U.S. PRESIDENT / MONTANA / EXIT POLL
 |
| 650 Respondents |
Updated: 2:03 p.m. |
|
VOTE BY GENDER |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
 |
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
 |
Male (51%) |
57% |
-7 |
41% |
1% |
 |
Female (49%) |
58% |
+4 |
38% |
1% |
 |
|
VOTE BY RACE AND GENDER |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
 |
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
 |
White Men (48%) |
59% |
n/a |
39% |
1% |
 |
White Women (47%) |
57% |
n/a |
39% |
1% |
 |
Non-White Men (2%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
* |
 |
Non-White Women (2%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
* |
 |
|
VOTE BY RACE |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
 |
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
 |
White (95%) |
58% |
n/a |
39% |
1% |
 |
African-American (2%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
* |
 |
Latino (1%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
* |
 |
Asian (1%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
* |
 |
Other (2%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
* |
 |
|
VOTE BY AGE |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
 |
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
 |
18-29 (21%) |
52% |
-9 |
43% |
2% |
 |
30-44 (23%) |
69% |
+8 |
29% |
1% |
 |
45-59 (33%) |
61% |
+8 |
38% |
2% |
 |
60 and Older (22%) |
43% |
-18 |
51% |
1% |
 |
|
VOTE BY AGE |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
 |
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
 |
18-64 (85%) |
60% |
+2 |
37% |
1% |
 |
65 and Older (15%) |
39% |
-21 |
56% |
1% |
 |
|
VOTE BY INCOME |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
 |
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
 |
Under $15,000 (12%) |
45% |
n/a |
51% |
4% |
 |
$15-30,000 (23%) |
51% |
n/a |
45% |
2% |
 |
$30-50,000 (26%) |
57% |
n/a |
41% |
2% |
 |
$50-75,000 (20%) |
66% |
n/a |
30% |
1% |
 |
$75-100,000 (9%) |
61% |
n/a |
38% |
1% |
 |
$100-150,000 (6%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
* |
 |
$150-200,000 (3%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
* |
 |
$200,000 or More (1%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
* |
 |
|
VOTE BY INCOME |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
 |
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
 |
Less Than $50,000 (61%) |
53% |
n/a |
44% |
2% |
 |
$50,000 or More (39%) |
64% |
n/a |
33% |
1% |
 |
|
VOTE BY INCOME |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
 |
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
 |
Less Than $100,000 (90%) |
57% |
n/a |
41% |
2% |
 |
$100,000 or More (10%) |
64% |
n/a |
33% |
1% |
 |
|
VOTE BY PARTY ID |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
 |
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
 |
Democrat (32%) |
21% |
+6 |
78% |
1% |
 |
Republican (39%) |
95% |
+1 |
3% |
1% |
 |
Independent (29%) |
46% |
-10 |
46% |
3% |
 |
|
VOTE BY IDEOLOGY |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
 |
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
 |
Liberal (18%) |
19% |
+0 |
77% |
1% |
 |
Moderate (46%) |
49% |
-5 |
48% |
2% |
 |
Conservative (36%) |
86% |
+0 |
11% |
1% |
 |
|
VOTE BY RELIGION |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
 |
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
 |
Protestant (54%) |
69% |
+2 |
27% |
2% |
 |
Catholic (24%) |
56% |
-4 |
43% |
1% |
 |
Jewish (1%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
* |
 |
Other (7%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
* |
 |
None (15%) |
25% |
-10 |
70% |
1% |
 |
|
ARE YOU A WHITE CONSERVATIVE PROTESTANT? |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
 |
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
 |
Yes (20%) |
90% |
n/a |
6% |
1% |
 |
No (80%) |
49% |
n/a |
48% |
2% |
 |
|
WHITE EVANGELICAL/BORN-AGAIN? |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
 |
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
 |
Yes (29%) |
78% |
n/a |
19% |
1% |
 |
No (71%) |
49% |
n/a |
48% |
2% |
 |
|
WHEN DID YOU DECIDE WHO TO VOTE FOR? |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
 |
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
 |
Today (5%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
* |
 |
Last Three Days (4%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
* |
 |
Last Week (3%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
* |
 |
Last Month (10%) |
43% |
n/a |
44% |
6% |
 |
Before That (79%) |
60% |
n/a |
39% |
1% |
 |
|
WHEN DID YOU DECIDE WHO TO VOTE FOR? |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
 |
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
 |
Today/Last 3 Days (8%) |
49% |
n/a |
41% |
4% |
 |
Earlier Than That (92%) |
58% |
n/a |
39% |
1% |
 |
|
WHEN DID YOU DECIDE WHO TO VOTE FOR? |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
 |
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
 |
Within the Last Week (11%) |
53% |
n/a |
39% |
3% |
 |
Earlier Than That (89%) |
58% |
n/a |
40% |
1% |
 |
|
YOUR VOTE FOR PRESIDENT WAS MOSTLY... |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
 |
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
 |
For Your Candidate (66%) |
67% |
n/a |
31% |
1% |
 |
Against His Opponent (31%) |
37% |
n/a |
60% |
3% |
 |
|
HOW BUSH IS HANDLING HIS JOB |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
 |
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
 |
Strongly Approve (34%) |
94% |
n/a |
6% |
1% |
 |
Somewhat Approve (25%) |
87% |
n/a |
12% |
1% |
 |
Somewhat Disapprove (12%) |
30% |
n/a |
64% |
4% |
 |
Strongly Disapprove (29%) |
2% |
n/a |
92% |
2% |
 |
|
HOW BUSH IS HANDLING HIS JOB |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
 |
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
 |
Approve (56%) |
91% |
n/a |
8% |
1% |
 |
Disapprove (39%) |
10% |
n/a |
84% |
2% |
 |
|
FAMILY'S FINANCIAL SITUATION |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
 |
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
 |
Better (32%) |
85% |
+49 |
13% |
1% |
 |
Worse (26%) |
20% |
-55 |
74% |
2% |
 |
Same (41%) |
59% |
-8 |
37% |
2% |
 |
|
DECISION TO GO TO WAR IN IRAQ |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
 |
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
 |
Strongly Approve (30%) |
96% |
n/a |
3% |
1% |
 |
Somewhat Approve (24%) |
85% |
n/a |
15% |
0% |
 |
Somewhat Disapprove (16%) |
30% |
n/a |
64% |
3% |
 |
Strongly Disapprove (28%) |
8% |
n/a |
84% |
2% |
 |
|
DECISION TO GO TO WAR IN IRAQ |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
 |
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
 |
Approve (52%) |
91% |
n/a |
8% |
1% |
 |
Disapprove (42%) |
16% |
n/a |
77% |
2% |
 |
|
VOTE BY SIZE OF COMMUNITY |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
 |
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
 |
Big Cities (-) |
* |
n/a |
* |
* |
 |
Smaller Cities (24%) |
42% |
n/a |
56% |
1% |
 |
Suburbs (7%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
* |
 |
Small Towns (13%) |
68% |
n/a |
32% |
1% |
 |
Rural (57%) |
62% |
n/a |
35% |
2% |
 |
|
VOTE BY SIZE OF COMMUNITY |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
 |
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
 |
Urban (24%) |
42% |
n/a |
56% |
1% |
 |
Suburban (7%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
* |
 |
Rural (69%) |
63% |
n/a |
34% |
1% |
 |
|
VOTE BY REGION |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
 |
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
 |
Urban West (31%) |
47% |
n/a |
48% |
2% |
 |
Rural West (38%) |
62% |
n/a |
37% |
1% |
 |
Eastern Montana (31%) |
61% |
n/a |
36% |
1% |
 |
|
VOTE FOR GOVERNOR |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
 |
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
 |
Democrat (52%) |
26% |
n/a |
71% |
2% |
 |
Republican (45%) |
94% |
n/a |
4% |
1% |
 |
|
VOTE FOR U.S. HOUSE |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
 |
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
 |
Democrat (35%) |
9% |
n/a |
86% |
2% |
 |
Republican (65%) |
84% |
-8 |
14% |
1% |
 |
|
VOTE ON INITIATIVE 96 |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
 |
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
 |
Yes (65%) |
76% |
n/a |
22% |
1% |
 |
No (35%) |
24% |
n/a |
72% |
2% |
 |
|
|


|