NH Rep Primary-President
Voter News Service Exit Poll State: New Hampshire
For Election Occurring 02/20/96 Contest: Rep Primary-President
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Copyright © 1997 AllPolitics All Rights Reserved
Terms under which this information is provided to you |
![[http://CNN.com]](/ALLPOLITICS/1996/images/Interactive.jpg) |
Candidates (*/+ indicates VNS/CNN winner) Votes V% Del
+BCHN = Patrick Buchanan 56,982 27 6
DOLE = Robert Dole 54,808 26 4
ALEX = Lamar Alexander 47,224 23 4
FORB = Steve Forbes 25,482 12 2
LUGR = Dick Lugar 10,811 5 0
KEYS = Alan Keyes 5,610 3 0
TAYL = Morry Taylor 2,988 1 0
GRAM = Phil Gramm 754 0 0
DORN = Bob Dornan 515 0 0
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Results Recorded for 2,556 Respondents
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Exit Poll Question All < Vertical Pcts > < Horizontal Pcts >
and Answer(s) Pct ALEX BCHN DOLE DORN ALEX BCHN DOLE DORN
FORB GRAM KEYS LUGR FORB GRAM KEYS LUGR
TAYL TAYL
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Vote by Gender
Men 57 52 62 56 0 21 30 26 0
58 0 41 60 12 0 2 5
0 2
Women 43 48 38 44 0 26 25 26 0
42 0 59 40 12 0 4 5
0 2
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Vote By Age
18-29 14 18 15 9 0 29 31 18 0
15 0 22 9 13 0 5 3
0 0
30-44 37 36 40 30 0 22 30 21 0
40 0 41 43 13 0 3 6
0 4
45-59 27 29 25 28 0 24 26 27 0
28 0 29 31 12 0 3 6
0 2
60 or Over 22 18 19 33 0 19 25 39 0
17 0 7 17 10 0 1 4
0 1
Vote By Age
18-64 86 90 87 76 0 24 28 23 0
89 0 97 92 12 0 3 5
0 2
Over 64 14 10 13 24 0 16 26 43 0
11 0 3 8 9 0 1 3
0 1
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Vote By Income
Under $15,000 7 7 6 8 0 25 24 28 0
7 0 6 4 12 0 4 3
0 2
$15-30,000 17 15 20 16 0 20 35 23 0
14 0 28 15 10 0 5 4
0 2
$30-50,000 26 24 32 20 0 21 35 19 0
26 0 32 29 12 0 4 6
0 3
$50-75,000 25 26 24 25 0 25 28 25 0
23 0 26 28 11 0 3 6
0 1
$75-100,000 12 12 10 14 0 24 23 30 0
12 0 3 12 12 0 1 5
0 4
Over $100,000 13 16 9 17 0 28 19 32 0
18 0 5 11 16 0 1 4
0 0
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Vote By Education
No H.S. Degree 3 2 4 4 0 0 0 0 0
3 0 4 1 0 0 0 0
0 0
High School Graduate 19 16 22 16 0 20 34 21 0
21 0 18 13 14 0 3 4
0 3
Some College 25 25 31 20 0 24 35 20 0
25 0 27 19 12 0 3 4
0 2
College Graduate 31 31 28 35 0 23 26 27 0
29 0 38 34 11 0 4 5
0 2
Post-Graduate Degree 22 25 15 25 0 27 19 28 0
22 0 13 34 13 0 2 8
0 1
Vote By Education
No College Degree 47 44 57 40 0 22 34 21 0
49 0 49 32 13 0 3 4
0 2
College Graduate 53 56 43 60 0 25 23 27 0
51 0 51 68 12 0 3 6
0 2
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Vote By Religion
Protestant 42 48 36 46 0 27 24 27 0
38 0 34 51 11 0 2 6
0 2
Catholic 36 34 43 35 0 22 34 24 0
38 0 23 26 13 0 2 4
0 1
Other Christian 10 6 14 8 0 13 38 20 0
8 0 33 8 9 0 10 4
0 4
Jewish 2 2 1 3 0 0 0 0 0
2 0 4 4 0 0 0 0
0 0
Other 3 3 3 3 0 21 25 23 0
5 0 1 5 19 0 1 7
0 4
None 6 8 4 5 0 30 16 20 0
9 0 4 6 18 0 2 5
0 7
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Political Ideology
Very Liberal 2 2 2 2 0 0 0 0 0
2 0 0 2 0 0 0 0
0 0
Somewhat Liberal 7 11 5 7 0 33 19 25 0
7 0 2 10 11 0 1 7
0 2
Moderate 35 45 22 37 0 30 18 26 0
38 0 16 47 13 0 1 7
0 3
Somewhat Conserv. 39 37 37 44 0 22 27 28 0
40 0 51 31 12 0 4 4
0 2
Very Conservative 16 6 34 9 0 9 59 13 0
13 0 31 9 9 0 6 3
0 1
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Party Identification
Democrat 3 5 3 2 0 0 0 0 0
1 0 0 7 0 0 0 0
0 0
Republican 61 55 64 72 0 21 30 29 0
57 0 65 50 11 0 3 4
0 1
Independent 35 41 33 26 0 27 27 18 0
42 0 35 43 14 0 3 6
0 3
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1992 Presidential Vote
Clinton 16 24 11 11 0 34 20 17 0
15 0 17 29 11 0 3 9
0 3
Bush 57 50 58 72 0 20 29 32 0
47 0 55 43 10 0 3 4
0 1
Perot 16 15 19 9 0 22 32 14 0
27 0 7 17 20 0 1 5
0 4
Other 3 2 3 1 0 0 0 0 0
2 0 2 7 0 0 0 0
0 0
Did Not Vote 8 9 9 6 0 26 30 19 0
9 0 20 3 13 0 8 2
0 1
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Vote in 1992 GOP Primary
Bush 57 56 45 75 0 23 22 37 0
56 0 0 0 11 0 1 4
0 1
Buchanan 10 5 26 1 0 11 74 4 0
4 0 0 0 5 0 3 1
0 2
Neither/Didn't Vote 30 37 25 21 0 29 23 20 0
37 0 0 0 14 0 3 6
0 5
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Voter Registration
Independent 27 24 28 23 0 21 31 19 0
28 0 0 0 14 0 5 6
0 2
Republican 67 67 68 72 0 23 29 23 0
61 0 0 0 12 0 4 5
0 1
New Voters 6 8 4 4 0 0 0 0 0
7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0
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Family's Financial Situation
Better Than 1992 25 25 23 27 0 23 27 23 0
29 0 0 0 15 0 3 6
0 3
Worse Than 1992 27 28 26 24 0 24 27 19 0
28 0 0 0 14 0 6 6
0 2
About the Same 46 47 50 47 0 24 31 22 0
42 0 0 0 12 0 3 6
0 1
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Member of Religious Right
Yes 17 8 33 7 0 11 54 11 0
11 0 57 7 8 0 10 2
0 3
No 80 89 64 88 0 26 23 28 0
88 0 43 90 13 0 2 6
0 2
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Opinion of Religious Right
Favorable 37 23 59 29 0 14 46 17 0
28 0 0 0 10 0 8 3
0 1
Unfavorable 54 68 30 61 0 29 16 25 0
64 0 0 0 16 0 2 8
0 2
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Abortion Ban in GOP Platform
Favor 27 14 52 21 0 11 52 22 0
15 0 0 0 6 0 5 3
0 1
Oppose 67 83 43 71 0 28 18 31 0
82 0 0 0 13 0 1 5
0 3
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Decided Who To Vote For...
Today 23 29 14 26 0 29 17 33 0
24 0 0 0 11 0 2 4
0 3
Last Three Days 20 29 18 17 0 33 24 24 0
10 0 0 0 6 0 4 5
0 4
Last Week 22 28 27 12 0 28 34 16 0
22 0 0 0 11 0 2 5
0 3
Earlier This Year 26 12 28 33 0 11 30 37 0
37 0 0 0 16 0 1 5
0 1
Before That 8 1 12 12 0 4 42 42 0
5 0 0 0 7 0 1 2
0 0
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Effect of Merrill Endorsement
Great Deal 5 4 4 7 0 0 0 0 0
5 0 0 7 0 0 0 0
0 0
Somewhat 10 9 6 25 0 20 17 54 0
4 0 0 2 5 0 1 1
0 1
Not Much 15 14 11 23 0 22 22 36 0
11 0 0 9 10 0 3 4
0 3
None at All 69 72 76 45 0 24 31 15 0
80 0 0 80 15 0 5 6
0 2
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Impression of Candidates From:
Friends and Family 9 8 10 7 0 21 32 23 0
6 0 0 0 8 0 5 7
0 3
Newspapers 22 24 19 27 0 24 24 35 0
18 0 0 0 9 0 0 5
0 1
Candidate Contact 13 12 10 14 0 22 21 31 0
19 0 0 0 15 0 3 5
0 2
Radio 6 4 8 5 0 0 0 0 0
7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0
Television 43 47 47 37 0 25 30 25 0
47 0 0 0 12 0 3 3
0 3
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Effect of Dole's Age
Help Him 6 2 2 14 0 0 0 0 0
1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0
Hurt Him 34 51 43 8 0 34 35 7 0
42 0 0 0 13 0 2 5
0 3
No Effect 58 45 53 77 0 18 25 38 0
55 0 0 0 10 0 2 4
0 2
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Ever Plan to Vote for Dole?
Yes 44 39 32 86 0 21 20 45 0
22 0 0 30 7 0 3 4
0 0
No 53 57 65 10 0 25 35 4 0
75 0 0 66 19 0 5 7
0 3
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Satisfied with Candidates?
Yes 54 43 61 60 0 19 32 26 0
50 0 0 47 12 0 5 5
0 1
No 40 52 33 34 0 30 23 19 0
44 0 0 44 14 0 4 6
0 2
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Electing All New People
Support 48 46 57 35 0 22 34 16 0
60 0 0 0 17 0 4 4
0 2
Oppose 49 53 39 61 0 25 23 27 0
36 0 0 0 10 0 4 7
0 1
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Vote Today With Powell in Race
No Change in Vote 57 41 71 54 0 17 36 20 0
59 0 0 0 14 0 4 5
0 2
Powell 37 54 25 40 0 33 20 23 0
32 0 0 0 12 0 4 5
0 0
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Send Message on Negative Ads
Very Important 35 49 38 24 0 32 30 19 0
21 0 0 0 7 0 2 6
0 4
Somewhat Important 24 25 25 26 0 24 28 30 0
15 0 0 0 7 0 3 5
0 2
Not Too Important 21 14 23 25 0 15 31 33 0
30 0 0 0 16 0 1 2
0 1
Not Important at All 16 11 13 19 0 15 23 33 0
31 0 0 0 21 0 3 4
0 1
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What Did Most Candidate Ads Do
Address Issues 31 32 35 24 0 24 33 17 0
37 0 0 0 16 0 3 5
0 2
Attack Opponents 65 68 60 70 0 24 27 23 0
54 0 0 0 11 0 5 6
0 2
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Prefer Which Tax System?
Flat Tax 49 44 53 37 0 21 30 21 0
83 0 0 0 19 0 2 4
0 3
Current System 47 53 43 59 0 26 25 35 0
17 0 0 0 4 0 2 5
0 2
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Forbes Spending Own Money
No Special Interests 53 56 54 37 0 24 28 19 0
95 0 0 0 20 0 2 4
0 1
Unfair Advantage 37 38 37 51 0 23 27 38 0
4 0 0 0 1 0 2 4
0 2
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Republican Agenda in Congress
Not Far Enough 45 34 60 37 0 18 39 18 0
49 0 0 0 15 0 4 5
0 2
Struck Right Balance 29 31 21 42 0 25 21 31 0
25 0 0 0 12 0 7 3
0 1
Gone Too Far 21 31 15 14 0 34 20 14 0
21 0 0 0 13 0 2 11
0 1
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Alexander and GOP Agenda
Committed 47 71 32 45 0 35 19 27 0
47 0 0 0 11 0 2 4
0 2
Not Committed 31 16 47 27 0 12 42 24 0
37 0 0 0 13 0 2 5
0 2
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Buchanan and GOP Agenda
Committed 63 55 85 53 0 20 38 24 0
57 0 0 0 10 0 3 3
0 2
Not Committed 19 25 5 25 0 30 8 36 0
27 0 0 0 15 0 1 7
0 2
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Dole and GOP Agenda
Committed 58 61 39 81 0 24 19 39 0
52 0 0 0 10 0 2 4
0 2
Not Committed 23 19 40 4 0 19 49 5 0
32 0 0 0 15 0 3 5
0 3
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Forbes and GOP Agenda
Committed 39 41 30 33 0 24 21 23 0
82 0 0 0 23 0 2 4
0 1
Not Committed 38 39 47 39 0 24 34 29 0
11 0 0 0 3 0 2 5
0 3
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Can Alexander Beat Clinton?
Yes 34 76 22 19 0 52 18 16 0
25 0 0 0 8 0 2 3
0 0
No 47 20 54 56 0 10 32 33 0
54 0 0 0 12 0 2 6
0 4
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Can Buchanan Beat Clinton?
Yes 31 11 80 9 0 8 71 8 0
15 0 0 0 5 0 3 1
0 2
No 53 73 14 67 0 32 8 36 0
64 0 0 0 13 0 1 7
0 2
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Can Dole Beat Clinton?
Yes 46 28 33 85 0 14 20 51 0
34 0 0 0 8 0 2 3
0 1
No 39 56 45 11 0 34 32 8 0
49 0 0 0 14 0 2 6
0 3
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Can Forbes Beat Clinton?
Yes 19 8 19 11 0 10 28 17 0
68 0 0 0 39 0 2 1
0 3
No 61 75 58 64 0 29 27 30 0
23 0 0 0 4 0 2 6
0 2
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Contacted By Campaign?
Yes 24 21 23 39 0 21 27 37 0
15 0 0 20 8 0 1 5
0 1
No 74 77 76 59 0 24 29 18 0
82 0 0 79 15 0 5 6
0 2
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Listen To Radio Talk Shows?
Yes 46 37 53 48 0 19 32 24 0
52 0 0 36 15 0 4 4
0 1
No 52 61 47 50 0 27 25 22 0
46 0 0 63 12 0 4 7
0 2
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Issue Which Mattered Most
Environment 3 6 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
1 0 3 9 0 0 0 0
0 0
Foreign Trade 6 3 11 5 0 13 54 24 0
1 0 4 4 3 0 2 4
0 1
Taxes 21 19 12 15 0 22 16 19 0
54 0 10 26 32 0 2 6
0 2
Education 6 13 4 4 0 48 20 15 0
2 0 8 6 4 0 4 5
0 1
Economy/Jobs 27 27 32 26 0 23 33 25 0
21 0 16 23 9 0 2 4
0 2
Budget Deficit 15 14 8 30 0 20 14 51 0
8 0 2 11 6 0 0 4
0 4
Abortion 9 3 21 2 0 9 65 7 0
2 0 39 3 3 0 13 2
0 1
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Which Quality Mattered Most?
Vision for Future 14 22 7 6 0 36 14 11 0
33 0 14 20 28 0 3 7
0 0
Stand Up for Beliefs 25 14 49 14 0 13 54 14 0
11 0 42 33 5 0 5 6
0 2
Can Beat Clinton 13 19 6 22 0 34 13 46 0
4 0 0 3 4 0 0 1
0 2
Conservative Values 13 9 24 8 0 16 53 17 0
6 0 29 5 6 0 7 2
0 0
Not a Politician 9 6 5 0 0 15 15 1 0
38 0 11 4 51 0 4 2
0 10
Experience in D.C. 10 1 1 34 0 3 3 90 0
0 0 0 8 0 0 0 4
0 0
Not Too Extreme 9 21 2 8 0 53 7 23 0
3 0 1 20 4 0 0 11
0 1
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Copyright © 1997 AllPolitics All Rights Reserved
Terms under which this information is provided to you |
![[http://CNN.com]](/ALLPOLITICS/1996/images/Interactive.jpg) |