Wednesday, January 02, 2008
Iowa newcomers take all?
--Barclay Palmer, 360 Senior Producer

More newcomers than regulars might turn out on caucus day, a Des Moines Register polls finds.

Who'd benefit? The Washington Post says Obama, who's been asking independents to join the fun.

This has been the question in so many elections, and here it is again: will independents make the difference?

And if Iowa's winter weather is especially harsh on Thursday, how will THAT tip the scales?

We'd like to know what you think.
Posted By CNN: 12:29 PM ET
  5 Comments
Barclay,
Well newcomers are always gung ho to vote when they first start because they think they really can make a difference. Where as "regulars" know that this Iowa caucus doesn't really decide the whole deal. So I can see why the poll showed what it did.

If there is bad weather I'd say ALOT of regulars stay home!

As far as who benefits from independents I'd say Obama because he is more along the lines of their views more so than Hillary or Edwards. But I can't see it tipping the scales too much.

Cynthia, Covington, Ga.
Posted By Blogger Cindy : 1:00 PM ET
Based on people I know and things I'm hearing here, I think that there will be a very large number of registered democrats who have never caucused before taking part this year...my husband and I amongst them. There will also be many independents who will register democratic to participate tomorrow...my son being one of these. This election seems to be very important to everyone and we want our views to count. I agree that these new participants will greatly benefit Obama and to a lesser extent, Edwards. There's no question that it will be an interesting day in Iowa tomorrow!
Posted By Anonymous Carrie, Iowa City, IA : 3:45 PM ET
The whole caucus thing confuses me. I saw the caucus 101 earlier, but it's still confusing. Good thing my state has a primary!

The weather never kept me from voting, so hopefully the Iowans? will feel the same.
Posted By Anonymous Jess, Paris, KY : 4:00 PM ET
i'd have to agree with the WaPo. Obama has the indie edge at the moment, though i believe Edwards is close behind... Clinton? no way. i wouldn't be surprised if it's 1. Obama; 2. Edwards; 3. Clinton.
Posted By Blogger marc : 6:00 PM ET
In bad weather traditionally voter turnout is low but this might be the exception to the case especially if the independents are passionate about the candidate they have decided on.

I'd like to see a really good turnout and some of the also-runs do much better than expected. No detraction to the top-runners but especially on the Democratic side some of the best candidates are at the bottom of the heap right now. Would be really great if they reaped a lot of the votes from the undecided faction so they can continue to run and perhaps become a top runner themselves.

Annie KAte
Birmingham AL
Posted By Blogger Annie Kate : 8:07 PM ET
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