Polls



N=1000 National Adults January 5-7, 1996 RESULTS ARE BASED ON TELEPHONE INTERVIEWS WITH -- 1,000 -- NATIONAL ADULTS, AGED 18+, CONDUCTED JANUARY 5-7, 1995. FOR RESULTS BASED ON SAMPLES OF THIS SIZE, ONE CAN SAY WITH 95% CONFIDENCE THAT THE MARGIN OF SAMPLING ERROR IS 3 PERCENTAGE POINTS. Subgroups: Sample Size Margin of Error Registered Voters 843 4 PCT PTS Registered Republicans/ Republican Leaners 407 5 PCT PTS Back to top
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill Clinton is handling his job as president? Ap- Disap- No prove prove opinion % % % 96 Jan 5-7 42 49 9 95 Dec 15-18 51 44 5 95 Nov 17-18 53 38 9 95 Nov 6-8 52 41 7 95 Oct 19-22 49 40 11 95 Oct 5-7 46 42 12 95 Sep 22-24 48 44 8 95 Sep 14-17 44 44 12 95 Aug 28-30 46 43 11 95 Aug 4-7 46 42 12 95 Jul 20-23 46 44 10 95 Jul 7-9 48 42 10 95 Jun 5-6 47 42 11 95 May 11-14 51 42 7 95 Apr 21-24 51 39 10 95 Apr 17-19 46 45 9 95 Apr 5-6 47 45 8 95 Mar 27-29 44 47 9 95 Mar 17-19 46 45 9 95 Feb 24-26 42 48 10 95 Feb 3-5 49 44 7 95 Jan 16-18 47 45 8 94 Dec 28-30 40 52 8 94 Dec 16-18 42 53 5 94 Dec 2-5 42 50 8 94 Nov 28-29 43 49 8 94 Nov 2-6 46 46 8 94 Oct 22-25 48 46 6 94 Oct 18-19 41 52 7 94 Oct 7-9 42 52 6 94 Sep 23-25 44 51 5 94 Sep 16-18 42 50 8 94 Sep 6-7 39 54 7 94 Aug 15-16 39 52 9 94 Aug 8-9 43 48 9 94 Jul 15-17 42 49 9 94 Jul 1-3 43 48 9 94 Jun 25-28 44 47 8 94 Jun 11-12 49 44 7 94 Jun 3-6 46 47 7 94 May 20-22 51 42 7 94 Apr 22-24 48 44 8 94 Apr 16-18 51 41 8 94 Mar 25-27 52 41 7 94 Mar 11-13 50 41 9 94 Mar 7-8 50 42 8 94 Feb 26-28 53 41 6 94 Jan 28-30 58 35 7 94 Jan 15-17 54 38 8 94 Jan 6-8 54 38 8 93 Dec 17-19 54 40 6 93 Dec 4-6 52 38 10 93 Nov 19-21 48 43 9 93 Nov 15-16 50 43 7 93 Nov 2-4 48 45 7 93 Oct 28-30 48 45 7 93 Oct 13-18 47 44 9 93 Oct 8-10 50 42 8 93 Sep 24-26 56 36 8 93 Sep 13-15 46 43 11 93 Sep 10-12 47 42 11 93 Aug 23-25 44 47 9 93 Aug 8-10 44 48 8 93 Jul 19-21 41 49 10 93 Jul 9-11 45 48 7 93 Jun 29-30 46 47 7 93 Jun 18-21 39 50 11 93 Jun 5-6 37 49 14 93 May 21-23 44 46 10 93 May 10-12 45 44 11 93 Apr 22-24 55 37 8 93 Mar 29-31 52 37 11 93 Mar 12-14 53 34 13 93 Feb 26-28 59 29 12 93 Feb 12-14 51 34 15 93 Feb 29-31 54 30 16 93 Jan 24-26 58 20 22 Back to top
In general, are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way things are going in the United States at this time? SELECTED TREND: Satis- Dissatis- No fied fied opinion % % % 96 Jan 5-7 24 72 4 95 Jul 7-9 32 65 3 95 Mar 27-29 30 66 4 94 Nov 28-29 29 67 4 94 Nov 2-6 30 66 4 94 Oct 22-25 31 66 3 94 Jul 15-17 33 65 2 94 May 20-22 33 64 3 94 Apr 22-24 32 65 3 94 Mar 25-27 35 62 3 94 Feb 26-28 36 61 3 94 Jan 15-17 35 62 3 93 Dec 4-6 34 63 3 93 Nov 2-4 27 70 3 93 May 21-23 24 73 3 93 Feb 12-14 25 71 4 93 Jan 8-11 29 68 3 92 Nov 10-11 26 68 6 92 Jun 12-14 14 84 2 92 Apr 20-22 (RV) 19 80 1 91 Dec 37 60 3 91 Mar 21-24 52 43 5 90 Feb 55 39 6 89 Feb 45 50 5 88 May 41 54 5 87 Aug 45 49 6 86 Mar 66 30 4 85 Nov 51 46 3 84 Feb 50 46 4 83 Aug 35 59 6 82 Apr 25 71 4 81 Jun 33 61 6 79 Feb 26 69 5 (RV) Registered Voters Back to top
Thinking about the presidential candidates from both political parties, is there any candidate running this year that you think would make a good president, or not? 96 Jan 5-7 92 Jan 3-6 Total Rep Dem Ind Total Rep Dem Ind 37 39 48 28 40 55 32 32 Yes 43 42 37 49 41 29 45 50 No 20 19 15 23 19 16 23 18 No opinion --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 PARTY ID ASKED FOR SCREENING Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primary for president in 1996. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president: TREND: REPUBLICAN LIST BASED ON FIRST CHOICE OF REGISTERED REPUBLICANS Alex Buch Dorn- Lug- Spec- Wil- No ander anan Dole an Gramm Keyes ar ter son Forbes opin % % % % % % % % % % % 1996 Jan 5-7 1 6 49 1 10 2 6 na na 11 14 1995 Dec 15-18 2 9 52 1 13 3 3 na na 8 9 Nov 6-8 2 7 48 1 7 1 2 3 na 6 23 Sep 22-24 3 8 47 1 11 1 3 1 4 5 16 Aug 28-30 4 7 45 1 11 2 2 2 11 na 15 Aug 4-7 4 10 47 2 10 1 2 2 4 na 18 Jul 7-9 4 7 47 1 8 1 2 2 8 na 20 Jun 5-6 3 7 51 2 14 1 3 3 6 na 10 May 11-14 2 5 54 2 13 1 2 2 6 na 13 Apr 5-6 3 7 45 1 15 1 5 5 5 na 13 TREND: REPUBLICAN LIST BASED ON FIRST CHOICE OF NATIONAL ADULTS Alex Buch Dorn- Lug- Spec- Wil- No ander anan Dole an Gramm Keyes ar ter son Forbes opin % % % % % % % % % % % 1996 Jan 5-7 2 7 47 1 10 2 5 na na 11 15 1995 Dec 15-18 1 9 49 1 13 2 3 na na 8 13 Nov 17-18 4 6 45 2 10 1 2 2 na 5 23 Nov 6-8 2 7 46 1 6 1 2 4 na 6 25 Sep 22-24 2 9 46 1 10 1 2 2 5 na 22 Aug 28-30 4 7 45 1 11 2 3 2 10 na 15 Aug 4-7 4 10 46 1 9 2 2 3 4 na 19 Jul 7-9 4 6 49 1 7 2 3 3 8 na 17 Jun 5-6 2 7 51 2 13 1 2 4 6 na 12 May 11-14 3 5 51 2 12 1 3 3 7 na 13 Apr 5-6 3 8 46 2 13 1 5 2 6 na 14 Back to top
Now suppose the 1996 presidential election were being held today. If Bill Clinton were the Democratic Party's candidate and Bob Dole the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for -- Clinton, the Democrat, or Dole, the Republican? 6a. As of today, do you lean more to Clinton, the Democrat, or to Dole, the Republican? DEPENDS/NEITHER/ Clinton Dole No opinion % % % Registered Voter Trend: 96 Jan 5-7 46 49 5 95 Dec 15-18 54 43 4 95 Nov 6-8 53 43 4 95 Sep 22-24 50 45 5 95 Aug 28-30 48 48 4 95 Aug 4-7 46 48 6 95 Jul 20-23 49 45 6 95 Jul 7-9 47 48 5 95 Jun 5-6 46 51 4 95 May 11-14 48 48 4 95 Apr 17-19 48 49 4 95 Feb 3-5 45 51 4 National Adult Trend: 96 Jan 5-7 47 46 7 95 Dec 15-18 52 43 5 95 Nov 17-18 55 39 6 95 Nov 14 50 42 8 95 Nov 6-8 53 43 4 95 Oct 5-7 49 45 6 95 Sep 22-24 51 44 5 95 Aug 28-30 49 46 5 95 Aug 4-7 46 47 7 95 Jul 20-23 50 44 6 95 Jul 7-9 47 48 5 95 Jun 5-6 46 50 4 95 May 11-14 49 47 4 95 Apr 17-19 48 48 4 95 Feb 3-5 44 51 5 (RV) Registered Voters (NA) National Adults ASK Q. 7.A OF CLINTON VOTERS (Q. 6 '1') A If Bob Dole is the Republican candidate, is there any chance you will vote for Bob Dole in the November election or is there no chance whatsoever that you will vote for him? ASK Q. 7.B OF DOLE VOTERS (Q. 6 '2') 7.B Is there any chance you will vote for Bill Clinton in the November election or is there no chance whatsoever that you will vote for him? 33 Core Clinton Voters 36 Core Dole Voters 31 Swing Voters --- 100 Back to top
Now thinking about Congress, If the elections for Congress were being held today, which party's candidate would you vote for in your Congressional district -- the Democratic Party's candidate or the Republican Party's candidate? 8a. As of today, would you lean more to the Democratic Party's candidate or to the Republican Party's candidate? Democratic Republican Undecided/ candidate candidate other % % % Registered Voter Trend: 96 Jan 5-7 44 48 8 95 Dec 15-18 49 43 8 95 Nov 6-8 47 46 7 95 Aug 28-30 43 47 10 95 Jul 7-9 46 47 7 94 Nov 2-6 46 46 8 Previous Elections 92 Sep 28-30 52 39 8 92 Apr 20-22 47 44 9 88 May 13-15 52 37 11 84 Apr 6-9 55 45 -- 76 Oct 28-30 (LV) 53 39 8 National Adult Trend: 96 Jan 5-7 44 46 10 95 Dec 15-18 49 42 9 95 Nov 17-18 50 39 11 95 Nov 14 49 44 7 95 Nov 6-8 49 44 7 95 Aug 28-30 44 45 11 95 Jul 7-9 46 46 8 94 Nov 2-6 47 44 9 Previous Elections 84 Oct 26-29 44 40 15 84 Apr 6-9 51 39 11 80 Oct 30-Nov 1 52 36 11 80 Feb 29-Mar 3 72 Sep 22-25 51 38 11 68 Oct 17-22 50 42 8 68 Feb 1-6 49 40 11 64 Oct 8-13 60 31 9 64 Jan 30-Feb 5 61 30 9 60 Oct 18-23 56 37 6 60 Jan 6-11 57 33 10 56 Oct 18-23 53 42 5 56 Feb 16-21 50 43 7 52 Sep 11-16 45 48 5 52 Jan 6-11 49 44 8 Who do you want to have more influence over the direction the nation takes in the next year -- Bill Clinton or the Republicans in Congress? BOTH Repub- EQUALLY No Clinton licans (vol.) opinion 96 Jan 5-7 41 47 3 9 95 Nov 6-8 48 42 2 8 95 Feb 24-26 37 52 4 7 95 Jan 16-18 40 49 5 6 Back to top
Next, How would you rate economic conditions in this country today, excellent, good, only fair, or poor? Excel- Only No lent Good fair Poor opin % % % % % 96 Jan 5-7 1 28 47 23 1 95 Nov 6-8 2 28 47 22 1 95 May 11-14 2 27 50 20 1 94 Dec 16-18 2 25 52 21 * 94 Nov 2-6 2 28 49 20 1 94 Oct 22-25 1 25 52 21 1 94 Jul 15-17 1 26 52 21 * 94 Apr 22-24 1 23 49 26 1 94 Jan 15-17 * 22 54 24 * 93 Dec 4-6 1 20 57 21 1 93 Nov 2-4 1 16 50 33 * 93 Aug 8-10 * 10 49 40 1 93 Jun 29-30 1 14 52 32 1 93 Feb 12-14 * 14 46 39 1 92 Dec 18-20 2 16 34 47 1 92 Dec 4-6 1 14 41 43 1 92 Oct 23-25 * 11 45 43 1 92 Sep 11-15 1 10 37 51 1 92 Aug 31-Sep 2 1 9 37 53 * 92 Jun 12-14 1 11 47 41 * 92 Apr 9-12 1 11 40 48 * 92 Jan 3-6 * 12 46 41 1 Back to top
Right now, do you think that economic conditions in the country as a whole are getting better, getting worse, or staying about the same? Getting Getting No better worse Same opinion % % % % 96 Jan 5-7 12 36 50 2 95 Nov 6-8 17 30 52 1 95 May 11-14 18 28 52 2 94 Nov 2-6 25 23 51 1 94 Oct 22-25 22 28 49 1 94 Jul 15-17 23 24 52 1 94 Apr 22-24 25 26 48 1 94 Mar 7-8 34 17 48 1 94 Feb 26-28 29 20 50 1 94 Jan 15-17 35 17 48 * 93 Dec 4-6 25 24 50 1 93 Nov 2-4 17 28 54 1 93 Aug 8-10 13 26 60 1 93 Jun 29-30 16 24 59 1 93 Feb 12-14 27 20 52 1 92 Dec 4-6 34 16 48 2 ECONOMIC OUTLOOK GROUPS Questions 10/11 Combined Positive Mixed Negative Undesignated 96 Jan 5-7 27 32 38 3 95 Nov 6-8 33 31 34 2 94 Nov 2-6 38 32 29 1 94 Apr 22-24 34 31 35 0 94 Mar 7-8 41 31 27 1 94 Feb 26-28 45 30 24 1 94 Jan 15-17 40 31 29 * 93 Nov 2-4 23 35 41 1 Now thinking ahead to the year 2000, do you think the United States will be in better shape than it is today, in worse shape, or about the same? 96 Jan 5-7 92 Jul 22-23 (Time/CNN) 31 30 Better shape 31 33 Worse shape 31 30 About the same 7 7 No opinion ---- ---- 100 100 Back to top
Now here are some questions that ask you to compare the situation today with what it was three years ago. First (READ ITEMS, IN ORDER) Are you better off than you were three years ago, or not? 96 Jan 5-7 92 Jan 3-6 50 50 Yes, better off 34 38 No, not better off 15 11 JUST AS WELL OFF (vol.) 1 1 No opinion --- --- 100 100 Is it easier for you to go and buy things in the stores than it was three years ago, or not? 96 Jan 5-7 92 Jan 3-6 42 36 Yes, easier 40 51 No, not easier 16 12 JUST AS EASY (vol.) 2 1 No opinion ---- ---- 100 100 Is there more or less unemployment in the country than there was three years ago? 96 Jan 5-7 92 Jan 3-6 46 84 More unemployment 38 11 Less unemployment 7 2 ABOUT THE SAME (vol.) 9 3 No opinion --- --- 100 100 Is America as respected throughout the world as it was three years ago, or not? 96 Jan 5-7 92 Jan 3-6 34 40 Yes 58 50 No 2 6 MORE RESPECTED THAN IT WAS (vol.) 6 4 No opinion --- --- 100 100 Back to top
Next, I'm going to read a list which includes some national issues and some problems facing Americans today. For each one, please tell me how important a candidate's position on that issue is to you personally in deciding which candidate you will support for president. First, would you say [A-Q: RANDOM ORDER] is a top priority in how you vote, a high priority in how you vote, very important but not a priority, somewhat important, or not important? Some- Top High Very what Not prior- prior- import- import- import- No ity ity ant ant ant op a. The nation's economy 37 27 26 7 1 2 b. The quality of education in public schools through grade 12 44 23 25 5 2 1 c. The cost of college education 21 22 31 17 7 2 d. The availability of good jobs in the U.S. 35 28 27 7 2 1 e. The availability of health care coverage in the U.S. 37 26 26 8 2 1 f. The cost of health care in the U.S. 36 27 26 9 1 1 g. The Federal budget deficit 33 25 26 11 3 2 h. The rate of violent crime in the United States 41 25 24 8 1 1 i. The problem of drug abuse in the U.S. 35 23 28 11 3 * j. The level of poverty in the U.S. 27 24 32 13 3 1 k. The amount Americans pay in federal taxes 29 23 31 12 4 1 l. America's role in world affairs 14 20 32 25 7 2 m. Medicare policy 29 26 30 12 2 1 n. Welfare policy 26 23 28 16 5 2 Some- Top High Very what Not prior- prior- import- import- import- No ity ity ant ant ant op o. The nation's moral values 33 22 26 12 5 2 p. The size and role of the federal government 20 21 31 19 6 3 q. Financial security for people once they retire 31 27 29 9 3 1 Back to top
SUMMARY OF 1996 CAMPAIGN ISSUES Not a Prior- prior- ity ity % % Rank Very High: 1. The rate of violent crime in the United States 66 34 2. The quality of education in public schools through grade 12 67 33 3. The nation's economy 64 36 4. The availability of good jobs in the U.S. 63 37 5. The availability of health care coverage in the U.S. 63 37 6. The cost of health care in the U.S. 63 37 Moderately High: 7. The Federal budget deficit 58 42 8. The problem of drug abuse in the U.S. 58 42 9. Financial security for people once they retire 58 42 10. Medicare policy 55 45 11. The nation's moral values 55 45 Mixed: 12. The level of poverty in the U.S. 51 49 13. The amount Americans pay in federal taxes 51 49 14. Welfare policy 49 51 Low: 15. The cost of college education 43 57 16. The size and role of the federal government 41 59 17. America's role in world affairs 34 66 Back to top
Now, thinking about the budget conflict which has been going on in Washington, who do you think has acted more responsibly in the negotiations over the budget -- President Clinton or the Republican leaders in Congress? 96 Jan 5-7 95 Dec 15-18 38 48 Clinton 37 34 Republicans in Congress 14 10 NEITHER (vol.) 3 2 BOTH (vol.) 8 6 No opinion --- --- 100 100 As you may know, President Clinton and the Republican leaders in Congress just reached an agreement to end the current federal budget shutdown, which will reopen the government through January 26th. Overall, do you approve or disapprove of that agreement? IF DISAPPROVE: 16a. Which of the following reasons better describes why you disapprove of the agreement to reopen the government -- ROTATE: Because you wish the shutdown had continued until a balanced budget agreeement was reached, or because the agreement did not go far enough in reopening the government. 69 Total Approve 18 Total Disapprove 8 Should have continued the shutdown 8 Agreement didn't go far enough 2 No opinion why disapprove -- 18 13 No opinion --- 100 Next, please tell me whether you approve or disapprove of the way each of the following political leaders has handled the budget negotiations in Washington. First, ... Next, .... [A- C: RANDOM ORDER] Disap- No Approve prove opinion Bill Clinton 96 Jan 5-7 47 48 5 95 Nov 17-18 49 38 13 95 Nov 14 48 43 9 Bob Dole 96 Jan 5-7 45 42 13 95 Nov 17-18 27 46 27 95 Nov 14 32 52 16 Newt Gingrich 96 Jan 5-7 29 58 13 95 Nov 17-18 19 62 19 95 Nov 14 22 64 14 18/19 -- SPLIT SAMPLE FORM A: In your view, [is/are] [A-C: RANDOM ORDER] seriously committed to balancing the federal budget, or not? How about ...? BASED ON INTERVIEWS WITH -- 498 -- NATIONAL ADULTS; 5 PCT PTS FORM B: In your view, is [A-C: RANDOM ORDER] seriously committed to balancing the federal budget, or not? How about ...? BASED ON INTERVIEWS WITH -- 502 -- NATIONAL ADULTS; 5 PCT PTS Not Seriously seriously No committed committed opin 18a/19a. President Clinton 50 45 5 FORM A: 18b. The Republicans in Congress 63 32 5 18c. The Democrats in Congress 44 49 7 FORM B: 19b. Bob Dole 57 32 11 19c. Newt Gingrich 43 43 14 19d. Based on the recent events in Washington, do you think the federal government is doing a good job or a bad job of governing the country? IF BAD JOB: Do you think it is the worst job of governing in your lifetime, or do you think there have been other times when it has been just as bad or worse? 36 Good job 31 Bad job, not worst in lifetime 21 Bad job, worst in lifetime 6 Bad job, don't know if worst 6 No opinion --- 100 Back to top
Now thinking about federal taxes, Which of the following would you like to see Congress do regarding the federal income tax system -- READ 1-3: FORM A: BASED ON INTERVIEWS WITH -- 498 -- NATIONAL ADULTS; 5 PCT PTS 35 Pass a bill to replace the current federal income tax system with an entirely new system, 45 Pass a bill which makes changes to the current federal income tax system, but keeps the system basically intact, or 17 Leave the federal income tax system as it is NONE/OTHER (vol.) 3 No opinion --- 100 Now here are two different federal income tax policies. Which of these do you think would be better for the country - - [ROTATED]: FORM A: BASED ON INTERVIEWS WITH -- 502 -- NATIONAL ADULTS; 5 PCT PTS 46 The current system in which someone with more money pays a higher percentage of that income in taxes than someone with less money, or 51 A system in which all Americans would pay the same percentage of their income in taxes, regardless of how much money they make 1 NEITHER/OTHER (vol.) 2 No opinion --- 100 Tax plans in which all taxpayers pay the same percentage of their income in taxes are often known as "flat tax" plans. Please tell me if each of the following groups would probably be helped or hurt by a flat tax. First, [INSERT ITEM A]. Next, ... [A-D: RANDOM ORDER]? FORM A: BASED ON INTERVIEWS WITH -- 498 -- NATIONAL ADULTS; 5 PCT PTS No Helped Hurt opinion You personally 48 35 17 Wealthy Americans 68 24 8 Middle Class Americans 51 39 10 Poor Americans 35 56 9 NOT ASKED Back to top
Now thinking about Bosnia, Do you approve or disapprove of the presence of U.S. troops in Bosnia? FORM A: BASED ON INTERVIEWS WITH -- 498 -- NATIONAL ADULTS; 5 PCT PTS Dis- Approve approve opinion % % % 96 Jan 5-7 36 58 6 95 Dec 15-18 41 54 5 Do you think President Clinton should or should not take a trip to Bosnia this month in order to visit American troops stationed there? FORM B: BASED ON INTERVIEWS WITH -- 502 -- NATIONAL ADULTS; 5 PCT PTS 55 Should 40 Should not 5 No opinion --- 100


AllPolitics home page

[http://Pathfinder.com]

Copyright © 1997 AllPolitics All Rights Reserved
Terms under which this information is provided to you

[http://CNN.com]