U.S. SENATE / ARKANSAS / EXIT POLL
 |
| 1,423 Respondents |
Updated: 2:04 p.m. |
VOTE BY GENDER
| TOTAL |
Lincoln |
Holt |
| Male (44%) |
52% |
48% |
| Female (56%) |
59% |
41% |
VOTE BY RACE AND GENDER
| TOTAL |
Lincoln |
Holt |
| White Men (38%) |
46% |
54% |
| White Women (45%) |
51% |
49% |
| Non-White Men (6%) |
89% |
11% |
| Non-White Women (11%) |
90% |
10% |
VOTE BY RACE
| TOTAL |
Lincoln |
Holt |
| White (83%) |
49% |
51% |
| African-American (15%) |
96% |
4% |
| Latino (1%) |
* |
* |
| Asian (0%) |
* |
* |
| Other (1%) |
* |
* |
VOTE BY AGE
| TOTAL |
Lincoln |
Holt |
| 18-29 (15%) |
62% |
38% |
| 30-44 (29%) |
51% |
49% |
| 45-59 (30%) |
57% |
43% |
| 60 and Older (26%) |
57% |
43% |
VOTE BY AGE
| TOTAL |
Lincoln |
Holt |
| 18-64 (84%) |
56% |
44% |
| 65 and Older (16%) |
59% |
41% |
VOTE BY INCOME
| TOTAL |
Lincoln |
Holt |
| Under $15,000 (10%) |
79% |
21% |
| $15-30,000 (22%) |
62% |
38% |
| $30-50,000 (27%) |
51% |
49% |
| $50-75,000 (22%) |
51% |
49% |
| $75-100,000 (10%) |
49% |
51% |
| $100-150,000 (5%) |
34% |
66% |
| $150-200,000 (2%) |
* |
* |
| $200,000 or More (2%) |
* |
* |
VOTE BY INCOME
| TOTAL |
Lincoln |
Holt |
| Less Than $50,000 (59%) |
60% |
40% |
| $50,000 or More (41%) |
47% |
53% |
VOTE BY INCOME
| TOTAL |
Lincoln |
Holt |
| Less Than $100,000 (92%) |
57% |
43% |
| $100,000 or More (8%) |
34% |
66% |
VOTE BY PARTY ID
| TOTAL |
Lincoln |
Holt |
| Democrat (41%) |
90% |
10% |
| Republican (31%) |
12% |
88% |
| Independent (28%) |
53% |
47% |
VOTE BY IDEOLOGY
| TOTAL |
Lincoln |
Holt |
| Liberal (13%) |
87% |
13% |
| Moderate (45%) |
72% |
28% |
| Conservative (41%) |
26% |
74% |
VOTE BY RELIGION
| TOTAL |
Lincoln |
Holt |
| Protestant (81%) |
51% |
49% |
| Catholic (6%) |
55% |
45% |
| Jewish (0%) |
* |
* |
| Other (6%) |
83% |
17% |
| None (7%) |
76% |
24% |
ARE YOU A WHITE CONSERVATIVE PROTESTANT?
| TOTAL |
Lincoln |
Holt |
| Yes (31%) |
20% |
80% |
| No (69%) |
73% |
27% |
WHITE EVANGELICAL/BORN-AGAIN?
| TOTAL |
Lincoln |
Holt |
| Yes (53%) |
40% |
60% |
| No (47%) |
74% |
26% |
ARE YOU MARRIED?
| TOTAL |
Lincoln |
Holt |
| Yes (71%) |
49% |
51% |
| No (29%) |
72% |
28% |
WHEN DID YOU DECIDE WHO TO VOTE FOR?
| TOTAL |
Lincoln |
Holt |
| Today (7%) |
72% |
28% |
| Last Three Days (4%) |
73% |
27% |
| Last Week (2%) |
* |
* |
| Last Month (12%) |
76% |
24% |
| Before That (75%) |
50% |
50% |
WHEN DID YOU DECIDE WHO TO VOTE FOR?
| TOTAL |
Lincoln |
Holt |
| Today/Last 3 Days (11%) |
72% |
28% |
| Earlier Than That (89%) |
54% |
46% |
WHEN DID YOU DECIDE WHO TO VOTE FOR?
| TOTAL |
Lincoln |
Holt |
| Within the Last Week (13%) |
72% |
28% |
| Earlier Than That (87%) |
53% |
47% |
YOUR VOTE FOR PRESIDENT WAS MOSTLY...
| TOTAL |
Lincoln |
Holt |
| For Your Candidate (66%) |
49% |
51% |
| Against His Opponent (29%) |
69% |
31% |
MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE
| TOTAL |
Lincoln |
Holt |
| Taxes (4%) |
76% |
24% |
| Education (4%) |
79% |
21% |
| Iraq (13%) |
81% |
19% |
| Terrorism (12%) |
37% |
63% |
| Economy/Jobs (20%) |
90% |
10% |
| Moral Values (33%) |
21% |
79% |
| Health Care (5%) |
85% |
15% |
HOW BUSH IS HANDLING HIS JOB
| TOTAL |
Lincoln |
Holt |
| Strongly Approve (33%) |
16% |
84% |
| Somewhat Approve (21%) |
39% |
61% |
| Somewhat Disapprove (12%) |
82% |
18% |
| Strongly Disapprove (33%) |
97% |
3% |
HOW BUSH IS HANDLING HIS JOB
| TOTAL |
Lincoln |
Holt |
| Approve (55%) |
25% |
75% |
| Disapprove (45%) |
93% |
7% |
MOST IMPORTANT QUALITY
| TOTAL |
Lincoln |
Holt |
| Cares About People (10%) |
79% |
21% |
| Religious Faith (16%) |
17% |
83% |
| Honest/Trustworthy (9%) |
32% |
68% |
| Strong Leader (17%) |
36% |
64% |
| Intelligent (4%) |
95% |
5% |
| Will Bring Change (24%) |
95% |
5% |
| Clear Stand on Issue (13%) |
41% |
59% |
COMPARED TO FOUR YEARS AGO, U.S. IS...
| TOTAL |
Lincoln |
Holt |
| Safer From Terrorism (55%) |
31% |
69% |
| Less Safe (41%) |
87% |
13% |
FAMILY'S FINANCIAL SITUATION
| TOTAL |
Lincoln |
Holt |
| Better (28%) |
28% |
72% |
| Worse (32%) |
86% |
14% |
| Same (39%) |
50% |
50% |
DECISION TO GO TO WAR IN IRAQ
| TOTAL |
Lincoln |
Holt |
| Strongly Approve (30%) |
19% |
81% |
| Somewhat Approve (25%) |
39% |
61% |
| Somewhat Disapprove (14%) |
82% |
18% |
| Strongly Disapprove (30%) |
94% |
6% |
DECISION TO GO TO WAR IN IRAQ
| TOTAL |
Lincoln |
Holt |
| Approve (53%) |
28% |
72% |
| Disapprove (43%) |
90% |
10% |
TRUST KERRY TO HANDLE TERRORISM?
| TOTAL |
Lincoln |
Holt |
| Yes (36%) |
91% |
9% |
| No (59%) |
33% |
67% |
TRUST BUSH TO HANDLE TERRORISM?
| TOTAL |
Lincoln |
Holt |
| Yes (58%) |
30% |
70% |
| No (38%) |
93% |
7% |
VOTE BY SIZE OF COMMUNITY
| TOTAL |
Lincoln |
Holt |
| Big Cities (-) |
* |
* |
| Smaller Cities (20%) |
65% |
35% |
| Suburbs (7%) |
51% |
49% |
| Small Towns (26%) |
48% |
52% |
| Rural (47%) |
57% |
43% |
VOTE BY SIZE OF COMMUNITY
| TOTAL |
Lincoln |
Holt |
| Urban (20%) |
65% |
35% |
| Suburban (7%) |
51% |
49% |
| Rural (73%) |
54% |
46% |
VOTE BY REGION
| TOTAL |
Lincoln |
Holt |
| Eastern Arkansas (21%) |
62% |
38% |
| Little Rock (27%) |
59% |
41% |
| Northwestern Ark. (32%) |
48% |
52% |
| Southern Arkansas (20%) |
60% |
40% |
VOTE FOR PRESIDENT
| TOTAL |
Lincoln |
Holt |
| Kerry (45%) |
95% |
5% |
| Bush (54%) |
22% |
78% |
| Nader (1%) |
* |
* |
|
|


|