Men at work
Clinton has to find the right push-pull to keep Israel and Syria
talking
By DOUGLAS WALLER/SHEPHERDSTOWN
January 10, 2000
Web posted at: 11:21 a.m. EST (1621 GMT)
So you've got two guys in a room who want to make peace. Now how
do you get them to ice the deal? That's the trick for President
Clinton, who is just as eager as are Israel and Syria for the
two old enemies to reach a land-for-peace agreement that would
add real luster to his presidential legacy.
Like Middle East peacemakers before him, Clinton has to find
just the right mix of push and pull. While the outlines of the
exchange--return of the Israeli-occupied Golan Heights for secure,
peaceful relations--are pretty well understood, the detailed terms
are anything but. When Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Barak and
Syrian Foreign Minister Farouk Shara spent their first two days
of talks last week fencing, Clinton tried invoking history. The
secluded West Virginia site at Shepherdstown, he reminded them,
was only a few miles from Antietam. There Americans fought one of
the bloodiest battles in their Civil War that took hundreds of
thousands of lives. "What we're deciding in Shepherdstown," he
said, "will affect the lives of millions of people in the Middle
East."
Whether Barak or Shara was seized by the thought, Clinton
couldn't tell. But he shuttled the 70 miles from Washington to
Shepherdstown four times last week in pursuit of a simple
strategy, says a U.S. diplomat: "Get the two sides to talk to
each other as much as possible." Barak so far hasn't become
prickly over U.S. prodding, and Clinton finds that when he is in
the room, Shara quibbles less than when Secretary of State
Madeleine Albright mediates.
Barak and Shara are planning to recess the talks this week after
a first round spent arguing mostly over what they should
negotiate first. The President had to stay nimble just to keep
the talks going. When Shara demanded that borders be considered
first and Barak insisted on beginning with security arrangements,
Clinton proposed that committees on both subjects meet
simultaneously. When Barak and Shara balked again, Clinton
scrapped the committee idea and helicoptered back to discuss both
issues with the two men himself. By the end of the week, he had
presented them with a "working document" on the remaining
differences, hoping that might force the pace.
Clinton remains optimistic that he can eventually coax them to
agreement, but the key argument may come down to cold cash: How
much for each side from the U.S. government? The 1979 peace
treaty between Israel and Egypt still costs the U.S. about $5
billion in annual foreign aid. Just before Christmas, Amos Yaron,
director general of the Israeli Defense Ministry, visited the
Pentagon with a wish list of cruise missiles, attack helicopters,
surveillance planes and missile defense hardware that Israel says
it needs to feel safe in giving up the Heights. U.S. generals
choked when their calculators spit out the cost: $17 billion over
10 years. Then there's the billions Syria will demand for its
sickly economy--a key motive behind Syrian President Hafez Assad's
willingness to talk peace. "A deal this big is going to carry a
price tag," admits State Department spokesman James Rubin.
Aid to Syria, whose dictatorial government is still listed by the
U.S. as a state sponsor of terrorism, will be a hard sell on
Capitol Hill. But Israel's asking price is stirring grumbles in
Congress too. "If we're negotiating a peace agreement, there
ought to be less need for military assistance," complains
Republican Representative Sonny Callahan, who chairs the House
subcommittee that appropriates foreign aid.
Even so, a Syrian treaty would be a cost-effective strategic
victory for Washington. It would open the way for Persian Gulf
states to establish diplomatic relations with Israel. It would
leave only Iraq and Iran outside the U.S. orbit. In that part of
the world, peace may come at a high price, but the one thing
more expensive is war.
--With reporting by Lisa Beyer/
Jerusalem and Scott MacLeod/Cairo
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