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Poll: Divided government possible if election held today

By Keating Holland/CNN

November 23, 1999
Web posted at: 11:38 a.m. EST (1638 GMT)

If the election was being held today, the country might wind up with a divided government again -- but this time with a Republican president and a Democratic Congress, according to a new CNN/USA Today/Gallup poll.

At least 55 percent of all registered voters say they would choose George W. Bush over either Al Gore or Bill Bradley -- but only 43 percent say they would vote for the Republican candidate for Congress in their district, with 47 percent favoring the Democrat. Gore loses to Bush despite the fact that more Americans think he knows enough about foreign policy than Bush.

It is important to note that most Americans are paying little attention to the upcoming election, and the race is likely to change as interest grows next year. One advantage for the GOP: the impeachment of Bill Clinton no longer appears to affect the public's view of the party.

After the House impeached Clinton last December, just 31 percent of the public had a favorable view of the Republican party, and after the Senate voted against removing him from office, a majority still had an unfavorable view of the party -- while 56 percent had a positive opinion of the Democrats. Now, the two parties' favorable ratings are virtually identical.

The poll of 1,010 adult Americans, including 854 registered voters, was conducted November 18-21.

Registered voters' choice for president in 2000

Bush56%
Gore40
Sampling error: +/-4 pts

Registered voters' choice for president in 2000

Bush55%
Bradley40
Sampling error: +/-4 pts

Registered voters' choice for Congress in 2000

Democrat47%
Republican43
Sampling error: +/-4 pts

Knows enough about global affairs to be a good president?

 YesNo
Gore57%33%
Bush4940
Sampling error: +/-3 pts

Registered Republicans' choice for nominee

Bush63%
McCain16
Forbes6
Hatch4
Bauer3
Keyes2
Sampling error: +/-5 pts

Registered Democrats' choice for nominee

Gore56%
Bradley34
Sampling error: +/-5 pts

Opinion of Republican Party

  Favorable Unfavorable
Now 50% 44%
February 40 54
December  31 57
Sampling error: +/-3 pts

Favorable ratings

  Democrats Republicans
Now 51% 50%
February 56 40
December  57 31
Sampling error: +/-3 pts

Americans are closely divided over whether the dues the U.S. pays to the United Nations should go to organizations which perform abortions or promote abortion rights in other countries. 50 percent believe that the U.S. should prevent any of its U.N. dues from going to these organizations; 44 percent oppose such a ban.

U.N. dues to organizations that promote abortion

Favor44%
Oppose50
Sampling error: +/-3 pts

Most Americans believe that the federal government should pass a law which would prohibit banks from charging ATM fees. Only 38 percent believe banks should be allowed to charge fees to when an individual use a cash machine that is not operated by a bank at which that person does not have an account.

Federal government ban on ATM fees

Favor57%
Oppose38
Sampling error: +/-3 pts

ELECTION 2000

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Tuesday, November 23, 1999






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