Polls



N=1,008 National Adults March 15-17, 1996 RESULTS ARE BASED ON TELEPHONE INTERVIEWS WITH -- 1,008 -- NATIONAL ADULTS, AGED 18+, CONDUCTED MARCH 15-17, 1996. FOR RESULTS BASED ON THE TOTAL SAMPLE OF NATIONAL ADULTS, ONE CAN SAY WITH 95% CONFIDENCE THAT THE MARGIN OF SAMPLING ERROR IS 3 PERCENTAGE POINTS. QUESTIONS REPORTED ON SUBGROUPS IN THIS REPORT ARE AS FOLLOWS: POPULATION BASE SAMPLE SIZE MARGIN OF ERROR REGISTERED VOTERS 865 4 PCT PTS REPUBLICANS/REP LEANERS 474 5 PCT PTS REGISTERED REPUBLICANS/REP LEANERS 410 5 PCT PTS REGISTERED BUCHANAN SUPPORTERS 105 11 PCT PTS Back to top
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill Clinton is handling his job as president? [BASED ON NATIONAL ADULTS] Ap- Disap- No prove prove opinion % % % 1996: 96 Mar 15-17 52 39 9 96 Mar 8-10 54 37 9 96 Feb 23-25 53 40 7 96 Jan 26-29 52 42 6 96 Jan 12-15 46 47 7 96 Jan 5-7 42 49 9 1995: 95 Dec 15-18 51 44 5 95 Nov 17-18 53 38 9 95 Nov 6-8 52 41 7 95 Oct 19-22 49 40 11 95 Oct 5-7 46 42 12 95 Sep 22-24 48 44 8 95 Sep 14-17 44 44 12 95 Aug 28-30 46 43 11 95 Aug 4-7 46 42 12 95 Jul 20-23 46 44 10 95 Jul 7-9 48 42 10 95 Jun 5-6 47 42 11 95 May 11-14 51 42 7 95 Apr 21-24 51 39 10 95 Apr 17-19 46 45 9 95 Apr 5-6 47 45 8 95 Mar 27-29 44 47 9 95 Mar 17-19 46 45 9 95 Feb 24-26 42 48 10 95 Feb 3-5 49 44 7 95 Jan 16-18 47 45 8 Ap- Disap- No prove prove opinion % % % 1994: 94 Dec 28-30 40 52 8 94 Dec 16-18 42 53 5 94 Dec 2-5 42 50 8 94 Nov 28-29 43 49 8 94 Nov 2-6 46 46 8 94 Oct 22-25 48 46 6 94 Oct 18-19 41 52 7 94 Oct 7-9 42 52 6 94 Sep 23-25 44 51 5 94 Sep 16-18 42 50 8 94 Sep 6-7 39 54 7 94 Aug 15-16 39 52 9 94 Aug 8-9 43 48 9 94 Jul 15-17 42 49 9 94 Jul 1-3 43 48 9 94 Jun 25-28 44 47 8 94 Jun 11-12 49 44 7 94 Jun 3-6 46 47 7 94 May 20-22 51 42 7 94 Apr 22-24 48 44 8 94 Apr 16-18 51 41 8 94 Mar 25-27 52 41 7 94 Mar 11-13 50 41 9 94 Mar 7-8 50 42 8 94 Feb 26-28 53 41 6 94 Jan 28-30 58 35 7 94 Jan 15-17 54 38 8 94 Jan 6-8 54 38 8 1993: 93 Dec 17-19 54 40 6 93 Dec 4-6 52 38 10 93 Nov 19-21 48 43 9 93 Nov 15-16 50 43 7 93 Nov 2-4 48 45 7 93 Oct 13-18 47 44 9 93 Oct 8-10 50 42 8 93 Sep 24-26 56 36 8 93 Sep 13-15 46 43 11 93 Sep 10-12 47 42 11 93 Aug 23-25 44 47 9 93 Aug 8-10 44 48 8 93 Jul 19-21 41 49 10 93 Jul 9-11 45 48 7 93 Jun 29-30 46 47 7 93 Jun 18-21 39 50 11 93 Jun 5-6 37 49 14 93 May 21-23 44 46 10 93 May 10-12 45 44 11 93 Apr 22-24 55 37 8 93 Mar 29-31 52 37 11 93 Mar 12-14 53 34 13 93 Feb 26-28 59 29 12 93 Feb 12-14 51 34 15 93 Feb 29-31 54 30 16 93 Jan 24-26 58 20 22 Back to top
Suppose the 1996 presidential election were being held today. If Bill Clinton were the Democratic candidate and Bob Dole the Republican candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for -- Clinton, the Democrat, or Dole, the Republican? 2A. As of today, do you lean more to Clinton, the Democrat, or to Dole, the Republican? BASED ON -- 865 -- REGISTERED VOTERS; 4 PCT PTS DEPENDS/NEITHER/ Clinton Dole No opinion % % % 96 Mar 15-17 54 42 4 96 Mar 8-10 54 42 4 96 Feb 23-25 56 40 4 96 Jan 26-29 54 42 4 96 Jan 12-15 48 49 3 96 Jan 5-7 46 49 5 95 Dec 15-18 54 43 4 95 Nov 6-8 53 43 4 95 Sep 22-24 50 45 5 95 Aug 28-30 48 48 4 95 Aug 4-7 46 48 6 95 Jul 20-23 49 45 6 95 Jul 7-9 47 48 5 95 Jun 5-6 46 51 4 95 May 11-14 48 48 4 95 Apr 17-19 48 49 4 95 Feb 3-5 45 51 4 A IF CLINTON IN Q. 2: If Bob Dole becomes the Republican nominee for president, is there any chance you will vote for Bob Dole in the November election or is there no chance whatsoever that you will vote for him? 3.B IF DOLE IN Q. 2: Is there any chance you will vote for Bill Clinton in the November election or is there no chance whatsoever that you will vote for him? Core Clinton Core Dole Swing Voters Voters Voters 96 Mar 15-17 42 31 27 96 Jan 15-17 38 40 22 96 Jan 5-7 33 36 31 Back to top
4/5 QUESTION ORDER ROTATED: Now suppose that the 1996 presidential election included Bill Clinton as the Democratic candidate, Bob Dole as the Republican candidate, and Ross Perot as an independent candidate. Would you vote for Bill Clinton, the Democrat, Bob Dole the Republican, or Ross Perot, the independent? 4A. As of today do you lean toward Clinton the Democrat, Dole the Republican, or Perot, the independent? BASED ON -- 865 -- REGISTERED VOTERS; 4 PCT PTS Undecided/ Clinton Dole Perot other 96 Mar 15-17 46 36 16 2 96 Jan 15-17 43 39 16 2 95 Aug 4-7 39 35 23 3 95 Apr 17-19 40 37 18 5 Now suppose that the 1996 presidential election included Bill Clinton as the Democratic candidate, Bob Dole as the Republican candidate, and Pat Buchanan as an independent candidate. Would you vote for Bill Clinton, the Democrat, Bob Dole the Republican, or Pat Buchanan the independent? 5A. As of today do you lean toward Clinton the Democrat, Dole the Republican, or Buchanan, the independent? BASED ON -- 865 -- REGISTERED VOTERS; 4 PCT PTS National 96 Two-Way Ballot Adults Clinton Dole Undecided 50 Clinton 90 2 5 35 Dole 1 83 5 12 Buchanan 8 14 33 3 Undecided/other 1 1 57 --- --- --- --- 100 100 100 100 Back to top
Next, suppose that the 1996 presidential race includes Bill Clinton for President and Al Gore for Vice-President as the Democratic candidates, and Bob Dole for President and Colin Powell for Vice-President as the Republican candidates. If these are the only candidates on the ballot, who would you be more likely to vote for -- Clinton and Gore, the Democrats, or Dole and Powell, the Republicans? 6A. As of today, do you lean more to Clinton and Gore, the Democrats, or to Dole and Powell, the Republicans? BASED ON -- 865 -- REGISTERED VOTERS; 4 PCT PTS 96 Mar 15-17 96 Mar 8-10 95 Apr 17-19 49 51 44 Clinton/Gore 48 47 52 Dole/Powell 3 2 4 Undecide/other --- --- --- 100 100 100 96 Mar 15-17 PRESIDENTIAL/VP VOTE BASED ON SUBGROUPS Clinton/Gore Dole/Powell Undecided/other Party ID Republicans 11 87 2 (299) Democrats 83 16 1 (291) Independents 54 40 6 (255) Current 2-Way Ballot Choice Clinton 88 11 1 (456) Dole 2 97 1 (352) Buchanan supporters Total 25 69 6 (105) Strong 21 71 8 ( 49) Abortion View Pro-Life 38 59 3 (306) Pro-Choice 56 42 2 (506) Back to top
Next, I will read off the names of some people in the news. As I read each name, please tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of this person -- or if you have never heard of him or her. First, ... [INSERT ITEM A]. Next, [B-G: RANDOM ORDER]. BASED ON NATIONAL ADULTS Back to top
Favor- Unfav- NEVER No able orable HEARD OF opinion % % % % Bill Clinton 96 Mar 15-17 58 38 * 4 96 Feb 23-25 60 37 * 3 96 Jan 12-15 54 44 0 2 95 Nov 6-8 59 38 * 3 95 Sep 22-24 55 41 * 4 95 Aug 4-7 51 44 0 5 95 Jul 7-9 57 40 0 3 95 Apr 17-19 56 42 1 1 95 Mar 17-19 51 45 * 4 95 Jan 16-18 56 42 * 2 94 Dec 28-30 48 49 0 3 94 Nov 28-29 50 47 0 3 94 Sep 6-7 47 50 0 3 94 Jul 15-17 49 48 * 3 94 Apr 22-24 56 41 0 3 94 Mar 25-27 56 40 0 4 94 Mar 7-8 59 38 * 3 94 Jan 15-17 60 37 0 3 94 Jan 6-8 62 35 -- 3 93 Nov 19-21 55 41 -- 4 93 Nov 15-16 56 38 -- 6 93 Nov 2-4 54 42 -- 4 93 Sep 24-26 63 32 -- 5 93 Aug 8-10 53 42 -- 5 93 Jul 19-21 51 45 -- 4 93 Jun 5-6 48 44 -- 8 93 Apr 22-24 63 32 -- 5 93 Jan 29-31 65 27 -- 8 93 Jan 18-19 66 26 -- 8 92 Nov 10-11 58 35 -- 7 Back to top
Favor- Unfav- NEVER No able orable HEARD OF opinion % % % % Bob Dole 96 Mar 15-17 57 35 1 7 96 Feb 23-25 49 43 1 7 96 Jan 12-15 44 40 3 13 95 Nov 6-8 42 44 4 10 95 Sep 22-24 42 43 4 11 95 Aug 4-7 47 34 4 15 95 Jul 7-9 59 29 4 8 95 Apr 17-19 57 32 2 9 95 Mar 17-19 53 29 5 13 95 Jan 16-18 54 31 4 11 94 Dec 28-30 54 30 4 12 94 Nov 28-29 58 26 6 10 94 Jul 15-17 51 30 7 12 94 Jan 15-17 52 29 4 15 93 Aug 8-10 42 37 -- 21 93 Mar 22-24 54 26 -- 20 Back to top
Favor- Unfav- NEVER No able orable HEARD OF opinion % % % % Pat Buchanan 96 Mar 15-17 28 57 2 13 96 Feb 23-25 38 49 2 11 96 Jan 12-15 25 49 10 16 95 Jul 7-9 30 40 10 20 95 Apr 17-19 27 43 9 21 95 Mar 17-19 29 35 10 26 Back to top
Favor- Unfav- NEVER No able orable HEARD OF opinion % % % % Ross Perot 96 Mar 15-17 44 46 * 10 96 Feb 23-25 38 52 * 10 96 Jan 12-15 37 50 1 12 95 Aug 4-7 40 46 2 12 95 Apr 17-19 41 52 1 6 94 Sep 6-7 40 50 1 9 94 Jul 15-17 39 50 1 10 94 Apr 22-24 37 54 * 9 94 Jan 15-17 36 56 1 7 93 Nov 2-4 44 44 -- 12 93 Aug 8-10 52 38 -- 10 93 Mar 22-24 66 28 -- 6 L.V.: 92 Nov 1-2 46 46 -- 8 R.V. trend: 92 Oct 22-23 56 32 -- 12 92 Sep 28-30 20 66 -- 14 92 Jul 17-18 38 47 -- 15 92 Jul 16 44 35 -- 21 92 Jul 6-8 44 37 -- 19 92 Jun 26-30 48 34 -- 18 92 Jun 12-14 52 30 -- 18 92 May 18-20 50 25 -- 25 92 May 7-10 48 16 -- 36 92 Apr 20-22 41 23 -- 36 92 Mar 31-Apr 1 32 10 -- 58 Back to top
Favor- Unfav- NEVER No able orable HEARD OF opinion % % % % Hillary Rodham Clinton 96 Mar 15-17 47 48 * 5 96 Jan 12-15 43 51 1 5 95 Jul 7-9 50 44 1 5 95 Mar 17-19 49 44 1 6 95 Jan 16-18 50 44 1 5 94 Nov 28-29 50 44 1 5 94 Sep 6-7 48 47 1 4 94 Jul 15-17 48 46 1 5 94 Apr 22-24 56 40 * 4 94 Mar 25-27 52 42 1 5 94 Mar 7-8 55 40 * 5 94 Jan 15-17 57 36 1 6 93 Nov 2-4 58 34 -- 8 93 Sep 24-26 62 27 -- 11 93 Aug 8-10 57 33 -- 10 93 Jul 19-21 56 34 -- 10 93 Jun 5-6 50 31 -- 19 93 Apr 22-24 61 27 -- 12 93 Mar 22-24 61 31 -- 8 93 Jan 29-31 67 22 -- 11 92 Nov 10-11 49 30 -- 21 92 Aug 31-Sep 2 56 25 -- 19 Back to top
Favor- Unfav- NEVER No able orable HEARD OF opinion % % % % Elizabeth Dole 96 Mar 15-17 46 16 11 27 Back to top
Favor- Unfav- NEVER No able orable HEARD OF opinion % % % % Newt Gingrich 96 Mar 15-17 24 58 6 12 96 Jan 12-15 (**) 31 57 4 8 95 Aug 4-7 31 47 6 16 95 Apr 17-19 37 51 4 8 95 Mar 17-19 33 47 6 14 95 Jan 16-18 34 37 9 20 94 Dec 28-30 27 35 14 24 94 Nov 28-29 29 25 22 24 94 Oct 7-9 19 22 42 17 Back to top
Do you think President Clinton deserves to be re-elected, or not? No, Yes, does not deserves deserve No re-elect Re-elect opinion % % % 96 Mar 15-17 51 44 5 96 Jan 12-15 45 52 3 94 Oct 18-19 38 58 4 94 Oct 7-9 38 57 5 94 Sep 23-25 38 57 5 94 Apr 22-24 40 49 11 94 Mar 25-27 46 48 6 94 Jan 28-30 45 38 7 94 Jan 15-17 40 45 15 Back to top
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bob Dole is handling his job as Majority Leader of the U.S. Senate? Ap- Disap- No prove prove opinion % % % 96 Mar 15-17 57 31 12 95 Aug 28-30 51 34 15 95 Jun 5-6 48 35 17 95 Apr 17-19 52 34 14 95 Mar 27-29 52 33 15 95 Feb 24-26 51 31 18 95 Feb 3-5 58 30 12 95 Jan 16-18 56 24 20 Back to top
Now I have some general questions ... In general, are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way things are going in the United States at this time? SELECTED TREND: Satis- Dissatis- No fied fied opinion % % % 96 Mar 15-17 36 61 3 Recent Trend 96 Mar 8-10 41 56 3 96 Jan 5-7 24 72 4 95 Jul 7-9 32 65 3 Pre-94 Election 94 Nov 2-6 30 66 4 94 Oct 22-25 31 66 3 Highest recorded during Clinton Administration 94 Feb 26-28 36 61 3 Lowest recorded during Clinton Administration 93 May 21-23 24 73 3 First recorded during Clinton Administration 93 Feb 12-14 25 71 4 Pre-92 Election 92 Aug 28-Sep 2 () 22 73 5 92 Jun 12-14 14 84 2 92 Apr 20-22 (RV) 19 80 1 Gulf War High 91 Feb 28-Mar 3 66 31 3 Highest on Record 86 Mar 66 30 4 Pre-84 Election 84 Feb 50 46 4 Lowest on Record 79 Jul 12 84 4 First Gallup Measure 79 Feb 26 69 5 () Gallup/Knight Ridder Back to top
Now thinking about some issues, do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill Clinton is handling [RANDOM ORDER]? Next, do you approve or disapprove of the way he is handling ... BASED ON -- 472 -- ASKED FORM A; 5 PCT PTS (*) = Asked of half sample (**)= Asked of quarter sample Back to top
Dis- No Approve approve opinion % % % The economy 96 Mar 15-17 (*) 46 49 5 96 Jan 12-15 (**) 44 52 4 95 Dec 15-18 47 45 8 95 Oct 19-22 44 49 7 95 Jul 20-23 47 46 7 95 Jul 7-9 41 52 7 95 Jun 5-6 42 49 9 95 Feb 3-5 46 49 5 95 Jan 16-18 47 48 5 94 Dec 2-5 43 50 7 94 Nov 2-6 43 51 6 94 Oct 22-25 42 53 5 94 Oct 18-19 38 57 5 94 Sep 23-25 40 55 5 94 Sep 6-7 43 52 5 94 Aug 15-16 42 49 9 94 Jul 15-16 36 57 7 94 Jun 25-28 43 48 9 94 Jun 11-12 49 45 6 94 Jun 3-6 47 46 7 94 May 20-22 50 45 5 94 Apr 22-24 45 48 7 94 Mar 7-8 51 42 7 94 Feb 26-28 48 48 4 94 Jan 28-30 53 40 7 94 Jan 15-17 46 47 7 94 Jan 6-8 49 45 6 93 Dec 4-6 47 46 7 93 Nov 19-21 43 50 7 93 Nov 2-4 37 57 6 93 Oct 8-10 43 48 9 93 Oct 13-18 41 51 8 93 Sep 24-26 47 45 8 93 Sep 10-12 39 50 11 93 Aug 23-25 38 53 9 93 Aug 8-10 38 57 5 93 Jul 9-11 34 60 6 93 Jun 29-30 35 59 6 93 Jun 18-21 36 56 8 93 Jun 5-6 34 56 10 93 May 21-23 35 59 6 93 Apr 22-24 43 50 7 93 Mar 29-31 49 42 9 93 Feb 12-14 45 35 20 Back to top
Dis- No Approve approve opinion % % % Foreign affairs 96 Mar 15-17 (*) 49 45 6 96 Jan 12-15 (**) 48 46 6 95 Dec 15-18 46 48 6 95 Oct 19-22 43 44 13 95 Jul 20-23 37 54 9 95 Jul 7-9 44 44 12 95 Jun 5-6 40 51 9 95 Feb 3-5 44 45 11 95 Jan 16-18 44 49 7 94 Dec 2-5 44 46 10 94 Nov 2-6 49 44 7 94 Oct 22-25 46 48 6 94 Oct 18-19 44 50 6 94 Sep 23-25 40 55 5 94 Sep 6-7 34 57 9 94 Aug 15-16 34 52 14 94 Jul 15-17 33 60 7 94 June 25-28 34 52 14 94 Jun 11-12 44 45 11 94 Jun 3-6 39 50 11 94 May 20-22 37 52 11 94 Apr 22-24 39 51 10 94 Mar 7-8 51 38 11 94 Feb 26-28 51 40 9 94 Jan 28-30 52 37 11 94 Jan 15-17 54 36 10 94 Jan 6-8 45 43 12 93 Dec 4-6 45 44 11 93 Nov 19-21 41 49 10 93 Nov 2-4 34 57 9 93 Oct 13-18 36 54 10 93 Oct 8-10 40 52 8 93 Sep 24-26 55 32 13 93 Sep 10-12 46 36 18 93 Aug 23-25 48 39 13 93 Aug 8-10 46 44 10 93 Jul 9-11 49 38 13 93 Jun 29-30 56 33 11 93 Jun 18-21 48 36 16 93 May 21-23 44 43 12 93 Apr 22-24 53 34 13 93 Mar 29-31 55 30 15 93 Feb 12-14 53 22 25 Back to top
Dis- No Approve approve opinion % % % Taxes 96 Mar 15-17 (*) 35 58 7 96 Jan 15-17 (**) 39 52 9 95 Jun 5-6 36 56 8 94 Dec 2-5 31 60 9 94 Jul 15-17 31 61 8 94 Apr 22-24 33 60 7 94 Jan 28-30 42 50 8 94 Jan 15-17 37 54 9 93 Nov 2-4 29 64 7 93 Aug 8-10 35 61 4 93 Apr 22-24 34 59 7 Back to top
Dis- No Approve approve opinion % % % Education 96 Mar 15-17 (*) 54 40 6 96 Jan 15-17 (**) 44 43 13 94 Jan 15-17 49 37 14 93 Nov 2-4 52 36 12 93 Aug 8-10 47 37 16 93 Apr 22-24 56 26 18 Back to top
Dis- No Approve approve opinion % % % Crime 96 Mar 15-17 (*) 45 48 7 96 Jan 15-17 (**) 41 48 11 95 Jul 7-9 (#) 40 53 7 94 Feb 26-28 (#) 37 41 22 93 Dec 17-19 (#) 39 37 24 #Wording: "The crime problem" Back to top
Dis- No Approve approve opinion % % % The federal budget deficit 96 Mar 15-17 (*) 33 62 5 96 Jan 15-17 (**) 32 61 7 95 Dec 15-18 40 53 7 95 Jul 7-9 33 58 9 95 Jun 5-6 29 62 9 94 Dec 2-5 33 56 11 94 Jul 15-17 28 61 11 94 Apr 22-24 33 57 10 94 Feb 26-28 35 57 8 94 Jan 28-30 40 47 13 94 Jan 15-17 37 53 10 93 Nov 2-4 33 59 8 93 Aug 8-10 39 54 7 93 Apr 22-24 40 51 9 Back to top
Dis- No Approve approve opinion % % % Welfare 96 Mar 15-17 (*) 39 55 6 96 Jan 15-17 (**) 31 62 7 95 Jun 5-6 38 52 10 94 Dec 2-5 32 55 13 94 Apr 22-24 36 51 13 93 Dec 17-19 (#) 36 47 17 # Wording: "Welfare Reform" Back to top
Dis- No Approve approve opinion % % % Medicare 96 Mar 15-17 (*) 41 51 8 96 Jan 15-17 (**) 42 51 7 Back to top
Dis- No Approve approve opinion % % % The environment 96 Mar 15-17 (*) 62 29 9 95 Jun 5-6 55 31 14 94 Jul 15-17 53 33 14 94 Jan 15-17 56 29 15 93 Nov 2-4 58 32 10 93 Aug 8-10 53 32 15 93 Apr 22-24 60 25 15 Back to top
Next, I'm going to read off some personal characteristics and qualities. As I read each one, please tell me whether you think it applies or doesn't apply to Bill Clinton. First, ... Next, ... [RANDOM ORDER] BASED ON -- 472 -- ASKED FORM A; 5 PCT PTS (*) Asked of half sample (**) Asked of quarter sample Doesn't No Applies apply Opinion % % % a. Can get things done 96 Mar 15-17(*) 48 50 2 96 Jan 12-15(**) 42 55 3 95 Feb 3-5 45 51 4 94 Dec 2-5 45 53 2 94 Oct 17-19 42 56 2 94 Sep 6-7 42 54 4 94 Mar 7-8 57 39 4 94 Jan 28-30 64 31 5 94 Jul 15-17 43 54 3 94 Apr 22-24 54 42 4 94 Jan 15-17(*) 62 33 5 94 Jan 6-8 63 34 3 93 Nov 19-21 66 30 4 93 Nov 2-4(*) 49 46 5 93 Oct 8-10 56 38 6 93 Aug 8-10(*) 46 49 5 93 Jun 29-30 46 49 5 93 Jun 5-6 42 51 7 93 Apr 22-24 55 40 5 b. Honest and trustworthy 96 Mar 15-17(*) 45 52 3 96 Jan 12-15 (**) 42 53 5 95 Feb 3-5 46 49 5 94 Dec 2-5 44 52 4 94 Oct 17-19 41 56 3 94 Jul 15-17 39 56 5 94 Apr 22-24 47 48 5 94 Mar 7-8 48 46 6 94 Jan 28-30 52 43 5 94 Jan 15-17(*) 53 41 6 94 Jan 6-8 49 46 5 93 Nov 19-21 54 41 5 93 Nov 2-4(*) 56 39 5 93 Oct 8-10 59 35 6 93 Aug 8-10(*) 51 43 6 93 Jun 5-6 56 38 6 93 Apr 22-24 61 35 4 Doesn't No Applies apply Opinion % % % c. Shares your values 96 Mar 15-17(*) 47 51 2 96 Jan 12-15(**) 42 55 3 95 Feb 3-5 45 51 4 94 Dec 2-5 41 56 3 94 Jul 15-17 40 56 4 94 Apr 22-24 45 50 5 94 Mar 7-8 49 47 4 94 Jan 28-30 53 42 5 94 Jan 15-17(*) 44 52 4 93 Nov 2-4(*) 49 48 3 93 Aug 8-10(*) 46 51 3 93 Apr 22-24 53 42 5 d. Cares about the needs of people like you 96 Mar 15-17(*) 57 41 2 96 Jan 12-15 (**) 57 41 2 94 Dec 2-5 54 44 2 94 Jan 28-30 65 32 3 94 Jul 15-17 51 46 3 94 Apr 22-24 57 39 4 94 Mar 7-8 60 38 2 94 Jan 15-17(*) 53 43 4 93 Jun 5-6 56 41 3 93 Apr 22-24 64 33 3 e. A man of strong convictions 96 Mar 15-17(*) 51 47 2 96 Jan 12-15(**) 49 46 5 94 Jul 15-17 50 46 4 f. Has a clear plan for solving this country's problems 96 Mar 15-17(*) 30 66 4 96 Jan 12-15(**) 30 65 5 g. Puts the country's interests ahead of his own political interests 96 Mar 15-17(*) 50 45 5 96 Jan 12-15(**) 51 46 3 Back to top
Now thinking about some issues, do you approve or disapprove of the way Bob Dole is handling [RANDOM ORDER]? Next, ... BASED ON -- 536 -- ASKED FORM B; 5 PCT PTS (**) Asked of quarter sample Dis- No Approve approve opinion % % % a. The economy 96 Mar 15-17 39 45 16 96 Jan 15-17 (**) 34 52 14 b. Foreign affairs 96 Mar 15-17 42 30 28 96 Jan 15-17 (**) 41 36 23 c. Taxes 96 Mar 15-17 34 50 16 96 Jan 15-17 (**) 31 53 16 d. Education 96 Mar 15-17 38 40 22 96 Jan 15-17 (**) 33 46 21 e. Crime 96 Mar 15-17 39 39 22 96 Jan 15-17 (**) 34 44 22 f. The federal budget deficit 96 Mar 15-17 30 53 17 96 Jan 15-17 (**) 34 56 10 g. Welfare 96 Mar 15-17 32 50 18 96 Jan 15-17 (**) 33 54 13 h. Medicare 96 Mar 15-17 30 49 21 96 Jan 15-17 (**) 30 59 11 i. The environment 96 Mar 15-17 37 39 24 I'm going to read off some personal characteristics and qualities. As I read each one, please tell me whether you think it applies or doesn't apply to Bob Dole First, ... Next, ... [RANDOM ORDER] BASED ON -- 536 -- ASKED FORM B; 5 PCT PTS (**) Asked of quarter sample Doesn't No Applies apply Opinion % % % a. Can get things done 96 Mar 15-17 59 30 11 96 Jan 15-17 (**) 63 28 9 b. Honest and trustworthy 96 Mar 15-17 61 30 9 96 Jan 15-17 (**) 57 31 12 c. Shares your values 96 Mar 15-17 46 45 9 96 Jan 15-17 (**) 46 43 11 d. Cares about the needs of people like you 96 Mar 15-17 45 48 7 96 Jan 15-17 (**) 46 46 8 e. A man of strong convictions 96 Mar 15-17 67 25 8 96 Jan 15-17 (**) 68 23 9 f. Has a clear plan for solving this country's problems 96 Mar 15-17 34 56 10 96 Jan 15-17 (**) 34 54 12 g. Puts the country's interests ahead of his own political interests 96 Mar 15-17 48 42 10 96 Jan 15-17 (**) 42 46 12 SUMMARY OF CLINTON DOLE RATINGS NET APPROVAL SCORE (Q. 11/13) (Approve Minus Disapprove) CLINTON DOLE The environment +33 -2 Education +14 -2 Foreign affairs +4 +12 The economy -3 -6 Crime -3 0 Medicare -10 -19 Welfare -16 -18 Taxes -23 -16 The federal budget deficit -29 -23 NET CHARACTERISTIC RATING (Q. 12/14) (Applies Minus Doesn't Apply) CLINTON DOLE Cares about the needs of people like you +16 -3 Puts the country's interests ahead of his own political interests +5 +6 A man of strong convictions +4 +42 Can get things done -2 +29 Shares your values -4 +1 Honest and trustworthy -7 +31 Has a clear plan for solving the country's problems -36 -22 Back to top
Who do you have the most confidence in when it comes to handling the following problems -- President Clinton or the Republicans in Congress? First, ... Next, ... [RANDOM ORDER] Repub- BOTH NEITHER No Clinton licans (vol.) (vol.) opinion a. The economy 96 Mar 15-17 44 45 1 6 4 95 Aug 28-20 39 46 1 9 5 95 May 11-14 44 44 0 7 5 95 Mar 27-29 41 48 1 6 4 95 Feb 24-26 39 51 2 5 3 94 Dec 16-18 36 52 2 7 3 94 Dec 2-5 40 50 1 5 4 93 Aug 8-10 46 39 1 7 7 b. The federal budget deficit 96 Mar 15-17 40 43 1 10 6 95 Aug 28-20 35 44 * 13 8 95 May 11-14 39 42 1 11 7 95 Mar 27-29 37 49 1 9 4 95 Feb 24-26 32 52 2 8 6 94 Dec 16-18 37 47 1 11 4 94 Dec 2-5 34 50 1 9 6 93 Aug 8-10 48 36 1 10 5 c. Taxes 96 Mar 15-17 43 45 1 7 4 95 Aug 28-20 39 45 * 9 7 95 May 11-14 42 45 1 8 4 95 Mar 27-29 38 48 1 8 5 95 Feb 24-26 37 50 1 7 5 94 Dec 16-18 36 52 1 7 4 94 Dec 2-5 33 55 1 7 4 d. Crime 96 Mar 15-17 42 42 3 8 5 95 Aug 28-20 39 41 2 11 7 95 Feb 24-26 40 44 1 9 6 94 Dec 2-5 37 48 2 8 5 Repub- BOTH NEITHER No Clinton licans (vol.) (vol.) opinion e. Welfare 96 Mar 15-17 46 44 1 5 4 95 Aug 28-20 43 42 * 9 6 95 Mar 27-29 44 46 1 4 5 95 Feb 24-26 39 51 1 4 5 94 Dec 2-5 37 52 1 5 5 f. The environment 96 Mar 15-17 54 32 2 6 6 How would you rate economic conditions in this country today, excellent, good, only fair, or poor? Excel- Only No lent Good fair Poor opin % % % % % 96 Mar 15-17 2 31 48 18 1 96 Jan 5-7 1 28 47 23 1 95 Nov 6-8 2 28 47 22 1 95 May 11-14 2 27 50 20 1 94 Dec 16-18 2 25 52 21 * 94 Nov 2-6 2 28 49 20 1 94 Oct 22-25 1 25 52 21 1 94 Jul 15-17 1 26 52 21 * 94 Apr 22-24 1 23 49 26 1 94 Jan 15-17 * 22 54 24 * 93 Dec 4-6 1 20 57 21 1 93 Nov 2-4 1 16 50 33 * 93 Aug 8-10 * 10 49 40 1 93 Jun 29-30 1 14 52 32 1 93 Feb 12-14 * 14 46 39 1 92 Dec 18-20 2 16 34 47 1 92 Dec 4-6 1 14 41 43 1 92 Oct 23-25 * 11 45 43 1 92 Sep 11-15 1 10 37 51 1 92 Aug 31-Sep 2 1 9 37 53 * 92 Jun 12-14 1 11 47 41 * 92 Apr 9-12 1 11 40 48 * 92 Jan 3-6 * 12 46 41 1 Right now, do you think that economic conditions in the country as a whole are getting better, getting worse, or staying about the same? Getting Getting No better worse Same opinion % % % % 96 Mar 15-17 20 28 51 1 96 Jan 5-7 12 36 50 2 95 Nov 6-8 17 30 52 1 95 May 11-14 18 28 52 2 94 Nov 2-6 25 23 51 1 94 Oct 22-25 22 28 49 1 94 Jul 15-17 23 24 52 1 94 Apr 22-24 25 26 48 1 94 Mar 7-8 34 17 48 1 94 Feb 26-28 29 20 50 1 94 Jan 15-17 35 17 48 * 93 Dec 4-6 25 24 50 1 93 Nov 2-4 17 28 54 1 93 Aug 8-10 13 26 60 1 93 Jun 29-30 16 24 59 1 93 Feb 12-14 27 20 52 1 92 Dec 4-6 34 16 48 2 ECONOMIC OUTLOOK GROUPS Questions 16/17 Combined Positive Mixed Negative Undesignated 96 Mar 15-17 37 29 33 1 96 Jan 5-7 27 32 38 3 95 Nov 6-8 33 31 34 2 94 Nov 2-6 38 32 29 1 94 Apr 22-24 34 31 35 0 94 Mar 7-8 41 31 27 1 94 Feb 26-28 45 30 24 1 94 Jan 15-17 40 31 29 * 93 Nov 2-4 23 35 41 1 All in all, do you think Bill Clinton's economic policies have been a success or a failure? George Bush Jan 3-6, 1992 43 Success 30 39 Failure 56 10 Some of both (vol.) 8 8 No opinion 6 --- ---- 100 100 Back to top
Looking back, do you think the economic policies of the following past presidents were a success or a failure? First,... Next, ... [RANDOM ORDER] BOTH No Success Failure (vol.) opinion Ronald Reagan 52 39 4 5 92 Jan 3-6 44 49 3 4 Jimmy Carter 28 52 5 15 92 Jan 3-6 37 48 3 12 George Bush 46 42 5 7 Has the economic news you've heard or read about recently been mostly good or mostly bad? 96 Mar 15-17 94 May 20-22 93 Dec 4-6 37 42 39 Mostly good 50 46 48 Mostly bad 9 6 9 EVENLY MIXED (vol.) 4 6 4 No opinion --- --- --- 100 100 100 How worried are you these days about your personal economic situation -- READ 1-5: 96 Mar 15-17 93 Jul 9-11 11 17 Extremely worried, 15 18 Very worried, 33 33 Moderately worried, 24 18 Only a little worried, or 17 14 Not at all worried? * * No Opinion --- --- 100 100 Back to top
Now back to the election, Overall, do you think Bob Dole would make a good president, or not? 54 Yes, good 39 No, not good 7 No opinion --- 100 Back to top
In general, would you be more likely or less likely to vote for Bob Dole if he were to select Colin Powell to be his vice-presidential running mate? BASED ON -- 865 -- REGISTERED VOTERS; 4 PCT PTS Buchanan Supporters Total Strong 54 More likely 20 Less likely 24 NO DIFFERENCE (vol.) 2 No opinion --- --- --- 100 100 100 Do you consider yourself a supporter of Pat Buchanan, or not? 24A. IF YES: Would you say you are a strong supporter of Buchanan, or not so strong? 5 Strong supporter 6 Not strong supporter 11 Total Supporter 85 Not a supporter 4 No opinion ---- 100 If Pat Buchanan does not win the Republican nomination for president, would you like to see him run for president in the 1996 election as an independent candidate, or not? Nat'l Rep- Demo- Inde- Adults lican crat pendent 20 Yes, run 19 19 21 73 No, not run 77 73 69 7 No opinion 4 8 10 --- --- --- --- 100 100 100 100 Are you member of Ross Perot's political party called the Reform Party, or not? 2 Yes 98 No * No opinion --- 100 Thinking about Bob Dole, Do you feel Bob Dole is too old to be president, or not? 96 Mar 15-17 96 Feb 23-25 25 27 Yes, too old 72 67 No, not too old 3 6 No opinion --- --- 100 100 Just your best guess, how old do you think Bob Dole is? (ACTUAL AGE = 72) 1 80+ 60 70-79 25 60-69 MEAN AGE = 68 10 50-59 1 Under 50 3 No opinion --- 100 Back to top
How would you describe your political views -- very conservative, conservative, moderate, liberal or very liberal? Very Very Un- conserv- Conserv- Moder- Lib- lib- desig- ative ative ate eral eral nated % % % % % % 96 Mar 8 32 41 12 4 3 94 Dec 5 37 37 14 5 2 94 Jan 6 30 42 15 4 3 93 Jun 6 33 41 14 3 3 93 Mar 8 33 39 13 5 2 93 Jan 4 30 44 14 5 3 92 Oct 5 32 44 13 2 4 92 Jul 9 31 41 11 4 4 Using the same categories, how would you describe the political views of Bill Clinton? Very Very Un- conserv- Conserv- Moder- Lib- lib- desig- ative ative ate eral eral nated % % % % % % 96 Mar 3 14 32 32 13 6 94 Dec 3 11 29 34 16 7 94 Jan 3 13 31 33 14 6 93 Jun 3 11 27 32 18 9 93 Mar 4 12 32 30 16 6 93 Jan 2 8 32 36 14 8 92 Oct 2 13 32 34 8 11 92 Jul 4 13 37 26 6 14 Using the same categories, how would you describe the political views of Bob Dole? Very Very Un- conserv- Conserv- Moder- Lib- lib- desig- ative ative ate eral eral nated % % % % % % 96 Mar 10 45 23 10 3 9 SUMMARY OF POLITICAL IDEOLOGY ASSESSMENTS CLINTON VS. SELF Clinton Some- Some- Clinton a lot what what a lot Un- more more Same more more desig- conserv conserv views liberal liberal nated (+2,3,4) (+1) (0) (-1) (-2,3,4) 96 Mar 15-17 6 11 29 22 25 7 94 Dec 5 12 23 22 30 8 94 Jan 5 12 31 20 24 8 93 Jun 4 10 28 19 28 11 93 Mar 4 8 34 22 25 7 93 Jan 3 8 34 21 24 10 92 Oct 3 9 33 22 21 12 DOLE VS. SELF Dole Some- Some- Dole a lot what what a lot Un- more more Same more more desig- conserv conserv views liberal liberal nated (+2,3,4) (+1) (0) (-1) (-2,3,4) 96 Mar 15-17 15 22 31 15 7 10 If you could select the political party that would control Congress at the same time that you vote for president, which one of the following combinations would you prefer -- FORM A: READ 1-4; FORM B: READ 4-1: 37 Clinton as President and a Democratic Congress----+ 14 Clinton as President and a Republican Congress----+ 51 36 Dole as President and a Republican Congress-------+ 8 Dole as President and a Democratic Congress-------+ 44 5 No opinion --- 100 Next, we'd like you to think about the amount of influence Newt Gingrich would have over the direction of government if Bob Dole were elected president. With Dole as president do you think that Newt Gingrich would have more influence than he has today, or not? 57 Yes, more influence 35 No, not more influence 8 No opinion --- 100 33A. IF MORE INFLUENCE: Are you worried or not worried about the fact that Gingrich would have more influence under a Dole Administration? BASED ON -- 566 -- INTERVIEWS; 5 PCT PTS Those who believe National Gingrich will have Adults more influence 35 61 Yes, worried 20 35 No, not worried 2 4 No opinion --- --- 57 100 Back to top
Now we have a few questions about Whitewater and other matters that are being investigated concerning the Clinton's. First, Which of these statements comes closer to your own opinion -- ROTATE: 1) The Whitewater allegations are important indicators of Bill Clinton's character and ability to serve as president, or 2) The Whitewater allegations are not relevant to Bill Clinton's ability to serve as president? Important Not No indicators relevant opinion 96 Mar 15-17 40 56 4 96 Jan 12-15 42 53 5 94 Jul 15-17 40 55 4 94 Mar 7-8 42 51 7 As you may know, a special committee of the United States Senate has been conducting an investigation into the Whitewater matters, but the authorization for that investigation recently expired. In your view, should the Senate vote to extend this committee's investigation, or not? 41 Yes, extend 55 No, do not extend 4 No opinion --- 100 Back to top
Next, I'm going to mention various leaders in government. For each one please tell me whether you would describe their political views as too extreme or as not too extreme? First, ... Next, ... [RANDOM ORDER] Not Too too extreme extreme a Bill Clinton 26 74 b. Bob Dole 30 70 c. Newt Gingrich 64 36 d. Ross Perot 58 42 e. Most Republicans in Congress 40 60 f. Most Democrats in Congress 30 70 PARTY ID ASKED FOR SCREENING PURPOSES In your view, should Pat Buchanan stay in the race for the Republican nomination for president, or should he drop out? BASED ON -- 474 -- REPUBLICANS; 5 PCT PTS 26 Stay in 70 Drop out 4 No opinion --- 100 Back to top
Next, I'd like to ask you about the Republican Party platform which will be adopted at the Republican national convention this summer. As I read a list of positions, please tell me if you think each one should or should not be included in the Republican Party platform. First, ... Next, ... [RANDOM ORDER] BASED ON -- 474 -- REPUBLICANS; 5 PCT PTS No, Yes, do not No include include opinion a. Raising tariffs on products imported into the United States 56 40 4 b. A constitutional amendment to ban abortion in all circumstances, except when necessary to save the life of the mother 42 55 3 c. Halting almost all legal immigration into the United States for the next five years 59 39 2 d. An across the board reduction in U.S. aid to foreign countries 73 25 2 e. A law prohibiting U.S. military forces from serving under the command of United Nations' officers 48 47 5 f. Establishing term limits for federal judges, all of whom are currently appointed for life 73 25 2 g. Withdrawal of U.S. military troops from Bosnia 63 34 3 Would you be more likely or less likely to vote for Bob Dole if he were to select a vice-presidential running mate who is pro-choice on abortion? BASED ON -- 410 -- REGISTERED REPUBLICAN VOTERS; 5 PCT PTS 44 More likely 29 Less likely 25 NO DIFFERENCE (vol.) 0 DON'T KNOW WHAT THE TERMS MEAN (vol.) 2 No opinion --- 100 Back to top
Now I have some questions on some different subjects: With respect to the abortion issue, would you consider yourself to be pro-choice or pro-life? 96 Mar 15-17 95 Sep 22-24 56 56 Pro-choice 37 33 Pro-life 2 3 DON'T KNOW WHAT THE TERMS MEAN (vol.) 3 5 MIXED/BOTH/NEITHER (vol.) 2 3 No opinion --- --- 100 100 Back to top
As you may know, Elizabeth Dole is currently on leave from her paid job as president of the American Red Cross. If Bob Dole is elected president, do you think Elizabeth Dole should or should not resume her job as president of the Red Cross if she wants to do so? 74 Should 20 Should not 6 No opinion --- 100 Back to top
A Do you feel that homosexuality should be considered an acceptable alternative lifestyle or not? BASED ON -- 472 -- ASKED FORM A; 5 PCT PTS Not No Acceptable acceptable opinion 96 Mar 15-17 44 50 6 92 Jun 4-8 38 57 5 82 Jun 25-28 34 51 15 43.B Do you feel that homosexual behavior should be considered an acceptable lifestyle or not? BASED ON -- 536 -- ASKED FORM A; 5 PCT PTS 41 Yes, acceptable 53 No, not acceptable 6 No opinion --- 100 Do you think marriages between homosexuals should or should not be recognized by the law as valid, with the same rights as traditional marriages? 27 Should be valid 68 Should not be recognized 5 No opinion --- 100 Back to top
How would you feel if your local public schools established a dress code requiring students to wear school uniforms -- would you favor or oppose this policy? 64 Favor 31 Oppose 5 No opinion --- 100 Back to top
Turning to the situation between China and Taiwan, If China were to attack Taiwan, do you think the United States should use its military forces to help defend Taiwan, or not? 43 Yes 46 No 11 No opinion --- 100 Back to top
Are you a fan of professional baseball, or not? SOMEWHAT Yes, OF A FAN Not a a fan (vol.) fan % % % 96 Mar 15-17 38 10 52 95 Oct 5-7 34 8 58 95 Jul 7-9 35 13 52 95 May 11-14 35 10 55 95 Apr 17-19 32 9 59 95 Feb 24-26 37 12 51 95 Jan 16-18 37 8 55 94 Oct 17-19 39 9 52 94 Sep 6-7 35 11 54 94 Aug 15-16 39 10 51 94 Aug 8-9 35 20 45 93 May 21-23 39 10 51 93 Feb 12-14 44 7 49 Compared to baseball seasons prior to the 1994 strike, do you think you will watch more Major League Baseball on television this season, will you watch as much, or will you watch less? BASED ON -- 503 -- BASEBALL FANS; 5 PCT PTS 96 Mar 15-17 95 Apr 17-19 (**) 12 7 More 47 43 As much 39 48 Less 2 2 No opinion --- --- 100 100 (**) WORDING: Do you think you will watch more major league baseball on television this season, will you watch as much, or will you watch less? Do you plan to personally attend any Major League Baseball games this year, or not? BASED ON -- 503 -- BASEBALL FANS; 5 PCT PTS 96 Mar 15-17 95 Apr 17-19 44 37 Yes 54 59 No 2 4 No opinion --- --- 100 100

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  • February 23-25, 1996
  • January 26-29, 1996
  • January 12-15, 1996
  • January 5-7, 1996


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