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2004 Election Season 
MAIN PAGE PRESIDENT SENATE HOUSE GOVERNOR BALLOT MEASURES

U.S. SENATE / PENNSYLVANIA / EXIT POLL


2,018 Respondents Updated: 2:06 p.m.

VOTE BY GENDER
TOTAL Specter Hoeffel Clymer
Male (47%) 57% 38% 4%
Female (53%) 49% 46% 4%


VOTE BY RACE AND GENDER
TOTAL Specter Hoeffel Clymer
White Men (39%) 61% 33% 5%
White Women (43%) 54% 41% 4%
Non-White Men (8%) 37% 61% 2%
Non-White Women (10%) 25% 72% 1%


VOTE BY RACE
TOTAL Specter Hoeffel Clymer
White (82%) 57% 37% 5%
African-American (13%) 25% 74% 1%
Latino (3%) 37% 60% 3%
Asian (1%) * * *
Other (1%) * * *


VOTE BY AGE
TOTAL Specter Hoeffel Clymer
18-29 (21%) 46% 51% 3%
30-44 (28%) 56% 39% 4%
45-59 (29%) 55% 40% 5%
60 and Older (22%) 53% 42% 4%


VOTE BY AGE
TOTAL Specter Hoeffel Clymer
18-64 (86%) 53% 42% 4%
65 and Older (14%) 53% 44% 3%


VOTE BY INCOME
TOTAL Specter Hoeffel Clymer
Under $15,000 (9%) 42% 51% 5%
$15-30,000 (16%) 48% 49% 2%
$30-50,000 (26%) 53% 43% 4%
$50-75,000 (22%) 54% 40% 6%
$75-100,000 (12%) 52% 42% 4%
$100-150,000 (9%) 58% 36% 3%
$150-200,000 (3%) 65% 31% 4%
$200,000 or More (3%) 79% 19% 1%


VOTE BY INCOME
TOTAL Specter Hoeffel Clymer
Less Than $50,000 (51%) 49% 46% 4%
$50,000 or More (49%) 56% 38% 5%


VOTE BY INCOME
TOTAL Specter Hoeffel Clymer
Less Than $100,000 (85%) 51% 44% 4%
$100,000 or More (15%) 64% 31% 3%


ANYONE IN HOUSEHOLD IN A UNION?
TOTAL Specter Hoeffel Clymer
Yes (30%) 48% 47% 4%
No (70%) 56% 39% 4%


ARE YOU A UNION MEMBER?
TOTAL Specter Hoeffel Clymer
Yes (16%) 52% 45% 3%
No (84%) 54% 41% 4%


VOTE BY EDUCATION
TOTAL Specter Hoeffel Clymer
No High School (4%) 54% 42% 4%
H.S. Graduate (30%) 53% 42% 4%
Some College (29%) 51% 44% 3%
College Graduate (23%) 56% 40% 4%
Postgrad Study (14%) 55% 39% 5%


VOTE BY EDUCATION
TOTAL Specter Hoeffel Clymer
No College Degree (63%) 52% 43% 4%
College Graduate (37%) 55% 39% 5%


VOTE BY PARTY ID
TOTAL Specter Hoeffel Clymer
Democrat (41%) 28% 71% 1%
Republican (39%) 84% 9% 7%
Independent (20%) 45% 47% 5%


VOTE BY IDEOLOGY
TOTAL Specter Hoeffel Clymer
Liberal (22%) 23% 75% 1%
Moderate (48%) 53% 45% 2%
Conservative (30%) 77% 12% 10%


HAVE YOU EVER VOTED BEFORE?
TOTAL Specter Hoeffel Clymer
No (16%) 48% 51% 2%
Yes (84%) 55% 39% 5%


VOTE BY RELIGION
TOTAL Specter Hoeffel Clymer
Protestant (50%) 59% 35% 5%
Catholic (35%) 54% 42% 4%
Jewish (2%) * * *
Other (6%) 22% 72% 0%
None (8%) 37% 58% 1%


ARE YOU A WHITE CONSERVATIVE PROTESTANT?
TOTAL Specter Hoeffel Clymer
Yes (13%) 81% 6% 12%
No (87%) 48% 48% 3%


VOTE BY CHURCH ATTENDANCE
TOTAL Specter Hoeffel Clymer
More Than Weekly (12%) 56% 34% 8%
Weekly (27%) 58% 35% 7%
Monthly (16%) 55% 41% 3%
A Few Times a Year (30%) 52% 45% 2%
Never (13%) 39% 56% 2%


VOTE BY CHURCH ATTENDANCE
TOTAL Specter Hoeffel Clymer
Weekly (37%) 57% 35% 7%
Occasionally (43%) 53% 43% 2%
Never (12%) 39% 56% 2%


VOTE BY RELIGION AND ATTENDANCE
TOTAL Specter Hoeffel Clymer
Protestant/Weekly (14%) 67% 23% 9%
Prot./Less Often (17%) 64% 33% 3%
Catholic/Weekly (15%) 52% 42% 5%
Catholic/Less Often (18%) 55% 42% 2%
All Others (30%) 41% 54% 3%


ARE YOU MARRIED?
TOTAL Specter Hoeffel Clymer
Yes (61%) 58% 35% 5%
No (39%) 45% 52% 2%


GUN OWNER IN HOUSEHOLD?
TOTAL Specter Hoeffel Clymer
Yes (46%) 63% 30% 6%
No (54%) 46% 51% 2%


WHEN DID YOU DECIDE WHO TO VOTE FOR?
TOTAL Specter Hoeffel Clymer
Today (6%) 56% 37% 4%
Last Three Days (3%) 64% 35% 1%
Last Week (2%) * * *
Last Month (10%) 50% 47% 1%
Before That (79%) 52% 42% 5%


WHEN DID YOU DECIDE WHO TO VOTE FOR?
TOTAL Specter Hoeffel Clymer
Today/Last 3 Days (9%) 59% 36% 3%
Earlier Than That (91%) 52% 43% 4%


WHEN DID YOU DECIDE WHO TO VOTE FOR?
TOTAL Specter Hoeffel Clymer
Within the Last Week (11%) 61% 35% 3%
Earlier Than That (89%) 52% 43% 4%


YOUR VOTE FOR PRESIDENT WAS MOSTLY...
TOTAL Specter Hoeffel Clymer
For Your Candidate (69%) 58% 37% 4%
Against His Opponent (26%) 40% 55% 4%


STATE ECONOMY
TOTAL Specter Hoeffel Clymer
Excellent (2%) * * *
Good (46%) 70% 24% 6%
Not So Good (38%) 42% 54% 3%
Poor (11%) 25% 73% 2%


HOW BUSH IS HANDLING HIS JOB
TOTAL Specter Hoeffel Clymer
Strongly Approve (29%) 84% 6% 8%
Somewhat Approve (20%) 79% 15% 6%
Somewhat Disapprove (13%) 38% 59% 1%
Strongly Disapprove (35%) 18% 80% 1%


HOW BUSH IS HANDLING HIS JOB
TOTAL Specter Hoeffel Clymer
Approve (50%) 82% 10% 7%
Disapprove (48%) 24% 74% 1%


MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE
TOTAL Specter Hoeffel Clymer
Taxes (7%) 51% 43% 3%
Education (5%) 41% 52% 3%
Iraq (19%) 38% 60% 2%
Terrorism (21%) 78% 17% 4%
Economy/Jobs (18%) 38% 61% 1%
Moral Values (18%) 68% 18% 12%
Health Care (6%) 29% 65% 2%


MOST IMPORTANT QUALITY
TOTAL Specter Hoeffel Clymer
Cares About People (12%) 46% 51% 2%
Religious Faith (9%) 79% 10% 11%
Honest/Trustworthy (11%) 74% 19% 5%
Strong Leader (18%) 76% 18% 5%
Intelligent (6%) 26% 71% 1%
Will Bring Change (26%) 26% 71% 1%
Clear Stand on Issue (13%) 60% 31% 8%


DID KERRY ATTACK UNFAIRLY?
TOTAL Specter Hoeffel Clymer
Yes (66%) 64% 30% 4%
No (29%) 31% 65% 4%


DID BUSH ATTACK UNFAIRLY?
TOTAL Specter Hoeffel Clymer
Yes (60%) 45% 52% 2%
No (35%) 68% 23% 8%


COMPARED TO FOUR YEARS AGO, U.S. IS...
TOTAL Specter Hoeffel Clymer
Safer From Terrorism (52%) 76% 17% 7%
Less Safe (43%) 27% 70% 2%


DECISION TO GO TO WAR IN IRAQ
TOTAL Specter Hoeffel Clymer
Strongly Approve (27%) 83% 8% 8%
Somewhat Approve (24%) 74% 20% 5%
Somewhat Disapprove (16%) 34% 62% 3%
Strongly Disapprove (31%) 23% 75% 1%


DECISION TO GO TO WAR IN IRAQ
TOTAL Specter Hoeffel Clymer
Approve (49%) 79% 14% 7%
Disapprove (45%) 27% 70% 2%


HOW THINGS ARE GOING FOR U.S. IN IRAQ
TOTAL Specter Hoeffel Clymer
Very Well (9%) 83% 6% 9%
Somewhat Well (32%) 82% 11% 7%
Somewhat Badly (24%) 48% 48% 3%
Very Badly (33%) 23% 75% 1%


HOW ARE THINGS GOING FOR U.S. IN IRAQ?
TOTAL Specter Hoeffel Clymer
Well (39%) 82% 9% 8%
Badly (55%) 33% 63% 2%


TRUST KERRY TO HANDLE THE ECONOMY?
TOTAL Specter Hoeffel Clymer
Yes (45%) 28% 71% 2%
No (49%) 78% 14% 7%


TRUST BUSH TO HANDLE THE ECONOMY?
TOTAL Specter Hoeffel Clymer
Yes (50%) 82% 11% 7%
No (50%) 27% 71% 2%


FAMILY'S FINANCIAL SITUATION
TOTAL Specter Hoeffel Clymer
Better (30%) 77% 15% 6%
Worse (30%) 29% 69% 2%
Same (39%) 55% 40% 5%


TRUST KERRY TO HANDLE TERRORISM?
TOTAL Specter Hoeffel Clymer
Yes (41%) 27% 71% 2%
No (52%) 77% 16% 6%


TRUST BUSH TO HANDLE TERRORISM?
TOTAL Specter Hoeffel Clymer
Yes (56%) 77% 16% 6%
No (37%) 21% 77% 2%


VOTE BY SIZE OF COMMUNITY
TOTAL Specter Hoeffel Clymer
Big Cities (11%) 28% 71% 0%
Smaller Cities (6%) 39% 59% 2%
Suburbs (65%) 56% 38% 5%
Small Towns (9%) 53% 41% 4%
Rural (9%) 71% 23% 6%


VOTE BY SIZE OF COMMUNITY
TOTAL Specter Hoeffel Clymer
Urban (18%) 32% 67% 1%
Suburban (65%) 56% 38% 5%
Rural (17%) 62% 32% 5%


VOTE BY REGION
TOTAL Specter Hoeffel Clymer
Philadelphia (11%) 28% 71% 0%
Phila. Suburbs (22%) 54% 43% 2%
Northeastern Pa. (14%) 56% 41% 3%
Pittsburgh Area (23%) 48% 45% 5%
Central/North Tier (30%) 62% 30% 7%


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NOTE
• Key: n/a = not available; * Represents a statistically insignificant number of respondents
• Exit polls are a survey of selected voters taken soon after they leave their voting place. Pollsters use this sample information, collected from a small percentage of voters, to track and project how all voters or specific segments of the voters sided on a particular race or ballot measure.
• All Times Eastern Standard
• CNN will broadcast a projected winner only after an extensive review of data from a number of sources. Details about CNN's projection process
* The poll closing countdown clock runs off the time on your computer. Your computer may not exactly match the official poll closing clock. To ensure a closer match, try synchronizing your clock to a network time server. Technical help and advice
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