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 TIME on politics TIME CNN/AllPolitics CNN/AllPolitics - Storypage, with TIME and TIME

Poll: Gore appears to have slightly increased support against Bradley, Bush

By Keating Holland/CNN

October 25, 1999
Web posted at: 6:25 p.m. EDT (2225 GMT)

WASHINGTON -- Vice President Al Gore appears to have slightly increased his support against both former New Jersey Sen. Bill Bradley and Texas Gov. George W. Bush in the past two weeks, according to a new CNN/USA Today/Gallup Poll.

In a poll taken October 8-10, Bush had a 56 percent to 40 percent advantage over Gore. In the latest poll, Bush's margin has dropped to 52 percent to 43 percent. Gore has gained six points since his low point in September, when only 37 percent of all Americans chose him over Bush, and Gore has not had this much support -- or for Bush this little support -- since February.

Even more significantly, Gore has increased his support among Democrats for the party's nomination. Two weeks ago, Gore was the choice of a bare majority of Democrats nationwide but his today his support has risen to 57 percent, while Bradley's support has dropped seven points.

Gore has gained ground, in part, among men, younger voters, and higher-income Democrats. Gore has also gained ground not by driving his opponents' negatives up but by increasing his own favorable rating nationwide.

The real significance of the results are not that Bush's lead is now in single digits, but that Gore has increased his support in October after steadily dropping in September, and that Gore's support is higher now than it has been since February.

The poll was conducted via interviews with 1,005 adult Americans on October 21-24, 1999. The sampling margin of error is noted after each question.

If Vice President Al Gore were the Democratic Party's candidate and Texas Gov. George W. Bush were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for: Al Gore, the Democrat, or George W. Bush, the Republican?

 BushGore
Now52%43%
October 8-105640
Sept. 23-265537
Sampling error: +/-3 percentage points

Next, I'm going to read you a list of people who may be running in the Democratic primary for president in the next election. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Democratic nomination for president in the year 2000: former New Jersey Sen. Bill Bradley or Vice President Al Gore?

 GoreBradley
Now57%32%
October 8-105139
Sampling error: +/-5 percentage points (Asked of 468 Democratic voters only)

If former New Jersey Sen. Bill Bradley were the Democratic Party's candidate and Texas Gov. George W. Bush were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for: Bill Bradley, the Democrat, or George W. Bush, the Republican?

 BushBradley
Now54%39%
October 8-105442
Sampling error: +/-3 percentage points

Next, we'd like to get your opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of this person or if you have never heard of him or her. First, How about Al Gore?

 NowOctober 8-10
Favorable58%54%
Unfavorable3642
Sampling error: +/-3 percentage points

Voters between the ages of 18 and 29
 NowOctober 8-10
Bush49%63%
Gore4636
Sampling error: +/-4 percentage points

Female voters
 NowOctober 8-10
Bush47%52%
Gore4545
Sampling error: +/-4 percentage points

Western voters
 NowOctober 8-10
Bush50%56%
Gore4538
Sampling error: +/-6 percentage points

In the race for the Democratic nomination, the big story is Gore's 13-point gain among Democratic men. Nearly all of his newfound advantage over Bradley has come from male Democrats. Female Democrats are equally supportive of Gore but have not increased their support for him. Gore's jump in support is also due largely to gains among Democrats who make more than $50,000 a year.

Democratic male voters
 NowOctober 8-10
Gore56%43%
Bradley3446
Sampling error: +/-6 percentage points

Democratic voters who earn more than $50,000
 NowOctober 8-10
Gore55%48%
Bradley3441
Sampling error: +/-6 percentage points

Democratic voters between the ages of 30 and 49
 NowOctober 8-10
Gore60%50%
Bradley2939
Sampling error: +/-6 percentage points

ELECTION 2000

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Buchanan announces switch to Reform Party (10-25-99)

Study: Reporting on female candidates more personality-driven (10-25-99)

Mayor warming up to minimum-wage increase (10-25-99)

Buchanan cites reasons for seeking Reform Party nomination (10-25-99)

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MORE STORIES:

Monday, October 25, 1999

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