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Aid or invasion? Question looms as Russian convoy nears Ukraine

By Michael Pearson and Lindsay Isaac, CNN
updated 12:26 PM EDT, Fri August 15, 2014
  • "We can help ourselves," Kiev resident says
  • Russian aid convoy raises fears of invasion
  • Red Cross says it hasn't partnered with Russia on aid, doesn't know what's coming
  • The convoy comes as Ukraine makes strides against pro-Russian rebels

Kiev, Ukraine (CNN) -- Somewhere in southern Russia, a convoy of 280 white-painted trucks snaked its way Tuesday toward the Ukrainian border.

Depending on whom you ask, what's inside may either be a treasure trove of relief goods for war-weary civilians, or the vanguard of a Russian invasion of eastern Ukraine.

Russian aid convoy raises questions

With thousands of Russian troops still posted near the Ukrainian border and Ukraine's military putting increasing pressure on pro-Russian fighters around the city of Donetsk, many in Ukraine and elsewhere feared the latter.

"Russia keeps inventing new excuses for their policy," Ukraine's Deputy Foreign Minister, Danylo Lubkivsky, told reporters Tuesday in Kiev. "In Georgia, it was defending pro-Russian minorities. In Ukraine's Crimea, preventing NATO invasion."

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"In Donbas," he said referring to the war-torn eastern region of Ukraine that includes the contested cities of Donetsk and Luhansk, "they are trying to use the pretext of humanitarian aid and assistance."

Without offering proof, Ukrainian officials have even accused Russia of repainting military vehicles white to disguise their efforts.

In Kiev, where many loyalties lie with the Ukrainian government, skepticism of Russian President Vladimir Putin's motive was rampant among ordinary residents.

"Normal people do not send guns to kill people and food for them to eat in the same cars," said IT specialist Igor Vlasenko. "I think most Ukrainians want him to leave Ukraine alone. We can help ourselves."

And it's not just the Ukrainians raising concerns about a possible Russian Trojan horse.

Red Cross flummoxed

In an interview Monday with Reuters, NATO Secretary General Anders Fogh Rasmussen spoke of a "high probability" Russia will invade Ukraine.

"We see the Russians developing the narrative and the pretext for such an operation under the guise of a humanitarian operation and we see a military buildup that could be used to conduct such illegal military operations in Ukraine," he said.

Russia has acknowledged sending the convoy. In a conversation Monday with the President of the European Commission, Putin said his country was working with the International Committee of the Red Cross to deliver aid to civilians suffering as a result of savage fighting there.

Except the Red Cross says it doesn't know what Putin is talking about.

ICRC spokesman Andrew Loersch said the agency doesn't have any agreement with Russia on such a convoy.

And ICRC European operations chief Laurent Corbaz said Tuesday in Geneva that the agency hasn't gotten much clarity from Moscow about its purported role in the operation, including how the aid would be handed over and security guarantees for Red Cross workers.

"We said that we could be on board, but that we needed to have some clarification first regarding modalities, practical steps that have to be implemented prior to a launch of such an operation," he said.

Red Cross officials don't even know what's in the shipment, Corbaz said.

According to the Russian news agency Itar-Tass, the shipment is bound for Luhansk and contains 400 tons of grains, 100 tons of sugar, 62 tons of baby food, 54 tons of medical supplies, sleeping bags and "electrical power units."

"False pretense"

But after an incident Saturday in which Ukrainian officials claim to have stopped a purported aid convoy accompanied by Russian troops, Ukraine has vowed to stop any "uncertified" aid convoy from Russia.

In the reported Saturday incident, Ukraine's Deputy Head of the Presidential Administration Valeriy Chaly, told a Ukrainian television channel that the convoy was nothing more than a Russian provocation.

"Under a false pretense of agreement with the International Committee of the Red Cross in Ukraine, a humanitarian convoy of 'peacekeepers' was ready to enter the country, apparently in order to provoke a full-scale conflict," he said.

U.S. officials have warned Russia against using aid as a means of wading deeper into the Ukraine conflict.

At a U.N. Security Council meeting Saturday, U.S. Ambassador Samantha Power said Russia has no business delivering aid in Ukraine when international aid groups are better equipped to do the job.

"Therefore, any further unilateral intervention by Russia into Ukrainian territory -- including one under the guise of providing humanitarian aid -- would be completely unacceptable and deeply alarming," she said. "And it would be viewed as an invasion of Ukraine."

Secretary of State John Kerry made a similar point with his Russian counterpart on Saturday, according to the State Department.

While Western leaders have refused any suggestion that Russian acts could draw NATO nations into war over Ukraine, they do say it would lead to even stricter economic sanctions against Russia than those already imposed by the United States and the European Union.

So far, Russian officials have shrugged off the sanctions.

Rebels on the ropes?

Moscow's decision to send the convoy comes as some 50,000 Ukrainian troops press forward with an offensive to rout rebel fighters from Donetsk.

They have put increasing pressure on the rebel fighters, and Ukrainian officials say they expect to be able to fully recapture the city by Ukraine's Independence Day on August 24.

The ongoing fighting -- sparked last year with a political crisis over whether Ukraine would seek closer ties with Europe or Russia -- has left more than 2,000 people dead and just under 5,000 wounded in eastern Ukraine since mid-April, according to estimates from U.N. officials. They say that the death toll has been on the rise in recent days, with reports of at least 41 killed and 143 wounded on Thursday alone.

Hundreds of thousands have been forced to flee their homes and seek shelter either elsewhere in Ukraine or across the border in Russia, the United Nations says.

READ: Russia's Putin issues retaliatory ban on food imports

READ: Opinion: Why Vladimir Putin isn't going to make peace

READ: How rebels in Ukraine built up an arsenal capable of reaching the skies

Michael Pearson reported and wrote from Atlanta; Lindsay Isaac reported from Kiev; CNN's Jason Hanna, Will Ripley and journalist Victoria Butenko contributed to this report.

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