Political Prediction Market: Trump still leads for nomination

Story highlights

  • The real estate mogul had the highest chance he's ever had for the Republican nomination at 38% on Tuesday morning
  • Democrats are still predicted to win the White House

(CNN)Long the GOP front-runner in opinion polls, Republican Donald Trump is now the clear leader on CNN's Political Prediction Market as well.

The real estate mogul enjoyed his best odds of winning the nomination -- 38% -- Tuesday morning. He was slightly lower, but still clearly on top with odds at 37% to win the nomination on Wednesday.
The only Republican candidate who has ever had higher odds than Trump is Florida Sen. Marco Rubio, whose odds to win the nomination were placed at 49% last November, but have since fallen.
    CNN's Political Prediction Market is a game administered by the company Pivit which combines the predictions of players along with polls and other elements to forecast winners and losers of the 2016 election. It's not to be confused with polls from real voters, which aim to gauge support for a particular candidate.
    Trump, Rubio and Texas Sen. Ted Cruz were in a tie for the nomination on CNN's Political Prediction Market after last week's Republican debate, but Trump took the lead again soon after.
    Now, Cruz is at 27% odds and Rubio is at 25%.
    Not much changed in the Political Prediction Market after Sunday's Democratic debate. Hillary Clinton maintains the best chance by far to win her party's nomination with 78% odds on the Political Prediction Market. Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders is at 20% odds.
    On the Political Prediction Market, Sanders is predicted to win New Hampshire with his chances at 92% compared to Clinton's 8%. In the latest CNN/WMUR poll released Tuesday, Sanders widened his lead over Clinton in New Hampshire 60% to 33%.
    Political Prediction Market players still favor Democrats in November. They place the odds of a Democrat winning the general election at 60%.