Skip to main content
Part of complete coverage on
 

GOP path now winds cross-country toward Super Tuesday

By Tom Cohen, CNN
updated 7:23 PM EST, Wed February 1, 2012
Romney to Obama: Get out of the way
STORY HIGHLIGHTS
  • There are eight caucuses or primaries between Florida's vote and Super Tuesday
  • The eight upcoming contests offer about 250 delegates
  • The March 6 Super Tuesday haul will be a total of 437 from 10 contests
  • Delegates needed to secure the nomination at the August convention: 1,144

Washington (CNN) -- Mitt Romney's primary victory in Florida takes on more significance when you consider what comes next.

The four remaining Republican presidential contenders face a set of caucuses and primaries in February and early March that yield relatively few convention delegates but will test the reach and organization of the respective campaigns.

On both counts, the better-funded Romney appears poised to continue his winning ways in states where he fared well in his initial presidential run in 2008.

Romney had a solid victory Tuesday in Florida's hotly contested primary. The former Massachusetts governor had 46%, compared with 32% for Newt Gingrich, 13% for former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum and 7% for Texas Rep. Ron Paul, according to the Florida Department of State.

There are eight caucuses or primaries in the five weeks between Florida's vote and the Super Tuesday group of 10 contests on March 6.

The eight upcoming contests offer about 250 delegates, while the Super Tuesday haul will be a total of 437.

Gingrich and Romney go after Obama
Santorum looks ahead to Nevada
Paul: 'I'll see you at the caucuses'

With 1,144 delegates needed to secure the nomination at the August convention, the coming five weeks are considered a bit of a lull after the frenetic climate of January, as the Iowa caucuses were followed by three primaries and punctuated with seven debates.

While none of the upcoming contests alone would represent a major victory, a breakthrough for trailing candidates such as Santorum or Paul would boost fundraising efforts.

At the same time, a pattern of victory by Romney or fellow front-runner Gingrich would create valuable momentum heading into the Super Tuesday showdown.

First up will be the February 4 caucuses in Nevada, a state Romney won in 2008 due in part to support from a sizable population of fellow Mormons.

Then come caucuses in Colorado and Minnesota on February 7, as well as Missouri's nonbinding primary. Romney won both Colorado and Minnesota last time, while the Missouri vote only sets the stage for later caucuses that will decide delegate allocation.

The Maine caucuses conclude February 11 in a state Romney also won in the 2008 primary. Then there is a break until the February 28 primaries in Michigan and Arizona, with a February 22 debate on CNN in between.

Romney, who grew up in Michigan as the son of three-term Gov. George Romney, won the GOP primary there in 2008. He finished second that year in Arizona to state native John McCain, the eventual Republican presidential nominee.

Completing the run-up to Super Tuesday will be the Washington state primary March 3. Last time, Romney dropped out of the GOP race two days before the Evergreen State voted.

This year, Romney narrowly lost the first nominating contest -- the Iowa caucuses -- to Santorum and then easily won the New Hampshire primary.

Gingrich surged back to win the first Southern primary in South Carolina, which neighbors his native Georgia.

That set up a Florida showdown that Romney claimed after his campaign and supporting super PACs poured in millions of dollars for negative ads against Gingrich.

Taking advantage of Romney's ample resources, his campaign has launched efforts in the upcoming contests, and he said Monday that he will head to Minnesota and Nevada after the Florida vote.

Santorum and Paul already have headed for upcoming caucus and primary states in a concession that they had no hope of grabbing delegates in winner-take-all Florida.

Gingrich's campaign, meanwhile, is tempering expectations for Michigan and Nevada and looking ahead to primaries in Southern states in March and beyond.

R.C. Hammond, the Gingrich campaign spokesman, called Arizona, Minnesota, Maine and Colorado the strongest states for the former House speaker in February, saying Nevada is the "toughest" challenge, and "we are not putting Michigan first" in terms of chances to win.

On Monday, Gingrich highlighted the Mormon population in Nevada as a factor that made the state "tricky," adding that he will "absolutely" campaign there.

Gingrich's campaign also sought to blunt any sense of momentum by Romney by issuing an analysis Monday that noted the former House speaker leads in national polls and will benefit from upcoming contests that award delegates on a proportional basis.

"Mitt Romney has failed to consolidate conservatives in each of the first four contests with every notable grassroots conservative endorsement -- Herman Cain, Fred Thompson, Michael Reagan, Rick Perry and others -- going to Newt Gingrich," said the document by Martin Baker, Gingrich's national political director.

No matter who won Florida, according to Baker's analysis issued before the Sunshine State primary, neither Romney nor Gingrich will have gotten 10% of the 1,144 convention delegates needed to win.

"There is a long way to go before either candidate clinches the nomination, and this campaign will continue for months," Baker said.

ADVERTISEMENT
Part of complete coverage on
Get all the latest news in Campaign 2012 at CNN's Election Center. There's the latest news, a delegate counter and much more.
updated 3:41 PM EDT, Wed May 23, 2012
Dark theories about President Barack Obama's citizenship show no signs of fading away. But "birthers," as those skeptics of Obama's heritage are known, no longer seem relegated to tinfoil hat fringes of American politics.
updated 1:10 PM EDT, Fri May 25, 2012
Wanted: A political attack dog ready to tear into President Barack Obama. Must play by team rules, be able to withstand the pressure of a presidential campaign and pass a rigorous vetting process.
updated 5:30 AM EDT, Fri May 18, 2012
Brinksmanship tactics from both major parties are not new -- in fact, they are all too commonplace on both sides in this Congress as the value of the compromise among moderate voices has all but disappeared. And it appears many voters want it that way.
updated 11:02 AM EDT, Thu May 24, 2012
Over the next several generations, the wave of minority voters -- who, according to the Census, now represent more than half of the nation's population born in the past year -- will become more of a power base in places like Alabama, Mississippi and Georgia.
updated 11:33 AM EDT, Wed May 23, 2012
Obama and Romney are two very different candidates joined by similar, yet hollow, attacks on their faith. Those attacks illustrate the intense mix of identity politics simmering just beneath the surface of the presidential race.
With the Republican presidential race all but over, the focus shifts to presumptive nominee Mitt Romney's choice of a running mate. Here's a list of those who have generated some buzz.
updated 10:57 AM EDT, Mon May 21, 2012
They had the money. They had the organization. They had the ballot access. What they were missing, however, was a candidate.
updated 8:06 PM EDT, Thu May 10, 2012
If you weren't lucky enough to win a seat at the table for dinner tonight with George Clooney and President Barack Obama, fear not. You may still have a chance to party with the president and a celebrity or two in the near future.
updated 12:23 PM EDT, Fri May 11, 2012
With Mitt Romney's victories in the April 24 Republican primaries, a new phase of the campaign began at Obama re-election headquarters in Chicago. After a year spent hiring staff and building an organization, Obama for America finally had what it had been waiting for: an opponent.
updated 8:42 PM EDT, Tue April 24, 2012
With student loan rates set to double in July, President Obama is using the issue to try to recapture the elusive youth vote.
Steps by both political parties to court younger voters proved it's the youth voting bloc's turn to come under the national spotlight, attention that will continue through the November general election.
Famed pastor Joel Osteen reiterated his position that Mitt Romney is a Christian, saying as long as the likely GOP presidential nominee believes that Jesus is the Son of God then he subscribes to the Christian faith.
updated 2:52 PM EDT, Mon April 16, 2012
This presidential election tells us something unexpected about American politics. It appears that both parties will have pragmatic problem-solvers at the top of their tickets.
updated 2:36 PM EDT, Fri March 30, 2012
Another major conservative figure backs Mitt Romney, adding to chorus calling for the divisive GOP nomination battle to come to an end.
Mitt Romney win
Track who's up and who's down with the freshest national polls on the CNN Polling Center.
ADVERTISEMENT