POST STATE-OF-THE UNION



N=1200 National Adults January 26-29, 1996 RESULTS ARE BASED ON TELEPHONE INTERVIEWS WITH -- 1,216 -- NATIONAL ADULTS, AGED 18+, CONDUCTED JANUARY 26- 29, 1995. FOR RESULTS BASED ON SAMPLES OF THIS SIZE, ONE CAN SAY WITH 95% CONFIDENCE THAT THE MARGIN OF SAMPLING ERROR IS 3 PERCENTAGE POINTS. RESULTS BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS (N=1,039) ALSO HAVE A MARGIN OF ERROR OF PLUS OR MINUS 3 PERCENTAGE POINTS. Back to top
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill Clinton is handling his job as president? Ap- Disap- No prove prove opinion % % % 1996: 96 Jan 26-29 52 42 6 96 Jan 12-15 46 47 7 96 Jan 5-7 42 49 9 1995: 95 Dec 15-18 51 44 5 95 Nov 17-18 53 38 9 95 Nov 6-8 52 41 7 95 Oct 19-22 49 40 11 95 Oct 5-7 46 42 12 95 Sep 22-24 48 44 8 95 Sep 14-17 44 44 12 95 Aug 28-30 46 43 11 95 Aug 4-7 46 42 12 95 Jul 20-23 46 44 10 95 Jul 7-9 48 42 10 95 Jun 5-6 47 42 11 95 May 11-14 51 42 7 95 Apr 21-24 51 39 10 95 Apr 17-19 46 45 9 95 Apr 5-6 47 45 8 95 Mar 27-29 44 47 9 95 Mar 17-19 46 45 9 95 Feb 24-26 42 48 10 95 Feb 3-5 49 44 7 95 Jan 16-18 47 45 8 Ap- Disap- No prove prove opinion % % % 1994: 94 Dec 28-30 40 52 8 94 Dec 16-18 42 53 5 94 Dec 2-5 42 50 8 94 Nov 28-29 43 49 8 94 Nov 2-6 46 46 8 94 Oct 22-25 48 46 6 94 Oct 18-19 41 52 7 94 Oct 7-9 42 52 6 94 Sep 23-25 44 51 5 94 Sep 16-18 42 50 8 94 Sep 6-7 39 54 7 94 Aug 15-16 39 52 9 94 Aug 8-9 43 48 9 94 Jul 15-17 42 49 9 94 Jul 1-3 43 48 9 94 Jun 25-28 44 47 8 94 Jun 11-12 49 44 7 94 Jun 3-6 46 47 7 94 May 20-22 51 42 7 94 Apr 22-24 48 44 8 94 Apr 16-18 51 41 8 94 Mar 25-27 52 41 7 94 Mar 11-13 50 41 9 94 Mar 7-8 50 42 8 94 Feb 26-28 53 41 6 94 Jan 28-30 58 35 7 94 Jan 15-17 54 38 8 94 Jan 6-8 54 38 8 1993: 93 Dec 17-19 54 40 6 93 Dec 4-6 52 38 10 93 Nov 19-21 48 43 9 93 Nov 15-16 50 43 7 93 Nov 2-4 48 45 7 93 Oct 28-30 48 45 7 93 Oct 13-18 47 44 9 93 Oct 8-10 50 42 8 93 Sep 24-26 56 36 8 93 Sep 13-15 46 43 11 93 Sep 10-12 47 42 11 93 Aug 23-25 44 47 9 93 Aug 8-10 44 48 8 93 Jul 19-21 41 49 10 93 Jul 9-11 45 48 7 93 Jun 29-30 46 47 7 93 Jun 18-21 39 50 11 93 Jun 5-6 37 49 14 93 May 21-23 44 46 10 93 May 10-12 45 44 11 93 Apr 22-24 55 37 8 93 Mar 29-31 52 37 11 93 Mar 12-14 53 34 13 93 Feb 26-28 59 29 12 93 Feb 12-14 51 34 15 93 Feb 29-31 54 30 16 93 Jan 24-26 58 20 22 2 -----+ | PARTY ID FOR SCREENING 2A. ----+ Back to top
3. Now here is a list of people who are running for the presidential nomination of the Republican party in 1996. (ROTATE NAMES 6-13) Which of these candidates would you be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president? 3A. Who would be your second choice? BASED ON FIRST CHOICE OF -- 473 -- REGISTERED REPUBLICANS; MARGIN OF ERROR = 5 PCT PTS. Alex Buch Dorn- Lug- Spec- Wil- No ander anan Dole an Forbes Gramm Keyes ar ter son opin % % % % % % % % % % % 1996 Jan 26-29 3 7 47 1 16 8 1 3 na na 14 Jan 12-15 3 5 55 * 12 6 3 2 na na 14 Jan 5-7 1 6 49 1 11 10 2 6 na na 14 1995 Dec 15-18 2 9 52 1 8 13 3 3 na na 9 Nov 6-8 2 7 48 1 6 7 1 2 3 na 23 Sep 22-24 3 8 47 1 5 11 1 3 1 4 16 Aug 28-30 4 7 45 1 na 11 2 2 2 11 15 Aug 4-7 4 10 47 2 na 10 1 2 2 4 18 Jul 7-9 4 7 47 1 na 8 1 2 2 8 20 Jun 5-6 3 7 51 2 na 14 1 3 3 6 10 May 11-14 2 5 54 2 na 13 1 2 2 6 13 Apr 5-6 3 7 45 1 na 15 1 5 5 5 13 BASED ON TOTAL MENTIONS: Alex Buch Dorn- Lug- Spec- Wil- No ander anan Dole an Forbes Gramm Keyes ar ter son opin % % % % % % % % % % % 1996 Jan 26-29 7 22 62 1 30 21 4 5 na na 15 Jan 12-15 8 18 69 2 23 20 6 5 na na 16 Back to top
4. Now suppose the 1996 presidential election were being held today. If Bill Clinton were the Democratic Party's candidate and Bob Dole the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for -- Clinton, the Democrat, or Dole, the Republican? 4A. As of today, do you lean more to Clinton, the Democrat, or to Dole, the Republican? BASED ON -- 1,039 -- REGISTERED VOTERS; 3 PCT PTS DEPENDS/NEITHER/ Clinton Dole No opinion % % % 96 Jan 26-29 54 42 4 96 Jan 12-15 48 49 3 96 Jan 5-7 46 49 5 95 Dec 15-18 54 43 4 95 Nov 6-8 53 43 4 95 Sep 22-24 50 45 5 95 Aug 28-30 48 48 4 95 Aug 4-7 46 48 6 95 Jul 20-23 49 45 6 95 Jul 7-9 47 48 5 95 Jun 5-6 46 51 4 95 May 11-14 48 48 4 95 Apr 17-19 48 49 4 95 Feb 3-5 45 51 4

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