Wednesday, January 02, 2008
Twas the Night before Caucus
--David Gergen, CNN Senior Political Analyst

With Iowa polls showing races in both parties neck and neck, each campaign has been thinking up its dream scenario -- and worst nightmare. Here is what they may be thinking:

Hillary's best outcome -- a decisive victory, Edwards 2nd, Obama 3rd.
Hillary's nightmare -- decisive Obama victory, Edwards 2nd, HRC dragging at 3rd.

Obama's dream -- a decisive victory, Edwards 2nd, HRC dragging at 3rd.
His nightmare -- HRC wins decisively, Edwards 2nd, he disappoints at 3rd.

Edward's dream -- decisive win, Obama 2nd, HRC far back at 3rd.
Big danger for him -- coming in 2nd.
His nightmare -- HRC or Obama win, he comes in 3rd.

Romney's dream -- decisive win, Huckabee 2nd, McCain in single digits.
His nightmare -- Huckabee wins, McCain virtually tied with Romney for 2nd.

Huckabee's dream -- decisive win, Romney mired in a deep 2nd, McCain a dismal third. Huckabee's nightmare -- a weak 2nd.

McCain's dream -- A surprise showing anywhere up near the top.
His nightmare -- a distant 3rd in low single digits.

Giuliani's dream -- Huckabee wins big, Romney a distant 2nd, Rudy wins more than McCain.
His nightmare -- Romney wins big, everyone else scattered, he is nearly invisible.

We'd welcome alternative dreams -- and nightmares -- from you!
Posted By CNN: 11:48 AM ET
  8 Comments
David,
My biggest nightmare is Hillary becoming president!! That is SCARY!!

Cynthia, Covington, Ga.
Posted By Blogger Cindy : 12:09 PM ET
"Twas the night before Caucus"?? It sounds much more like "WHEN OUT IN THE IOWA CORNFIELD THERE AROSE SUCH A CLATTER." Yikes!
Posted By Blogger Lewis : 1:28 PM ET
My dream is that someone more qualified than all of these jokers comes out of nowhere and leads this country to bigger and better things with integrity and honesty. It is a new year, and I am entitled to hope big. In reality, I'm weighing options and choosing the lesser of evils and who will inflict the least amount of damage in four years instead of who I think is best for us as a nation. And if I ever figure that one out, it'll shock me. Right now, all of them are pretty scary options for us as a nation.
Posted By Anonymous Tammy, Berwick, LA : 1:29 PM ET
Yikes, there are a few of these candidates who are giving me nightmares! I hope Iowans vote intelligently.
Posted By Anonymous Kathy Chicago,Il : 6:41 PM ET
My dream is that Mike Bloomberg announces he is running for president after this Iowa circus.
Posted By Blogger Kevin : 10:47 PM ET
On the Republican side my worst nightmare - a Huckabee win. My dream - McCain wins.

On the Dems - nightmare would be Obama or Clinton winning. Dream - Edwards or Biden or Richardson wins.

All the ups and downs in the polls make me think that we could have some real surprises tomorrow. It would be great if one of those surprises would be that experience gets the nod over popularity.

Annie Kate
Birmingham AL
Posted By Blogger Annie Kate : 10:49 PM ET
Dear David Gergen,

The dream and nightmare configurations have become like a number combination game. And the numbers are steady variables each time, no matter how you twist and turn the outcome: No alternatives beyond!
Posted By Anonymous Ratna, New York, NY : 8:33 PM ET
Dear David,

You accurately predicted both dreams and nightmares. It's fascinating to read them the day after the Iowa Caucus, where many of them have come true.

Best,
Allison
Posted By Anonymous Allison Shapira : 11:23 AM ET
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