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Wednesday, January 02, 2008

Iowa: Anderson's View

Much has been said about this long election season that we are in. It started earlier than ever before, and there's more choice in both parties than we've ever seen.

No doubt for people in Iowa and New Hampshire it must feel like this has been going on forever. They've seen endless numbers of commercials and campaign events. But one thing that is good about this election is that I feel like all of us are able to make far more informed choices than perhaps ever before.

No one can say they haven't had an opportunity to find out where the candidates stand on issues, and what kind of people they are. There have been more than enough debates and other chances for people to learn about the contenders.

Tomorrow night the Iowa caucuses take place, and for both republicans and democrats it is anybody's race. With so many undecided voters, the polls can't really tell us that much. Of course, it's not clear those undecided voters will bother to come out on caucus night.

David Gergen gave us his analysis on the blog about the dream scenarios and nightmare scenarios for each candidate. I'm curious to hear who you think will place in the top three and in what order in each party. Who do you think will be celebrating tomorrow night, and who will be licking their wounds?

-- Anderson Cooper

Posted By CNN: 4:27 PM ET
46 Comments

Anderson,

There has been a lot of blah blah, but do we really know where the candidates stand? It seems like shifting sand.

I am not enthused about anyone really. I think it would be great if things got really shaken up. How about Biden coming in first for the Democrats and Ron Paul for the Republicans? Now that would make things exciting. Forced back to reality, I think the horses will finish as follows:

Dems-#1 Obama, #2 Hillary, #3 Edwards
Repub-#1 Huckabee, #2 McCain, #3 Romney

CA's primary is weeks away and I don't know who I will vote for. If I chose today it would probably be someone who will not even be in the race come February.

Charlotte, Stockton CA

Posted By

Charlotte : 5:10 PM ET

Hey Anderson,

You're right, this has been a long election season and it's far from over.

I've been following the candidates closely and I still don't know who's going to get my vote. There are several things I like about each candidate, from both parties. But, there are several things I don't like as well.

I think many Americans feel the same way, so at this point I couldn't hazard a guess as to who will win (or lose) tomorrow.

See you this evening.

Mindy
Surprise, AZ

Posted By

Mindy : 5:10 PM ET

I believe that for the Dems it will turn out to be a tight 3 way finish between Clinton, Obama and Edwards, with them finishing with only several percentage points between them. I'd be surprised if one of them ran away with it, really. I still can't make up my mind between them!

For the Republicans, Mitt Romney and Huckabee will probably come in one and two.

Posted By

Holly from Florida : 5:10 PM ET

Anderson,
I think all of the election stuff starts WAY too early now in my opinion!! I am just about sick of it and the elections aren't even near yet!! I can't imagine how it's going to be in the last stretch!!

I think Hillary will win in Iowa with Obama a very close second. On the Reps side I'd have to say although Huckabee shows promise I think Romney will win just because Huckabee has gotten caught in some mess ups here lately. But knowing me I'll probably get all of these wrong!! LOL

So tell us who you think will get the nod! Come on Coop!!

C-Ya tonight!!

Cynthia, Covington, Ga.

Posted By

Cindy : 5:10 PM ET

I can't wait for these primaries to be over and done with so we can all move on and stop the bleeding!
I have mixed emotions about the candidates. I'm in love with Obama, I respect Clinton (what a woman, I mean if she can survive the storm of her marriage, she can survive anything), I have affection for Richardson, and I'll take Hucklebee over any other in that party (even if I disagree with all his choices!).
I will vote with my heart and my head, so I hope Clinton and Obama come on top. Oh, and I really do also like Edwards. Ugg. Too many choices. Let's whittle down the candiates so we can all get a rest.
Ambivalent in Oregon.
It's raining here, how's it where you are Anderson?
Kindest Regards,
Tita

Posted By

Tita : 5:23 PM ET

I really have no idea who is going to win in Iowa, since even the latest polls do not agree. But after reading a description of how the Iowa caucuses work, it seems to me that an undecided voter might well stay home, especially if the weather is bad.

What amazes me is how much time and money are being spent on such a small state as Iowa, especially since the winner only sometimes goes on to gain the party's nomination. Not that I'm complaining, but I live in the largest state in the union and our primary is just over a month away. I haven't seen any ads on tv, thank God, nor received any candidate's mail. This doesn't make sense to me. Can you explain it?

Posted By

Barbara in Culver City, CA : 5:25 PM ET

Posted By

Barbara in Culver City, CA : 5:25 PM ET

I'm thinking that the Democrats will stack up: Clinton, Obama, Edwards. As for the Republicans: Romney, Huckabee, Thompson.

Posted By

ninapatina designs : 5:27 PM ET

Hi Anderson. I'm not sure we're necessarily more informed this election than in others. Sure, there's a ton of information out there, but much of it is static that you have to cut through to get to the good stuff.

Does it matter how much Edwards paid for a haircut or that Chuck Norris is endorsing Huckabee? No, it doesn't. But those are the things that make the headlines. The debates are a good tool, but they've been dominated by too many candidates. Ultimately it's up to the voter to really make an effort to educate themselves.

How do I think things will turn out tomorrow? I have no idea. And neither does anyone else. But I can't wait to find out.

Posted By

eliza : 5:30 PM ET

The biggest advantage to these caucuses is that it acquaints ALL Americans with the candidates. Maybe not on the intimate level that Iowans and New Hampshirites (sp?) enjoy. And although this campaign season seems to have been going on since 2006, it's my hope that the voting public will at least somewhere along the weary trail to the general election pay attention and get motivated to go to the polls the first Tuesday in November. And while the Electoral College has the final say in the ultimate outcome of who gets to sit in the Oval Office January 20th 2009, if you voted, you have the right to rejoice or complain.
Who'll ultimately come out as the leader in each party? That's a tough call. While I personally lean towards John Edwards of South Carolina, it will likely come down to who I think will do the least amount of damage, yet again this election cycle...we desperately need a third party. Can anyone talk Mike Bloomberg into running???

Shannon Adams
Charlottesville, VA

Posted By

sea12856 : 5:31 PM ET

Hi Anderson, I must say I'm starting to feel really excited about the election. My top 3 after the Iowa caucus? Clinton, Obama, and Edwards on the Democrat side, and Romney, Giuliani, and Huckabee on the Republican side. In that order.

I have a message for everyone. For those who have already decided, good for you, stay informed, and may your decision be a result of careful thought and deliberation. If you're undecided, I hope you get the information you need to make a decision that's right for you and your family. For those who decide not to vote, I hope you change your mind and realize that your votes do count. A close election can be decided by just a few votes. There are people in this world who die for the right to vote. We Americans already have this right and this opportunity...so please, let's exercise this right in one of the most important elections of our lifetime. Thank you.

Thanks, Anderson, and I'll see you tonight!
Lilibeth
Edmonds, Washington

Posted By

Lilibeth : 5:34 PM ET

test

Posted By

Ted Fine, Anytown, CT : 5:34 PM ET

Do we really have another 10 months to go?

Posted By

Abby : 5:36 PM ET

I cannot help but feel privileged to be a part of a history-making election. I've been watching the whole way through and still feel like anything could happen in the end, and that's the beauty of the electoral process.

Democrats: 1)Clinton 2)Obama 3)Edwards

Republicans: 1)Huckabee 2)Romney 3)McCain (although I'm not really sure)

I think Rudy Giuliani (and McCain) really hurt themselves by not focusing on Iowa until the last minute. I personally think the Democrats have it going on here.

Posted By

Aruna, Minneapolis, MN : 5:45 PM ET

Hi Anderson!

although I am not American, I am following the campaign with a lot of curiousity (i guess i did the same over the last American election as well...), with so much turmoil all over the world, the future of a lot of things depend on it.

Hana - Toronto, Ontario - Canada

Posted By

Hana : 5:48 PM ET

Love Obama.
Respect Clinton (if she can survive her marriage, she can survive anything!)
Like Richardson, and Edwards.
Can we get this over with and stop the bleeding???
It's gonna be Obama/Clinton or Clinton/Obama. That's the ticket.
On the Republican side: Huckabee
(he's nice enough, hate his politics), and hopefully NOT ROMNEY (ugg) and McCain (your time has passed!!).
Kind Regards,
Viva Anderson.
Tita

Posted By

Tita : 5:52 PM ET

Hmmm... this is just a swag but I will go with the following:

Democrats: Obama, Hillary and Edwards

Repubicans: Romney, Huckabee, and McCain

I do agree that the coverage started way too early. At times, I just disengage and hate to say, flip the channel. (Sorry AC360 team) Now that the holidays are over, my interest is picking up a bit and I am curious to see how everything shakes out in Iowa on Thursday. It does seem like those You Tube debates were ages ago or is it just me..

Posted By

Mary H. St. Louis, MO : 5:55 PM ET

Hey Anderson:

I do not know who will do well in Iowa. However, here is who I HOPE WILL do well .....

Democrats: Biden, Obama, Edwards

Republicans: McCain, Rommney, Huickabee.

These are the folks from both parties whom I think are best for our nation.

My state is also an early-primary state and as of now I am still undecided on who will earn my vote.

Posted By

Mac : 5:58 PM ET

ah, political indecision...i agree that people have no right to complain about being ill informed this go 'round. i ship obama, because i am hopeful despite myself, but don't have any idea if people who want change will actually stand up for it. more than ever there is this inherent need for people to feel like change can happen and they can help it along. i'm far too realistic to be hopeful at this point, so much going on in the world that dwarfs our own petty partisonship. people don't seem to realize that just knowing when our elections will be without doubt, without fear, is a blessing. this entire political season (the endless debates, the crazy ads, the silly publicity stunts) they all leave me feeling like i'm in the episode of futurama where they spend the entire time talking about how important it is to vote, how different the cantidates are (who are actually clones of each other), and in the end none of them even remembers to get off the couch and stand for anything. ah, america. we'll see, we'll just have to wait and see...on a side note, i'm excited to see you keeping your resolution, i intend to blog daily this year as well. i'll comment religiously though probably not always intelligently, if you keep up the good work, as encouragment for our common goal.

Posted By

ribbitjen23 : 5:59 PM ET

"No one can say they haven't had an opportunity to find out where the candidates stand on issues, and what kind of people they are."

Well... that's kind of a stretch. Do we know how the candidates would deal with a flat tire? being upside-down on their mortgage? Needing to find an open pharmacy at 2 AM in a strange town?

I don't think so.

Posted By

Arachnae, Sterling VA : 5:59 PM ET

I think it's going to be very close, especially for the Democrats. I was thinking that Obama will win, if he does it will be close with Hillary second and Edwards third.

For the Republicans, I am still picking Huckabee to win with Romney second and McCain third.

The only thing I don't like is that such a small number of people in the Iowa caucus could very well determine the nominee of the one or both of the parties. I would prefer that the more populous states, such as my adopted home state of California, play a more important and pivotal role in the decision process.

Whoever wins among both the Republicans and Democrats will be in the spotlight as we head into New Hampshire.

Posted By

Mindy : 6:07 PM ET

Hi Anderson,

You make a good point about the length of this campaign giving a solid opportunity for everyone to fully understand where each candidate stands on certain issues. However, I think the length of campaigning has become slightly absurd. It has turned into mudslinging between the people with the most money, pure and simple. It disgusts me in general how much money is spent, and how the election has become so centered around it; but also how much bad-mouthing is going on. I don't know about you, but a candidate speaking poorly about another candidate does not make me like the first candidate any more than usual. It seems so childish and immature.

I think what needs to happen in this country, like other countries, is there needs to be a set campaign period which no can start beforehand. It would still leave enough time for the candidates to make their views known, but wouldn't be so ugly like it is now.

With respect to the caucuses, it's hard to say. I think Mike Huckabee may be the one to appeal to the evangelists, which is a solid demographic, but Romney is more likely to come out on top. As for the Dems, I'd like to see Obama in the lead. The question remains, however, is this country even ready for a female or African-American president? I'd like to say so, but I may be too optimistic.

Best,
Casey

Posted By

Casey : 6:18 PM ET

For the Democrats, I'd love to see: Biden, Richardson, Dodd
They are all very qualified, and it would make the political experts scramble for an explanation.

For the Republicans, Ron Paul is the only one worthy for consideration.

Also, I have a challenge for my fellow posters and CNN loyalists...each time you hear one of the anchors use the term "the best political team on television" put the denomination of your choice into a jar. If you they add "Emmy award winning..." double it. At the end of this political year, donate the money to your favorite charity.

Please do NOT turn this into a drinking game! Just listening to Wolf alone would destroy your liver.

Posted By

Jan from Wood Dale, IL : 6:31 PM ET

Hey there Anderson. Nice job handling Kathy on New Years. I saw the clips from your coverage last night :P

My bet is that Obama will win on the Democrat's side, and Huckabee will win not only in Iowa, but as the presidential candidate for the Republicans. Unfortunately, I suspect Clinton may win in the long run, but if Obama wins here the momentum may be considerable.

Greetings from Canada!

Posted By

Derricke : 6:41 PM ET

Hey Anderson,

I think it is a sign of old age, but I don't believe very much of what the candidates say. I mean be more optemistic, but unfortunately I am getting older and a bit wiser.

I look forward to having a democrat in office this time around, and I really do hope that they do what they say they will do for the Amercian people!

Fortunately at least you keep your word, I see that so far so good with the blogging!

KEEP UP THE GOOD WORK!

Thanks for all you do!

Liz, Chino Hills, CA

Democrats: Hillary, Obama, Edwards
Republicans: McCain, Romney, Huckabee

Posted By

beachlzrd : 6:43 PM ET

Hi Anderson, I must say I'm starting to feel really excited about the election. My top 3 predictions after the Iowa caucus? Clinton, Obama, and Edwards on the Democrat side, and Romney, Giuliani, and Huckabee on the Republican side. In that order.

I have a message for everyone. For those who have already decided, good for you, stay informed, and may your decision be a result of careful thought and deliberation. If you're undecided, I hope you get the information you need to make a decision that's right for you and your family. For those who decide not to vote, I hope you change your mind and realize that your votes do count. A close election can be decided by just a few votes. There are people in this world who die for the right to vote. We Americans already have this right and this opportunity...so please, let's exercise this right in one of the most important elections of our lifetime. Thank you.

Thanks, Anderson, and I'll see you tonight!
Lilibeth
Edmonds, Washington

Posted By

Lilibeth : 6:47 PM ET

I'm so glad I don't live in New Hampshire nor Iowa. Those residents must be so sick and tired of the constant bombarding of all those campaign commercials. TV viewing becomes annoying.

I believe in the "Our Father" prayer that most people are familiar with, at least vaguely; "let your kingdom come". To me that's the only real solution, God's Kingdom. After all, humanity has attempted to solve injustice, poverty, violence, hunger, disease, etc. with so many different types of governments, but what do we see around us? I think we need to look toward a Higher Source.

Anyhow, Anderson, I'll watch tonight as usual. I've learned a lot about politics and social issues with your show. I don't mind learning even when I don't agree. See ya!

Posted By

Mariela, New York, NY : 6:53 PM ET

I expect the democrats to come out in the same order they've been in for months: Clinton, Obama and Edwards.

I'm uncertain about the Republicans though. I think that with Huckabee's increasing profile, Giuliani might come out of Iowa limping, which is a shame because although I don't like his stance on the war, of all the GOP contenders, he frightens me the least on domestic issues.

Posted By

Michele Jackson, Northridge, CA : 6:55 PM ET

Hi AC! I bet Iowa will be glad when this is all over. This is so hard to call with all of this voting for a first and second, but here goes:

Dems #1 Hillary, #2 Obama,#3Edwards (I would love to see Biden at 3rd or 4th)

Reps #1 Huckabee #2 Rommney #3 McCain (I would love to see Ron Paul at 3rd or 4th)

I don't know how I'll do at predicting, but tomorrow should be interesting! Good luck to all of the candidates!

Posted By

Kathy Chicago,Il : 6:59 PM ET

Anderson,

For the Republicans, I hope McCain wins but I think it's going to be Huckabee. The Democrats, Hillary will win but just barely, with Obama a close second.

Kay
Temple, TX

Posted By

Kay : 7:00 PM ET

Dear Anderson,

Iowa has become even more important since many of the primaries have been moved up. Whoever loses tomorrow will not have much time to recover.

There doesn't seem to be that much of a difference between the front-runners of either party. I'd like to see somebody like Joe Biden get in there for the Democrats, but although he has more experience than all of the front runners put together he doesn't stand a chance because voters seem more interested in celebrity endorsements than qualifications. I am definitely in the minority because I am totally turned off by celebrity pimping.

Since you asked what we think not what we would like, here are my predictions:

Dems: #1Obama, #2Clinton, and #3 Edwards
Repub: #1Huckabee, #Romney, and #McCain

However, I don't think there will be a big winner in either party. It is possible that the undecided voters will just sit back and wait it out.

See you tonight,
Jo Ann
North Royalton, Ohio

Posted By

Jo Ann : 7:10 PM ET

Beware Anderson, bold blog below.

Huckabee is for mee!! I love him and what he stands for on all issues. Of course, his warm disposition doesn't hurt either. The proof is in the "SELECT A CANDIDATE QUIZ" AT www.wqad.com The quiz asks you a series of questions on everything from immigration, abortion, marriage, taxes etc. Based on your answers, it will rank all the candidates by how much you agree with them on various issues. I screached with joy when the survey confirmed that Huckabee was for mee, but interesting enough a close second was Dennis Kucinich and I really don't know too much about him.

And Anderson, for you and your political panel who must highlight Huckabee blunders, I say who cares? When he's in office he can always hire advisors to advise him on foreign policy. No one's perfect
As for Iowa:
Democrats: #1Clinton, #2Obama, #3Edwards
Republican: #1Huckabee, #2Huckabee, #3Huckabee.
Here's to President Huckabee!

How to get to the Quiz?
http://www.wqad.com/Global/link.asp?L=259460
Or just go to www.wqad.com, Scroll down and click on "America Votes." Then on the right side under "Select a Candidate" click on "Take the Quiz." Great tool for all those of you who are stumped.

Valerie, Hillside, NJ

Posted By

Valerie, Hillside, NJ : 7:24 PM ET

Anderson, Although I am not really sure who will come in first, second or third. I think this is a primary that more people are going to be involved in. I am actually looking forward to being able to cast my vote on Tuesday in New Hampshire. This election seems to have more people talking, more people actually concerned about where this country is headed. It will be interesting to see where we end up in Nov.

peace
amy, NH

Posted By

amy : 7:28 PM ET

Anderson,

Thanks to you, CNN and the realization of the idea of the You-tube debates, we are all best informed about the candidates.

I think the candidates will make it as follows:

democrats
1st Clinton
2nd Obama
3rd Edwards

Republicans
1st Romney
2nd McCain
3rd Huckabee

I am sure that the undecided voters can be analyzed from the difference between the aftermath Iowa caucauses and the poll-votes.

Posted By

Ratna, New York, NY : 7:34 PM ET

Hi Anderson,

I'm pretty sure that the frontrunners on both sides will score good.

But wouldn't it be fun if one of the underdogs made a killing?
God, I would give money to see the faces of the favorites if that would happen!! LOL

Well, I guess we'll have to wait and see.

Kristien, Antwerp, Belgium

Posted By

Kristien : 7:44 PM ET

I'd like to see Richardson and Biden do much better than expected and get some momentum out of this caucus. I like them far better than the top runners on the Democratic side. I'm afraid though it will be Obama, Clinton, Edwards in that order with very little difference between them.

On the Republican side I'd like to see McCain do much better than expected. I think Romney might win unless there is a sudden spurt in undecided support for Huckabee.

Really, though, this race is so close right now we might as well consult with the oracle at Delphi or someone with a spare crystal ball to find out; their predictions (guesses) would probably be as accurate as ours in this topsy turvy race.

Annie Kate
Birmingham AL

Posted By

Annie Kate : 7:53 PM ET

Democrats: Hilary, Obmama, Edwards
Republicans: Romney, Huckabee, and either McCain or Guiliani.

Sure, there have been countless debates and opportunities and whatnot to hear what the candidates issues and all are. Almost all of them though are how they will "change the White House"... which is obvious since they are different than the current president. But I haven't heard a single thing from ANY candidate on either side that's revolutionary. Nothing that screams, "I'm perfect!" Nothing that has grabbed my attention to make me say "That is who I'm voting for!"

Alabama has a caucus coming up in February, I believe. Let's hope I can hear something before then. It's my first election... I hope I can get excited about it.

Claire
Birmingham, AL

Posted By

Claire - Birmingham, AL : 7:57 PM ET

It seems like Dems: Obama, Clinton, Edwards

Rep: Huckabee, McCain and Romney
But I agree it would be fun if it were Biden and Ron Paul.

Leigh, Charlotte, NC

Posted By

FAMLAW : 8:24 PM ET

Hi Anderson,
I have been listening to the candidates for the past however many months of campaigning. I am still not sure what differentiates one from another.
Your question is a good one- who will be on top?
I think:
1. Obama
2. Clinton
3. Edwards

I am not sure who the best candidate will be, I just know we need some kind of change.

Posted By

pamina : 9:27 PM ET

Anderson -- will, I wish it would be Hillary Clinton licking her wounds, also Obama & Edwards. . .I do think the world of Biden, but no chance.

The Republicans -- only one I could even consider voting for at this point -- McCain. Romney, maybe, maybe, maybe, as a less than enthusiastic vote.

A most discouraging slate of candidates -- my personal favorite -- A.C. for President.

Posted By

Diane : 9:31 PM ET

Hi Anderson,
I'm undecided, so I'd say it's not true that Everyone has heard Everything needed to make up their minds. I may be a swing voter, but I'll eventually decide when the primary comes to my State.
I personally am not pleased with any of the candidates. That may be my problem.
So I'll mull it over a tad longer and rid the un from undecided soon.

Lorie Ann, Buellton, Calif.

Posted By

Lorie Ann : 9:58 PM ET

How come the name 'Ron Paul' was not mentioned even once? Best political team -- yeah right. This is another version of Fox News' 'Fair and Balanced' news.

I mean, come on -- one of the reporters mentioned 'Huckabee would get rid of the IRS'. Doesn't that ring a bell? Do you know any other republican nominee who intends the same? CNN is quickly turning into FOX.

Posted By

Emm Gee : 10:48 PM ET

I was surprised how it is determined who will win. I thought it was a real vote and the person with the most was the winner so thanks for informing us how it's done.
I think you and your panel were
fair with each candidate; you reviewed most of the issues, told
where each stood and left it at that.
I think between the dems it will be
Clinton, Edwards, & O'Bama. Mike H
will place 1st in the republician
followed by Rommy and I think Ron
Paul will make a good showing.
Looking forward to tonite's show to
see who came out on top

Posted By

Barb-Dalton : 6:35 AM ET

Hey Anderson,
There's something to be said for experience. Standing shoulder to shoulder with your husband, walking in his shadow for eight years while he occupied the Oval Office is an excellent prerequisite. Inexperience can be counter-balanced with a willingness to learn but consider the reservoir where the current President divined intervention.
Thank you Anderson for providing this forum.
Dwayne Moholitny
Edmonton, Alberta

Posted By

marq65 : 11:13 AM ET

The CNN blanket media coverage of the American Presidential elections certainly serves to reinforce the impression that one is watching an episode of Survivor on steroids. Reality TV at its best? However, to us in the rest of the world these elections are certainly no game.

As the vote of a citizen in ancient Rome could impact on the lives of individuals in far flung provinces, so the vote of each American citizen will effectively influence the future for all of us in the rest of the world.

There is no doubt that in an age of globalization and USA as superpower, the president of the USA become ceasar to us all. But as one of the “voteless” in the process it is extremely worrying to see that both the American media and public have limited their enquiry into the candidates’ foreign policy issues largely to Iraq, Iran and Afghanistan.

In this regard then, my hope is certainly that Hillary will triumph not only as Democratic, but also as presidential candidate finally. It is my impression (although I stand to be corrected.) that she is the candidate with the most exposure to the issues and dynamics in the rest of the world.

Posted By

Amanda J, Johannesburg, South Africa : 1:16 PM ET

Anderson, didn't you mention on New Years Eve that you wanted to blog more? Man-- I guess with this topic, you'll have too. By the way, when do you sleep?

Posted By

Tina, Clovis CA : 2:08 PM ET

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