Polls


A CNN/ USA TODAY/ GALLUP POLL

POST-GOP CONVENTION REACTION

1,006 Registered Voters

August 16-18, 1996


ALL RESULTS, UNLESS NOTED OTHERWISE, ARE BASED ON TELEPHONE INTERVIEWS WITH 1,006 REGISTERED VOTERS, CONDUCTED AUGUST 16-18, 1996. FOR RESULTS BASED ON THIS SAMPLE, ONE CAN SAY WITH 95% CONFIDENCE THAT THE MARGIN OF SAMPLING ERROR IS +/- 3 PERCENTAGE POINTS.

SELECTED QUESTIONS BASED ON NATIONAL ADULTS, 18+, INCLUDE TELEPHONE INTERVIEWS WITH 1,188 -NATIONAL ADULTS; THE MARGIN OF SAMPLING ERROR IS +/-3 PERCENTAGE POINTS.

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1. Suppose that the 1996 presidential election were being held today, and it included Bill Clinton and Al Gore as the Democratic candidates, Bob Dole and Jack Kemp as the Republican candidates, and Ross Perot as the Reform Party candidate. Would you vote for Bill Clinton and Al Gore, the Democrats -- Bob Dole and Jack Kemp, the Republicans - -or Ross Perot, the Reform Party candidate?

1A. As of today do you lean toward Clinton and Gore, the Democrats, Dole and Kemp, the Republicans, or Perot, the Reform Party candidate?

              Clinton/     Dole/            Undecided/
                Gore       Kemp     Perot      other
96 Aug 16-18     48%        41%       7%         4%
96 Aug 14-15     50%        39%       7%         4%
96 Aug 11        50%        38%       6%         6%
96 Aug 5-7       52%        30%      12%         6%
96 Jul 25-28     50%        35%      10%         5%
96 Jul 18-21     50%        33%      12%         5%
96 Jun 18-19**   49%        33%      17%         1%
96 May 28-29     49%        34%      15%         2%
96 May 9-12      47%        32%      19%         2%
96 Apr 9-10      49%        35%      15%         1%
96 Mar 15-17     46%        36%      16%         2%
96 Mar 8-10      47%        34%      17%         2%
96 Jan 12-15     43%        39%      16%         2%
95 Aug 4-7       39%        35%      23%         3%
95 Apr 17-19     40%        37%      18%         5%
** half sample
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2. Now supposing Bill Clinton and Bob Dole were the only candidates running for president in 1996, who would you vote for --[ROTATED: Bill Clinton and Al Gore, the Democrats, or Bob Dole and Jack Kemp, the Republicans

2A. As of today, do you lean more toward Clinton and Gore, the Democrats, or Dole and Kemp, the Republicans?

              Clinton/      Dole/       DEPENDS/NEITHER/
                     Gore         Kemp          No opinion
96 Aug 16-18          51%          46%              3%
96 Aug 14-15          52%          42%              6%
96 Aug 11             53%          44%              3%
96 Aug 5-7            58%          35%              7%
96 Jul 25-28          57%          39%              4%
96 Jul 18-21          56%          39%              5%
96 Jun 27-30          54%          39%              7%
96 Jun 18-19          57%          38%              5%
96 May 28-29          56%          40%              4%
96 May 9-12           58%          38%              4%
96 Apr 25-28          58%          37%              5%
96 Apr 9-10           57%          40%              3%
96 Mar 15-17          54%          42%              4%
96 Mar 8-10           54%          42%              4%
96 Feb 23-25          56%          40%              4%
96 Jan 26-29          54%          42%              4%
96 Jan 12-15          48%          49%              3%
96 Jan 5-7            46%          49%              5%
95 Dec 15-18          54%          43%              4%
95 Nov 6-8            53%          43%              4%
95 Sep 22-24          50%          45%              5%
95 Aug 28-30          48%          48%              4%
95 Aug 4-7            46%          48%              6%
95 Jul 20-23          49%          45%              6%
95 Jul 7-9            47%          48%              5%
95 Jun 5-6            46%          51%              4%
95 May 11-14          48%          48%              4%
95 Apr 17-19          48%          49%              4%
95 Feb 3-5            45%          51%              4%
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3. Now, suppose again that all three candidates -- Clinton, Dole and Perot --were running for president on the ballot in November. If that were the case:

3.A IF NOT CLINTON IN Q. 1/1A: Is there any chance you would vote for Bill Clinton in the November election or is there no chance whatsoever that you would vote for him?

            Core     Soft    Potential   No
                Clinton  Clinton  Clinton   chance
96 Aug 16-18**    33%      16%      12%       39%
96 Aug 5-7        35%      17%      12%       36%
96 May 9-12       31%      16%      16%       37%
96 Apr 9-10       36%      13%      15%       36%

3.B IF NOT DOLE IN Q. 1/1A: Is there any chance you would vote for Bob Dole in the November election or is there no chance whatsoever that you would vote for him?

            Core  Soft  Potential   No
                 Dole  Dole    Dole    chance
96 Aug 16-18**    29%   12%    16%       43%
96 Aug 5-7        21%    9%    19%       51%
96 May 9-12       23%    9%    17%       51%
96 Apr 9-10       25%   10%    16%       49%

3.C IF NOT PEROT IN Q. 1/1A: Is there any chance you would vote for Ross Perot in the November election or is there no chance whatsoever that you would vote for him?

         Core  Soft  Potential  No
              Perot  Perot Perot   chance
96 Aug 16-18** 1%      5%   18%     76%
96 Aug 5-7     4%      8%   18%     70%
96 May 9-12    4%     15%   13%     68%
96 Apr 9-10    2%     13%   12%     73%

Turning now to Congress,

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4. If the elections for Congress were being held today, which party's candidate would you vote for in your Congressional district --

4A. As of today, do you lean more to:

               Democratic Republican     undecided
                    candidate  candidate       other
(RV) 96 Aug 16-18     49%         45%            6%
(RV) 96 Aug 5-7       48%         44%            8%
(NA) 96 Jul 18-21     48%         44%            8%
(NA) 96 Jun 18-19     50%         43%            7%
(NA) 96 May 9-12      51%         44%            5%
(NA) 96 Apr 9-10      51%         45%            4%
(NA) 96 Feb 23-25     48%         46%            6%
(NA) 96 Jan 12-15     46%         47%            7%
(NA) 96 Jan 5-7       44%         48%            8%
(NA) 95 Dec 15-18     49%         43%            8%
(NA) 95 Nov 6-8       47%         46%            7%
(NA) 95 Aug 28-30     43%         47%           10%
(NA) 95 Jul 7-9       46%         47%            7%
(NA) 94 Nov 2-6      46%          46%            8%
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5. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill Clinton is handling his job as president? BASED ON NATIONAL ADULTS

                 Approve  Disapprove     No opinion
96 Aug 16-18           52%         39%             9%
96 Aug 5-7             57%         36%             7%
96 Jul 25-28           58%         35%             7%
96 Jul 18-21           57%         35%             8%
96 Jun 27-30           52%         42%             6%
96 Jun 18-19           58%         37%             5%
96 May 28-29           53%         38%             9%
96 May 9-12            55%         39%             6%
96 Apr 25-28           56%         37%             7%
96 Apr 9-10            54%         40%             6%
96 Mar 15-17           52%         39%             9%
96 Mar 8-10            54%         37%             9%
96 Feb 23-25           53%         40%             7%
96 Jan 26-29           52%         42%             6%
96 Jan 12-15           46%         47%             7%
96 Jan 5-7             42%         49%             9%
95 Dec 15-18           51%         44%             5%
95 Nov 17-18           53%         38%             9%
95 Nov 6-8             52%         41%             7%
95 Oct 19-22           49%         40%            11%
95 Oct 5-7             46%         42%            12%
95 Sep 22-24           48%         44%             8%
95 Sep 14-17           44%         44%            12%
95 Aug 28-30           46%         43%            11%
95 Aug 4-7             46%         42%            12%
95 Jul 20-23           46%         44%            10%
95 Jul 7-9             48%         42%            10%
95 Jun 5-6             47%         42%            11%   
95 May 11-14           51%         42%             7%
95 Apr 21-24           51%         39%            10%
95 Apr 17-19           46%         45%             9%
95 Apr 5-6             47%         45%             8%
95 Mar 27-29           44%         47%             9%
95 Mar 17-19           46%         45%             9%
95 Feb 24-26           42%         48%            10%
95 Feb 3-5             49%         44%             7%
95 Jan 16-18           47%         45%             8%
94 Dec 28-30           40%         52%             8%
94 Dec 16-18           42%         53%             5%
94 Dec 2-5             42%         50%             8%
94 Nov 28-29           43%         49%             8%
94 Nov 2-6             46%         46%             8%
94 Oct 22-25           48%         46%             6%
94 Oct 18-19           41%         52%             7%
94 Oct 7-9             42%         52%             6%
94 Sep 23-25           44%         51%             5%
94 Sep 16-18           42%         50%             8%
94 Sep 6-7             39%         54%             7%
94 Aug 15-16           39%         52%             9%
94 Aug 8-9             43%         48%             9%
94 Jul 15-17           42%         49%             9%
94 Jul 1-3             43%         48%             9%
94 Jun 25-28           44%         47%             8%
94 Jun 11-12           49%         44%             7%
94 Jun 3-6             46%         47%             7%
94 May 20-22           51%         42%             7%
94 Apr 22-24           48%         44%             8%
94 Apr 16-18           51%         41%             8%
94 Mar 25-27           52%         41%             7%
94 Mar 11-13           50%         41%             9%
94 Mar 7-8             50%         42%             8%
94 Feb 26-28           53%         41%             6%
94 Jan 28-30           58%         35%             7%
94 Jan 15-17           54%         38%             8%
94 Jan 6-8             54%         38%             8%
93 Dec 17-19           54%         40%             6%
93 Dec 4-6             52%         38%            10%
93 Nov 19-21           48%         43%             9%
93 Nov 15-16           50%         43%             7%
93 Nov 2-4             48%         45%             7%
93 Oct 28-30           48%         45%             7%
93 Oct 13-18           47%         44%             9%
93 Oct 8-10            50%         42%             8%
93 Sep 24-26           56%         36%             8%
93 Sep 13-15           46%         43%            11%
93 Sep 10-12           47%         42%            11%
93 Aug 23-25           44%         47%             9%
93 Aug 8-10            44%         48%             8%
93 Jul 19-21           41%         49%            10%
93 Jul 9-11            45%         48%             7%
93 Jun 29-30           46%         47%             7%
93 Jun 18-21           39%         50%            11%
93 Jun 5-6             37%         49%            14%
93 May 21-23           44%         46%            10%
93 May 10-12           45%         44%            11%
93 Apr 22-24           55%         37%             8%
93 Mar 29-31           52%         37%            11%
93 Mar 12-14           53%         34%            13%
93 Feb 26-28           59%         29%            12%
93 Feb 12-14           51%         34%            15%
93 Feb 29-31           54%         30%            16%
93 Jan 24-26           58%         20%            22%
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6. In general, are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way things are going in the United States at this time?

SELECTED TREND BASED ON NATIONAL ADULTS:

           Satisfied    Dissatisfied   No opinion
96 Aug 16-18      38 %           57 %          5 %
96 May 9-12       37 %           60 %          3 %
96 Mar 15-17      36 %           61 %          3 %
96 Mar 8-10       41 %           56 %          3 %
96 Jan 5-7        24 %           72 %          4 %
95 Jul 7-9        32 %           65 %          3 %
95 Mar 27-29      30 %           66 %          4 %
94 Nov 28-29      29 %           67 %          4 %
94 Nov 2-6        30 %           66 %          4 %
94 Oct 22-25      31 %           66 %          3 %
94 Jul 15-17      33 %           65 %          2 %
94 May 20-22      33 %           64 %          3 %
94 Apr 22-24      32 %           65 %          3 %
94 Mar 25-27      35 %           62 %          3 %
94 Feb 26-28      36 %           61 %          3 %
94 Jan 15-17      35 %           62 %          3 %
93 Dec 4-6        34 %           63 %          3 %
93 Nov 2-4        27 %           70 %          3 %
93 May 21-23      24 %           73 %          3 %
93 Feb 12-14      25 %           71 %          4 %
93 Jan 8-11       29 %           68 %          3 %
92 Nov 10-11      26 %           68 %          6 %
92 Jun 12-14      14 %           84 %          2 %
92 Apr 20-22 (RV) 19 %           80 %          1 %
91 Dec            37 %           60 %          3 %
91 Mar 21-24      52 %           43 %          5 %
90 Feb            55 %           39 %          6 %
89 Feb            45 %           50 %          5 %
88 May            41 %           54 %          5 %
87 Aug            45 %           49 %          6 %
86 Mar            66 %           30 %          4 %
85 Nov            51 %           46 %          3 %
84 Feb            50 %           46 %          4 %
83 Aug            35 %           59 %          6 %
82 Apr            25 %           71 %          4 %
81 Jun            33 %           61 %          6 %
79 Feb            26 %           69 %          5 %
(RV) Registered Voters
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7. Now, I will read off the names of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say whether you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of this person -- or if you have never heard of him or her. First, ... Bill Clinton. Next, [RANDOM ORDER].

                                           NEVER      No
                 Favorable  Unfavorable   HEARD OF  opinion
Bill Clinton
(RV)96 Aug 16-18     57          41           *      2
(RV)96 Aug 14-15     58          37           0      5
(RV)96 Aug 5-7       60          37           *      3
(NA)96 Jul 18-21     62          35           0      3
(NA)96 Jun 18-19     60          36           *      4
(NA)96 May 28-29     59          38           0      3
(NA)96 May 9-12      60          39           *      1
(NA)96 Mar 15-17     58          38           *      4
(NA)96 Feb 23-25     60          37           *      3
(NA)96 Jan 12-15     54          44           0      2
(NA)95 Nov 6-8       59          38           *      3
(NA)95 Sep 22-24     55          41           *      4
(NA)95 Aug 4-7       51          44           0      5
(NA)95 Jul 7-9       57          40           0      3
(NA)95 Apr 17-19     56          42           1      1
(NA)95 Mar 17-19     51          45           *      4
(NA)95 Jan 16-18     56          42           *      2
(NA)94 Dec 28-30     48          49           0      3
(NA)94 Nov 28-29     50          47           0      3
(NA)94 Sep 6-7       47          50           0      3
(NA)94 Jul 15-17     49          48           *      3
(NA)94 Apr 22-24     56          41           0      3
(NA)94 Mar 25-27     56          40           0      4
(NA)94 Mar 7-8       59          38           *      3
(NA)94 Jan 15-17     60          37           0      3
(NA)94 Jan 6-8       62          35          --      3
(NA)93 Nov 19-21     55          41          --      4
(NA)93 Nov 15-16     56          38          --      6
(NA)93 Nov 2-4       54          42          --      4
(NA)93 Sep 24-26     63          32          --      5
(NA)93 Aug 8-10      53          42          --      5
(NA)93 Jul 19-21     51          45          --      4
(NA)93 Jun 5-6       48          44          --      8
(NA)93 Apr 22-24     63          32          --      5
(NA)93 Jan 29-31     65          27          --      8
(NA)93 Jan 18-19     66          26          --      8
(NA)92 Nov 10-11     58          35          --      7
                                           NEVER     No
                 Favorable   Unfavorable  HEARD OF opinion
Bob Dole
(RV)96 Aug 16-18     58          35           *      1
(RV)96 Aug 14-15     51          38           *      1
(RV)96 Aug 5-7       49          45           *      6
(NA)96 Jul 18-21     49          44           *      7
(NA)96 Jun 18-19     55          37           1      7
(NA)96 May 28-29     52          40           1      7
(NA)96 May 9-12      51          44           1      4
(NA)96 Mar 15-17     57          35           1      7
(NA)96 Feb 23-25     49          43           1      7
(NA)96 Jan 12-15     44          40           3     13
(NA)95 Nov 6-8       42          44           4     10
(NA)95 Sep 22-24     42          43           4     11
(NA)95 Aug 4-7       47          34           4     15
(NA)95 Jul 7-9       59          29           4      8
(NA)95 Apr 17-19     57          32           2      9
(NA)95 Mar 17-19     53          29           5     13
(NA)95 Jan 16-18     54          31           4     11
(NA)94 Dec 28-30     54          30           4     12
(NA)94 Nov 28-29     58          26           6     10
(NA)94 Jul 15-17     51          30           7     12
(NA)94 Jan 15-17     52          29           4     15
(NA)93 Aug 8-10      42          37          --     21
(NA)93 Mar 22-24     54          26          --     20
Ross Perot
(RV)96 Aug 16-18     32          58           *     10
(RV)96 Aug 5-7       38          53           *      9
(NA)96 Jul 18-21     40          48           1     11
(NA)96 May 28-29     39          52           1      8
(NA)96 May 9-12      38          54           1      7
(NA)96 Mar 15-17     44          46           *      10
(NA)96 Feb 23-25     38          52           *      10
(NA)96 Jan 12-15     37          50           1      12
(NA)95 Aug 4-7       40          46           2      12
(NA)95 Apr 17-19     41          52           1       6
(NA)94 Sep 6-7       40          50           1       9
(NA)94 Jul 15-17     39          50           1      10
(NA)94 Apr 22-24     37          54           *       9
(NA)94 Jan 15-17     36          56           1       7
(NA)93 Nov 2-4       44          44          --      12
(NA)93 Aug 8-10      52          38          --      10
(NA)93 Mar 22-24     66          28          --       6
(RV)92 Nov 1-2       46          46          --       8
(RV)92 Oct 22-23     56          32          --      12
(RV)92 Sep 28-30     20          66          --      14
(RV)92 Jul 17-18     38          47          --      15
(RV)92 Jul 16        44          35          --      21
(RV)92 Jul 6-8       44          37          --      19
(RV)92 Jun 26-30     48          34          --      18
(RV)92 Jun 12-14     52          30          --      18
(RV)92 May 18-20     50          25          --      25
(RV)92 May 7-10      48          16          --      36
(RV)92 Apr 20-22     41          23          --      36
(RV)92 Mar 31-Apr 1  32          10          --      58
Hillary Rodham Clinton
(RV)96 Aug 16-18     47          48           *      5
(RV)96 Aug 5-7       48          45           *      7
(NA)96 Jun 18-19     46          47           1      6
(NA)96 Mar 15-17     47          48           *      5
(NA)96 Jan 12-15     43          51           1      5
(NA)95 Jul 7-9       50          44           1      5
(NA)95 Mar 17-19     49          44           1      6
(NA)95 Jan 16-18     50          44           1      5
(NA)94 Nov 28-29     50          44           1      5
(NA)94 Sep 6-7       48          47           1      4
(NA)94 Jul 15-17     48          46           1      5
(NA)94 Apr 22-24     56          40           *      4
(NA)94 Mar 25-27     52          42           1      5
(NA)94 Mar 7-8       55          40           *      5
(NA)94 Jan 15-17     57          36           1      6
(NA)93 Nov 2-4       58          34          --      8
(NA)93 Sep 24-26     62          27          --     11
(NA)93 Aug 8-10      57          33          --     10
(NA)93 Jul 19-21     56          34          --     10
(NA)93 Jun 5-6       50          31          --     19
(NA)93 Apr 22-24     61          27          --     12
(NA)93 Mar 22-24     61          31          --      8
(NA)93 Jan 29-31     67          22          --     11
(NA)92 Nov 10-11     49          30          --     21
NA)92 Aug 31-Sep 2   56          25          --     19
Elizabeth Dole
(RV)96 Aug 16-18     58          18           4      20
(RV)96 Aug 5-7       51          18           7      24
(NA)96 Mar 15-17     46          16          11      27
Jack Kemp
(RV)96 Aug 16-18     54          18           7      21
(RV)96 Aug 14-15     45          20          10      25
(RV)96 Aug 11        56          14          10      20
Al Gore
(RV)96 Aug 16-18     59          30           *      11
(RV)96 Aug 11        59          29           1      11
(NA)96 Jan 12-15**   52          34           2      12
(NA)94 Sep 6-7       56          31           2      11
(NA)94 Apr 22-24     60          28           2      10
(NA)94 Mar 25-27     56          29           2      13
(NA)94 Jan 15-17     62          26           3       9
(NA)93 Nov 2-4       49          30          --      21
(NA)93 Jul 19-21     55          30          --      15
(NA)93 Apr 22-24     55          24          --      21
(NA)93 Jan 18-19     63          22          --      15
(NA)92 Nov 10-11     56          28          --      16
** Half sample
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8. Regardless of which presidential candidate you support, please tell me whether you think Bill Clinton, Bob Dole, or Ross Perot would better handle each of the following issues. First, [INSERT ITEM, ROTATE START] -- do you think Bill Clinton, Bob Dole or Ross Perot would better handle that issue. Next, what about [READ NEXT ITEM]

                                                NO DIFF   No
                               Clinton  Dole   Perot  (vol.) Opin
a.       The federal budget deficit
          (RV)     96 Aug 16-18   36     37     19      4      4
          (RV)     96 Aug 5-7     35     29     26      5      5
          (NA)     96 Jul 18-21   36     31     25      3      5
b.       Education
          (RV)     96 Aug 16-18   53     34      6      2      5
          (NA)     96 Aug 5-7     57     27      7      4      5
          (NA)     96 Jul 18-21   56     28     10      2      4
c.       Medicare
          (RV)     96 Aug 16-18   48     36      8      3      5
          (RV)     96 Aug 5-7     49     30     11      4      6
          (NA)     96 Jul 18-21   49     30     14      2      5
d.       The economy
          (RV)     96 Aug 16-18   40     35     17      3      5
          (RV)     96 Aug 5-7     41     29     22      3      5
          (NA)     96 Jul 18-21   41     30     22      2      5
e.       Crime
          (RV)     96 Aug 16-18   39     43      8      4      6
          (RV)     96 Aug 5-7     44     33     11      5      7
          (NA)     96 Jul 18-21   44     35     11      4      6
f.       Taxes
          (RV)     96 Aug 16-18   36     41     13      4      6
          (RV)     96 Aug 5-7     38     34     19      4      5
          (NA)     96 Jul 18-21   38     32     22      3      5
g.       Immigration
          (RV)     96 Aug 16-18   36     43      9      3      9
h.       National Defense
          (RV)     96 Aug 16-18   35     51      6      2      6
i.       Terrorism
          (RV)     96 Aug 16-18   39     42      8      5      6
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9. Next, I'm going to read off some personal characteristics and qualities. As I read each one, please tell me whether you think it applies or doesn't apply to Bill Clinton. First, ... Next, ... [RANDOM ORDER]

ASKED OF FORM A ONLY; N = 477; MARGIN OF ERROR = +/- 5 PCT PTS.

(*) Asked of half sample
(**) Asked of quarter sample
                                             Doesn't        No
                                  Applies     apply        Opin
a. Can get things done     
     (RV)          96 Aug 16-18     54          43           3
     (RV)          96 Aug 5-7       55          41           4
     (NA)          96 Mar 15-17(*)  48          50           2
     (NA)          96 Jan 12-15(**) 42          55           3
     (NA)          95 Feb 3-5       45          51           4
     (NA)          94 Dec 2-5       45          53           2
     (NA)          94 Oct 17-19     42          56           2
     (NA)          94 Sep 6-7       42          54           4
     (NA)          94 Mar 7-8       57          39           4
     (NA)          94 Jan 28-30     64          31           5
     (NA)          94 Jul 15-17     43          54           3
     (NA)          94 Apr 22-24     54          42           4
     (NA)          94 Jan 15-17(*)  62          33           5
     (NA)          94 Jan 6-8       63          34           3
     (NA)          93 Nov 19-21     66          30           4
     (NA)          93 Nov 2-4(*)    49          46           5
     (NA)          93 Oct 8-10      56          38           6
     (NA)          93 Aug 8-10(*)   46          49           5
     (NA)          93 Jun 29-30     46          49           5
     (NA)          93 Jun 5-6       42          51           7
     (NA)          93 Apr 22-24     55          40           5
b.     Honest and trustworthy     
     (RV)          96 Aug 16-18     44          51           5
     (RV)          96 Aug 5-7       45          51           4
     (NA)          96 Jun 18-19     46          49           5
     (NA)          96 Mar 15-17(*)  45          52           3
     (NA)          96 Jan 12-15 (**)42          53           5
     (NA)          95 Feb 3-5       46          49           5
     (NA)          94 Dec 2-5       44          52           4
     (NA)          94 Oct 17-19     41          56           3
     (NA)          94 Jul 15-17     39          56           5
     (NA)          94 Apr 22-24     47          48           5
     (NA)          94 Mar 7-8       48          46           6
     (NA)          94 Jan 28-30     52          43           5
BILL CLINTON QUALITIES:  
                                              Doesn't       No                                         
                                 Applies       apply       Opin
                                    %           %           %
Honest and trustworthy, cont.
     (NA)          94 Jan 15-17(*)  53          41           6
     (NA)          94 Jan 6-8       49          46           5
     (NA)          93 Nov 19-21     54          41           5
     (NA)          93 Nov 2-4(*)    56          39           5
     (NA)          93 Oct 8-10      59          35           6
     (NA)          93 Aug 8-10(*)   51          43           6
     (NA)          93 Jun 5-6       56          38           6
     (NA)          93 Apr 22-24     61          35           4
c.     Shares your values     
     (RV)          96 Aug 16-18     50          47           3
     (RV)          96 Aug 5-7       51          45           4
     (NA)          96 Jun 18-19     53          42           5
     (NA)          96 Mar 15-17(*)  47          51           2
     (NA)          96 Jan 12-15(**) 42          55           3
     (NA)          95 Feb 3-5       45          51           4
     (NA)          94 Dec 2-5       41          56           3
     (NA)          94 Jul 15-17     40          56           4
     (NA)          94 Apr 22-24     45          50           5
     (NA)          94 Mar 7-8       49          47           4
     (NA)          94 Jan 28-30     53          42           5
     (NA)          94 Jan 15-17(*)  44          52           4
     (NA)          93 Nov 2-4(*)    49          48           3
     (NA)          93 Aug 8-10(*)   46          51           3
     (NA)          93 Apr 22-24     53          42           5
d.     Cares about the needs of people like you     
     (RV)          96 Aug 16-18     60          37           3
    (RV)          96 Aug 5-7        62          36           2
     (NA)          96 Jun 18-19     64          32           4
     (NA)          96 Mar 15-17(*)  57          41           2
     (NA)          96 Jan 12-15 (**)57          41           2
     (NA)          94 Dec 2-5       54          44           2
     (NA)          94 Jan 28-30     65          32           3
     (NA)          94 Jul 15-17     51          46           3
     (NA)          94 Apr 22-24     57          39           4
     (NA)          94 Mar 7-8       60          38           2
     (NA)          94 Jan 15-17(*)  53          43           4
     (NA)          93 Jun 5-6       56          41           3
     (NA)          93 Apr 22-24     64          33           3
BILL CLINTON QUALITIES, CONT.
                                              Doesn't        No                                    
                                  Applies      apply        Opin
                                     %           %           %
e.     Has a clear plan for solving this country's problems
     (RV)      96 Aug 16-18          33          62           5
     (RV)          96 Aug 5-7        34          62           4
     (NA)          96 Mar 15-17(*)   30          66           4
     (NA)          96 Jan 12-15(**)  30          65           5
f.     Can bring about the changes this country needs
     (RV)          96 Aug 16-18      44          52           4
     (RV)          96 Aug 5-7        48          49           3
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10. Next I'm going to read off some personal characteristics and qualities. As I read each one, please tell me whether you think it applies or doesn't apply to Bob Dole First, ... Next, ... READ AND ROTATE:

ASKED OF FORM B ONLY; N = 529; MARGIN OF ERROR = +/- 5 PCT PTS.

(*)  Asked of half sample
(**) Asked of quarter sample
                                             Doesn't        No                                        
                                 Applies       apply       Opin
                                    %           %            %
a.     Can get things done
(RV)          96 Aug 16-18          67          26           7
(RV)          96 Aug 5-7            54          38           8
(NA)          96 Mar 15-17 (*)      59          30          11
(NA)          96 Jan 12-15 (**)     63          28           9
b.     Honest and trustworthy     
(RV)          96 Aug 16-18          68          26           6
(RV)          96 Aug 5-7            62          33           5
(NA)          96 Jun 18-19          62          29           9
(NA)          96 Mar 15-17 (*)      61          30           9
(NA)          96 Jan 12-15 (**)     57          31          12
BOB DOLE QUALITIES, CONT.
                                             Doesn't         No                               
                                 Applies      apply         Opin
                                    %           %            %
c.     Shares your values     
     (RV)          96 Aug 16-18     57          37           6
     (RV)          96 Aug 5-7       42          52           6
     (NA)          96 Jun 18-19     49          42           9
     (NA)          96 Mar 15-17 (*) 46          45           9
     (NA)          96 Jan 12-15 (**)46          43          11
d. Cares about the needs of people like you          
(RV)          96 Aug 16-18          59          38           3
(RV)          96 Aug 5-7            46          49           5
(NA)          96 Jun 18-19          47          44           9
(NA)          96 Mar 15-17 (*)      45          48           7
(NA)          96 Jan 12-15 (**)     46          46           8
e.     Has a clear plan for solving this country's problems     
(RV)          96 Aug 16-18          47          45           8
(RV)          96 Aug 5-7            30          65           5
(NA)          96 Mar 15-17 (*)      34          56          10
(NA)          96 Jan 12-15 (**)     34          54          12
f.     Can bring about the changes this country needs     
(RV)          96 Aug 16-18          51          43           6
(RV)          96 Aug 5-7            38          55           7
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11. In general, do you think the policies being proposed by Bob Dole are too conservative, about right, or not conservative enough?

     96 Aug 16-18     96 Aug 5-7
      34                38          Too conservative
      39                34          About right
      16                18          Not conservative enough
      11                10          No opinion
     100               100
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12. In general, do you think the policies being proposed by Bill Clinton are too liberal, about right, or not liberal enough?

     
    96 Aug 16-18     96 Aug 5-7
      39                35          Too liberal
      40                42          About right
      15                17          Not liberal enough
       6                 6          No opinion
     100               100

Now thinking about the political parties --

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13. Please tell me whether you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of each of the following parties. First, ... Next, ...

                                         
                                         Un-          Not 
                            Favorable favorable    Heard of    No Opin         
                               %          %            %           %
a.      The Republican Party
     (RV)     96 Aug 16-18    55          41           3           1
     (RV)     96 Aug 5-7      51          44           5           *
     (NA)     96 Apr 9-10     52          41           7           *
     (NA)     95 Apr 17-19    52          42           6           *
     (RV)     92 Jul 6-8      53          39           8           *
b.      The Democratic Party
     (RV)     96 Aug 16-18    55          41           3           1
     (RV)     96 Aug 5-7      57          38           4           1
     (NA)     96 Apr 9-10     55          38           7           0
     (NA)     95 Apr 17-19    51          43           6           *
     (RV)     92 Jul 6-8      54          38           8           *
c.      The Reform Party
     (RV)     96 Aug 16-18    23          57          12           8
     (RV)     96 Aug 5-7      26          46          14          14
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14. How well do you think the Republican Party does each of the following --very well, moderately well, not too well, or not well at all? First, ... Next, ... [ROTATED]

a.     Represents your values
                                  Moder-    Not      Not
                         Very      ately     too      well       No
                         well      well      well     at all     op
                          %         %         %         %         %
(RV)     96 Aug 16-18    21        39        19        20         1
(NA)     94 Nov 28-29    20        46        19        12         3
(NA)     94 Oct 22-25    11        43        26        18         2
 b.     Represents your attitude about the role of government
                                   Moder-    Not      Not
                         Very      ately     too      well         No
                         well      well      well     at all       op
                          %         %         %         %           %
(RV)     96 Aug 16-18     21        38        21        17          3
(NA)     94 Nov 28-29     18        46        21        11          4
(NA)     94 Oct 22-25     10        42        30        16          2
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15. First, would you say the [RANDOM ORDER] is generally doing a good job or a bad job these days, of reaching out to women? How about ...

ASKED OF FORM A ONLY; N = 477; MARGIN OF ERROR = 5 PCT PTS.

REACHING OUT TO WOMEN

                                          NEITHER/
                      Good          Bad         MIXED      No
                      job          job         (vol.)     opin
a. Republican Party     41          46           6          7
 b. Democratic Party    67          22           6          5
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16. Would you say the [RANDOM ORDER] is generally doing a good job or a bad job these days, of reaching out to blacks, Hispanics, and other minorities? How about ...

ASKED OF FORM B ONLY; N = 529; MARGIN OF ERROR = 5 PCT PTS.

REACHING OUT TO MINORITIES

                                        NEITHER/
                       Good       Bad    MIXED        No                        
                        job       job     (vol.)     opin
a. Republican Party     41         44       5         10
b. Democratic Party     63         27       3          7
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17. Which concerns you more [RANDOM OREDER] -- the nation's economic problems, or the nation's moral problems?

     96 Aug 16-18     96 Jul 18-21     96 May 9-12
       %                 %                 %
      39                38                42     Economic problems                                          
      55                53                53     Moral problems
       3                 7                 2     NEITHER/OTHER/BOTH (vol)
       3                 2                 3     No opinion
     100               100               100
19/20     ROTATED
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18. Since the start of 1995 when Republicans took control of Congress, in general, would you say the Republican Congress has been a success or a failure?

                                                            No
                                   Success     Failure    opinion
                                      %           %           %
     (RV)          96 Aug 16-18      51          41           8
     (RV)          96 Aug 5-7**      49          42           9
     (NA)          96 May 9-12       43          49           8
     (NA)          95 Aug 28-30      52          35          13
     (NA)          95 Apr 17-19      54          35          11
     (NA)          94 Mar 27-29      52          35          13
     ** Asked of half sample
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19. Looking back on Bill Clinton's first term in office, in general, would you say his presidency has been a success or a failure?

                                                             No
                                   Success     Failure    opinion
     (RV)          96 Aug 16-18      57          38           5
     (RV)          96 Aug 5-7**      64          30           6
     (NA)          94 Dec 2-5***     44          50           6
     ** Asked of half sample
*** Question Wording: "Looking back on Bill Clinton's first two years in office,
in general, would you say his presidency has been a success or a failure?"

Now back to the election,

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20. Please tell me whether each of the following makes you more likely or less likely to vote for Bob Dole. READ ITEM A, THEN ROTATE ROTATE B-E:

a. What you saw or read of this week's Republican National Convention in San
Diego
                              More       Less      NO DIFF.  No                                
                             likely     likely     (vol.)   opin
                               %           %           %      %
Post Rep. Convention 1996     45          34          13      8
Post Dem. Convention 1992     60          15          17      8
Post Dem. Convention 1988     56          21           9     14
Post Dem. Convention 1984     45          29          12     14
b.  Dole's choice of Jack Kemp as his running mate
Post Convention 1996 (Kemp)   60          23          12      5
Post Convention 1992 (Gore)   73          10          13      4
Post Convention 1988 (Bentsen)48          28          10     14
Post Convention 1984 (Ferraro)52          26          18      4
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21. Regardless of which candidate you support -- and trying to be as objective as possible -- who do you think will win the election in November -- Bill Clinton or Bob Dole?

                                             OTHER         No
                         Clinton     Dole        (vol.)      opinion
                           %           %           %            %
     96 Aug 16-18          66          28           1           5
                                                 Republican     OTHER   No
                         Clinton     candidate    (vol.)    opinion
                           %           %            %           %
     96 Jul 8-15           71          19           *          10
     96 Jun 12-17          65          24           1          10
     96 May 13-19          68          21           1          10
     96 Apr 8-14           67          23           *          10
     96 Mar 11-17          55          30           1          14
     96 Feb 12-18          53          33           2          12
     96 Jan 8-14           49          38           1          12
     
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22. Do you feel Bob Dole is too old to be president, or not? Yes, No, not No too old too old opinion % % % (RV) 96 Aug 16-18 28 71 1 (RV) 96 Aug 5-7 32 64 4 (NA) 96 Jul 18-19** 31 66 3 (NA) 96 Mar 15-17 25 72 3 (NA) 96 Feb 23-25 27 67 6 ** Asked of half sample
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23. Thinking about taxes, what do you think is most likely to happen if [ROTATED] in November -- [ORDER ROTATED:] Your taxes will be raised, Your taxes will stay about the same, or Your taxes will be cut?

Next, what do you think is most likely to happen if [INSERT NEXT ITEM] in November --

     a.     Bob Dole is elected president
           30          Your taxes will be raised
           41          Your taxes will stay about the same, or
           26          Your taxes will be cut
            3          No opinion
          100
     b.     Bill Clinton is re-elected president
           37          Your taxes will be raised
           56          Your taxes will stay about the same, or
            5          Your taxes will be cut
            2          No opinion
          100
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24. Next, if [ROTATED] in November do you think he will balance the federal budget or not?

How about, if [INSERT NEXT ITEM] in November -- do you think he will balance the federal budget or not?

     a.     Bob Dole is elected president
           30          Yes, will balance the budget
           65          No, will not
            5          No opinion
          100
     b.     Bill Clinton is re-elected president
           20          Yes, will balance the budget
           76          No, will not
            4          No opinion
          100
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25. How much, if any, of the Republican convention did you watch on T.V. this week? READ:

25A. Did you happen to see, hear, or read any news coverage of the Republican convention?

     96 Aug 16-18     96 Aug 14-15
      20                16          Watched great deal
      33                29          Watched some
      28                31          Watched very little
      19                24          Watched none
     100               100
       9                11          Yes, heard news coverage
      10                13          No, not heard news coverage
      19                24
ATTENTION TO CONVENTIONS: GALLUP TRENDS:
                                   Watched
                         Total          a great     Watched
                         TV          deal/          little/
                         viewing     some          none
     1996 GOP Convention     81          53          47
     1992 GOP Convention     85          58          42
     1992 DEM Convention     89          66          34
     1988 GOP Convention     83          57          43
     1988 DEM Convention     n/a         n/a         n/a
     1984 GOP Convention     n/a         n/a         n/a
     1984 DEM Convention     80          53          47
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26. From what you've heard or read, how would you rate Bob Dole's acceptance speech at the Republican Convention on Thursday night -- [READ 1-5]?

 20          Excellent
      32          Good
      21          Just okay
       5          Poor, or
       2          Terrible
      17          HAVEN'T HEARD ABOUT IT (vol.)
       3          No opinion
     100
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Here are a few questions on specific issues in this news. First,

27. As you may know, earlier this month Bob Dole released a new economic plan which features several tax cuts. From what you've heard or read so far, do you favor or oppose Dole's plan?

   
  96 Aug 16-18     96 Aug 14-15     96 Aug 5-7
                         %                 %
      51                40                36          Favor
      31                40                34          Oppose
       1                 2                 1          MIXED (vol.)
      10                10                22          HAVEN'T HEARD                                                     
ABOUT THE PLAN (vol.)
       7                 8                 7          No opinion
     100               100               100
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28. Would you favor or oppose legislation which would prevent U.S. troops from serving under commanders of the United Nations?

      45          Favor
      46          Oppose
       9          No opinion
     100

Next,

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29. What is your impression of the teachers' unions in this country -- is it generally favorable, or unfavorable?

      46          Favorable
      45          Unfavorable
       1          NEVER HEARD OF (vol.)
       8          No opinion
     100
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30. Suppose that the 1996 presidential election were being held today, and it included Bill Clinton as the Democratic candidate, and Elizabeth Dole as the Republican candidate. Would you vote for Bill Clinton as the Democrat, or Elizabeth Dole as the Republican?

30A. Would you lean more toward Bill Clinton as the Democrat, or Elizabeth Dole as the Republican?

      51          Bill Clinton
      46          Elizabeth Dole
       3          Undecided/other
     100
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Previous Polls

  • August 11, 1996
  • July 18-21, 1996
  • May 9-12, 1996
  • April 9-10, 1996
  • March 15-17, 1996
  • February 23-25, 1996
  • January 26-29, 1996
  • January 12-15, 1996
  • January 5-7, 1996


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