U.S. PRESIDENT / OREGON / EXIT POLL
|
1,064 Respondents |
Updated: 2:06 p.m. |
VOTE BY GENDER |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Male (45%) |
56% |
+3 |
43% |
|
Female (55%) |
41% |
+0 |
59% |
|
VOTE BY RACE AND GENDER |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
White Men (41%) |
58% |
n/a |
40% |
|
White Women (52%) |
43% |
n/a |
57% |
|
Non-White Men (3%) |
41% |
n/a |
59% |
|
Non-White Women (3%) |
12% |
n/a |
87% |
|
VOTE BY RACE |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
White (93%) |
50% |
+3 |
50% |
|
African-American (1%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
|
Latino (3%) |
17% |
n/a |
83% |
|
Asian (1%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
|
Other (2%) |
40% |
n/a |
59% |
|
VOTE BY AGE |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
18-29 (13%) |
37% |
-9 |
62% |
|
30-44 (26%) |
53% |
+7 |
46% |
|
45-59 (31%) |
44% |
-6 |
55% |
|
60 and Older (29%) |
52% |
+9 |
48% |
|
VOTE BY AGE |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
18-64 (80%) |
47% |
+0 |
53% |
|
65 and Older (20%) |
53% |
+11 |
47% |
|
VOTE BY INCOME |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Under $15,000 (6%) |
31% |
n/a |
68% |
|
$15-30,000 (15%) |
37% |
n/a |
63% |
|
$30-50,000 (24%) |
53% |
n/a |
47% |
|
$50-75,000 (26%) |
53% |
n/a |
47% |
|
$75-100,000 (12%) |
46% |
n/a |
54% |
|
$100-150,000 (9%) |
44% |
n/a |
55% |
|
$150-200,000 (3%) |
41% |
n/a |
58% |
|
$200,000 or More (5%) |
52% |
n/a |
48% |
|
VOTE BY INCOME |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Less Than $50,000 (45%) |
45% |
n/a |
55% |
|
$50,000 or More (55%) |
49% |
n/a |
50% |
|
VOTE BY INCOME |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Less Than $100,000 (83%) |
47% |
n/a |
52% |
|
$100,000 or More (17%) |
46% |
n/a |
54% |
|
ANYONE IN HOUSEHOLD IN A UNION? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Yes (22%) |
36% |
n/a |
63% |
|
No (78%) |
51% |
n/a |
49% |
|
ARE YOU A UNION MEMBER? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Yes (13%) |
40% |
n/a |
60% |
|
No (87%) |
48% |
n/a |
51% |
|
VOTE BY EDUCATION |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
No High School (4%) |
42% |
-6 |
57% |
|
H.S. Graduate (19%) |
55% |
+0 |
44% |
|
Some College (38%) |
52% |
+9 |
47% |
|
College Graduate (24%) |
47% |
+0 |
53% |
|
Postgrad Study (15%) |
28% |
-9 |
72% |
|
VOTE BY EDUCATION |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
No College Degree (61%) |
52% |
n/a |
47% |
|
College Graduate (39%) |
40% |
n/a |
60% |
|
VOTE BY PARTY ID |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Democrat (32%) |
8% |
-2 |
91% |
|
Republican (34%) |
93% |
+1 |
7% |
|
Independent (34%) |
40% |
-2 |
58% |
|
VOTE BY IDEOLOGY |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Liberal (27%) |
5% |
-5 |
95% |
|
Moderate (39%) |
43% |
+3 |
57% |
|
Conservative (34%) |
89% |
+7 |
10% |
|
HAVE YOU EVER VOTED BEFORE? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
No (8%) |
32% |
n/a |
66% |
|
Yes (92%) |
48% |
n/a |
51% |
|
VOTE BY RELIGION |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Protestant (55%) |
60% |
+1 |
40% |
|
Catholic (11%) |
42% |
-5 |
58% |
|
Jewish (2%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
|
Other (4%) |
7% |
n/a |
93% |
|
None (28%) |
32% |
+10 |
66% |
|
ARE YOU A WHITE CONSERVATIVE PROTESTANT? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Yes (21%) |
91% |
n/a |
8% |
|
No (79%) |
36% |
n/a |
63% |
|
WHITE EVANGELICAL/BORN-AGAIN? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Yes (32%) |
76% |
n/a |
24% |
|
No (68%) |
34% |
n/a |
65% |
|
ARE YOU MARRIED? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Yes (67%) |
53% |
+0 |
46% |
|
No (33%) |
37% |
+4 |
62% |
|
YOUR VOTE FOR PRESIDENT WAS MOSTLY... |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
For Your Candidate (60%) |
61% |
n/a |
39% |
|
Against His Opponent (33%) |
24% |
n/a |
76% |
|
STATE ECONOMY |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Excellent (1%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
|
Good (27%) |
73% |
n/a |
26% |
|
Not So Good (48%) |
39% |
n/a |
60% |
|
Poor (22%) |
23% |
n/a |
76% |
|
HOW BUSH IS HANDLING HIS JOB |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Strongly Approve (23%) |
99% |
n/a |
0% |
|
Somewhat Approve (23%) |
91% |
n/a |
9% |
|
Somewhat Disapprove (11%) |
28% |
n/a |
68% |
|
Strongly Disapprove (43%) |
0% |
n/a |
99% |
|
HOW BUSH IS HANDLING HIS JOB |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Approve (46%) |
95% |
n/a |
5% |
|
Disapprove (54%) |
6% |
n/a |
93% |
|
MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Taxes (3%) |
80% |
n/a |
14% |
|
Education (4%) |
30% |
n/a |
70% |
|
Iraq (28%) |
26% |
n/a |
73% |
|
Terrorism (15%) |
90% |
n/a |
10% |
|
Economy/Jobs (19%) |
18% |
n/a |
81% |
|
Moral Values (22%) |
78% |
n/a |
21% |
|
Health Care (6%) |
9% |
n/a |
91% |
|
MOST IMPORTANT QUALITY |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Cares About People (6%) |
38% |
n/a |
61% |
|
Religious Faith (6%) |
89% |
n/a |
11% |
|
Honest/Trustworthy (14%) |
60% |
n/a |
39% |
|
Strong Leader (18%) |
87% |
n/a |
13% |
|
Intelligent (10%) |
3% |
n/a |
97% |
|
Will Bring Change (28%) |
5% |
n/a |
94% |
|
Clear Stand on Issue (15%) |
78% |
n/a |
21% |
|
COMPARED TO FOUR YEARS AGO, U.S. IS... |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Safer From Terrorism (47%) |
84% |
n/a |
16% |
|
Less Safe (47%) |
11% |
n/a |
88% |
|
DECISION TO GO TO WAR IN IRAQ |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Strongly Approve (24%) |
94% |
n/a |
6% |
|
Somewhat Approve (22%) |
82% |
n/a |
16% |
|
Somewhat Disapprove (13%) |
36% |
n/a |
63% |
|
Strongly Disapprove (41%) |
4% |
n/a |
95% |
|
DECISION TO GO TO WAR IN IRAQ |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Approve (45%) |
89% |
n/a |
11% |
|
Disapprove (54%) |
12% |
n/a |
87% |
|
HOW THINGS ARE GOING FOR U.S. IN IRAQ |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Very Well (7%) |
98% |
n/a |
2% |
|
Somewhat Well (33%) |
92% |
n/a |
7% |
|
Somewhat Badly (20%) |
35% |
n/a |
63% |
|
Very Badly (38%) |
2% |
n/a |
97% |
|
HOW ARE THINGS GOING FOR U.S. IN IRAQ? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Well (40%) |
93% |
n/a |
6% |
|
Badly (58%) |
14% |
n/a |
85% |
|
TRUST KERRY TO HANDLE THE ECONOMY? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Yes (49%) |
13% |
n/a |
87% |
|
No (49%) |
81% |
n/a |
18% |
|
TRUST BUSH TO HANDLE THE ECONOMY? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Yes (43%) |
92% |
n/a |
8% |
|
No (57%) |
12% |
n/a |
86% |
|
FAMILY'S FINANCIAL SITUATION |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Better (28%) |
76% |
+44 |
24% |
|
Worse (25%) |
16% |
-47 |
83% |
|
Same (46%) |
46% |
-9 |
53% |
|
TRUST KERRY TO HANDLE TERRORISM? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Yes (43%) |
7% |
n/a |
93% |
|
No (55%) |
78% |
n/a |
20% |
|
TRUST BUSH TO HANDLE TERRORISM? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Yes (53%) |
83% |
n/a |
17% |
|
No (45%) |
4% |
n/a |
94% |
|
WILL VOTES BE COUNTED ACCURATELY? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Very Confident (51%) |
46% |
n/a |
54% |
|
Somewhat Confident (41%) |
45% |
n/a |
54% |
|
Not Very Confident (6%) |
62% |
n/a |
36% |
|
Not At All Confident (1%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
|
WILL VOTES BE COUNTED ACCURATELY? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Confident (91%) |
46% |
n/a |
54% |
|
Not Confident (7%) |
56% |
n/a |
40% |
|
WHICH IS MORE IMPORTANT? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Environment (34%) |
17% |
n/a |
81% |
|
Jobs (57%) |
64% |
n/a |
36% |
|
VOTE BY SIZE OF COMMUNITY |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Big Cities (15%) |
27% |
n/a |
73% |
|
Smaller Cities (19%) |
34% |
n/a |
65% |
|
Suburbs (37%) |
54% |
n/a |
45% |
|
Small Towns (13%) |
59% |
n/a |
39% |
|
Rural (17%) |
66% |
n/a |
34% |
|
VOTE BY SIZE OF COMMUNITY |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Urban (-) |
* |
n/a |
* |
|
Suburban (-) |
* |
n/a |
* |
|
Rural (-) |
* |
n/a |
* |
|
VOTE BY REGION |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Multnomah County (20%) |
34% |
n/a |
66% |
|
NW Pacific Coast (20%) |
39% |
n/a |
61% |
|
Suburbs/Capital Area (35%) |
49% |
n/a |
50% |
|
South/East Oregon (26%) |
64% |
n/a |
35% |
|
VOTE FOR U.S. SENATE |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Democrat (64%) |
22% |
n/a |
78% |
|
Republican (32%) |
97% |
n/a |
3% |
|
VOTE ON MEASURE 33 |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Yes (44%) |
27% |
n/a |
72% |
|
No (56%) |
65% |
n/a |
35% |
|
|
|
|