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Poll result boosts Japanese stocks


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TOKYO, Japan -- Japan's stock market is heading higher Monday as investors show more optimism following the outcome of Sunday's upper house election.

The Nikkei 225 is up 0.75 percent to 11,509.53 -- the first time in four trading days that it has been above the 11,500 mark.

The broader Topix is up 1.17 percent to 1160.37.

Big banks are leading the way, with gains of 2.5 percent for Mizuho and 3 percent for Sumitomo-Mitsui.

Automakers are also higher, and big telco NTT is up 2.5 percent.

Analysts say the performance by Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi's ruling Liberal Democratic Party-led coalition was better than expected.

The coalition won a majority in the upper house elections, though gains by the opposition signaled discontent with Koizumi's cuts in pension benefits and deployment of troops to Iraq.

Half of the chamber's 242 seats were contested. Before the vote, the Liberal Democrats held 115 seats in the upper house and controlled a majority of seats together with partner Komeito's 23 seats. The Democrats had 70.

The LDP had set a total of 51 seats -- a gain of one seat -- as its modest goal for the election. While Japanese media speculated Koizumi could face pressure to step down if the goal was not met, he dismissed talk of resignation.

Koizumi, who took office in April 2001 promising far-reaching reform, insisted there was no reason for him to resign to take responsibility for the results. But the Democrats claimed victory.

"The people have issued a resounding `no' to Koizumi's policies," said party leader Katsuya Okada.

The election had not been expected to seriously threaten the LDP's hold on government. The party, which has governed almost uninterruptedly since 1955, holds a firm majority in the powerful lower house, the stronger of the legislature's two chambers.

But the robust turnout for the opposition could undermine support for Koizumi within his own party.

"What we're seeing is a result of Koizumi's diminishing popularity -- the 'Koizumi effect' is wearing off," said Jiro Yamaguchi, a political scientist at Hokkaido University. He predicted the party would become even more resistant to reform.

The election also bolstered the emergence of a two-party political system in Japan, with the LDP increasingly balanced by the Democrats rather than easily dominating an opposition splintered into smaller groupings.

The Liberal Democratic Party had tried to win political points from the recovering economy, but with little success.

"We did well considering the winds were against us," said party secretary-general Shinzo Abe. "It's still possible to run a stable government."

The party's coalition partner, Komeito -- a party backed by the Buddhist organization Soka Gakkai -- was expected to hold on to the 10 seats it was defending, and perhaps add one or two, the national broadcaster NHK said.

Though one of Japan's most popular postwar leaders, Koizumi's support has been plunging. A survey by Japan's largest newspaper, the Yomiuri, showed Koizumi's support has fallen to 35.7 percent -- the first time it had dropped below 40 percent since he took office in April 2001.

Pollsters attribute the decline to anger over a new law that hikes mandatory pension premiums and cuts benefits -- a major issue in a nation that has the world's longest life expectancy for both men and women and is graying rapidly.

The safety of Japan's troops in Iraq has also been an issue, especially since no Japanese soldier has killed or been killed in battle since World War II.

Responding to President Bush's call for "boots on the ground," Koizumi championed the deployment of several hundred soldiers on a non-combat, humanitarian mission to the southern Iraqi city of Samawah almost six months ago. It was the country's biggest overseas military operation since World War II.

As violence continues in Iraq, many Japanese fear the soldiers could become targets.

The Democrats, emboldened by big strides in the November lower house elections, have appealed to voters to give them a chance to provide a viable, centrist alternative to the LDP.



Copyright 2004 CNN. All rights reserved.This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. Associated Press contributed to this report.

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