U.S. PRESIDENT / CALIFORNIA / EXIT POLL
 |
| 2,390 Respondents |
Updated: 2:05 p.m. |
|
VOTE BY GENDER |
 | BUSH |
|
 |
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
 |
Male (49%) |
47% |
+1 |
50% |
|
Female (51%) |
41% |
+5 |
57% |
|
|
VOTE BY RACE AND GENDER |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
White Men (32%) |
56% |
n/a |
42% |
|
White Women (34%) |
47% |
n/a |
52% |
|
Non-White Men (17%) |
30% |
n/a |
65% |
|
Non-White Women (18%) |
30% |
n/a |
68% |
|
|
VOTE BY RACE |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
White (65%) |
51% |
+5 |
47% |
|
African-American (6%) |
18% |
+7 |
81% |
|
Latino (21%) |
32% |
+4 |
63% |
|
Asian (4%) |
34% |
-12 |
66% |
|
Other (4%) |
34% |
n/a |
63% |
|
|
VOTE BY AGE |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
18-29 (22%) |
39% |
n/a |
58% |
|
30-44 (28%) |
46% |
+9 |
52% |
|
45-59 (27%) |
44% |
+4 |
53% |
|
60 and Older (23%) |
46% |
+0 |
52% |
|
|
VOTE BY AGE |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
18-64 (84%) |
44% |
+4 |
53% |
|
65 and Older (16%) |
43% |
-4 |
55% |
|
|
VOTE BY INCOME |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Under $15,000 (8%) |
29% |
n/a |
70% |
|
$15-30,000 (14%) |
42% |
n/a |
55% |
|
$30-50,000 (19%) |
42% |
n/a |
56% |
|
$50-75,000 (23%) |
47% |
n/a |
50% |
|
$75-100,000 (14%) |
47% |
n/a |
49% |
|
$100-150,000 (14%) |
41% |
n/a |
58% |
|
$150-200,000 (5%) |
54% |
n/a |
46% |
|
$200,000 or More (4%) |
64% |
n/a |
36% |
|
|
VOTE BY INCOME |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Less Than $50,000 (41%) |
40% |
n/a |
58% |
|
$50,000 or More (59%) |
47% |
n/a |
50% |
|
|
VOTE BY INCOME |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Less Than $100,000 (78%) |
43% |
n/a |
54% |
|
$100,000 or More (22%) |
48% |
n/a |
52% |
|
|
ANYONE IN HOUSEHOLD IN A UNION? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Yes (27%) |
39% |
n/a |
58% |
|
No (73%) |
47% |
n/a |
51% |
|
|
ARE YOU A UNION MEMBER? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Yes (16%) |
38% |
n/a |
59% |
|
No (84%) |
46% |
n/a |
52% |
|
|
VOTE BY EDUCATION |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
No High School (4%) |
58% |
+31 |
37% |
|
H.S. Graduate (16%) |
50% |
+4 |
48% |
|
Some College (34%) |
50% |
+9 |
49% |
|
College Graduate (29%) |
40% |
-5 |
57% |
|
Postgrad Study (17%) |
33% |
-7 |
64% |
|
|
VOTE BY EDUCATION |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
No College Degree (55%) |
51% |
n/a |
48% |
|
College Graduate (45%) |
38% |
n/a |
60% |
|
|
VOTE BY PARTY ID |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Democrat (39%) |
12% |
+5 |
87% |
|
Republican (33%) |
89% |
+2 |
9% |
|
Independent (27%) |
36% |
-2 |
59% |
|
|
VOTE BY IDEOLOGY |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Liberal (26%) |
10% |
+0 |
88% |
|
Moderate (46%) |
41% |
+5 |
56% |
|
Conservative (28%) |
80% |
+1 |
19% |
|
|
HAVE YOU EVER VOTED BEFORE? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
No (13%) |
34% |
n/a |
63% |
|
Yes (87%) |
46% |
n/a |
52% |
|
|
VOTE BY RELIGION |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Protestant (44%) |
60% |
+4 |
38% |
|
Catholic (28%) |
35% |
-4 |
63% |
|
Jewish (4%) |
19% |
+5 |
78% |
|
Other (8%) |
25% |
+0 |
73% |
|
None (15%) |
32% |
+12 |
65% |
|
|
ARE YOU A WHITE CONSERVATIVE PROTESTANT? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Yes (11%) |
93% |
n/a |
6% |
|
No (89%) |
38% |
n/a |
60% |
|
|
VOTE BY CHURCH ATTENDANCE |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
More Than Weekly (12%) |
60% |
n/a |
37% |
|
Weekly (20%) |
47% |
+0 |
52% |
|
Monthly (14%) |
42% |
+1 |
56% |
|
A Few Times a Year (30%) |
43% |
+4 |
54% |
|
Never (22%) |
34% |
+4 |
64% |
|
|
VOTE BY CHURCH ATTENDANCE |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Weekly (31%) |
52% |
n/a |
46% |
|
Occasionally (43%) |
43% |
n/a |
55% |
|
Never (22%) |
34% |
n/a |
64% |
|
|
VOTE BY RELIGION AND ATTENDANCE |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Protestant/Weekly (10%) |
70% |
n/a |
26% |
|
Prot./Less Often (13%) |
59% |
n/a |
39% |
|
Catholic/Weekly (11%) |
35% |
n/a |
63% |
|
Catholic/Less Often (16%) |
34% |
n/a |
63% |
|
All Others (47%) |
40% |
n/a |
58% |
|
|
WHEN DID YOU DECIDE WHO TO VOTE FOR? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Today (5%) |
47% |
n/a |
44% |
|
Last Three Days (4%) |
36% |
n/a |
57% |
|
Last Week (2%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
|
Last Month (13%) |
38% |
n/a |
59% |
|
Before That (76%) |
46% |
n/a |
52% |
|
|
WHEN DID YOU DECIDE WHO TO VOTE FOR? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Today/Last 3 Days (9%) |
42% |
n/a |
50% |
|
Earlier Than That (91%) |
45% |
n/a |
54% |
|
|
WHEN DID YOU DECIDE WHO TO VOTE FOR? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Within the Last Week (11%) |
41% |
n/a |
53% |
|
Earlier Than That (89%) |
45% |
n/a |
53% |
|
|
YOUR VOTE FOR PRESIDENT WAS MOSTLY... |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
For Your Candidate (63%) |
55% |
n/a |
44% |
|
Against His Opponent (31%) |
28% |
n/a |
71% |
|
|
STATE ECONOMY |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Excellent (2%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
|
Good (37%) |
68% |
n/a |
30% |
|
Not So Good (45%) |
37% |
n/a |
62% |
|
Poor (13%) |
24% |
n/a |
74% |
|
|
HOW BUSH IS HANDLING HIS JOB |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Strongly Approve (27%) |
95% |
n/a |
5% |
|
Somewhat Approve (19%) |
82% |
n/a |
15% |
|
Somewhat Disapprove (13%) |
18% |
n/a |
75% |
|
Strongly Disapprove (40%) |
2% |
n/a |
96% |
|
|
HOW BUSH IS HANDLING HIS JOB |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Approve (46%) |
90% |
n/a |
9% |
|
Disapprove (52%) |
6% |
n/a |
91% |
|
|
MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Taxes (6%) |
54% |
n/a |
42% |
|
Education (5%) |
28% |
n/a |
72% |
|
Iraq (23%) |
18% |
n/a |
80% |
|
Terrorism (20%) |
84% |
n/a |
15% |
|
Economy/Jobs (16%) |
19% |
n/a |
78% |
|
Moral Values (17%) |
70% |
n/a |
29% |
|
Health Care (5%) |
22% |
n/a |
75% |
|
|
MOST IMPORTANT QUALITY |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Cares About People (8%) |
29% |
n/a |
70% |
|
Religious Faith (6%) |
81% |
n/a |
18% |
|
Honest/Trustworthy (13%) |
63% |
n/a |
35% |
|
Strong Leader (19%) |
84% |
n/a |
15% |
|
Intelligent (9%) |
7% |
n/a |
91% |
|
Will Bring Change (26%) |
3% |
n/a |
94% |
|
Clear Stand on Issue (13%) |
79% |
n/a |
20% |
|
|
COMPARED TO FOUR YEARS AGO, U.S. IS... |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Safer From Terrorism (48%) |
75% |
n/a |
23% |
|
Less Safe (46%) |
13% |
n/a |
84% |
|
|
WILL VOTES BE COUNTED ACCURATELY? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Very Confident (46%) |
56% |
n/a |
41% |
|
Somewhat Confident (43%) |
39% |
n/a |
60% |
|
Not Very Confident (7%) |
33% |
n/a |
66% |
|
Not At All Confident (3%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
|
|
WILL VOTES BE COUNTED ACCURATELY? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Confident (86%) |
48% |
n/a |
50% |
|
Not Confident (10%) |
30% |
n/a |
68% |
|
|
DECISION TO GO TO WAR IN IRAQ |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Strongly Approve (27%) |
93% |
n/a |
6% |
|
Somewhat Approve (20%) |
71% |
n/a |
27% |
|
Somewhat Disapprove (15%) |
19% |
n/a |
78% |
|
Strongly Disapprove (36%) |
5% |
n/a |
93% |
|
|
DECISION TO GO TO WAR IN IRAQ |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Approve (46%) |
84% |
n/a |
15% |
|
Disapprove (50%) |
9% |
n/a |
88% |
|
|
HOW THINGS ARE GOING FOR U.S. IN IRAQ |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Very Well (9%) |
92% |
n/a |
8% |
|
Somewhat Well (28%) |
90% |
n/a |
9% |
|
Somewhat Badly (23%) |
34% |
n/a |
62% |
|
Very Badly (38%) |
5% |
n/a |
93% |
|
|
HOW ARE THINGS GOING FOR U.S. IN IRAQ? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Well (37%) |
90% |
n/a |
9% |
|
Badly (59%) |
16% |
n/a |
81% |
|
|
TRUST KERRY TO HANDLE THE ECONOMY? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Yes (46%) |
10% |
n/a |
89% |
|
No (50%) |
82% |
n/a |
16% |
|
|
TRUST BUSH TO HANDLE THE ECONOMY? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Yes (46%) |
89% |
n/a |
9% |
|
No (54%) |
10% |
n/a |
87% |
|
|
FAMILY'S FINANCIAL SITUATION |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Better (32%) |
74% |
+46 |
24% |
|
Worse (26%) |
13% |
-41 |
84% |
|
Same (40%) |
42% |
-13 |
56% |
|
|
SCHWARZENEGGER APPROVAL RATING |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Approve (71%) |
61% |
n/a |
37% |
|
Disapprove (25%) |
15% |
n/a |
83% |
|
|
TRUST KERRY TO HANDLE TERRORISM? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Yes (42%) |
6% |
n/a |
93% |
|
No (54%) |
79% |
n/a |
19% |
|
|
TRUST BUSH TO HANDLE TERRORISM? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Yes (53%) |
83% |
n/a |
16% |
|
No (43%) |
4% |
n/a |
94% |
|
|
VOTE BY SIZE OF COMMUNITY |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Big Cities (25%) |
28% |
n/a |
68% |
|
Smaller Cities (23%) |
48% |
n/a |
51% |
|
Suburbs (40%) |
47% |
n/a |
51% |
|
Small Towns (7%) |
60% |
n/a |
37% |
|
Rural (5%) |
56% |
n/a |
44% |
|
|
VOTE BY SIZE OF COMMUNITY |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Urban (47%) |
37% |
+5 |
60% |
|
Suburban (40%) |
47% |
+7 |
52% |
|
Rural (13%) |
58% |
-7 |
39% |
|
|
VOTE BY REGION |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
L.A. County (23%) |
35% |
n/a |
63% |
|
Southern California (28%) |
53% |
n/a |
46% |
|
Bay Area (18%) |
27% |
n/a |
70% |
|
Coastal California (11%) |
37% |
n/a |
59% |
|
Central Valley (20%) |
61% |
n/a |
37% |
|
|
VOTE FOR U.S. SENATE |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Democrat (59%) |
13% |
n/a |
85% |
|
Republican (39%) |
92% |
n/a |
7% |
|
|
|
|
