Polls


AZ Rep Primary-President
Voter News Service Exit Poll            State:   Arizona
For Election Occurring 02/27/96         Contest: Rep Primary-President
How to read the exit poll data

Candidates (*/+ indicates VNS/CNN winner) Votes V% Del *FORB = Steve Forbes 112,468 33 39 DOLE = Robert Dole 101,682 30 0 BCHN = Patrick Buchanan 93,034 28 0 ALEX = Lamar Alexander 24,097 7 0 KEYS = Alan Keyes 2,712 1 0 LUGR = Dick Lugar 2,003 1 0 GRAM = Phil Gramm 829 0 0 DORN = Bob Dornan 716 0 0 TAYL = Morry Taylor 144 0 0 Back to top
Results Recorded for 2,102 Respondents ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Exit Poll Question All < Vertical Pcts > < Horizontal Pcts > and Answer(s) Pct ALEX BCHN DOLE DORN ALEX BCHN DOLE DORN FORB GRAM KEYS LUGR FORB GRAM KEYS LUGR TAYL TAYL ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Vote by Gender Men 53 45 57 52 0 6 30 29 0 53 0 0 0 32 0 1 2 0 0 Women 47 55 43 48 0 8 26 31 0 47 0 0 0 33 0 1 0 0 0 Back to top
Vote By Age 18-29 9 15 7 9 0 12 23 31 0 9 0 0 0 33 0 1 0 0 0 30-44 25 30 26 20 0 9 29 24 0 25 0 0 0 34 0 2 2 0 0 45-59 25 18 30 20 0 5 34 25 0 26 0 0 0 35 0 1 1 0 0 60 or Over 42 37 37 51 0 6 25 37 0 39 0 0 0 31 0 1 1 0 0 Vote By Age 18-64 67 71 72 59 0 8 30 26 0 70 0 0 0 34 0 1 1 0 0 Over 64 33 29 28 41 0 6 24 38 0 30 0 0 0 30 0 1 1 0 0 Back to top
Vote By Income Under $15,000 6 8 4 7 0 10 20 37 0 5 0 0 0 28 0 2 1 0 0 $15-30,000 18 16 18 19 0 6 28 31 0 18 0 0 0 34 0 0 1 0 0 $30-50,000 34 27 40 30 0 5 32 27 0 34 0 0 0 34 0 1 1 0 0 $50-75,000 26 25 24 26 0 7 26 30 0 26 0 0 0 34 0 1 2 0 0 $75-100,000 9 10 8 11 0 8 25 37 0 8 0 0 0 28 0 1 1 0 0 Over $100,000 8 13 6 7 0 12 22 28 0 8 0 0 0 37 0 2 0 0 0 Back to top
Vote By Education No H.S. Degree 2 2 2 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 High School Graduate 16 18 21 14 0 8 35 26 0 15 0 0 0 30 0 1 1 0 0 Some College 38 41 42 37 0 7 31 29 0 36 0 0 0 32 0 1 1 0 0 College Graduate 25 21 21 26 0 6 24 31 0 28 0 0 0 38 0 1 0 0 0 Post-Graduate Degree 19 19 15 21 0 7 22 34 0 19 0 0 0 33 0 2 2 0 0 Vote By Education No College Degree 57 60 64 53 0 7 32 28 0 53 0 0 0 31 0 1 1 0 0 College Graduate 43 40 36 47 0 6 23 32 0 47 0 0 0 36 0 1 1 0 0 Back to top
Vote By Religion Protestant 54 57 49 58 0 8 26 32 0 52 0 0 0 32 0 1 1 0 0 Catholic 20 22 20 21 0 8 28 31 0 20 0 0 0 33 0 0 0 0 0 Other Christian 16 9 25 12 0 4 43 22 0 14 0 0 0 29 0 2 0 0 0 Jewish 2 2 1 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Other 3 5 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 None 5 6 3 4 0 8 19 25 0 7 0 0 0 43 0 2 3 0 0 Back to top
Political Ideology Very Liberal 1 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Somewhat Liberal 5 8 3 5 0 11 15 31 0 6 0 0 0 38 0 0 5 0 0 Moderate 25 41 15 27 0 11 17 32 0 30 0 0 0 40 0 0 0 0 0 Somewhat Conserv. 41 39 37 45 0 7 25 32 0 42 0 0 0 34 0 1 1 0 0 Very Conservative 28 10 45 23 0 3 46 25 0 21 0 0 0 25 0 2 1 0 0 Back to top
Party Identification Democrat 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Republican 84 78 85 91 0 6 28 32 0 81 0 0 0 32 0 1 1 0 0 Independent 14 21 14 8 0 10 28 17 0 18 0 0 0 41 0 1 3 0 0 Back to top
1992 Presidential Vote Clinton 9 24 4 5 0 19 13 17 0 13 0 0 0 49 0 1 1 0 0 Bush 70 62 74 83 0 6 30 36 0 56 0 0 0 26 0 1 1 0 0 Perot 17 11 17 8 0 5 29 15 0 25 0 0 0 50 0 1 1 0 0 Other 2 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Did Not Vote 3 2 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Back to top
Decided Who To Vote For... Today 17 27 13 16 0 11 21 29 0 17 0 0 0 34 0 3 3 0 0 Last Three Days 16 26 18 12 0 11 30 22 0 17 0 0 0 34 0 1 2 0 0 Last Week 25 25 30 22 0 7 35 27 0 23 0 0 0 31 0 0 1 0 0 Earlier This Year 32 18 30 31 0 4 26 30 0 37 0 0 0 38 0 1 0 0 0 Before That 10 3 8 17 0 2 23 54 0 6 0 0 0 20 0 0 1 0 0 Back to top
Satisfied with Candidates? Yes 51 21 64 55 0 3 35 32 0 45 0 0 0 29 0 1 0 0 0 No 44 74 29 42 0 12 19 29 0 50 0 0 0 38 0 1 2 0 0 Back to top
Second Choice for Nomination Alexander 20 10 12 27 0 4 17 42 0 22 0 0 0 36 0 1 0 0 0 Buchanan 16 6 13 15 0 2 23 28 0 22 0 0 0 44 0 1 1 0 0 Dole 22 32 20 18 0 10 26 25 0 25 0 0 0 37 0 1 1 0 0 Forbes 28 30 42 23 0 8 42 25 0 18 0 0 0 22 0 1 2 0 0 Back to top
Member of Religious Right Yes 29 11 47 26 0 3 46 27 0 18 0 0 0 21 0 2 2 0 0 No 66 80 49 71 0 9 21 32 0 75 0 0 0 37 0 1 1 0 0 Back to top
Abortion Ban in GOP Platform Favor 35 13 58 31 0 3 46 27 0 23 0 0 0 22 0 2 1 0 0 Oppose 60 80 37 64 0 9 17 32 0 73 0 0 0 40 0 0 1 0 0 Back to top
Ever Planned to Vote for Dole? Yes 48 33 36 87 0 5 21 55 0 26 0 0 0 18 0 1 1 0 0 No 50 63 62 10 0 9 35 6 0 72 0 0 0 48 0 1 1 0 0 Back to top
Effect of Dole's Age Help Him 6 1 3 13 0 1 15 67 0 3 0 0 0 16 0 2 0 0 0 Hurt Him 31 43 36 13 0 10 33 13 0 39 0 0 0 42 0 1 2 0 0 No Effect 60 54 57 72 0 6 27 36 0 55 0 0 0 30 0 1 1 0 0 Back to top
Is Buchanan Too Extreme? Yes 57 81 11 81 0 10 6 42 0 68 0 0 0 40 0 1 1 0 0 No 40 15 88 16 0 3 61 12 0 28 0 0 0 23 0 1 1 0 0 Back to top
Trade With Other Countries Creates Jobs 48 55 28 54 0 8 17 34 0 57 0 0 0 39 0 1 1 0 0 Loses Jobs 34 21 53 27 0 4 44 23 0 28 0 0 0 27 0 1 1 0 0 No Effect 14 16 14 16 0 8 28 33 0 12 0 0 0 27 0 2 1 0 0 Back to top
Prefer Which Tax System? Flat Tax 60 41 63 44 0 5 29 22 0 76 0 0 0 42 0 1 1 0 0 Current System 37 56 32 53 0 11 24 43 0 23 0 0 0 20 0 1 1 0 0 Back to top
Americans' Standard of Living Will Rise 45 42 39 51 0 7 24 34 0 47 0 0 0 34 0 1 1 0 0 Will Fall 50 51 57 46 0 7 31 27 0 49 0 0 0 32 0 1 1 0 0 Back to top
Can Alexander Beat Clinton? Yes 15 55 13 10 0 27 24 20 0 12 0 0 0 26 0 2 2 0 0 No 48 29 48 52 0 4 28 32 0 49 0 0 0 33 0 1 1 0 0 Back to top
Can Buchanan Beat Clinton? Yes 31 3 82 8 0 1 73 7 0 16 0 0 0 16 0 2 0 0 0 No 41 69 13 55 0 12 9 40 0 46 0 0 0 37 0 1 1 0 0 Back to top
Can Dole Beat Clinton? Yes 42 18 29 81 0 3 19 57 0 24 0 0 0 19 0 2 0 0 0 No 29 53 32 12 0 13 31 12 0 36 0 0 0 41 0 1 2 0 0 Back to top
Can Forbes Beat Clinton? Yes 36 13 26 10 0 3 20 8 0 74 0 0 0 67 0 2 0 0 0 No 36 55 36 52 0 11 27 43 0 18 0 0 0 17 0 1 2 0 0 Back to top
Send Message on Negative Ads Very Important 31 37 33 36 0 9 30 35 0 22 0 0 0 24 0 1 2 0 0 Somewhat Important 27 32 24 29 0 8 25 32 0 28 0 0 0 34 0 0 1 0 0 Not Too Important 20 14 19 19 0 5 26 29 0 22 0 0 0 37 0 1 1 0 0 Not Important at All 18 10 19 13 0 4 29 21 0 24 0 0 0 44 0 2 1 0 0 Back to top
Which Issue Mattered Most? Immigration 10 4 24 5 0 3 67 16 0 4 0 0 0 13 0 1 0 0 0 Foreign Trade 4 2 5 6 0 3 37 43 0 1 0 0 0 12 0 0 5 0 0 Taxes 27 19 13 12 0 5 13 14 0 54 0 0 0 67 0 0 1 0 0 Medicare 3 3 2 5 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Economy/Jobs 15 29 11 18 0 14 20 37 0 12 0 0 0 27 0 1 1 0 0 Budget Deficit 17 18 9 32 0 7 14 55 0 12 0 0 0 22 0 1 1 0 0 Abortion 10 6 23 6 0 4 61 16 0 4 0 0 0 13 0 4 2 0 0 Back to top
Which Quality Mattered Most? Vision for Future 13 16 8 4 0 8 18 8 0 25 0 0 0 63 0 1 1 0 0 Stand Up for Beliefs 21 9 52 8 0 3 70 12 0 7 0 0 0 12 0 2 1 0 0 Can Beat Clinton 12 11 6 26 0 6 13 64 0 6 0 0 0 15 0 0 1 0 0 Conservative Values 19 12 23 20 0 5 35 32 0 15 0 0 0 26 0 1 0 0 0 Not a Politician 13 5 3 1 0 3 7 3 0 34 0 0 0 87 0 0 0 0 0 Experience in D.C. 10 5 1 30 0 3 3 90 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 2 0 0 Not Too Extreme 7 35 1 6 0 36 4 28 0 6 0 0 0 28 0 0 4 0 0 Back to top


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