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Poll: McCain holds steady New Hampshire lead

By Keating Holland/CNN

January 24, 2000
Web posted at: 1:39 p.m. EST (1839 GMT)

WASHINGTON (CNN) -- Former New Jersey Sen. Bill Bradley trails Vice President Al Gore by five points among likely Democratic primary voters in New Hampshire, while Arizona Sen. John McCain has a wider 43%-34% margin over Texas Gov. George W. Bush among likely GOP primary participants, according to the latest CNN/USA Today/Gallup poll.

One reason for McCain's lead: he has a huge lead among moderates while losing conservatives by a smaller margin. McCain's strength is also based on a strong showing among college educated voters, although he loses to Bush among voters who never attended college. The Democrats also have a "college gap", with Bradley winning college graduates and Gore leading among voters with no college degree.

But the biggest gap for the Democrats is still the gender gap. Bradley has a thin lead among men but loses women to Gore by a wider margin. McCain is also better-liked than Bush among GOP voters, while Gore and Bradley have equally high favorable ratings among Granite State Democratic primary voters.

The poll is based on interviews with 487 likely Democratic primary voters and 620 likely Republican primary voters. It was conducted January 21-23.

Likely Voters' Choice for Nominee
Gore50%
Bradley45%
Sampling error: +/-4% pts

Likely Voters' Choice for Nominee
McCain43%Keyes7%
Bush34%Bauer1%
Forbes13%Hatch1%
Sampling error: +/-4% pts

Likely Voters' Choice for Nominee
 ModeratesConservatives
McCain
56%
33%
Bush
29%
39%
Sampling error: +/-6% pts

Likely Voters' Choice for Nominee
 College GraduatesNo College Degree
McCain
50%
36%
Bush
29%
38%
Sampling error: +/-6% pts

Likely Voters' Choice for Nominee
 MenWomen
Gore
46%
52%
Bradley
50%
43%
Sampling error: +/-6% pts

Likely Voters' Choice for Nominee
 College GraduatesNo College Degree
Gore
43%
56%
Bradley
52%
40%
Sampling error: +/-6% pts

Likely Voters' Opinion of Candidates
 FavorableUnfavorable
Bradley
80%
14%
Gore
78%
18%
Sampling error: +/-4% pts

Likely Voters' Opinion of Candidates
 FavorableUnfavorable
McCain
82%
14%
Bush
70%
27%
Forbes
52%
41%
Sampling error: +/-4% pts

Likely Voters' Opinion of Candidates
 FavorableUnfavorable
Keyes
46%
35%
Hatch
30%
43%
Bauer
25%
44%
Sampling error: +/-4% pts

ELECTION 2000

Iowa campaigns come to a head on caucus day (1-24-00)

Poll: McCain holds steady New Hampshire lead (1-24-00)

Video: Iowans get ready to make decisions at caucuses (1-24-00)

NHPrimary.com: Health care tops seniors' concerns (1-24-00)

Des Moines Register: Some see Iowa's leadoff role in jeopardy (1-24-00)

Des Moines Register: Caucusers say Iowa reflects nation as a whole (1-24-00)

MORE HEADLINES



CALENDAR

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WHAT'S AT STAKE

What's at stake in Election 2000
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RACES

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Monday, January 24, 2000


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