U.S. PRESIDENT / MICHIGAN / EXIT POLL
|
2,555 Respondents |
Updated: 2:06 p.m. |
VOTE BY GENDER |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Male (49%) |
50% |
n/a |
48% |
1% |
|
Female (51%) |
46% |
+4 |
53% |
0% |
|
VOTE BY RACE AND GENDER |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
White Men (40%) |
57% |
n/a |
41% |
1% |
|
White Women (42%) |
52% |
n/a |
47% |
0% |
|
Non-White Men (9%) |
18% |
n/a |
80% |
1% |
|
Non-White Women (9%) |
18% |
n/a |
82% |
0% |
|
VOTE BY RACE |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
White (82%) |
54% |
+3 |
44% |
1% |
|
African-American (13%) |
10% |
+2 |
89% |
0% |
|
Latino (2%) |
36% |
n/a |
62% |
1% |
|
Asian (1%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
* |
|
Other (2%) |
34% |
n/a |
65% |
1% |
|
VOTE BY AGE |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
18-29 (21%) |
43% |
n/a |
55% |
2% |
|
30-44 (26%) |
54% |
+5 |
44% |
1% |
|
45-59 (29%) |
47% |
+3 |
53% |
0% |
|
60 and Older (24%) |
47% |
+1 |
52% |
0% |
|
VOTE BY AGE |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
18-64 (85%) |
48% |
+2 |
51% |
1% |
|
65 and Older (15%) |
48% |
+3 |
51% |
* |
|
VOTE BY INCOME |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Under $15,000 (9%) |
22% |
n/a |
78% |
1% |
|
$15-30,000 (15%) |
42% |
n/a |
57% |
1% |
|
$30-50,000 (22%) |
45% |
n/a |
53% |
0% |
|
$50-75,000 (23%) |
54% |
n/a |
46% |
0% |
|
$75-100,000 (14%) |
53% |
n/a |
45% |
1% |
|
$100-150,000 (11%) |
56% |
n/a |
43% |
0% |
|
$150-200,000 (3%) |
68% |
n/a |
31% |
1% |
|
$200,000 or More (3%) |
61% |
n/a |
36% |
2% |
|
VOTE BY INCOME |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Less Than $50,000 (46%) |
40% |
n/a |
59% |
1% |
|
$50,000 or More (54%) |
55% |
n/a |
44% |
1% |
|
VOTE BY INCOME |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Less Than $100,000 (83%) |
46% |
n/a |
53% |
1% |
|
$100,000 or More (17%) |
59% |
n/a |
40% |
1% |
|
ANYONE IN HOUSEHOLD IN A UNION? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Yes (37%) |
37% |
n/a |
61% |
1% |
|
No (63%) |
55% |
n/a |
44% |
1% |
|
ARE YOU A UNION MEMBER? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Yes (19%) |
32% |
n/a |
66% |
1% |
|
No (81%) |
52% |
n/a |
47% |
1% |
|
VOTE BY EDUCATION |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
No High School (5%) |
47% |
n/a |
53% |
* |
|
H.S. Graduate (24%) |
39% |
-7 |
59% |
1% |
|
Some College (33%) |
47% |
n/a |
51% |
1% |
|
College Graduate (23%) |
56% |
+8 |
42% |
1% |
|
Postgrad Study (15%) |
48% |
+9 |
51% |
0% |
|
VOTE BY EDUCATION |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
No College Degree (62%) |
44% |
n/a |
54% |
1% |
|
College Graduate (38%) |
53% |
n/a |
45% |
1% |
|
VOTE BY PARTY ID |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Democrat (39%) |
7% |
-2 |
93% |
0% |
|
Republican (34%) |
94% |
+6 |
6% |
0% |
|
Independent (27%) |
47% |
+1 |
49% |
2% |
|
VOTE BY IDEOLOGY |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Liberal (22%) |
10% |
-3 |
89% |
1% |
|
Moderate (44%) |
42% |
n/a |
56% |
1% |
|
Conservative (34%) |
79% |
-3 |
20% |
0% |
|
HAVE YOU EVER VOTED BEFORE? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
No (12%) |
31% |
n/a |
65% |
2% |
|
Yes (88%) |
50% |
n/a |
49% |
1% |
|
VOTE BY RELIGION |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Protestant (53%) |
54% |
+3 |
45% |
0% |
|
Catholic (29%) |
49% |
n/a |
50% |
0% |
|
Jewish (2%) |
22% |
n/a |
71% |
* |
|
Other (6%) |
32% |
n/a |
66% |
3% |
|
None (10%) |
26% |
+2 |
69% |
1% |
|
ARE YOU A WHITE CONSERVATIVE PROTESTANT? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Yes (17%) |
92% |
n/a |
8% |
* |
|
No (83%) |
39% |
n/a |
59% |
1% |
|
WHITE EVANGELICAL/BORN-AGAIN? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Yes (24%) |
71% |
n/a |
29% |
0% |
|
No (76%) |
41% |
n/a |
58% |
1% |
|
VOTE BY CHURCH ATTENDANCE |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
More Than Weekly (15%) |
58% |
-2 |
40% |
* |
|
Weekly (27%) |
55% |
n/a |
44% |
1% |
|
Monthly (13%) |
47% |
+3 |
53% |
1% |
|
A Few Times a Year (29%) |
42% |
+3 |
57% |
1% |
|
Never (13%) |
32% |
+7 |
64% |
2% |
|
VOTE BY CHURCH ATTENDANCE |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Weekly (42%) |
56% |
n/a |
43% |
0% |
|
Occasionally (40%) |
43% |
n/a |
55% |
1% |
|
Never (13%) |
32% |
n/a |
64% |
2% |
|
VOTE BY RELIGION AND ATTENDANCE |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Protestant/Weekly (16%) |
64% |
n/a |
34% |
1% |
|
Prot./Less Often (15%) |
51% |
n/a |
48% |
0% |
|
Catholic/Weekly (14%) |
49% |
n/a |
50% |
0% |
|
Catholic/Less Often (14%) |
49% |
n/a |
50% |
1% |
|
All Others (37%) |
38% |
n/a |
60% |
1% |
|
ARE YOU MARRIED? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Yes (61%) |
55% |
+4 |
43% |
0% |
|
No (39%) |
37% |
+0 |
61% |
1% |
|
WHEN DID YOU DECIDE WHO TO VOTE FOR? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Today (7%) |
37% |
n/a |
57% |
4% |
|
Last Three Days (5%) |
37% |
n/a |
58% |
1% |
|
Last Week (4%) |
51% |
n/a |
45% |
1% |
|
Last Month (11%) |
41% |
n/a |
55% |
1% |
|
Before That (73%) |
50% |
n/a |
50% |
0% |
|
WHEN DID YOU DECIDE WHO TO VOTE FOR? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Today/Last 3 Days (12%) |
37% |
n/a |
58% |
3% |
|
Earlier Than That (88%) |
49% |
n/a |
50% |
0% |
|
WHEN DID YOU DECIDE WHO TO VOTE FOR? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Within the Last Week (16%) |
41% |
n/a |
54% |
2% |
|
Earlier Than That (84%) |
49% |
n/a |
50% |
0% |
|
YOUR VOTE FOR PRESIDENT WAS MOSTLY... |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
For Your Candidate (70%) |
55% |
n/a |
44% |
0% |
|
Against His Opponent (26%) |
27% |
n/a |
72% |
1% |
|
STATE ECONOMY |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Excellent (4%) |
42% |
n/a |
53% |
1% |
|
Good (35%) |
77% |
n/a |
22% |
0% |
|
Not So Good (40%) |
37% |
n/a |
62% |
1% |
|
Poor (19%) |
10% |
n/a |
89% |
1% |
|
HOW BUSH IS HANDLING HIS JOB |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Strongly Approve (29%) |
93% |
n/a |
7% |
0% |
|
Somewhat Approve (20%) |
83% |
n/a |
16% |
1% |
|
Somewhat Disapprove (14%) |
15% |
n/a |
81% |
2% |
|
Strongly Disapprove (35%) |
1% |
n/a |
96% |
1% |
|
HOW BUSH IS HANDLING HIS JOB |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Approve (50%) |
89% |
n/a |
11% |
0% |
|
Disapprove (49%) |
5% |
n/a |
92% |
1% |
|
MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Taxes (5%) |
64% |
n/a |
31% |
3% |
|
Education (4%) |
27% |
n/a |
72% |
0% |
|
Iraq (17%) |
26% |
n/a |
71% |
2% |
|
Terrorism (18%) |
82% |
n/a |
18% |
* |
|
Economy/Jobs (25%) |
15% |
n/a |
84% |
1% |
|
Moral Values (19%) |
82% |
n/a |
16% |
0% |
|
Health Care (6%) |
21% |
n/a |
77% |
0% |
|
MOST IMPORTANT QUALITY |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Cares About People (13%) |
23% |
n/a |
76% |
0% |
|
Religious Faith (9%) |
86% |
n/a |
13% |
0% |
|
Honest/Trustworthy (11%) |
72% |
n/a |
28% |
0% |
|
Strong Leader (19%) |
81% |
n/a |
18% |
0% |
|
Intelligent (6%) |
8% |
n/a |
88% |
2% |
|
Will Bring Change (24%) |
4% |
n/a |
94% |
1% |
|
Clear Stand on Issue (14%) |
73% |
n/a |
24% |
1% |
|
COMPARED TO FOUR YEARS AGO, U.S. IS... |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Safer From Terrorism (54%) |
73% |
n/a |
26% |
1% |
|
Less Safe (42%) |
13% |
n/a |
84% |
1% |
|
JOB SITUATION IN YOUR AREA |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Better Today (14%) |
78% |
n/a |
20% |
0% |
|
Worse Today (55%) |
23% |
n/a |
76% |
1% |
|
About the Same (31%) |
75% |
n/a |
24% |
1% |
|
DECISION TO GO TO WAR IN IRAQ |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Strongly Approve (26%) |
89% |
n/a |
11% |
0% |
|
Somewhat Approve (24%) |
73% |
n/a |
26% |
0% |
|
Somewhat Disapprove (18%) |
23% |
n/a |
74% |
1% |
|
Strongly Disapprove (30%) |
5% |
n/a |
93% |
1% |
|
DECISION TO GO TO WAR IN IRAQ |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Approve (49%) |
81% |
n/a |
18% |
0% |
|
Disapprove (47%) |
12% |
n/a |
86% |
1% |
|
HOW THINGS ARE GOING FOR U.S. IN IRAQ |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Very Well (10%) |
86% |
n/a |
14% |
* |
|
Somewhat Well (33%) |
85% |
n/a |
14% |
0% |
|
Somewhat Badly (25%) |
33% |
n/a |
63% |
2% |
|
Very Badly (31%) |
4% |
n/a |
94% |
1% |
|
HOW ARE THINGS GOING FOR U.S. IN IRAQ? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Well (42%) |
86% |
n/a |
14% |
0% |
|
Badly (54%) |
17% |
n/a |
81% |
1% |
|
TRUST KERRY TO HANDLE THE ECONOMY? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Yes (49%) |
14% |
n/a |
86% |
0% |
|
No (47%) |
82% |
n/a |
16% |
1% |
|
TRUST BUSH TO HANDLE THE ECONOMY? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Yes (45%) |
91% |
n/a |
9% |
0% |
|
No (55%) |
11% |
n/a |
87% |
1% |
|
FAMILY'S FINANCIAL SITUATION |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Better (27%) |
80% |
+47 |
19% |
0% |
|
Worse (34%) |
19% |
-45 |
79% |
1% |
|
Same (38%) |
50% |
-10 |
49% |
1% |
|
TRUST KERRY TO HANDLE TERRORISM? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Yes (44%) |
9% |
n/a |
91% |
0% |
|
No (51%) |
81% |
n/a |
17% |
1% |
|
TRUST BUSH TO HANDLE TERRORISM? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Yes (53%) |
81% |
n/a |
18% |
0% |
|
No (42%) |
6% |
n/a |
92% |
1% |
|
VOTE BY SIZE OF COMMUNITY |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Big Cities (8%) |
9% |
n/a |
90% |
1% |
|
Smaller Cities (14%) |
41% |
n/a |
58% |
0% |
|
Suburbs (52%) |
54% |
n/a |
44% |
1% |
|
Small Towns (8%) |
44% |
n/a |
54% |
1% |
|
Rural (18%) |
54% |
n/a |
44% |
1% |
|
VOTE BY SIZE OF COMMUNITY |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Urban (23%) |
28% |
-2 |
71% |
0% |
|
Suburban (49%) |
54% |
+4 |
45% |
1% |
|
Rural (28%) |
53% |
+2 |
45% |
0% |
|
VOTE BY REGION |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Wayne County (17%) |
30% |
n/a |
69% |
1% |
|
Oakland/Macomb (22%) |
51% |
n/a |
47% |
0% |
|
University Belt (24%) |
46% |
n/a |
52% |
1% |
|
Southwestern Mich. (21%) |
59% |
n/a |
40% |
1% |
|
North/Northeast Mich (15%) |
52% |
n/a |
47% |
1% |
|
|
|
|