intel’s desktop products group. “Then you can velcro a PC under a travel agent’s desk or stick it to the side of a cart at Oil Can Henry’s.”
That goal rings true with corporate information technology executives. “Give me my desktop back!” says David Lewis, acting CIO for the state of Massachusetts in Boston. “With 17- and 19-in. monitors, PCs take up more of the desktop than ever,” agrees Howard Launstein, corporate controller at Oil Gear Co. in Milwaukee. “We’ve all bought all this furniture” to accommodate large current PCs, Lewis says. “Reduce [the PC] down to a flat panel with a keyboard attached, and it would really make a difference.” Lewis contends that if such a setup cost only “$100 more than a CRT, you’d never see another PC sold that’s a box with a CRT. The ergonomic issues are so overpowering.”
Survey results Using a scale of 1 to 7, where 1 is "Not at All Likely" and 7 is "Very Likely," how likely would you be to purchase a PC now and one year from now that...
...Has PCI expansion slots as opposed to a PC with AT-style expansion slots | Now | | Number of Responses | Percent of Survey Base* | | Not At All Likely | 1 | 3 | 3% | | | 2 | 4 | 4% | | | 3 | 4 | 4% | | | 4 | 9 | 9% | | | 5 | 26 | 25% | | | 6 | 16 | 16% | | Very Likely | 7 | 37 | 36% | | | Don't know | 3 | 3% |  One year from now | | | | | Not At All Likely | 1 | 2 | 2% | | | 2 | 3 | 3% | | | 3 | 3 | 3% | | | 4 | 9 | 9% | | | 5 | 26 | 25% | | | 6 | 17 | 17% | | Very Likely | 7 | 39 | 38% | | | Don't know | 3 | 3% | ...Is enabled with quick power-up without a lengthy boot sequence as opposed to a PC that isn't | Now | | Number of Responses | Percent of Survey Base* | | Not At All Likely | 1 | 5 | 5% | | | 2 | 1 | 1% | | | 3 | 6 | 6% | | | 4 | 14 | 14% | | | 5 | 28 | 27% | | | 6 | 24 | 24% | | Very Likely | 7 | 24 | 24% | | | Don't know | 0 | 0% |  One year from now |  |  |  | | Not At All Likely | 1 | 5 | 5% | | | 2 | 0 | 0% | | | 3 | 7 | 7% | | | 4 | 12 | 12% | | | 5 | 27 | 26% | | | 6 | 22 | 22% | | Very Likely | 7 | 28 | 27% | | | Don't know | 1 | 1% | ...Has USB ports as opposed to a PC with parallel printer ports | Now | | Number of Responses | Percent of Survey Base* | | Not At All Likely | 1 | 10 | 10% | | | 2 | 10 | 10% | | | 3 | 14 | 14% | | | 4 | 21 | 21% | | | 5 | 27 | 26% | | | 6 | 12 | 12% | | Very Likely | 7 | 7 | 7% | | | Don't know | 1 | 1% |  One year from now | | | | | Not At All Likely | 1 | 4 | 4% | | | 2 | 8 | 8% | | | 3 | 9 | 9% | | | 4 | 15 | 15% | | | 5 | 22 | 22% | | | 6 | 27 | 26% | | Very Likely | 7 | 15 | 15% | | | Don't know | 2 | 2% | ...Has SCSI, USB, or FireWire hard disk interface as opposed to a PC with IDE hard disk interface | Now | | Number of Responses | Percent of Survey Base* | | Not At All Likely | 1 | 7 | 7% | | | 2 | 11 | 11% | | | 3 | 17 | 17% | | | 4 | 17 | 17% | | | 5 | 25 | 25% | | | 6 | 17 | 17% | | Very Likely | 7 | 4 | 4% | | | Don't know | 4 | 4% |  One year from now | | | | | Not At All Likely | 1 | 6 | 6% | | | 2 | 9 | 9% | | | 3 | 10 | 10% | | | 4 | 14 | 14% | | | 5 | 23 | 23% | | | 6 | 27 | 26% | | Very Likely | 7 | 9 | 9% | | | Don't know | 4 | 4% | ...Has low-power, muffled fan systems as opposed to a PC with a current fan system | Now | | Number of Responses | Percent of Survey Base* | | Not At All Likely | 1 | 6 | 6% | | | 2 | 9 | 9% | | | 3 | 10 | 10% | | | 4 | 14 | 14% | | | 5 | 23 | 23% | | | 6 | 27 | 26% | | Very Likely | 7 | 9 | 9% | | | Don't know | 4 | 4% |  One year from now | | | | | Not At All Likely | 1 | 9 | 9% | | | 2 | 10 | 10% | | | 3 | 14 | 14% | | | 4 | 24 | 24% | | | 5 | 26 | 25% | | | 6 | 9 | 9% | | Very Likely | 7 | 6 | 6% | | | Don't know | 4 | 4% | ...Has USB or FireWire (IEEE 1394) as opposed to a PC with serial ports | Now | | Number of Responses | Percent of Survey Base* | | Not At All Likely | 1 | 8 | 8% | | | 2 | 13 | 13% | | | 3 | 15 | 15% | | | 4 | 25 | 25% | | | 5 | 20 | 20% | | | 6 | 8 | 8% | | Very Likely | 7 | 8 | 8% | | | Don't know | 5 | 5% |  One year from now | | | | | Not At All Likely | 1 | 4 | 4% | | | 2 | 8 | 8% | | | 3 | 7 | 7% | | | 4 | 18 | 18% | | | 5 | 23 | 23% | | | 6 | 22 | 22% | | Very Likely | 7 | 15 | 15% | | | Don't know | 5 | 5% | ...Has a digital interface for monitors and flat-panel screens as opposed to a PC with VGA video interface | Now | | Number of Responses | Percent of Survey Base* | | Not At All Likely | 1 | 9 | 9% | | | 2 | 15 | 15% | | | 3 | 22 | 22% | | | 4 | 21 | 21% | | | 5 | 25 | 25% | | | 6 | 7 | 7% | | Very Likely | 7 | 2 | 2% | | | Don't know | 1 | 1% |  One year from now | | | | | Not At All Likely | 1 | 2 | 2% | | | 2 | 8 | 8% | | | 3 | 13 | 13% | | | 4 | 21 | 21% | | | 5 | 29 | 28% | | | 6 | 21 | 21% | | Very Likely | 7 | 7 | 7% | | | Don't know | 1 | 1% | ...Has wireless networking capability as opposed to a PC that doesn't | Now | | Number of Responses | Percent of Survey Base* | | Not At All Likely | 1 | 27 | 26% | | | 2 | 13 | 13% | | | 3 | 20 | 20% | | | 4 | 15 | 15% | | | 5 | 14 | 14% | | | 6 | 8 | 8% | | Very Likely | 7 | 5 | 5% | | | Don't know | 0 | 0% |  One year from now | | | | | Not At All Likely | 1 | 14 | 14% | | | 2 | 11 | 11% | | | 3 | 16 | 16% | | | 4 | 18 | 18% | | | 5 | 13 | 13% | | | 6 | 20 | 20% | | Very Likely | 7 | 10 | 10% | | | Don't know | 0 | 0% | ...Has a smart card reader as opposed to a PC that doesn't have one | Now | | Number of Responses | Percent of Survey Base* | | Not At All Likely | 1 | 15 | 15% | | | 2 | 28 | 27% | | | 3 | 14 | 14% | | | 4 | 12 | 12% | | | 5 | 12 | 12% | | | 6 | 12 | 12% | | Very Likely | 7 | 5 | 5% | | | Don't know | 4 | 4% |  One year from now | | | | | Not At All Likely | 1 | 12 | 12% | | | 2 | 13 | 13% | | | 3 | 16 | 16% | | | 4 | 14 | 14% | | | 5 | 18 | 18% | | | 6 | 16 | 16% | | Very Likely | 7 | 9 | 9% | | | Don't know | 4 | 4% | ...Does not have a floppy disk drive as opposed to a PC that has a floppy disk drive | Now | | Number of Responses | Percent of Survey Base* | | Not At All Likely | 1 | 35 | 34% | | | 2 | 20 | 20% | | | 3 | 13 | 13% | | | 4 | 13 | 13% | | | 5 | 10 | 10% | | | 6 | 6 | 6% | | Very Likely | 7 | 4 | 4% | | | Don't know | 1 | 1% |  One year from now | | | | | Not At All Likely | 1 | 33 | 32% | | | 2 | 16 | 16% | | | 3 | 14 | 14% | | | 4 | 13 | 13% | | | 5 | 15 | 15% | | | 6 | 7 | 7% | | Very Likely | 7 | 3 | 3% | | | Don't know | 1 | 1% | ...Has an ATM adapter as opposed to a PC with an Ethernet networking adapter | Now | | Number of Responses | Percent of Survey Base* | | Not At All Likely | 1 | 38 | 37% | | | 2 | 17 | 17% | | | 3 | 19 | 19% | | | 4 | 12 | 12% | | | 5 | 13 | 13% | | | 6 | 2 | 2% | | Very Likely | 7 | 0 | 0% | | | Don't know | 1 | 1% |  One year from now | | | | | Not At All Likely | 1 | 29 | 28% | | | 2 | 14 | 14% | | | 3 | 18 | 18% | | | 4 | 17 | 17% | | | 5 | 14 | 14% | | | 6 | 4 | 4% | | Very Likely | 7 | 4 | 4% | | | Don't know | 2 | 2% | Survey Base =102 respondents who are involved in the purchase process of desktop PCs for an organization with 500 or more employees.  Number of employees |  Number of Responses |  Percent of Survey Base | | 500-749 | 20 | 20% | | 750-999 | 5 | 5% | | 1,000-2,499 | 27 | 26% | | 2,500-4,999 | 13 | 13% | | 5,000-9,999 | 7 | 7% | | 10,000 or more | 30 | 29% | | Survey Base | 102 | 100% | *Total may not equal 100% due to rounding
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