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Poll: Bush leads Gore in November matchup

March 13, 2000
Web posted at: 6:25 p.m. EST (2325 GMT)

In the first post-Super Tuesday survey of likely voters, Republican presidential front-runner, Texas Gov. George W. Bush, has a 49 percent to 43 percent lead over Democratic presidential contender Vice President Al Gore, according to a CNN/USA Today/Gallup poll. Bush's support among likely voters has dropped from 52 percent in February and 57 percent in January, but he retains a lead over Gore among likely voters due in part to support from voters who had wanted to see Arizona Sen. John McCain win the GOP nomination.

The public continues to view Bush -- rather than Gore -- as a strong leader who can manage the government effectively and inspire confidence. Nonetheless, the primary campaign has significantly eroded the public's positive view of Bush in many respects. A year ago, for example, 63 percent said they thought Bush was someone they would be proud to have as president; today that figure has dropped to 53 percent.

The number of Americans who think Bush cares about people like themselves and shares their values has also gone down since last March, as has the number who think Bush agrees with them on issues they care about. In fact, Gore now leads Bush in this category, and the number who think Gore can handle the economy and world affairs better than Bush has jumped since last summer. Gore has an advantage on several reliably Democratic issues, such as the environment and health care, while Bush has an edge on crime, taxes, and moral values.

The poll is based on interviews with 1,006 adult Americans, including 502 likely voters. It was conducted March 10-12 and has a sampling error of plus or minus 5 percentage points, unless otherwise noted.

If Vice President Al Gore were the Democratic Party's candidate and Texas Gov. George W. Bush were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for -- Gore, the Democrat, or Bush, the Republican? (Question asked of likely voters.)

 
Bush
Gore
Now
49%
43%
February
52%
43%
January
57%
38%

If Vice President Al Gore were the Democratic Party's candidate and Texas Gov. George W. Bush were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for -- Gore, the Democrat, or Bush, the Republican? (Responses are from likely voters who supported Sen. John McCain.)

Bush
47%
Gore
41%
Sampling error: +/-6% pts

Thinking about the following characteristics and qualities, please say whether you think it applies or doesn't apply to George W. Bush.

Is someone you would be proud to have as president
 
Now
March 1999
Yes
53%
63%
No
42%
28%

Thinking about the following characteristics and qualities, please say whether you think it applies or doesn't apply to Al Gore/George W. Bush.

Is someone you would be proud to have as president
 
Bush
Gore
Yes
53%
50%
No
42%
45%

Thinking about the following characteristics and qualities, please say whether you think it applies or doesn't apply to George W. Bush.

Cares about the needs of people like you
 
Now
March 1999
Yes
51%
59%
No
42%
32%

Thinking about the following characteristics and qualities, please say whether you think it applies or doesn't apply to Al Gore/George W. Bush.

Cares about the needs of people like you
 
Bush
Gore
Yes
51%
60%
No
42%
35%

Thinking about the following characteristics and qualities, please say whether you think it applies or doesn't apply to George W. Bush.

Shares your values
 
Now
March 1999
Yes
52%
58%
No
41%
31%

Thinking about the following characteristics and qualities, please say whether you think it applies or doesn't apply to Al Gore/George W. Bush.

Shares your values
 
Bush
Gore
Yes
52%
53%
No
41%
42%

Thinking about the following characteristics and qualities, please say whether you think it applies or doesn't apply to Al Gore.

Is a strong and decisive leader
 
Now
March 1999%
Yes
52%
35%
No
42%
49%

Thinking about the following characteristics and qualities, please say whether you think it applies or doesn't apply to Al Gore/George W. Bush.

Is a strong and decisive leader
 
Bush
Gore
Yes
63%
52%
No
30%
42%

Thinking about the following characteristics and qualities, please say whether you think it applies or doesn't apply to George W. Bush.

Agrees With You on Issues You Care About?
 
Now
March 1999
Yes
49%
54%
No
44%
35%

Thinking about the following characteristics and qualities, please say whether you think it applies or doesn't apply to Al Gore/George W. Bush.

Agrees With You on Issues You Care About?
 
Bush
Gore
Yes
49%
54%
No
44%
42%

Regardless of which presidential candidate you support, please tell me if you think Al Gore or George W. Bush would better handle each of the following issues.

 
Gore
Bush
Environment
59%
31%
Health care
54%
34%
Social Security
49%
40%
Education
48%
41%

Regardless of which presidential candidate you support, please tell me if you think Al Gore or George W. Bush would better handle the economy.

 
Gore
Bush
Now
46%
45%
June, 1999
35%
55%

Regardless of which presidential candidate you support, please tell me if you think Al Gore or George W. Bush would better handle world affairs.

 
Gore
Bush
Now
46%
44%
June, 1999
36%
53%

Regardless of which presidential candidate you support, please tell me if you think Al Gore or George W. Bush would better handle each of the following issues.

 
Gore
Bush
Economy
46%
45%
World affairs
46%
44%
Gun issue
44%
42%
Campaign finance reform
43%
38%
Crime
37%
51%
Moral values
39%
49%
Taxes
41%
48%

Regardless of which presidential candidate you support, please tell me if you think Al Gore or George W. Bush would better handle the rising cost of gasoline and fuel oil.

Bush
43%
Gore
36%

Thinking about the following characteristics and qualities, please say whether you think it applies or doesn't apply to Al Gore/George W. Bush.

 
Gore
Bush
Can manage the government effectively
64%
57%
Is a strong and decisive leader
63%
52%
Inspires confidence
56%
49%
Has the knowledge necessary to be president
71%
77%
Cares about the needs of people like you
51%
60%
Generally agrees with you on issues you care about
49%
54%
Honest and trustworthy
64%
61%
Shares your values
52%
53%
Someone you would be proud to have as president
53%
50%

 
ELECTION 2000


CALENDAR
See how quickly the primary and caucus season will take off with this calendar.


VIDEO
Watch selected policy speeches and campaign commercials from the major presidential candidates.


WHAT'S AT STAKE


HISTORY
If you have a Flash-capable browser, take a look at the history of key events during the primary season.


CANDIDATE BIOS
Quick takes on the White House hopefuls.


RACES
If you need to know who's up in 1999 or 2000 and what seats are open launch this quick guide.


THE STATES
Who are your elected officials? What is the past presidential vote and number of electoral votes in your state? Find out with these state political and election facts.


POLLS
Check out the latest numbers or dig back into the poll archives.


WHO'S IN-WHO'S OUT
Who is running, who isn't running and who has already dropped out? Check out our tally sheet.


FOLLOW THE MONEY
How much money have the candidates raised? Here are their quarterly reports to the Federal Election Commission.


E-MAIL UPDATES
Receive news about a candidate by e-mail.

Your e-mail address: Mind-it Button


COMMUNITY



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Monday, March 13, 2000


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