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Poll: Gore, Bush still lead in support for presidential nomination

By Keating Holland/CNN

January 12, 2000
Web posted at: 5:01 p.m. EST (2201 GMT)

WASHINGTON (CNN) -- Vice President Al Gore and Texas Gov. George W. Bush maintain their lead in support for their parties' presidential nominations, and Bush continues to beat Gore in head-to-head matchups, according to a new CNN/USA Today/Gallup poll.

Bush leads the pack of Republican candidates by 45 percent. Although Bush's closest rival, Arizona Sen. John McCain, may be gaining in New Hampshire polls, nationally he trails Bush, 63 percent to 18 percent.

The poll of 1,633 adult Americans, including 627 registered Democrats and 630 registered Republicans, was conducted January 7-10.

Gore fares just as poorly against McCain as against Bush. In a Gore-McCain race, Gore loses by 14 percent. Last November, the vice president posted a 14 point lead over McCain.

Former New Jersey Sen. Bill Bradley manages a tie with McCain, and loses to Bush by a statistically-insignificant 49 percent to 47 percent margin.

Gore is increasing his lead against Bradley. Among Democrats, the vice president polls in at 59 percent to Bradley's 30 percent. Two-thirds of all likely voters say they would be satisfied with a Bush-Gore matchup in the general election.

While the poll's questions are framed as if the election were held today, many voters may ultimately change their minds about the candidates. Only 35 percent of American voters say they have given the November election "quite a lot" of thought. A full 52 percent of voters are only beginning to consider the candidates.

If Vice President Al Gore were the Democratic Party's candidate and Texas Gov. George W. Bush were the Republican party's candidate, as of today, do you lean more toward Gore, the Democrat or Bush, the Republican?

Bush52%
Gore43%
Sampling error: +/-3.5% pts

If Al Gore And George W. Bush Become The Democratic And Republican Nominees For President This Year, Would You Be Satisfied With That Choice, Or Not Satisfied?

Satisfied67%
Not satisfied31%
Sampling error: +/-3.5% pts

As of today, do you lean more toward Bradley, the Democrat or Bush, the Republican?

Bush49%
Bradley47%
Sampling error: +/-3.5% pts

As of today, do you lean more toward Gore, the Democrat or McCain, the Republican?

McCain54%
Gore41%
Sampling error: +/-3.5% pts

As of today, do you lean more toward Bradley, the Democrat or McCain, the Republican?

McCain46%
Bradley46%
Sampling error: +/-3.5% pts

Which of the Republican candidates would you be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in the year 2000?

Bush63%
McCain18%
Forbes5%
Hatch2%
Keyes2%
Bauer1%
Sampling error: +/-4% pts

Which of the Democratic candidates would you be most likely to support for the Democratic nomination for president in the year 2000?

Gore59%
Bradley30%
Sampling error: +/-4% pts

In general, are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way things are going in the United States at this time?

Satisfied
Now69%
September52%

Dissatisfied
Now28%
September45%
Sampling error: +/-2.5% pts

Are you satisfied with the state of the nation's economy?

Now83%
199325%
Sampling error: +/-2.5% pts

Right now, do you think that economic conditions in the country as a whole are getting better or getting worse?

Better
Now69%
September59%

Worse
Now23%
September34%
Sampling error: +/-2.5% pts

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is handling its job?

Approve
Now51%
September37%

Disapprove
Now42%
September56%
Sampling error: +/-2.5% pts

Do you approve of disapprove of the way Bill Clinton is handling his job as president?

Approve
Now63%
December57%
September59%

Disapprove
Now35%
December36%
September38%
Sampling error: +/-2.5% pts

Does the U.S. representative in your congressional district deserve to be reelected?

Yes67%
No15%
Sampling error: +/-2.5% pts

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of each of the following parties:

Favorable ratings
 NowNovember
Democratic Party61%51%
Republican Party5350

Unfavorable ratings
 NowNovember
Democratic Party33%41%
Republican Party4144
Sampling error: +/-2.5% pts

Are you satisfied with the opportunity for the next generation of Americans to live better than their parents?

Yes69%
No29
Sampling error: +/-2.5% pts

Are you satisfied with the opportunities for poor people in this country to get ahead by working hard?

Yes60%
No39
Sampling error: +/-2.5% pts

Are you satisfied with the quality of education?

Yes54%
No45
Sampling error: +/-2.5% pts

Are you satisfied with the availability and affordability of health care?

Yes40%
No59
Sampling error: +/-2.5% pts

Are you satisfied with the progress made in reducing poverty and homelessness?

Yes44%
No54
Sampling error: +/-2.5% pts

Are you satisfied with the moral values in this country?

Yes27%
No72
Sampling error: +/-2.5% pts

Which of the following do you think will be most important to you when you decide who to vote for?

Leadership and vision51%
Stands on the issues36
Sampling error: +/-2.5% pts

Would you say you are generally content with the way things are going in the country today, or is there something you would say you are angry about?

Generally content54%
Angry about anything43
Sampling error: +/-2.5% pts

ELECTION 2000

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ROTHENBERG

What's at stake in Election 2000
Senate Overview
House Overview
Governors Overview


CALENDAR

See how quickly the primary and caucus season will take off with this calendar.


RACES

If you need to know who's up in 1999 or 2000 and what seats are open launch this quick guide.


POLLS

Check out the lastest numbers or dig back into the poll archives.


MESSAGE BOARDS

GOP Presidential primary

Democratic Presidential primary

Congressional races

Senator Hillary Clinton?



MORE STORIES:

Wednesday, January 12, 2000


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