U.S. PRESIDENT / PENNSYLVANIA / EXIT POLL
 |
2,107 Respondents |
Updated: 2:06 p.m. |
VOTE BY GENDER |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
 |
Male (47%) |
51% |
-3 |
48% |
 |
Female (53%) |
46% |
+6 |
54% |
 |
VOTE BY RACE AND GENDER |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
 |
White Men (38%) |
57% |
n/a |
42% |
 |
White Women (43%) |
51% |
n/a |
48% |
 |
Non-White Men (9%) |
24% |
n/a |
75% |
 |
Non-White Women (10%) |
22% |
n/a |
78% |
 |
VOTE BY RACE |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
 |
White (82%) |
54% |
+4 |
45% |
 |
African-American (13%) |
16% |
+9 |
84% |
 |
Latino (3%) |
28% |
n/a |
72% |
 |
Asian (1%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
 |
Other (1%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
 |
VOTE BY AGE |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
 |
18-29 (21%) |
39% |
-7 |
60% |
 |
30-44 (28%) |
51% |
+1 |
48% |
 |
45-59 (29%) |
50% |
+1 |
50% |
 |
60 and Older (22%) |
52% |
+12 |
48% |
 |
VOTE BY AGE |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
 |
18-64 (86%) |
48% |
n/a |
51% |
 |
65 and Older (14%) |
48% |
+10 |
52% |
 |
VOTE BY INCOME |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
 |
Under $15,000 (9%) |
40% |
n/a |
60% |
 |
$15-30,000 (16%) |
39% |
n/a |
60% |
 |
$30-50,000 (26%) |
51% |
n/a |
48% |
 |
$50-75,000 (22%) |
52% |
n/a |
48% |
 |
$75-100,000 (12%) |
47% |
n/a |
52% |
 |
$100-150,000 (9%) |
48% |
n/a |
51% |
 |
$150-200,000 (3%) |
65% |
n/a |
35% |
 |
$200,000 or More (3%) |
78% |
n/a |
22% |
 |
VOTE BY INCOME |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
 |
Less Than $50,000 (52%) |
45% |
n/a |
54% |
 |
$50,000 or More (48%) |
53% |
n/a |
47% |
 |
VOTE BY INCOME |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
 |
Less Than $100,000 (85%) |
47% |
n/a |
52% |
 |
$100,000 or More (15%) |
58% |
n/a |
42% |
 |
ANYONE IN HOUSEHOLD IN A UNION? |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
 |
Yes (30%) |
37% |
n/a |
62% |
 |
No (70%) |
55% |
n/a |
45% |
 |
ARE YOU A UNION MEMBER? |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
 |
Yes (16%) |
37% |
n/a |
63% |
 |
No (84%) |
52% |
n/a |
47% |
 |
VOTE BY EDUCATION |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
 |
No High School (4%) |
43% |
+9 |
57% |
 |
H.S. Graduate (31%) |
51% |
+8 |
49% |
 |
Some College (29%) |
46% |
+0 |
54% |
 |
College Graduate (23%) |
53% |
-5 |
46% |
 |
Postgrad Study (14%) |
48% |
+0 |
52% |
 |
VOTE BY EDUCATION |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
 |
No College Degree (64%) |
48% |
n/a |
52% |
 |
College Graduate (36%) |
51% |
n/a |
48% |
 |
VOTE BY PARTY ID |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
 |
Democrat (41%) |
15% |
+1 |
85% |
 |
Republican (39%) |
89% |
+7 |
11% |
 |
Independent (20%) |
41% |
-4 |
58% |
 |
VOTE BY IDEOLOGY |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
 |
Liberal (22%) |
12% |
-5 |
88% |
 |
Moderate (48%) |
43% |
+4 |
57% |
 |
Conservative (30%) |
86% |
+4 |
13% |
 |
HAVE YOU EVER VOTED BEFORE? |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
 |
No (16%) |
41% |
n/a |
59% |
 |
Yes (84%) |
51% |
n/a |
49% |
 |
VOTE BY RELIGION |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
 |
Protestant (50%) |
55% |
+0 |
45% |
 |
Catholic (35%) |
49% |
+4 |
51% |
 |
Jewish (2%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
 |
Other (6%) |
24% |
n/a |
75% |
 |
None (8%) |
29% |
-10 |
69% |
 |
ARE YOU A WHITE CONSERVATIVE PROTESTANT? |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
 |
Yes (13%) |
93% |
n/a |
7% |
 |
No (87%) |
41% |
n/a |
58% |
 |
VOTE BY CHURCH ATTENDANCE |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
 |
More Than Weekly (12%) |
62% |
+1 |
38% |
 |
Weekly (27%) |
55% |
+3 |
45% |
 |
Monthly (15%) |
52% |
+9 |
48% |
 |
A Few Times a Year (29%) |
43% |
+0 |
56% |
 |
Never (13%) |
31% |
-5 |
68% |
 |
VOTE BY CHURCH ATTENDANCE |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
 |
Weekly (37%) |
57% |
n/a |
43% |
 |
Occasionally (42%) |
46% |
n/a |
53% |
 |
Never (13%) |
31% |
n/a |
68% |
 |
VOTE BY RELIGION AND ATTENDANCE |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
 |
Protestant/Weekly (14%) |
65% |
n/a |
35% |
 |
Prot./Less Often (17%) |
54% |
n/a |
45% |
 |
Catholic/Weekly (15%) |
53% |
n/a |
47% |
 |
Catholic/Less Often (18%) |
45% |
n/a |
54% |
 |
All Others (31%) |
37% |
n/a |
62% |
 |
ARE YOU MARRIED? |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
 |
Yes (61%) |
55% |
+2 |
45% |
 |
No (39%) |
40% |
+3 |
59% |
 |
GUN OWNER IN HOUSEHOLD? |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
 |
Yes (46%) |
62% |
n/a |
38% |
 |
No (54%) |
39% |
n/a |
60% |
 |
WHEN DID YOU DECIDE WHO TO VOTE FOR? |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
 |
Today (6%) |
51% |
n/a |
46% |
 |
Last Three Days (3%) |
40% |
n/a |
60% |
 |
Last Week (3%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
 |
Last Month (10%) |
38% |
n/a |
61% |
 |
Before That (79%) |
50% |
n/a |
49% |
 |
WHEN DID YOU DECIDE WHO TO VOTE FOR? |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
 |
Today/Last 3 Days (9%) |
48% |
n/a |
51% |
 |
Earlier Than That (91%) |
49% |
n/a |
51% |
 |
WHEN DID YOU DECIDE WHO TO VOTE FOR? |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
 |
Within the Last Week (11%) |
46% |
n/a |
52% |
 |
Earlier Than That (89%) |
49% |
n/a |
51% |
 |
YOUR VOTE FOR PRESIDENT WAS MOSTLY... |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
 |
For Your Candidate (69%) |
57% |
n/a |
43% |
 |
Against His Opponent (26%) |
28% |
n/a |
71% |
 |
STATE ECONOMY |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
 |
Excellent (2%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
 |
Good (46%) |
72% |
n/a |
27% |
 |
Not So Good (39%) |
33% |
n/a |
66% |
 |
Poor (11%) |
14% |
n/a |
86% |
 |
HOW BUSH IS HANDLING HIS JOB |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
 |
Strongly Approve (30%) |
94% |
n/a |
6% |
 |
Somewhat Approve (20%) |
89% |
n/a |
11% |
 |
Somewhat Disapprove (13%) |
13% |
n/a |
86% |
 |
Strongly Disapprove (35%) |
2% |
n/a |
98% |
 |
HOW BUSH IS HANDLING HIS JOB |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
 |
Approve (50%) |
92% |
n/a |
8% |
 |
Disapprove (48%) |
5% |
n/a |
95% |
 |
MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
 |
Taxes (7%) |
48% |
n/a |
52% |
 |
Education (5%) |
26% |
n/a |
74% |
 |
Iraq (19%) |
29% |
n/a |
71% |
 |
Terrorism (20%) |
83% |
n/a |
17% |
 |
Economy/Jobs (18%) |
18% |
n/a |
82% |
 |
Moral Values (18%) |
80% |
n/a |
19% |
 |
Health Care (6%) |
19% |
n/a |
81% |
 |
MOST IMPORTANT QUALITY |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
 |
Cares About People (12%) |
36% |
n/a |
63% |
 |
Religious Faith (9%) |
94% |
n/a |
6% |
 |
Honest/Trustworthy (11%) |
74% |
n/a |
26% |
 |
Strong Leader (18%) |
85% |
n/a |
14% |
 |
Intelligent (6%) |
6% |
n/a |
94% |
 |
Will Bring Change (26%) |
3% |
n/a |
96% |
 |
Clear Stand on Issue (13%) |
69% |
n/a |
30% |
 |
DID KERRY ATTACK UNFAIRLY? |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
 |
Yes (65%) |
63% |
n/a |
37% |
 |
No (30%) |
20% |
n/a |
80% |
 |
DID BUSH ATTACK UNFAIRLY? |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
 |
Yes (60%) |
34% |
n/a |
65% |
 |
No (35%) |
76% |
n/a |
24% |
 |
COMPARED TO FOUR YEARS AGO, U.S. IS... |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
 |
Safer From Terrorism (53%) |
79% |
n/a |
20% |
 |
Less Safe (42%) |
12% |
n/a |
87% |
 |
DECISION TO GO TO WAR IN IRAQ |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
 |
Strongly Approve (27%) |
94% |
n/a |
6% |
 |
Somewhat Approve (25%) |
74% |
n/a |
25% |
 |
Somewhat Disapprove (16%) |
19% |
n/a |
81% |
 |
Strongly Disapprove (31%) |
7% |
n/a |
93% |
 |
DECISION TO GO TO WAR IN IRAQ |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
 |
Approve (49%) |
84% |
n/a |
16% |
 |
Disapprove (45%) |
11% |
n/a |
89% |
 |
HOW THINGS ARE GOING FOR U.S. IN IRAQ |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
 |
Very Well (9%) |
88% |
n/a |
12% |
 |
Somewhat Well (31%) |
93% |
n/a |
7% |
 |
Somewhat Badly (24%) |
35% |
n/a |
64% |
 |
Very Badly (33%) |
6% |
n/a |
93% |
 |
HOW ARE THINGS GOING FOR U.S. IN IRAQ? |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
 |
Well (39%) |
92% |
n/a |
8% |
 |
Badly (54%) |
19% |
n/a |
81% |
 |
TRUST KERRY TO HANDLE THE ECONOMY? |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
 |
Yes (44%) |
11% |
n/a |
89% |
 |
No (49%) |
86% |
n/a |
13% |
 |
TRUST BUSH TO HANDLE THE ECONOMY? |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
 |
Yes (50%) |
92% |
n/a |
7% |
 |
No (50%) |
10% |
n/a |
90% |
 |
FAMILY'S FINANCIAL SITUATION |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
 |
Better (30%) |
79% |
+45 |
21% |
 |
Worse (30%) |
16% |
-45 |
84% |
 |
Same (39%) |
53% |
-6 |
47% |
 |
TRUST KERRY TO HANDLE TERRORISM? |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
 |
Yes (41%) |
9% |
n/a |
91% |
 |
No (51%) |
85% |
n/a |
15% |
 |
TRUST BUSH TO HANDLE TERRORISM? |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
 |
Yes (56%) |
82% |
n/a |
18% |
 |
No (37%) |
5% |
n/a |
94% |
 |
VOTE BY SIZE OF COMMUNITY |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
 |
Big Cities (12%) |
19% |
n/a |
81% |
 |
Smaller Cities (6%) |
28% |
n/a |
72% |
 |
Suburbs (65%) |
52% |
n/a |
47% |
 |
Small Towns (8%) |
48% |
n/a |
52% |
 |
Rural (9%) |
73% |
n/a |
27% |
 |
VOTE BY SIZE OF COMMUNITY |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
 |
Urban (18%) |
22% |
-6 |
78% |
 |
Suburban (65%) |
52% |
+3 |
47% |
 |
Rural (17%) |
60% |
+1 |
39% |
 |
VOTE BY REGION |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
 |
Philadelphia (12%) |
19% |
n/a |
81% |
 |
Phila. Suburbs (21%) |
46% |
n/a |
54% |
 |
Northeastern Pa. (14%) |
49% |
n/a |
51% |
 |
Pittsburgh Area (23%) |
46% |
n/a |
53% |
 |
Central/North Tier (30%) |
63% |
n/a |
37% |
 |
|
|


|