ND Rep Primary-President
Voter News Service Exit Poll State: North Dakota
For Election Occurring 02/27/96 Contest: Rep Primary-President
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Candidates (*/+ indicates VNS/CNN winner) Votes V% Del
+DOLE = Robert Dole 26,736 42 8
FORB = Steve Forbes 12,421 20 4
BCHN = Patrick Buchanan 11,606 18 3
GRAM = Phil Gramm 5,972 10 2
ALEX = Lamar Alexander 3,980 6 1
KEYS = Alan Keyes 2,024 3 0
LUGR = Dick Lugar 555 1 0
TAYL = Morry Taylor 210 0 0
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Results Recorded for 558 Respondents
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Exit Poll Question All < Vertical Pcts > < Horizontal Pcts >
and Answer(s) Pct ALEX BCHN DOLE FORB ALEX BCHN DOLE FORB
GRAM KEYS LUGR TAYL GRAM KEYS LUGR TAYL
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Vote by Gender
Men 52 44 62 49 56 5 21 39 22
45 39 7 100 8 2 0 2
Women 48 56 38 51 44 7 14 45 18
55 61 93 0 10 4 2 0
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Vote By Race
White 93 89 94 94 100 6 18 42 21
88 92 7 100 9 3 0 1
African-American 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 5 0 0 0 100 0 0
Hispanic 5 11 3 5 0 0 0 0 0
12 0 93 0 0 0 0 0
Asian 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 3 0 0 0 100 0 0
Other 1 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Vote By Age
18-29 11 6 10 5 27 3 15 21 50
2 21 0 53 1 6 0 3
30-44 29 46 28 28 25 10 18 41 18
14 29 93 47 4 3 3 2
45-59 28 35 33 24 18 8 22 37 13
57 12 0 0 19 2 0 0
60 or Over 33 13 29 42 29 2 16 54 18
28 39 7 0 8 3 0 0
Vote By Age
18-64 77 91 83 68 81 7 19 37 21
79 79 93 100 9 3 1 1
Over 64 23 9 17 32 19 2 13 57 17
21 21 7 0 8 2 1 0
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Vote By Income
Under $15,000 11 8 9 13 9 4 14 50 17
12 24 0 0 11 3 0 0
$15-30,000 23 12 21 26 26 3 16 45 22
24 25 7 0 10 3 1 0
$30-50,000 35 41 38 34 27 7 19 39 15
41 32 93 19 12 4 3 0
$50-75,000 19 25 22 16 20 11 21 35 21
16 3 0 81 9 0 0 3
$75-100,000 6 9 7 4 8 0 0 0 0
7 13 0 0 0 0 0 0
Over $100,000 6 6 3 7 11 0 0 0 0
0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Vote By Education
No H.S. Degree 14 18 14 16 15 9 17 48 21
6 8 7 0 4 1 1 0
High School Graduate 24 12 29 23 16 3 21 40 13
57 13 0 53 21 1 0 1
Some College 35 35 34 31 43 6 18 38 25
22 52 93 23 6 4 3 1
College Graduate 21 20 19 23 22 5 17 46 21
14 20 0 24 6 4 0 1
Post-Graduate Degree 6 15 4 7 5 0 0 0 0
1 8 0 0 0 0 0 0
Vote By Education
No College Degree 73 65 77 71 73 5 19 41 20
85 73 100 76 10 2 1 1
College Graduate 27 35 23 29 27 8 16 46 20
15 27 0 24 5 5 0 1
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Religion
Protestant 48 68 45 56 38 8 17 49 16
33 37 7 15 6 3 0 1
Catholic 33 14 41 27 40 2 22 34 24
40 31 93 33 11 3 3 1
Other Christian 14 17 10 16 9 6 13 48 13
24 26 0 0 16 3 0 0
Jewish 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Other Religion 1 0 3 0 4 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
None 3 1 1 1 10 0 0 0 0
3 5 0 53 0 0 0 0
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Political Ideology
Very Liberal 2 13 1 2 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Somewhat Liberal 8 5 8 8 15 0 0 0 0
1 5 0 0 0 0 0 0
Moderate 28 36 20 28 36 7 13 43 26
23 17 7 15 8 2 0 1
Somewhat Conserv. 46 44 44 50 44 6 17 46 19
32 54 93 53 6 4 2 1
Very Conservative 16 2 27 12 6 1 31 31 7
44 23 0 33 24 4 0 2
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Party Identification
Democrat 11 14 8 10 15 7 12 35 27
18 14 0 0 14 5 0 0
Republican 60 58 54 68 48 6 16 47 16
62 46 100 100 9 2 1 2
Independent 28 28 38 22 37 6 24 33 27
20 40 0 0 7 4 0 0
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1992 Presidential Vote
Clinton 19 28 18 14 30 10 17 31 32
9 20 0 0 5 5 0 0
Bush 65 61 57 74 48 6 16 48 15
76 57 100 85 11 2 2 1
Perot 11 9 18 9 12 4 30 36 22
9 6 0 0 6 2 0 0
Other 0 1 0 0 0 20 0 2 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Did Not Vote 6 0 6 3 11 0 0 0 0
6 17 0 15 0 0 0 0
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Attention Paid to Primary
A Lot 47 54 56 44 39 7 21 40 17
61 33 7 91 12 2 0 2
Some 37 36 33 38 38 6 16 43 20
29 64 93 9 7 5 2 0
Hardly Any 11 7 7 14 11 4 12 54 20
10 3 0 0 8 2 0 0
None 5 2 4 4 13 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Decided Who To Vote For...
Today 5 16 3 4 8 0 0 0 0
0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0
Last Three Days 7 1 14 4 10 0 0 0 0
0 12 0 0 0 0 0 0
Last Week 23 57 29 18 19 14 23 33 16
15 25 100 9 6 3 4 0
Earlier This Year 46 16 45 50 47 2 18 46 20
51 53 0 67 10 3 0 1
Before That 14 9 8 20 7 4 11 61 10
23 5 0 0 15 1 0 0
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Satisfied with Candidates?
Yes 59 41 74 64 51 4 22 45 17
50 61 7 61 8 2 0 1
No 36 56 23 28 48 9 12 33 27
45 36 93 39 11 4 2 2
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Second Choice for Nomination
Alexander 18 0 19 20 21 0 20 48 24
11 16 7 0 5 2 1 0
Buchanan 19 27 0 20 33 9 0 44 34
17 29 0 0 8 4 0 0
Dole 16 23 39 0 20 9 43 0 24
26 11 93 23 14 2 5 2
Forbes 12 21 14 16 0 10 22 57 0
6 11 0 53 5 3 0 3
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Prefer Which Method of Voting?
In Person 34 42 32 33 39 8 17 41 22
33 24 0 85 9 2 0 2
By Mail 24 20 19 27 25 5 14 47 21
22 31 0 15 8 4 0 1
No Difference 40 36 48 39 36 5 21 40 18
45 42 100 0 10 3 2 0
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Member of Religious Right
Yes 24 21 37 22 4 6 28 38 4
42 52 93 0 16 6 4 0
No 71 73 56 73 93 6 14 44 26
47 48 7 100 6 2 0 1
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Abortion Ban in GOP Platform
Favor 42 36 58 39 30 5 24 39 14
49 49 93 33 10 3 2 1
Oppose 49 58 28 52 65 7 10 45 26
50 25 7 15 9 2 0 1
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Ever Planned to Vote for Dole?
Yes 55 35 38 81 36 4 13 62 13
28 32 93 77 5 1 2 1
No 41 65 56 15 60 9 25 16 30
63 68 7 23 14 5 0 1
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Effect of Dole's Age
Help Him 11 11 10 17 7 8 16 64 12
1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
Hurt Him 26 25 30 18 37 6 21 30 29
29 43 7 0 10 4 0 0
No Effect 59 64 54 62 53 6 16 44 18
61 54 93 100 9 3 1 2
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Is Buchanan Too Extreme?
Yes 50 77 15 70 43 9 6 59 17
15 48 100 15 3 3 2 1
No 43 21 79 23 50 3 33 22 23
67 44 0 85 14 3 0 2
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Trade With Other Countries
Creates Jobs 40 45 36 40 44 7 16 41 22
33 59 7 39 7 4 0 1
Loses Jobs 25 18 38 22 20 5 27 36 16
22 33 93 9 8 4 3 0
No Effect 25 28 12 27 30 6 9 45 25
36 6 0 53 13 1 0 1
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Prefer Which Tax System?
Flat Tax 36 44 38 23 57 8 19 27 32
42 13 0 100 10 1 0 3
Current System 54 46 49 65 42 5 16 50 15
44 77 100 0 7 4 2 0
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Americans' Standard of Living
Will Rise 41 46 30 42 52 7 13 43 26
38 28 0 23 8 1 0 1
Will Fall 45 46 55 43 39 6 22 40 17
45 52 93 53 9 4 2 1
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Can Alexander Beat Clinton?
Yes 23 57 25 17 19 15 20 31 17
42 8 0 9 16 1 0 0
No 59 37 62 66 57 4 19 47 19
41 61 100 67 6 3 2 1
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Can Buchanan Beat Clinton?
Yes 35 39 73 20 30 7 37 24 17
39 41 0 33 10 4 0 1
No 53 61 17 67 61 7 6 53 23
33 57 100 67 6 3 2 1
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Can Dole Beat Clinton?
Yes 57 60 39 71 60 6 12 53 21
35 26 0 85 6 1 0 1
No 32 37 45 17 34 7 25 22 21
47 65 100 15 13 6 3 1
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Can Forbes Beat Clinton?
Yes 22 38 17 11 52 11 14 20 47
17 3 0 24 7 0 0 1
No 69 62 69 79 44 5 18 48 13
72 89 100 76 9 4 1 1
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Send Message on Negative Ads
Very Important 34 49 51 28 23 9 27 34 13
36 59 100 0 9 5 3 0
Somewhat Important 25 19 17 31 30 4 12 52 23
13 19 0 33 5 1 0 2
Not Too Important 19 22 17 16 18 7 16 36 19
41 3 0 53 20 1 0 2
Not Important at All 20 11 13 21 30 3 11 45 30
10 19 0 15 5 4 0 2
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Which Issues Mattered Most?
Environment 2 10 1 0 1 0 0 0 0
9 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
Foreign Trade 6 2 8 4 8 0 0 0 0
4 5 0 15 0 0 0 0
Taxes 21 18 10 14 41 5 9 28 40
37 3 7 9 16 1 1 1
Farm Policy 9 5 11 12 8 3 20 53 16
7 8 0 0 7 1 0 0
Economy/Jobs 21 30 19 24 16 8 16 49 15
10 16 93 53 4 1 4 1
Budget Deficit 25 29 21 32 20 7 15 54 16
14 9 0 24 5 1 0 1
Abortion 9 1 21 7 1 1 41 32 2
6 57 0 0 6 18 0 0
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Which Quality Mattered Most?
Vision for Future 10 23 10 7 14 15 18 29 26
4 10 0 39 3 3 0 6
Stand Up for Beliefs 27 12 54 19 24 2 36 29 17
30 64 0 0 10 6 0 0
Can Beat Clinton 10 19 4 12 10 12 8 48 19
11 2 0 53 10 1 0 3
Conservative Values 14 1 10 10 10 1 13 29 14
52 8 93 9 33 3 6 1
Not a Politician 9 8 5 6 25 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Experience in D.C. 14 0 6 28 2 0 8 88 3
0 8 7 0 0 1 1 0
Not Too Extreme 11 34 2 13 13 18 4 50 23
4 5 0 0 3 3 0 0
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Copyright © 1997 AllPolitics All Rights Reserved
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