U.S. PRESIDENT / PENNSYLVANIA / EXIT POLL
 |
| 2,107 Respondents |
Updated: 2:06 p.m. |
|
VOTE BY GENDER |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
 |
Male (47%) |
51% |
-3 |
48% |
|
Female (53%) |
46% |
+6 |
54% |
|
|
VOTE BY RACE AND GENDER |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
White Men (38%) |
57% |
n/a |
42% |
|
White Women (43%) |
51% |
n/a |
48% |
|
Non-White Men (9%) |
24% |
n/a |
75% |
|
Non-White Women (10%) |
22% |
n/a |
78% |
|
|
VOTE BY RACE |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
White (82%) |
54% |
+4 |
45% |
|
African-American (13%) |
16% |
+9 |
84% |
|
Latino (3%) |
28% |
n/a |
72% |
|
Asian (1%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
|
Other (1%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
|
|
VOTE BY AGE |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
18-29 (21%) |
39% |
-7 |
60% |
|
30-44 (28%) |
51% |
+1 |
48% |
|
45-59 (29%) |
50% |
+1 |
50% |
|
60 and Older (22%) |
52% |
+12 |
48% |
|
|
VOTE BY AGE |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
18-64 (86%) |
48% |
n/a |
51% |
|
65 and Older (14%) |
48% |
+10 |
52% |
|
|
VOTE BY INCOME |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Under $15,000 (9%) |
40% |
n/a |
60% |
|
$15-30,000 (16%) |
39% |
n/a |
60% |
|
$30-50,000 (26%) |
51% |
n/a |
48% |
|
$50-75,000 (22%) |
52% |
n/a |
48% |
|
$75-100,000 (12%) |
47% |
n/a |
52% |
|
$100-150,000 (9%) |
48% |
n/a |
51% |
|
$150-200,000 (3%) |
65% |
n/a |
35% |
|
$200,000 or More (3%) |
78% |
n/a |
22% |
|
|
VOTE BY INCOME |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Less Than $50,000 (52%) |
45% |
n/a |
54% |
|
$50,000 or More (48%) |
53% |
n/a |
47% |
|
|
VOTE BY INCOME |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Less Than $100,000 (85%) |
47% |
n/a |
52% |
|
$100,000 or More (15%) |
58% |
n/a |
42% |
|
|
ANYONE IN HOUSEHOLD IN A UNION? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Yes (30%) |
37% |
n/a |
62% |
|
No (70%) |
55% |
n/a |
45% |
|
|
ARE YOU A UNION MEMBER? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Yes (16%) |
37% |
n/a |
63% |
|
No (84%) |
52% |
n/a |
47% |
|
|
VOTE BY EDUCATION |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
No High School (4%) |
43% |
+9 |
57% |
|
H.S. Graduate (31%) |
51% |
+8 |
49% |
|
Some College (29%) |
46% |
+0 |
54% |
|
College Graduate (23%) |
53% |
-5 |
46% |
|
Postgrad Study (14%) |
48% |
+0 |
52% |
|
|
VOTE BY EDUCATION |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
No College Degree (64%) |
48% |
n/a |
52% |
|
College Graduate (36%) |
51% |
n/a |
48% |
|
|
VOTE BY PARTY ID |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Democrat (41%) |
15% |
+1 |
85% |
|
Republican (39%) |
89% |
+7 |
11% |
|
Independent (20%) |
41% |
-4 |
58% |
|
|
VOTE BY IDEOLOGY |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Liberal (22%) |
12% |
-5 |
88% |
|
Moderate (48%) |
43% |
+4 |
57% |
|
Conservative (30%) |
86% |
+4 |
13% |
|
|
HAVE YOU EVER VOTED BEFORE? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
No (16%) |
41% |
n/a |
59% |
|
Yes (84%) |
51% |
n/a |
49% |
|
|
VOTE BY RELIGION |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Protestant (50%) |
55% |
+0 |
45% |
|
Catholic (35%) |
49% |
+4 |
51% |
|
Jewish (2%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
|
Other (6%) |
24% |
n/a |
75% |
|
None (8%) |
29% |
-10 |
69% |
|
|
ARE YOU A WHITE CONSERVATIVE PROTESTANT? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Yes (13%) |
93% |
n/a |
7% |
|
No (87%) |
41% |
n/a |
58% |
|
|
VOTE BY CHURCH ATTENDANCE |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
More Than Weekly (12%) |
62% |
+1 |
38% |
|
Weekly (27%) |
55% |
+3 |
45% |
|
Monthly (15%) |
52% |
+9 |
48% |
|
A Few Times a Year (29%) |
43% |
+0 |
56% |
|
Never (13%) |
31% |
-5 |
68% |
|
|
VOTE BY CHURCH ATTENDANCE |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Weekly (37%) |
57% |
n/a |
43% |
|
Occasionally (42%) |
46% |
n/a |
53% |
|
Never (13%) |
31% |
n/a |
68% |
|
|
VOTE BY RELIGION AND ATTENDANCE |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Protestant/Weekly (14%) |
65% |
n/a |
35% |
|
Prot./Less Often (17%) |
54% |
n/a |
45% |
|
Catholic/Weekly (15%) |
53% |
n/a |
47% |
|
Catholic/Less Often (18%) |
45% |
n/a |
54% |
|
All Others (31%) |
37% |
n/a |
62% |
|
|
ARE YOU MARRIED? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Yes (61%) |
55% |
+2 |
45% |
|
No (39%) |
40% |
+3 |
59% |
|
|
GUN OWNER IN HOUSEHOLD? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Yes (46%) |
62% |
n/a |
38% |
|
No (54%) |
39% |
n/a |
60% |
|
|
WHEN DID YOU DECIDE WHO TO VOTE FOR? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Today (6%) |
51% |
n/a |
46% |
|
Last Three Days (3%) |
40% |
n/a |
60% |
|
Last Week (3%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
|
Last Month (10%) |
38% |
n/a |
61% |
|
Before That (79%) |
50% |
n/a |
49% |
|
|
WHEN DID YOU DECIDE WHO TO VOTE FOR? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Today/Last 3 Days (9%) |
48% |
n/a |
51% |
|
Earlier Than That (91%) |
49% |
n/a |
51% |
|
|
WHEN DID YOU DECIDE WHO TO VOTE FOR? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Within the Last Week (11%) |
46% |
n/a |
52% |
|
Earlier Than That (89%) |
49% |
n/a |
51% |
|
|
YOUR VOTE FOR PRESIDENT WAS MOSTLY... |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
For Your Candidate (69%) |
57% |
n/a |
43% |
|
Against His Opponent (26%) |
28% |
n/a |
71% |
|
|
STATE ECONOMY |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Excellent (2%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
|
Good (46%) |
72% |
n/a |
27% |
|
Not So Good (39%) |
33% |
n/a |
66% |
|
Poor (11%) |
14% |
n/a |
86% |
|
|
HOW BUSH IS HANDLING HIS JOB |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Strongly Approve (30%) |
94% |
n/a |
6% |
|
Somewhat Approve (20%) |
89% |
n/a |
11% |
|
Somewhat Disapprove (13%) |
13% |
n/a |
86% |
|
Strongly Disapprove (35%) |
2% |
n/a |
98% |
|
|
HOW BUSH IS HANDLING HIS JOB |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Approve (50%) |
92% |
n/a |
8% |
|
Disapprove (48%) |
5% |
n/a |
95% |
|
|
MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Taxes (7%) |
48% |
n/a |
52% |
|
Education (5%) |
26% |
n/a |
74% |
|
Iraq (19%) |
29% |
n/a |
71% |
|
Terrorism (20%) |
83% |
n/a |
17% |
|
Economy/Jobs (18%) |
18% |
n/a |
82% |
|
Moral Values (18%) |
80% |
n/a |
19% |
|
Health Care (6%) |
19% |
n/a |
81% |
|
|
MOST IMPORTANT QUALITY |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Cares About People (12%) |
36% |
n/a |
63% |
|
Religious Faith (9%) |
94% |
n/a |
6% |
|
Honest/Trustworthy (11%) |
74% |
n/a |
26% |
|
Strong Leader (18%) |
85% |
n/a |
14% |
|
Intelligent (6%) |
6% |
n/a |
94% |
|
Will Bring Change (26%) |
3% |
n/a |
96% |
|
Clear Stand on Issue (13%) |
69% |
n/a |
30% |
|
|
DID KERRY ATTACK UNFAIRLY? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Yes (65%) |
63% |
n/a |
37% |
|
No (30%) |
20% |
n/a |
80% |
|
|
DID BUSH ATTACK UNFAIRLY? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Yes (60%) |
34% |
n/a |
65% |
|
No (35%) |
76% |
n/a |
24% |
|
|
COMPARED TO FOUR YEARS AGO, U.S. IS... |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Safer From Terrorism (53%) |
79% |
n/a |
20% |
|
Less Safe (42%) |
12% |
n/a |
87% |
|
|
DECISION TO GO TO WAR IN IRAQ |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Strongly Approve (27%) |
94% |
n/a |
6% |
|
Somewhat Approve (25%) |
74% |
n/a |
25% |
|
Somewhat Disapprove (16%) |
19% |
n/a |
81% |
|
Strongly Disapprove (31%) |
7% |
n/a |
93% |
|
|
DECISION TO GO TO WAR IN IRAQ |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Approve (49%) |
84% |
n/a |
16% |
|
Disapprove (45%) |
11% |
n/a |
89% |
|
|
HOW THINGS ARE GOING FOR U.S. IN IRAQ |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Very Well (9%) |
88% |
n/a |
12% |
|
Somewhat Well (31%) |
93% |
n/a |
7% |
|
Somewhat Badly (24%) |
35% |
n/a |
64% |
|
Very Badly (33%) |
6% |
n/a |
93% |
|
|
HOW ARE THINGS GOING FOR U.S. IN IRAQ? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Well (39%) |
92% |
n/a |
8% |
|
Badly (54%) |
19% |
n/a |
81% |
|
|
TRUST KERRY TO HANDLE THE ECONOMY? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Yes (44%) |
11% |
n/a |
89% |
|
No (49%) |
86% |
n/a |
13% |
|
|
TRUST BUSH TO HANDLE THE ECONOMY? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Yes (50%) |
92% |
n/a |
7% |
|
No (50%) |
10% |
n/a |
90% |
|
|
FAMILY'S FINANCIAL SITUATION |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Better (30%) |
79% |
+45 |
21% |
|
Worse (30%) |
16% |
-45 |
84% |
|
Same (39%) |
53% |
-6 |
47% |
|
|
TRUST KERRY TO HANDLE TERRORISM? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Yes (41%) |
9% |
n/a |
91% |
|
No (51%) |
85% |
n/a |
15% |
|
|
TRUST BUSH TO HANDLE TERRORISM? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Yes (56%) |
82% |
n/a |
18% |
|
No (37%) |
5% |
n/a |
94% |
|
|
VOTE BY SIZE OF COMMUNITY |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Big Cities (12%) |
19% |
n/a |
81% |
|
Smaller Cities (6%) |
28% |
n/a |
72% |
|
Suburbs (65%) |
52% |
n/a |
47% |
|
Small Towns (8%) |
48% |
n/a |
52% |
|
Rural (9%) |
73% |
n/a |
27% |
|
|
VOTE BY SIZE OF COMMUNITY |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Urban (18%) |
22% |
-6 |
78% |
|
Suburban (65%) |
52% |
+3 |
47% |
|
Rural (17%) |
60% |
+1 |
39% |
|
|
VOTE BY REGION |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Philadelphia (12%) |
19% |
n/a |
81% |
|
Phila. Suburbs (21%) |
46% |
n/a |
54% |
|
Northeastern Pa. (14%) |
49% |
n/a |
51% |
|
Pittsburgh Area (23%) |
46% |
n/a |
53% |
|
Central/North Tier (30%) |
63% |
n/a |
37% |
|
|
|
|
