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Tracking poll: Gore continues to hold narrow lead

For first time, more think Gore will win

WASHINGTON (CNN) -- Vice President Al Gore continues to hold a narrow lead over presidential rival Texas Gov. George W. Bush in today's CNN/USA Today/Gallup tracking poll.

 

The numbers reveal a presidential race essentially unchanged, with the Democrat Gore's support remaining in the high 40s while Republican Bush's numbers are in the low- to mid-40s. Interviews with 741 likely voters, conducted September 15-17, show Gore drawing 48 percent of the survey's voters, while Bush pulls the support of 43 percent, a lead of five points.

Since the poll has a sampling error of plus or minus four percentage points, Gore's lead does fall within the statistical margin of error.

For the first time in this campaign, more voters believe that Al Gore will win the election: 54 percent now think Gore will win in November, up from 34 percent in late August. And Gore's favorable rating, which rose to a new high of 61 percent after the Democratic convention, has maintained at that level since then.

Bush's favorable rating, however, has dropped from a personal best of 67 percent after the GOP convention to 61 percent after the Democratic conclave, to just 52 percent today.

Joe Lieberman's favorable rating is at 58 percent, a drop from his 65 percent figure after the Democratic convention but still higher than Dick Cheney's 52 percent favorable rating.

The two presidential candidate's approval ratings show the same pattern, with the number of voters who approve of how Gore has handled his job as vice president holding steady in the post-convention season while the number who approve of Bush's record as Texas Governor has dropped. The Summer Olympic Games, however, may put the election in a holding pattern for a few weeks.

Most voters say that if they could only watch one thing on television in the next few weeks, they would choose the Olympics. Only 39 percent would pick coverage of the presidential election over the Olympics.

CNN will be releasing the results on its tracking polls every day until the November 7 elections. The polls monitor public opinion of the presidential race over intervals of two to three days.


CNN/USA TODAY/GALLUP POLL

September 15-17

Likely voters' choice for president


Gore      48%

Bush      43 

Nader      3

Buchanan   1

Sampling error: +/-4% pts


CNN/USA TODAY/GALLUP POLL

September 15-17

Who Do You Think Will Win?


            Now    August


Gore        54%      34%

Bush        33       49

Sampling error: +/-4% pts


CNN/USA TODAY/GALLUP POLL

September 15-17

Favorable Ratings


          Now   August


Gore      61%     61%

Bush      52      61


Sampling error: +/-4% pts


CNN/USA TODAY/GALLUP POLL

September 15-17

Favorable Ratings


Gore         61%

Lieberman    58

Bush         52

Cheney       52

Sampling error: +/-4% pts


CNN/USA TODAY/GALLUP POLL

September 15-17

LIKELY VOTERS Approve of How Bush is Handling His Job as Texas Governor


Approve     50%

Disapprove  29

Sampling error: +/-4% pts


CNN/USA TODAY/GALLUP POLL

September 15-17

How Gore is Handling His Job as Vice President


Approve     65%

Disapprove  28

Sampling error: +/-4% pts


CNN/USA TODAY/GALLUP POLL

September 15-17

Rather Watch on TV


Olympics         57%

Election         39

Sampling error: +/-4% pts


COMPLETE TRACKING TREND ON HORSE RACE

 
EUROPE'S VIEW
Where do Bush and Gore stand on issues of importance to Europe? Launch our Interactive Guide.

POLLS
View the latest tracking poll or dig into our poll archives.

WHAT'S AT STAKE

VIDEO
Watch selected policy speeches and campaign commercials from the major presidential candidates.

WHERE THEY STAND
See where George W. Bush and Al Gore stand on the major issues.

THE STATES
Who are your elected officials? What is the past presidential vote and number of electoral votes in your state? What are the presidential primary results and exit polls? Find out with these state political and election facts.

ELECTION GUIDE
Get Election 2000 zip code searchable candidate biographies and other material for races for governor, Senate and House in our Election Guide.

FOLLOW THE MONEY
How much money have the candidates raised? Here are their quarterly reports to the Federal Election Commission.

RACES
If you need to know who's up in 2000 and what seats are open, launch this quick guide.

WEB WHITE AND BLUE
Allpolitics.com is a partner in the Web White and Blue rolling cyber-debate, a daily online exchange among the major presidential candidates. Look for twice-daily updates Sunday through Friday until election day.


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Monday, September 18, 2000


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