AZ Rep Primary-President
Voter News Service Exit Poll State: Arizona
For Election Occurring 02/27/96 Contest: Rep Primary-President
Candidates (*/+ indicates VNS/CNN winner) Votes V% Del
*FORB = Steve Forbes 112,468 33 39
DOLE = Robert Dole 101,682 30 0
BCHN = Patrick Buchanan 93,034 28 0
ALEX = Lamar Alexander 24,097 7 0
KEYS = Alan Keyes 2,712 1 0
LUGR = Dick Lugar 2,003 1 0
GRAM = Phil Gramm 829 0 0
DORN = Bob Dornan 716 0 0
TAYL = Morry Taylor 144 0 0
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Results Recorded for 2,102 Respondents
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Exit Poll Question All < Vertical Pcts > < Horizontal Pcts >
and Answer(s) Pct ALEX BCHN DOLE DORN ALEX BCHN DOLE DORN
FORB GRAM KEYS LUGR FORB GRAM KEYS LUGR
TAYL TAYL
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Vote by Gender
Men 53 45 57 52 0 6 30 29 0
53 0 0 0 32 0 1 2
0 0
Women 47 55 43 48 0 8 26 31 0
47 0 0 0 33 0 1 0
0 0
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Vote By Age
18-29 9 15 7 9 0 12 23 31 0
9 0 0 0 33 0 1 0
0 0
30-44 25 30 26 20 0 9 29 24 0
25 0 0 0 34 0 2 2
0 0
45-59 25 18 30 20 0 5 34 25 0
26 0 0 0 35 0 1 1
0 0
60 or Over 42 37 37 51 0 6 25 37 0
39 0 0 0 31 0 1 1
0 0
Vote By Age
18-64 67 71 72 59 0 8 30 26 0
70 0 0 0 34 0 1 1
0 0
Over 64 33 29 28 41 0 6 24 38 0
30 0 0 0 30 0 1 1
0 0
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Vote By Income
Under $15,000 6 8 4 7 0 10 20 37 0
5 0 0 0 28 0 2 1
0 0
$15-30,000 18 16 18 19 0 6 28 31 0
18 0 0 0 34 0 0 1
0 0
$30-50,000 34 27 40 30 0 5 32 27 0
34 0 0 0 34 0 1 1
0 0
$50-75,000 26 25 24 26 0 7 26 30 0
26 0 0 0 34 0 1 2
0 0
$75-100,000 9 10 8 11 0 8 25 37 0
8 0 0 0 28 0 1 1
0 0
Over $100,000 8 13 6 7 0 12 22 28 0
8 0 0 0 37 0 2 0
0 0
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Vote By Education
No H.S. Degree 2 2 2 3 0 0 0 0 0
2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0
High School Graduate 16 18 21 14 0 8 35 26 0
15 0 0 0 30 0 1 1
0 0
Some College 38 41 42 37 0 7 31 29 0
36 0 0 0 32 0 1 1
0 0
College Graduate 25 21 21 26 0 6 24 31 0
28 0 0 0 38 0 1 0
0 0
Post-Graduate Degree 19 19 15 21 0 7 22 34 0
19 0 0 0 33 0 2 2
0 0
Vote By Education
No College Degree 57 60 64 53 0 7 32 28 0
53 0 0 0 31 0 1 1
0 0
College Graduate 43 40 36 47 0 6 23 32 0
47 0 0 0 36 0 1 1
0 0
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Vote By Religion
Protestant 54 57 49 58 0 8 26 32 0
52 0 0 0 32 0 1 1
0 0
Catholic 20 22 20 21 0 8 28 31 0
20 0 0 0 33 0 0 0
0 0
Other Christian 16 9 25 12 0 4 43 22 0
14 0 0 0 29 0 2 0
0 0
Jewish 2 2 1 3 0 0 0 0 0
2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0
Other 3 5 2 1 0 0 0 0 0
4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0
None 5 6 3 4 0 8 19 25 0
7 0 0 0 43 0 2 3
0 0
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Political Ideology
Very Liberal 1 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 0
1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0
Somewhat Liberal 5 8 3 5 0 11 15 31 0
6 0 0 0 38 0 0 5
0 0
Moderate 25 41 15 27 0 11 17 32 0
30 0 0 0 40 0 0 0
0 0
Somewhat Conserv. 41 39 37 45 0 7 25 32 0
42 0 0 0 34 0 1 1
0 0
Very Conservative 28 10 45 23 0 3 46 25 0
21 0 0 0 25 0 2 1
0 0
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Party Identification
Democrat 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0
Republican 84 78 85 91 0 6 28 32 0
81 0 0 0 32 0 1 1
0 0
Independent 14 21 14 8 0 10 28 17 0
18 0 0 0 41 0 1 3
0 0
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1992 Presidential Vote
Clinton 9 24 4 5 0 19 13 17 0
13 0 0 0 49 0 1 1
0 0
Bush 70 62 74 83 0 6 30 36 0
56 0 0 0 26 0 1 1
0 0
Perot 17 11 17 8 0 5 29 15 0
25 0 0 0 50 0 1 1
0 0
Other 2 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0
Did Not Vote 3 2 3 3 0 0 0 0 0
3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0
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Decided Who To Vote For...
Today 17 27 13 16 0 11 21 29 0
17 0 0 0 34 0 3 3
0 0
Last Three Days 16 26 18 12 0 11 30 22 0
17 0 0 0 34 0 1 2
0 0
Last Week 25 25 30 22 0 7 35 27 0
23 0 0 0 31 0 0 1
0 0
Earlier This Year 32 18 30 31 0 4 26 30 0
37 0 0 0 38 0 1 0
0 0
Before That 10 3 8 17 0 2 23 54 0
6 0 0 0 20 0 0 1
0 0
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Satisfied with Candidates?
Yes 51 21 64 55 0 3 35 32 0
45 0 0 0 29 0 1 0
0 0
No 44 74 29 42 0 12 19 29 0
50 0 0 0 38 0 1 2
0 0
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Second Choice for Nomination
Alexander 20 10 12 27 0 4 17 42 0
22 0 0 0 36 0 1 0
0 0
Buchanan 16 6 13 15 0 2 23 28 0
22 0 0 0 44 0 1 1
0 0
Dole 22 32 20 18 0 10 26 25 0
25 0 0 0 37 0 1 1
0 0
Forbes 28 30 42 23 0 8 42 25 0
18 0 0 0 22 0 1 2
0 0
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Member of Religious Right
Yes 29 11 47 26 0 3 46 27 0
18 0 0 0 21 0 2 2
0 0
No 66 80 49 71 0 9 21 32 0
75 0 0 0 37 0 1 1
0 0
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Abortion Ban in GOP Platform
Favor 35 13 58 31 0 3 46 27 0
23 0 0 0 22 0 2 1
0 0
Oppose 60 80 37 64 0 9 17 32 0
73 0 0 0 40 0 0 1
0 0
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Ever Planned to Vote for Dole?
Yes 48 33 36 87 0 5 21 55 0
26 0 0 0 18 0 1 1
0 0
No 50 63 62 10 0 9 35 6 0
72 0 0 0 48 0 1 1
0 0
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Effect of Dole's Age
Help Him 6 1 3 13 0 1 15 67 0
3 0 0 0 16 0 2 0
0 0
Hurt Him 31 43 36 13 0 10 33 13 0
39 0 0 0 42 0 1 2
0 0
No Effect 60 54 57 72 0 6 27 36 0
55 0 0 0 30 0 1 1
0 0
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Is Buchanan Too Extreme?
Yes 57 81 11 81 0 10 6 42 0
68 0 0 0 40 0 1 1
0 0
No 40 15 88 16 0 3 61 12 0
28 0 0 0 23 0 1 1
0 0
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Trade With Other Countries
Creates Jobs 48 55 28 54 0 8 17 34 0
57 0 0 0 39 0 1 1
0 0
Loses Jobs 34 21 53 27 0 4 44 23 0
28 0 0 0 27 0 1 1
0 0
No Effect 14 16 14 16 0 8 28 33 0
12 0 0 0 27 0 2 1
0 0
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Prefer Which Tax System?
Flat Tax 60 41 63 44 0 5 29 22 0
76 0 0 0 42 0 1 1
0 0
Current System 37 56 32 53 0 11 24 43 0
23 0 0 0 20 0 1 1
0 0
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Americans' Standard of Living
Will Rise 45 42 39 51 0 7 24 34 0
47 0 0 0 34 0 1 1
0 0
Will Fall 50 51 57 46 0 7 31 27 0
49 0 0 0 32 0 1 1
0 0
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Can Alexander Beat Clinton?
Yes 15 55 13 10 0 27 24 20 0
12 0 0 0 26 0 2 2
0 0
No 48 29 48 52 0 4 28 32 0
49 0 0 0 33 0 1 1
0 0
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Can Buchanan Beat Clinton?
Yes 31 3 82 8 0 1 73 7 0
16 0 0 0 16 0 2 0
0 0
No 41 69 13 55 0 12 9 40 0
46 0 0 0 37 0 1 1
0 0
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Can Dole Beat Clinton?
Yes 42 18 29 81 0 3 19 57 0
24 0 0 0 19 0 2 0
0 0
No 29 53 32 12 0 13 31 12 0
36 0 0 0 41 0 1 2
0 0
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Can Forbes Beat Clinton?
Yes 36 13 26 10 0 3 20 8 0
74 0 0 0 67 0 2 0
0 0
No 36 55 36 52 0 11 27 43 0
18 0 0 0 17 0 1 2
0 0
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Send Message on Negative Ads
Very Important 31 37 33 36 0 9 30 35 0
22 0 0 0 24 0 1 2
0 0
Somewhat Important 27 32 24 29 0 8 25 32 0
28 0 0 0 34 0 0 1
0 0
Not Too Important 20 14 19 19 0 5 26 29 0
22 0 0 0 37 0 1 1
0 0
Not Important at All 18 10 19 13 0 4 29 21 0
24 0 0 0 44 0 2 1
0 0
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Which Issue Mattered Most?
Immigration 10 4 24 5 0 3 67 16 0
4 0 0 0 13 0 1 0
0 0
Foreign Trade 4 2 5 6 0 3 37 43 0
1 0 0 0 12 0 0 5
0 0
Taxes 27 19 13 12 0 5 13 14 0
54 0 0 0 67 0 0 1
0 0
Medicare 3 3 2 5 0 0 0 0 0
2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0
Economy/Jobs 15 29 11 18 0 14 20 37 0
12 0 0 0 27 0 1 1
0 0
Budget Deficit 17 18 9 32 0 7 14 55 0
12 0 0 0 22 0 1 1
0 0
Abortion 10 6 23 6 0 4 61 16 0
4 0 0 0 13 0 4 2
0 0
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Which Quality Mattered Most?
Vision for Future 13 16 8 4 0 8 18 8 0
25 0 0 0 63 0 1 1
0 0
Stand Up for Beliefs 21 9 52 8 0 3 70 12 0
7 0 0 0 12 0 2 1
0 0
Can Beat Clinton 12 11 6 26 0 6 13 64 0
6 0 0 0 15 0 0 1
0 0
Conservative Values 19 12 23 20 0 5 35 32 0
15 0 0 0 26 0 1 0
0 0
Not a Politician 13 5 3 1 0 3 7 3 0
34 0 0 0 87 0 0 0
0 0
Experience in D.C. 10 5 1 30 0 3 3 90 0
1 0 0 0 3 0 0 2
0 0
Not Too Extreme 7 35 1 6 0 36 4 28 0
6 0 0 0 28 0 0 4
0 0
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