BALLOT MEASURES / ARIZONA PROPOSITION 200 / EXIT POLL
 |
| 1,781 Respondents |
Updated: 2:05 p.m. |
VOTE BY GENDER
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Male (48%) |
58% |
42% |
| Female (52%) |
54% |
46% |
VOTE BY RACE AND GENDER
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| White Men (37%) |
60% |
40% |
| White Women (42%) |
52% |
48% |
| Non-White Men (11%) |
51% |
49% |
| Non-White Women (11%) |
58% |
42% |
VOTE BY RACE
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| White (79%) |
56% |
44% |
| African-American (2%) |
* |
* |
| Latino (12%) |
47% |
53% |
| Asian (1%) |
* |
* |
| Other (5%) |
66% |
34% |
VOTE BY AGE
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| 18-29 (15%) |
56% |
44% |
| 30-44 (28%) |
58% |
42% |
| 45-59 (32%) |
54% |
46% |
| 60 and Older (25%) |
54% |
46% |
VOTE BY AGE
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| 18-64 (82%) |
56% |
44% |
| 65 and Older (18%) |
54% |
46% |
VOTE BY INCOME
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Under $15,000 (8%) |
72% |
28% |
| $15-30,000 (13%) |
49% |
51% |
| $30-50,000 (20%) |
56% |
44% |
| $50-75,000 (20%) |
54% |
46% |
| $75-100,000 (15%) |
61% |
39% |
| $100-150,000 (12%) |
49% |
51% |
| $150-200,000 (3%) |
41% |
59% |
| $200,000 or More (4%) |
59% |
41% |
VOTE BY INCOME
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Less Than $50,000 (43%) |
57% |
43% |
| $50,000 or More (57%) |
54% |
46% |
VOTE BY INCOME
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Less Than $100,000 (80%) |
57% |
43% |
| $100,000 or More (20%) |
50% |
50% |
VOTE BY EDUCATION
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| No High School (3%) |
56% |
44% |
| H.S. Graduate (17%) |
61% |
39% |
| Some College (35%) |
61% |
39% |
| College Graduate (27%) |
55% |
45% |
| Postgrad Study (18%) |
42% |
58% |
VOTE BY EDUCATION
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| No College Degree (55%) |
61% |
39% |
| College Graduate (45%) |
50% |
50% |
VOTE BY PARTY ID
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Democrat (30%) |
42% |
58% |
| Republican (43%) |
70% |
30% |
| Independent (27%) |
51% |
49% |
VOTE BY IDEOLOGY
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Liberal (19%) |
33% |
67% |
| Moderate (43%) |
55% |
45% |
| Conservative (37%) |
70% |
30% |
HAVE YOU EVER VOTED BEFORE?
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| No (12%) |
58% |
42% |
| Yes (88%) |
55% |
45% |
HAVE YOU EVER SERVED IN THE MILITARY?
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Yes (20%) |
64% |
36% |
| No (80%) |
54% |
46% |
VOTE BY RELIGION
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Protestant (53%) |
62% |
38% |
| Catholic (24%) |
55% |
45% |
| Jewish (2%) |
* |
* |
| Other (7%) |
42% |
58% |
| None (15%) |
43% |
57% |
ARE YOU A WHITE CONSERVATIVE PROTESTANT?
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Yes (17%) |
73% |
27% |
| No (83%) |
53% |
47% |
WHEN DID YOU DECIDE WHO TO VOTE FOR?
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Today (5%) |
65% |
35% |
| Last Three Days (3%) |
* |
* |
| Last Week (1%) |
* |
* |
| Last Month (10%) |
64% |
36% |
| Before That (80%) |
54% |
46% |
WHEN DID YOU DECIDE WHO TO VOTE FOR?
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Today/Last 3 Days (9%) |
63% |
37% |
| Earlier Than That (91%) |
56% |
44% |
WHEN DID YOU DECIDE WHO TO VOTE FOR?
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Within the Last Week (10%) |
63% |
37% |
| Earlier Than That (90%) |
56% |
44% |
YOUR VOTE FOR PRESIDENT WAS MOSTLY...
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| For Your Candidate (69%) |
58% |
42% |
| Against His Opponent (26%) |
48% |
52% |
STATE ECONOMY
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Excellent (8%) |
73% |
27% |
| Good (56%) |
58% |
42% |
| Not So Good (28%) |
46% |
54% |
| Poor (7%) |
43% |
57% |
HOW BUSH IS HANDLING HIS JOB
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Strongly Approve (37%) |
71% |
29% |
| Somewhat Approve (19%) |
64% |
36% |
| Somewhat Disapprove (11%) |
51% |
49% |
| Strongly Disapprove (32%) |
34% |
66% |
HOW BUSH IS HANDLING HIS JOB
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Approve (57%) |
68% |
32% |
| Disapprove (42%) |
38% |
62% |
MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Taxes (5%) |
58% |
42% |
| Education (5%) |
43% |
57% |
| Iraq (22%) |
46% |
54% |
| Terrorism (22%) |
68% |
32% |
| Economy/Jobs (13%) |
52% |
48% |
| Moral Values (22%) |
59% |
41% |
| Health Care (7%) |
52% |
48% |
MOST IMPORTANT QUALITY
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Cares About People (8%) |
58% |
42% |
| Religious Faith (8%) |
60% |
40% |
| Honest/Trustworthy (14%) |
61% |
39% |
| Strong Leader (22%) |
69% |
31% |
| Intelligent (8%) |
26% |
74% |
| Will Bring Change (22%) |
45% |
55% |
| Clear Stand on Issue (13%) |
61% |
39% |
COMPARED TO FOUR YEARS AGO, U.S. IS...
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Safer From Terrorism (56%) |
66% |
34% |
| Less Safe (40%) |
41% |
59% |
LEGAL IMMIGRATION SHOULD BE...
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Increased (23%) |
49% |
51% |
| Decreased (35%) |
64% |
36% |
| Kept the Same (38%) |
50% |
50% |
MCCAIN SUPPORT FOR BUSH MADE YOU...
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| More Likely for Bush (13%) |
64% |
36% |
| Less Likely for Bush (6%) |
48% |
52% |
| No Effect (81%) |
54% |
46% |
DECISION TO GO TO WAR IN IRAQ
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Strongly Approve (33%) |
72% |
28% |
| Somewhat Approve (22%) |
63% |
37% |
| Somewhat Disapprove (13%) |
47% |
53% |
| Strongly Disapprove (31%) |
36% |
64% |
DECISION TO GO TO WAR IN IRAQ
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Approve (54%) |
69% |
31% |
| Disapprove (43%) |
40% |
60% |
HOW THINGS ARE GOING FOR U.S. IN IRAQ
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Very Well (11%) |
74% |
26% |
| Somewhat Well (39%) |
69% |
31% |
| Somewhat Badly (18%) |
47% |
53% |
| Very Badly (31%) |
37% |
63% |
HOW ARE THINGS GOING FOR U.S. IN IRAQ?
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Well (50%) |
70% |
30% |
| Badly (48%) |
40% |
60% |
TRUST KERRY TO HANDLE THE ECONOMY?
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Yes (42%) |
41% |
59% |
| No (55%) |
67% |
33% |
TRUST BUSH TO HANDLE THE ECONOMY?
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Yes (55%) |
67% |
33% |
| No (45%) |
42% |
58% |
FAMILY'S FINANCIAL SITUATION
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Better (34%) |
68% |
32% |
| Worse (23%) |
44% |
56% |
| Same (42%) |
52% |
48% |
TRUST KERRY TO HANDLE TERRORISM?
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Yes (38%) |
40% |
60% |
| No (59%) |
66% |
34% |
TRUST BUSH TO HANDLE TERRORISM?
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Yes (61%) |
65% |
35% |
| No (36%) |
39% |
61% |
VOTE BY SIZE OF COMMUNITY
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Big Cities (24%) |
55% |
45% |
| Smaller Cities (25%) |
51% |
49% |
| Suburbs (37%) |
58% |
42% |
| Small Towns (9%) |
62% |
38% |
| Rural (5%) |
61% |
39% |
VOTE BY SIZE OF COMMUNITY
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Urban (50%) |
54% |
46% |
| Suburban (35%) |
59% |
41% |
| Rural (15%) |
57% |
43% |
VOTE BY REGION
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Maricopa County (57%) |
57% |
43% |
| Pima/Pinal/Sta Cruz (23%) |
49% |
51% |
| Rest of Arizona (20%) |
62% |
38% |
VOTE FOR PRESIDENT
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Kerry (45%) |
40% |
60% |
| Bush (54%) |
69% |
31% |
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