In this poll:

Approval Ratings

The Republican Congress

Fund-Raising Investigation

The Numbers: raw poll data

About CNN Polls

Other Polls

Related Stories
Poll: Americans Want Campaign Reform (9/29/97)

Congress Returns With High Approval Ratings (8/28/97)

Bulletin Board
Join a thread, start a thread -- it's your chance to sound off!

Infoseek search

  Help
Navigation

Polls

Clinton, Gore Approval Ratings Rise

But Republican prospects for 1998 midterm election still look good

By Keating Holland/CNN poll

WASHINGTON (AllPolitics, Oct. 30) -- The latest CNN poll contains some good news for Bill Clinton and Al Gore, which may help brighten the Democratic party's prospects in next year's congressional elections.

After watching their favorable ratings fall repeatedly over the past two months, Clinton and Gore are seeing their ratings take an upturn, according to a new CNN/USA Today/Gallup Poll.

Most Americans, however, continue to have a negative view of House Speaker Newt Gingrich. Seven out of ten Americans say that Clinton's presidency has been a success, while only 46 percent say that the Republican Congress has been a success.

More than half -- 59 percent -- say they are more likely to vote for a congressional candidate next year who opposes Gingrich, while nearly half say they are more likely to vote for a candidate who supports Clinton.

That is significant because just before the 1994 election, which turned control of Congress over to the GOP, a majority of Americans said they were more likely to support candidates who opposed Clinton. If the 1998 election turns out to be a referendum on Clinton, he may help his party's candidates almost as much as he hurt them in 1994.

The Republican Congress

Keep in mind, however, that Democrats are battling a historical trend: The president's party has lost seats in the House of Representatives in every midterm election in the last six decades.

And the GOP is in a better position this year than the Democrats were in 1994. Back then, only 39 percent of the country thought that most members of the House deserved to be re-elected, which proved to be bad news for the Democrats, who held a majority of House seats.

Today, 50 percent say that most of the House deserves re-election. Incumbents are also helped by a strong economy, and nearly eight in ten Americans say the economy is in good shape. That number has risen since August, despite fluctuations in the stock market.

The two major parties have nearly identical favorable ratings, although the Reform Party of Ross Perot, which will hold a convention Friday, is not a hit with the public.

The bottom line: 46 percent of all registered voters would vote for the Republican candidate in their district if the election were held today; 46 percent would vote for the Democratic candidate.

That tie may be good news for the GOP, if it can keep the focus off national leaders, like the popular president and the unpopular speaker of the House, and on local issues instead.

Trustworthy and honest?

poll 2

Just as Gore's favorable rating has stabilized, so has the number of Americans who consider him honest and trustworthy. In September that figure fell by 10 points; it has risen slightly to 56 percent.

A thin majority also considers Clinton honest and trustworthy. But half the country also thinks that Clinton is trying to cover up what he really did in his fund-raising activities; in March the public was split evenly on that issue.

Nearly two-thirds of the country thinks that Attorney General Janet Reno should appoint an independent counsel to investigate Democratic fund-raising in 1996.

The survey of 1,008 adult Americans, including 878 registered voters, was conducted October 27-29, and most questions have a margin of error of +/- 3 percentage points.

The numbers

Favorable Ratings

Now
Oct. 3-5
Clinton
62%
56%
Gore
53%
47%
Clinton Favorable Rating
Now
Oct. 3-5
Sept. 25-28
Sept. 6-7
Clinton
62%
56%
61%
63%
Gore Favorable Rating
Now
Oct. 3-5
Sept. 25-28
Sept. 6-7
Clinton
53%
47%
51%
55%
Favorable Ratings
Clinton
Gore
Gingrich
62%
53%
30%
Success or Failure?

Clinton presidency
Republican Congress
Success
70%
46%
Failure
25%
41%
More Likely to Vote For Congressional Candidate Who...
Supports Gingrich
Opposes Gingrich
24%
59%
More Likely To Vote For Congressional Candidate Who...
Supports Clinton
Opposes Clinton
49%
42%
Registered Voters' Choice for Congress
Democrat
Republican
46%
46%
Sampling error: +/-4% pts
Do Most House Members Deserve Re-election?

Yes
No
Now
50%
29%
Nov.1994
39%
45%
Opinion of Political Parties

Democratic Party
Republican Party
Reform Party
Favorable
54%
50%
26%
Unfavorable
39%
42%
55
U.S. Economic Conditions

Good
Poor
Now
79%
19%
August
69%
30%
Al Gore Is Honest And Trustworthy
Now
Sept. 25-28
Sept. 6-7
56%
54%
64%
Honest and Trustworthy?

Al Gore
Bill Clinton
Yes
56%
51%
No
35%
45%
Clinton Trying To Cover Up Fund-Raising Activities?

Yes
No
Now
52%
39%
March
46%
46%
Should Reno Appoint Independent Counsel?

Yes
No
Now
64%
31%
September
73%
21%


Other Polls:

President Clinton Is America's Most Admired Man (12/30/97)
Americans Support U.S. Role In Bosnia (12/22/97)
Reno Should Have Appointed Independent Counsel (12/3/97)
Americans Want Independant Counsel (11/24/97)
Virginia Exit Poll: Governor's Race (11/6/97)
New Jersey Exit Poll: Governor's Race (11/4/97)
New York City Exit Poll: Mayor's Race (11/4/97)
Clinton, Gore Approval Ratings Rise (10/30/97)
America's Leaders Like America's Course (10/13/97)
Americans Want Campaign Reform (9/29/97)
Bad, Good News For Gore (9/12/97)
Congress Returns With High Approval Rating (8/28/97)
More Americans Want Jones vs. Clinton Settled Out Of Court (8/14/97)
Credit For Balanced Budget Deal Goes To GOP (8/1/97)
Clinton, GOP Deserve Credit For Budget (7/28/97)
GOP Congress Out Of Touch, Favors Wealthy (6/30/97)
People Still Care About Washington Scandals (6/3/97)
High Court Correct On Jones Case (6/2/97)
Public Supports Budget Deal By 2-1 Margin (5/8/97)
Few Americans Volunteer Regularly (4/25/97)
Most Say No To Wheelchair In F.D.R. Memorial (4/24/97)
Clinton's Approval Suffering Little (4/21/97)
Majority Says Gingrich Loan 'Inappropriate' (4/18/97)
Clinton's Approval Rating Remains High (3/27/97)
Gore's Poll Numbers Dip (3/14/97)
WSJ/NBC Poll On Fund-Raising (3/13/97)
Is Clinton's Honeymoon Ending? (2/27/97)
Americans Are Split On Clinton's Fund-Raising Tactics (2/27/97)
For 2000, Powell's No. 1 With GOP Voters (2/21/97)
President's Approval Rating Stays At High Levels (2/8/97)
New Yorkers Strongly Support Pataki (2/7/97)
Public Confidence High In Clinton On Most Issues (2/7/97)
Clinton Rides High On Issues Public Cares About Most (2/3/97)
Clinton Approval Rating At All-Time High (1/16/97)
Polls - Campaign '96





home | news | in-depth | analysis | what's new | community | contents | search

Click here for technical help or to send us feedback.

Copyright © 1997 AllPolitics All Rights Reserved.
Terms under which this information is provided to you.